Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, July 23, 2016
Stock Market Caution ... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Time goes on, but risk levels remain high ... here is why ...
Take a look at this 10 year chart of the VIX that we posted below and observe two things.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
The Serious Warning No One’s Talking About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
On Tuesday, a huge event happened in the investing world.
But if you’re like most Americans, you probably haven’t even heard about it.
The mainstream media didn’t discuss this event much. It was too busy pointing out that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have hit new all-time highs.
Meanwhile, something much bigger was happening on the other side of the world.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
NASDAQ Pulling the Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
The Nasdaq Nov/Dec high may act like a magnet to pull the S&P 500 price higher before generating a half cycle top.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Rally IS Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
VIX verse OEX
Many fund managers and analysts are calling for much higher prices in the market near term, medium term, and long term, extremely bullish sentiment. These are the ingredients for making a top in the market. We have very high sentiment, overbought oscillator, and some other technical clues illustrated below.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Insight from Greed, Volatility, and Put/Call Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I was recently looking at the CNN money website where they post this fear & green index. I caught my attention because many other aspects of the market are now also showing signs an imminent correction in the stock market.
This analysis is a contrarians play, meaning you believe that when mass majority of market participants are thinking and doing the same thing, you believe the market is about to change direction.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
S&P 500 Suggests Much Higher Prices Coming In 2016 And 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: InvestingHaven
Let’s get things straight: when an asset consolidates for more than 2 years, refuses to break down when the whole world seems to be falling apart, but then decides to break out from its consolidation pattern, it is a clear message that it has sufficient energy to go much higher.
We are talking U.S. stocks.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Aggressive Short Entry Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced from the trendline, as expected. This may be a good aggressive entry point…
…Please understand that the bounce may either be finished or continue in the morning.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Investments - If You Can’t Touch it, You Don’t Own it / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Thomas
The pending Brexit has, not surprisingly, caused a shakeup in the investment world, particularly in the UK. Of particular note is that, recently, asset management firms in Britain began refusing their clients the right to cash out of their mutual funds. Of the £35 billion invested in such funds, just under £20 billion has been affected.
For those readers who live in the UK, or are invested in UK mutual funds, this is reason to tremble at the knees.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
What Will Happen To the Stock Market When Interest Rates Rise? / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Charles_Carnevale
Interest rates have been in a freefall for the better part of the past two decades. Moreover, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury, which is the flagship interest rate benchmark, has mostly been below 2% since the beginning of 2012. The 10-year Treasury note did reach 3% by the end of 2013 but has promptly fallen ever since to its current level of 1.59 percent.
In contrast, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 hovers at an all-time high. Moreover, after the stock market bottomed in February 2009 as a result of the Great Recession, stock market investors have enjoyed a strong bull market that is now almost halfway into its 8th year running. Interestingly, as it relates to the thesis of this article, the stock market had one of its best performances in 2013 in spite of the 10-year Treasury note rising from 1.78% to 3.04% by the end of the year. To be clear, in direct conflict with conventional wisdom, both the stock market and interest rates rose dramatically in 2013.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
How to Escape the World’s Biggest Ponzi Scheme / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
It’s the top story in the investment world right now…
As we showed you yesterday, the S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high, topping 2,130 for the first time since May 2015.
But it's not just stocks that are ripping higher.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Don’t Get Sucked Back Into the Stock Market - The Big Picture Hasn’t Changed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
Stocks are on a tear right now…
Today, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high. It topped 2,130 for the first time since May 2015. The benchmark index is now up 6.9% over the past two weeks.
All good, right?
It might seem that way…if we were only analyzing U.S. stocks.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Stocks are Pressing Against Their Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is nudging at the Trading Channel trendline at 2170.00. A decline beneath it would be considered an aggressive sell signal. More conservative traders would still consider the trendline at 2160.00 as an aggressive sell signal, instead. Take your pick. There is still time for the trade to develop.
