Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Await Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Bank of England Rates Decision Thursday Morning... Stock Market Remains Lateral... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steinman

There is a potential market mover pre-market tomorrow morning when Europe's Bank of England decides whether they will once again cut rates. Yes, I said cut, not raise. The endless world of low rates, and sometimes even negative rates continues. The expectation is for an actual .25 rate cut. Hard to believe, but that's the world we are living in now. How low can rates go? It seems there is no end to it all. We don't have to understand or agree with it, but that's the real world. It's true insanity. I'm not sure how they can get away with this garbage, but I think their market would collapse if they didn't do another rate cut in the world of endlessly low rates. I can't wrap my mind logically around it, but they seem to have no problem doing so. It shows the truth of how bad things are economically.

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Stock Market Retracement Appears Complete. We're Still on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed its retracement a little shy of Short-term resistance at 2162.30. The retracement was 45%, less than the 50% that I had suggested. The time elapsed for the round trip from top-to-top was 17 hours. This may set the tone for the next decline, as well. Investors should be at least 50% short at this time.

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Stock Market At Danger Zone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the day off with a nasty drop, and kept dropping all day until midday when they reached my target zone at 4690 Nasdaq 100 and 2148 S&P 500, and then they rallied nicely, the Nasdaq 100 jumping about 35 points and the S&P 500 about 11-12 points. Near the end of the day, they backed off just a little, but ended up near the afternoon rally highs. Still, they closed down sharply on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 90.74 at 18,313.77, about 65 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 13.81 at 2157.03, 10 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 36.83 at 4719.21, 30 points off its low.

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Stock Market August Heat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

August is known for its heat and, for market participants, this August is expected to be extra-hot. Last Thursday marked the 11th straight day that SPX closed inside a 1% trading range, the first time this has ever happened. Regression to the mean tells us that a big surge in volatility is coming. Seasonality tells us that the month should end higher than it begins (which matches our Lindsay view of a Three Peaks and Domed House pattern).

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Stock Market Breakdown Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

A “measured” fractal may form a low at 2140.00-2145.00, then develop a bounce. However, the mid-Cycle support at 2122.54 and the 50-day Moving Average at 2112.88 may attract a lower decline toward that range.

Either way, SPX is setting up for its first bounce back to retest either sort-term resistance at 2162.08 or the trendline at 2165.00.

Many pros go short at that first pullback.

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Stock Market Sell Signals Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has broken down beneath 2159.07. It is on an aggressive sell signal.

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Stock Market August Starts with a Bang! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week and month off with a bang. The day started out with a big, strong rally to new highs on the Nasdaq 100, and new all-time highs on the S&P 500, tagging 2178. But that didn’t last long. They then plunged midday, got to pullback lows and session lows on the S&P 500, tried to rally mid-afternoon in a kind of choppy, bear-flag formation, and then pulled back in the last hour, only to bounce in the last thirty minutes, finishing mixed on the day.

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Economic Confidence Index Plunges while Stock Market Makes Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The Gallup Poll has released an Economic Confidence Index which reflects the sentiment of Americans, as it pertains to the economy.

As the stock market makes new record highs and the housing “bubble” market soars, one would expect that the “average” American would be smiling from ear to ear.   However, the chart below appears to present nothing but gloom and doom.  The Gallup Polls results are dumbfounding the American public as to why this divergence has occurred.  I feel we have touched upon a few points as to why this is occurring.

Monday, August 01, 2016

Stock Market More Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Hover Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, August 01, 2016

Financial Markets May Become Disruptive! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

My biggest concern regarding the last low on June 27th was the fact that the Dow Indu did not make an intervening high on June 8 as the SPX did, which means the Dow Indu likely finished wave Y on July 14th AND June 8th was NOT wave Y of an XYZ bull flag for the SPX, but rather Wave W of a bearish WXY flag! It had the appearance of a Y wave on the SPX (and other indices), so the June 27 low appeared to be a Z wave when in fact it was likely an X wave, but shot the market higher anyway as Wave Y had to play out with a y of Y type wave.

