Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, June 06, 2016

Stock Market Spy Decision Imminent! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Submissions

Joseph VanDerveer writes: Below is a Daily Chart of SPY.  I would like to point out a few observations, starting with the two rising wedges that take a little imagination but bare with me. 

Watch the lower trendline going forward specially when we are passing a potential 6 month cycle top noted on the chart with two dashed vertical lines.

Monday, June 06, 2016

Stock Market Consolidation Or Distribution? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: The H&S pattern has been invalidated and the index is re-testing the upper portion of its trading range.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Two Charts That Prove Central Banks Are Losing Control / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The markets opened weak yesterday when the ECB announced no new policies.

The ECB is out of options. Mario Draghi has cut rates into NIRP four times and spent nearly €1 trillion in QE. Looking at the EU’s inflation rate, you wouldn’t think the ECB had done anything.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Stocks Hanging on Despite Shock Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jesse

Stocks are hanging on to this level which has given them such problems for so long as you can see from the chart below.

The stock market has become a mechanism for wealth appropriation and transfer, and as such must be maintained at all costs. LOL.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Bifurcated Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2099. After Monday’s holiday the market reached SPX 2103 on Tuesday. Wednesday the market declined to SPX 2085. Thursday the market rallied to SPX 2105, then returned to 2085 by Friday morning before ending the week back where it started at 2099. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Economic reports for the week were numerous and generally positive. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, construction spending, auto sales, monthly payrolls, ISM services and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, ISM manufacturing, the ADP, factory orders, plus, the unemployment rate, trade deficit and weekly jobless claims all improved.

Saturday, June 04, 2016

Bonds, Stocks, Gold and Silver ‘Inflation Trade’ Alive and Well / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

I don’t write the title because the precious metals took off today on the bad jobs report.  Far from it.  That is what gold is supposed to do under such circumstances as its fundamentals got a boost and the perceptions of a hawkish Fed got repelled.

I write the title despite the fact that the inflation barometer, TIP/TLT, tanked and commodities were moderate, post-jobs.  Yesterday we noted:  Inflation Expectations Sagging, including a declining TIP/TLT and a bullish looking TLT (each a form of non-inflationary signaling).  Today they got bearisher and bullisher, respectively.

Saturday, June 04, 2016

The Gryphon Review - Global Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: David_Chapman

The Great Housing Recovery ^Not!

New home sales just leaped to an eight-year high. Many were pleased with the gain, and as a result felt that the Fed could stay on course to hike interest rates at their June meeting. But the gain masks what is actually a bigger problem. New home sales are barely half their peak of 2006; housing starts are also barely half of their peak; existing home sales are doing better but are still 25% off of their peak; and, while housing price gains have been good, they also languish off 10% from their peak. Mortgage debt is actually down roughly $1 trillion from its peak, but the banks needing business are once again offering low down-payment mortgages to first time buyers. Mortgages are down because many don’t qualify, and many millennials who would like to get into the housing market are being held back with low-paying jobs and living in their parents’ basement. A series of charts demonstrate that the great housing leap is not that great after all.

Saturday, June 04, 2016

Prominent Billionaire Investors Warn of Financial Crash, Quietly Position Themselves / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Michael Rivero of WhatReallyHappened.com updates us on some of the key developments in the ongoing attempt by the central planners to bring about a one world government, when and why we’re likely to see a massive inflationary uptick in the not too distant future, and how gold and silver may end up being the key beneficiaries as the masses discover them as the safe haven assets to own. Don’t miss our explosive interview with a man who pulls no punches, Michael Rivero, coming up after this week’s market update.

After suffering through a sharp pullback in May, gold and silver markets could be eyeing a bottom in the trading so far in June. Gold touched the $1,200 level on Tuesday and managed a small bounce off that key level. As of this Friday morning recording, gold is surging and is up close to $30 so far on the day with the spot price coming in at $1,241 an ounce now, up 2.2% for the week.