Aggressive traders should be used to whiplash by now. However, there is much to be said about a well-placed trade.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
S&P 500 At New All-Time High - Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Status Quo... Stock Market Bulls In Complete Control... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
A chart was shown today between gap earnings and the movement of the S&P 500 500. The last time the gap was this disconnected was in 2007, the year before the big market crash. Will history repeat itself? Hard to say back in 2007/2009 we didn't have this type of fed protection against any sustainable market downside action. The fed is making sure things stay positive for the markets, so as to keep the economy moving upward, but it is interesting to note how badly the disconnect has gotten. 2007 disconnect is the answer so let's hope that it doesn't repeat itself for 2017. When you see this type of disconnect, it's also a warning about the human emotion of froth and mania. The bulls are starting to ramp up in a very big way, and we're seeing that in the bull/bears spread, which is now back over 30% (31.1%) for the first time in a very, very long time.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2016
SPX Meets Another Possible Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have put a second upper trendline on the Orthodox Broadening Top to show how trendlines often act as both support and resistance. In this case, the new trendline appears to be resisting the rally at or near 2165.00. Whether SPX breaks through or not is in question today.
The rally may be complete here, so that is another reason for my report. You may recall that I had suggested that the rally may have hit its intended target at 2157.63, the first time it hit the upper trendline. Since then, the SPX has gone sideways more than higher.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Why Derivatives Are So Dangerous to the Financial System - Video / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Mario_Innecco
I'd like to talk about derivatives this evening
there's a lot of talk about derivatives and a lot of people have questions about
the rivers so here we go basically you know derivative is a financial instrument almost like an
insurance on an underlying acid and the modern-day derivatives market really
sprung up in nineteenth-century us in the Midwest especially chicago where you
know people came myou know to sell the grains the cattle and the buyers also came to buy the
grains in the cattle and for example a farmer who grew corn he wanted to lock in a price
you know in the future because he thought the price of corn Michael down
and he needed to know how much money he was going to get he would you know sell
a future in corn and the the buyer of the corn
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
SPX Challenges the Upper Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have made its high on Friday at 2169.05, 17.2 days from its June 27 low. This morning, the Premarket is challenging the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top at 2160.00. Once a reversal beneath the trendline is evident, I will comment on what may be expected next.
ZeroHedge reports, “After a head-scratching S&P500 rally - which not even Goldman has been able to justify - pushed stocks to new all time highs with seemingly daily record highs regardless of fundamentals or geopolitical troubles, overnight US equity futures dipped modestly, tracking weak European stocks as demand for safe haven assets including U.S. Treasuries and gold rises. Asian stocks outside Japan fall. Crude oil trades near $45 a barrel. “
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Tuesday, July 19, 2016
More on the ‘Breadth Thrust’ and Stock Market Internals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
NFTRH 404 deviated from the usual format of widespread, in-depth coverage of US and global markets, precious metals and commodities in order to focus on two main themes. One was a view of building short-term risks in the gold market [possibly pending new rally highs] and the other of a developing bullish phase in the US stock market. We reproduce part of that segment here…
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
VIX Falling....Volatility Falling....Understanding Stock Market Froth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Let's understand what's happening with the VIX. For quite a long time, many, many months, the VIX kept finding closing support at 13.00 or higher. We would see some intraday spiked in to the 12's, but ultimately we would find a reading that closed above 13.00. This would mark the end of an uptrend for very short term. The VIX would then spike a few points, and sometimes more than just a few points, and, thus, we'd see the market fall back down. The bears could always count on a 13.00 close, or higher, as a time to get short. Now we're dealing with three consecutive days with the VIX closing below 13.00. A change of trend that occurred once we were able to, eventually, close above S&P 500 2134. With the VIX this low, the market does something else traders don't love. It grinds.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Christine Lagarde on Turkish Markets, Global Banking and Politics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Bloomberg
In an exclusive interview with Bloomberg Television’s Tom Keene, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde discusses a range of issues including Turkish markets, the challenges around global banking and money laundering, the Italian bank crisis and political turmoil on both sides of the Atlantic.