Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, July 08, 2016
Is the Stock Market Rally Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that SPX may be waiting for the Jobs Report tomorrow morning at 8:30 am to reveal its intent. This is my primary Wave structure for SPX. It follows an irregular Wave pattern that fits within the Orthodox Broadening Top. Although the Broadening Top allows for a probe to or beyond 2120.55, but does not require it. As it stands, Wave [v] of 5 is very nearly equal to Wave [i] of 5, satisfying a wave relationship and indicating a probable completion.
Friday, July 08, 2016
Stock Market Decent Comeback, Mixed, Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session. The day started out with a pop to the upside, but they gave it back and then some, getting in the negative column by midday. They retested in the afternoon, making lower lows on the S&P 500, which was not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100. That resulted in a late rally back to finish mixed on the session.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 22.74 at 17,895.88, 70 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 1.83 at 2097.90, 9 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was up 14.88 at 4459.58, 21 points off its low.
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Friday, July 08, 2016
Why Stocks Bears Should be Scared / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
The last year has been a scary time to be an investor. In 2015, the slowdown in China's economy caused undue apprehension to investors and contributed to a nausea-inducing rollercoaster ride which began last July and has continued until now.
By the end of 2015 low energy prices were taking a toll on the high yield debt market, which in turn catalyzed another stock market swoon. Although the decline wasn't severe, the January 2016 market panic ended with the biggest spike in bearish investor sentiment since the 2008 credit crash. This reflects the pronounced tendency among investors to panic at the slightest hint of danger, a spillover effect from the historic 2008 crisis.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
SPX Below 2100, but is it Enough? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is beneath the 4.5 year trendline. The formation is irregular, so to be safe, we should use the lower trendline of the Broadening Diagonal as a trigger to go short. That appears to be at or just beneath 2090.00. There is always the possibility of using the trendline as a support to launch another algo orgy. Of course, the ultimate safety for the shorts appears to be beneath the 50-day Moving Average.
Thursday, July 07, 2016
Swing Trading the Nasdaq QQQ's / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
My strategy is to time the market using the QQQ's which is an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq-100. Powershares QQQ's etf tracks the market-cap-weighted Nasdaq-100 index which is 100 of the largest non-financial stocks in the Nasdaq Composite Index.
I would suggest inexperienced traders stick to using the 1 for 1 vehicle and not the leveraged etf's such as TQQQ's or SQQQ's. These leveraged etf's are meant for shorter time frame trades, not long term. They tend to lose value over time, they are not buy and hold strategy's.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
Forget Shorting the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
The very beginning of a new intermediate cycle is the single most dangerous time to short stocks. The average gain is 6-8% in the first 12-18 days. Yet this is the time most retail traders want to sell short as they expect the market to turn back down immediately. When it fails to do so they end up losing money.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
4 Risk Indicators Show Extreme Readings and a Huge Divergence in the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
2016 is certainly the year where markets are behaving in an extreme fashion. Most recently, we have witnessed a mini-flash crash post-Brexit with a sharp V-shaped recovery, just in one week.
Our risk indicators have arrived at extreme levels. We pick out 4 fundamental risk indicators from our methodology which we discuss in this article. Apart from extreme readings our risk indicators also show an important divergence. In other words, markets arrived at a critical juncture and are ready to accelerate in the same direction or reverse their course.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
Stock Market Unwinding... Rallying Back.... Waiting On The Right News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market spent a day and a half trying to fall enough to unwind those overbought, sixty-minute index charts. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are very overbought with RSI's intraday hitting the low 80's. Finally, we saw some selling, which allowed all of those index short-term charts to unwind their RSI's back in to the mid 40's. That was enough to start the move back up, but not enough to get the market exploding. Unwinding was clearly necessary. It's also healthier if you don't stay too overbought for too long. Get things unwound, which will allow for a better floor from which to move higher. Also, if you don't get too overbought it helps prevent negative divergences down the road.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
Is Stock Market VIX Really OK? / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Yesterday, the VIX closed at 15.58, so it looks like it is okay. But is it really?
The verdict is actually not in yet ... take a look at October, April and now. April was the lowest reading, with October and now not as low as it was in April. With that condition, there remains a possibility of an inverted Head & Shoulder pattern which would have upside implications for the VIX.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
SPX Finds Resistance at the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have been stopped by the 4.5-year trendline. This may be an ideal spot to add to short positions. The end of day activity may also be bearish, as institutions begin to sell in the final half hour.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Stock Market Big Money Making Move is Right Around the Corner… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The rally last week was likely end of the quarter performance gaming and little else.