Friday, June 03, 2016

US Dollar Plummets - Good Show! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

USD/DXY plummeted to a low of 93.99 this morning. This falls into line with my thesis that lower stock values also means a lower dollar price. USD is now beneath its 50-day Moving Average a 94.62 and is on a sell signal. We may see a bounce at the Cycle Bottom support at 92.92, with one final plunge to its target.

Friday, June 03, 2016

The Fed, Stock Market and the Miners / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

From this vantage point, it looks as though the precious metals complex will trade opposite the stock market throughout the month of June.  The miners look as though they are bottoming, while the stock market looks as though it is topping.  The jobs report on June 3rd will likely play with investors minds until June 15th, when all should reverse.

Friday, June 03, 2016

Stock Market No New High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This Wave [B] at the 2111.05 high appears to be a 3-3-3 wave affair. It would be more acceptable to have a Wave 5 at today’s high and maybe it may happen tomorrow, changing the Wave [B] to a 3-3-5 wave pattern, which is more familiar to most analysts. However, the pattern works, as is.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

Stock Market Elliott Wave Count, Economic Cycle and Equities Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As you know a picture is worth 1000 words so consider this short yet detailed post a juicy 2000+ word report on the current state of the stock market and economic cycle.

The charts below I think will help you see where the US stock market and economic cycles appear to be.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

SPX Appears "Heavy" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket appears heavy, but not down enough to make a difference. So we are in a sideways consolidation until a breakout or breakdown occurs. So far, the market has reacted to its Pi date on Tuesday. We may not get follow-through until tomorrow, when the monthly Jobs Report comes out.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

More Stock Market Fluctuations as SP500 Index Trades Along 2,100 Mark - Which Direction is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, June 02, 2016

Stock Market Won't Sell...ISM Better But Barely...Froth Picking Up Gradually... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

We have a very interesting market environment to say the least. There doesn't seem to be a single day where the market gaps down and runs lower all day. Every day it seems the market finds a way to go higher, at least intraday. Most days it closes green. We had a move down this morning, but, as usual, it didn't hold as the bulls came roaring back.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

The Bail-In: Or How You Could Lose Your Money in the Bank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Submissions

David Chapman writes: Buried in the Liberal Federal Budget that was introduced on March 22, 2016, under Chapter 8 - Tax Fairness and a Strong Financial Sector, was a section titled "Introducing a Bank Recapitalization 'Bail-in' Regime." Simply stated, in the unlikely event of a large bank failure, the Government proposed it would reinforce that bank shareholders and creditors are responsible for the bank's risks - not taxpayers.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Stock Market Rough Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

While the eighth year of a Presidential term calls for a rally from mid-May to early/mid-June, it doesn’t promise to be straight up. This week looks set to see a correction downward against the bigger trend. The McClellan Oscillator’s dip below -150 and the lower Bollinger Band on 5/19/16 (the one-year anniversary of the top of the bull market in the Dow) marked the low of the recent sell-off. It closed above zero last week but the bears have the benefit of the doubt given the ‘complex’ structure below zero.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Stock Market Aggressive Short Entry Given / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Although SPX has bounced, VIX has given an aggressive sell signal. This provides a possible short entry for SPX.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Stock Market Mixed Session to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the day out on a positive note, and then sold off dramatically, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4526 down to 4497 in a 3-wave, constructive pullback. The S&P 500 pulled back from 2103 to 2089. A very later, 45-minute rally took place and brought the Nasdaq 100 up 30 points and the S&P 500 10 points. A last, 2-minute pullback brought them off that rally high, and they closed mixed on the day.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Counter Trend Rally in Gold Due; Stock Market Topping? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The GLD chart below shows gold in a declining wedge.  Cyclically, an 8 TD low is due in gold and a 4 TD low due in GDX on June 1st.  A strong rally is indicated into June 2nd for both gold and GDX.

The stock market (as measured by the S&P 500) has either made its secondary top on May 31st or will likely do so on June 1, in my opinion. Another large drop is due in the weeks ahead.