Monday, August 01, 2016

The Weekly Charts for Nasdaq, Gold, Miners, France, UK, Germany, Dollar... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Most traders are so short term oriented that they forget to look at the weekly charts. The weeklies will tell you the intermediate trend. It’s never safe to trade against the intermediate trend unless it is very late in the intermediate cycle.

Monday, August 01, 2016

Stock Market Consolidation/ Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is at an all-time high.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 has continued to a new high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Saturday, July 30, 2016

SPX Stock Market Uptrend Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 2175, then spent the entire week trading within the two week, 20 point/1% trading range, until it nudged above it by one point on Friday. In the end the SPX made an all time high at 2177. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.30%. Economic reports for the week were negatively biased. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence/sentiment, durable goods, the Chicago PMI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q2 GDP, new/pending homes sales. Next week will be highlighted by monthly payrolls and ISM.

Saturday, July 30, 2016

Durable Goods....GDP, Q2 And Q1 Disasters.... Stock Market Smiles... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The only thing it seems that can hit this market hard to the down side in a sustainable fashion would be if the market smelled a rate-hike cycle about to begin. Bad news on its own doesn't have any effect on how the market trades. The uptrend remains in place. We know this by two report s that came out this week. The first was the Durable Goods Report, which showed a number well below expectations. Folks just aren't spending on those household goods. That bad news was follow-up by really bad news on the GDP on two fronts. The Q1 number was revised way down to 0.8% growth. To add insult to injury, the market had to deal with a 1.2% number this quarter, but the number was supposed to be all the way up at 2.6% growth. That's more than just your average miss. That's a disaster!

Saturday, July 30, 2016

Some Thoughts at the Stock Market Mountain Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

There are several indicators Suggesting this is the terminal move and that it may, in fact, be complete. I thought I’d review those items and put in a few more. Of course, the Triangle is a dead giveaway, but how do we know the pattern is finished?

If we accept the concept that Wave (5) is an Ending Diagonal, we can see the a-b-c structures in the motive waves. I’ll point out that Wave 3, at 19.34 points, is smaller than Wave 1 at 22.38 points. One rule to remember is that Wave 3 can never be the smallest Wave. Wave 5 at 18.02 points, fills the prescription.

Saturday, July 30, 2016

SPX Makes a Final Thrust / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX was in need of a final thrust higher to complete Wave [c] of 2. It appears that the final thrust may terminate at or near the trendline.

Friday, July 29, 2016

Asset Bubbles Tend to Crash with a Vengeance / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Despite short-term memory loss affecting most investors, asset bubbles tend to crash with a vengeance. From over-valuation, risk ignorance, and reactionary sentiment, the current bubble-trifecta shows signs of turning over.

The monetary powers that be have succeeded in creating serial asset bubbles. Each is extending from the great expansion of credit pivoting on the last official dollar default in 1971.

And yet once, again we are bombarded with the mantra: “This time it’s different”.

Friday, July 29, 2016

False Information, Mass Psychology & this Hated Stocks Market Bull / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

As long as you keep a person down, some part of you has to be down there to hold him down, so it means you cannot soar as you otherwise might. Marian Anderson

 Regarding today’s news, the average person is inundated with unnecessary junk. On any given day you will find experts telling you why the markets are destined to soar and or crash.  News outlets are desperate for eyeballs, so they are going out of their way to make titles bombastic, and or offering multiple scenarios so that when one of them comes to pass, they can proudly state we told you so.

Friday, July 29, 2016

Learn to Trade Against the Crowd / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

I’m going to show you how to trade against the crowd using the most recent 18 months of daily charts of $HUI (Gold Miners), $SPX (S&P 500), $WTIC (Crude Oil), XLE (Energy) and $USD (US Dollar).