Fund managers have to report their returns every quarter. With the markets gyrating throughout 2Q16, fund managers were highly incentivized to gun the markets higher in order to redeem the quarter.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
European Bank Stocks Plunge! It’s Not The Brexit Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: James_Quinn
Just over a week ago the world was coming unglued, as enough British citizens grew a pair and spit in the face of the EU establishment and global elite by voting to exit the EU. The fear mongering by central bankers and their puppet political hacks failed to deter people who have become sick and tired of being abused and pillaged by bureaucrats working on behalf of bankers and billionaires.
Stock markets around the world plummeted on Thursday and Friday. The world braced for another Black Monday. The phone lines were buzzing between central bankers around the world over the weekend as their banker constituents demanded relief. If one thing has been proven over the last seven years, its a coordinated effort between central bankers and Wall Street banks to rig the stock market higher can work over a short time period.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Stock Markets Erase Brexit Losses: Is the Fallout Already Behind Us? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Nigel Farage toiled for 17 years building a movement to lead the United Kingdom out of the European Union. A week ago, he stood in front hundreds of drab bureaucrats in the EU Assembly, most of whom have done little but snicker at his free-market ideals, and declared victory. He told them, quite plausibly, their political union is dying - and good riddance!
Fans of liberty cheered for Farage and for Brexit. And, after the sharp recovery in equity indexes around the world, it looks like stock investors have begun cheering as well. Many say stock market losses sustained in the first couple of trading days were an overreaction. Maybe. Or maybe not.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Stock Market 5-year Cycle? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
My own observations of a 4 year cycle show a very consistent low in the Dow every four years. In 1962 the cycle expanded to five years and in 1978 it contracted to three years.
The bull market from 2002 never provided a low that could be considered a cycle low and an important high was seen five years later in 2007. That was followed by a significant low four years later in 2011.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Europe Could Have Bigger Issues Beyond Brexit / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Harry_Dent
The Dow dropped nearly 1,000 points (5%) and the London FTSE dropped 10% after the Brexit vote surprised the markets on June 23. After two days though, markets are marching back up again.That’s just like markets on “crack!” They react to political events, but totally miss the fundamentals.
Yes, Brexit is important. Years from now it will be recognized as the beginning of the end for the great Eurozone experiment.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
S&P 500 Index Back At 2,100 Mark, Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,100, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Miners, Gold, Silver Near Top, Stock Market Could Go Either Way / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The precious metals complex looks toppy here and a pull back is warranted into the end of July (see chart below for added information).
The stock market is in a critical zone. The 4 TD low is overdue by 1 TD and the 8 TD low is due on July 8th. The 16 TD low is due on July 11. The bullish scenario sees a move back to near 2082 SPX on July 5th a rally to 2126 on July 6th and then a pull back to 2070 by July 8th. BUT, IF July 8th holds near the July 5th lows and cracks through it on July 11 to near 1980 SPX, all bets are off for the upside. Either way, we should see an important top on July 6th.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
NYSE Stock Market Megaphone Top & Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
The market has been strong and holding up even in the face of "Brexit" the British referendum which resulted in the majority deciding to vote "leave".
Trading the markets has a lot to do with psychology and many veteran traders are well aware of this.
Which brings me to my next point, July 2015, or more precisely July 5th, 2015, when Greece voters overwhelmingly voted no in their own referendum or popular vote.
Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Robert Kiyosaki Warns 2016 Jubilee Year Collapse Going To Make A Lot of Poor Dads / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
Already in Jubilee 2016, we’ve seen incredible volatility. Brexit is just one example. Within a matter of minutes the British pound soared (when Bremain had the early lead in results) and then had its worst crash in history a few minutes later. The British stock market fell 5.6% quickly after Brexit and has now moved up dramatically in the last week.
Volatility in the markets is just like volatility in real life. Your car rides fine for thousands of miles and then, suddenly,begins to shake madly: A wheel is in danger of falling off, and if you don’t stop quick enough it ends up in a crash.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Brexit!!! Silver!!! Bonds!!! Deflation!!! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
It’s a funny title for a segment, but it is appropriate. I don’t want to be too flippant with dismissals of inflammatory market events like ‘Brexit’ as simply hype. There is very real macro fundamental shifting going on behind the hype. But in market management, macro fundamentals play out over long stretches of time and nobody knows exactly how all the moving parts are going to affect the subject of the hype (in this case Britain and the EU), let alone the asset markets we are tasked to invest in, trade or avoid.
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