Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 07, 2007
Stock Markets Bullish Like There's No Tomorrow / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Joseph_Russo
THE FINANCIAL SPHERE FLOORS ITAll that remains to seal absolute victory is to re-mastermind the majestic performance put on by the Clinton/Rubin administration in masterfully engineering a strong dollar policy concurrent with rising equity values, while commodities, gold, and interest rates plunged into the abyss.
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Saturday, May 05, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 5th May 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Most of the major indices closed at multi year or all time highs on Friday.
Short Term
The market is and has been overbought for a month or more and it keeps going up.
The blue chips have been outperforming the secondaries which is usually a negative. May, after the first few days, has historically been good for the secondaries, but not the blue chips. The market has been doing a good job of following the typical seasonal pattern recently and, if that continues, there will be a shift to strength to the secondaries in the next few weeks.
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Friday, May 04, 2007
Looking Abroad for Investment Bargins / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Roger_Conrad
It's a six-year bear market and counting for the US dollar versus the world's other major currencies. And with the exception of some select sectors such as utilities and real estate investment trusts, US stocks have lagged most of the world's equity markets as well. That's despite a big recovery by the S&P 500 blue chip index in the past couple of years.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 03, 2007
Will The Dow Jones Crash? / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Investmentscore.com
The following short video is designed to explain a complex investing subject to the average person. Learn how inflation is affecting your investments. The video starts very slowly, builds on basic concepts and then pulls it all together for a clear perspective at the end. From the intermediate investor to the average person, we believe anyone watching can relate to the important message within.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 03, 2007
Real Estate Crash a Post Mortem for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Whitney
The real estate market is crashing faster than anyone had anticipated. Housing prices have fallen in 17 of 20 of the nation's largest cities and the trend lines indicate that the worst is yet to come. March sales of new homes plummeted by a record 23.5% (year over year) removing all hope for a quick rebound. Problems in the subprime and Alt-A loans are mushrooming in previously “hot markets” resulting in an unprecedented number of foreclosures.
The defaults have slowed demand for new homes and increased the glut of houses already on the market. This is putting additional downward pressure on prices and profits. More and more builders are struggling just to keep their heads above water. This isn't your typical 1980s-type “correction”; it's a full-blown real estate cyclone smashing everything in its path.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2007
Investment Flash: Investment In Stocks is Pure Speculation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
Stocks are still following the elliptical curve upwards mentioned in our last Investment Analysis Report . In 20 of the last 23 days, the DJIA has closed higher (which has never occurred in the history of the DJIA).
According to Bob Prechter “the most similar string of days ended in July 1929.” In his April 2007 Elliot Wave Theorist, Prechter also discusses more recent history: “In 1999, the public was heavily invested in mutual funds, and mutual funds had 96% of their clients' money invested in stocks.” (Ed. Note: We all know what followed from 2000-2002.) He continues: “Today much of the public has switched to so called hedge funds (a misnomer).
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Tuesday, May 01, 2007
Stock Market Crashes Lead to Serious Recessions / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Christopher_Laird
I normally don't read many other gold authors, tending to do my own research and publish my newsletter. There are one or two guys I respect who I do read to double check myself – to make sure that I'm not going off on a tangent. This is one reason I have been often quite different from the gold mainstream in my views. I don't get overly caught up in the commodity hype – something that I am going to address later in this piece.
I want to present a picture that has formed in my mind about the probability of a stock driven crash into a severe world economic recession. This scenario seems to be totally out of mind of many gold writers.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2007
The Placebo Effect as the Dow Jones Passes 13,000 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_Petillo
Consider Dow 13,000. We have already surpassed that mark and probably will do so repeatedly in the next several weeks. To skeptics such as myself, there is an underlying fallacy in numbers such as this. When DJIA hits new high water marks, it allows investors to fall prey to the big number fallacy.
The big number fallacy goes something like this: All big numbers, and we can certainly qualify 13,000 as a big number in terms of stock market advances, are considered infinite. There is the possibility that given enough time the Dow could lumber on towards infinity. And the chartists among us will agree, based on the pace of recent years that it could happen in our lifetimes.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2007
My favorite way to diversify Investment Portfolios... / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony, here. In just two weeks, I'll be flying over to Asia. It's going to be a whirlwind trip, with stops in Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Bangalore, Singapore, and Manila. And I'm frantically trying to put together all the last-minute preparations.
That's why I've asked Dan Ascani, Executive Vice President of our separate affiliate, Weiss Capital Management, and Portfolio Manager of three ETF programs, including the Weiss ETF Strategic Allocation Portfolio, to fill in today.
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Monday, April 30, 2007
Nolte Notes - If the US Economy is slowing why is the Stock Market Rising? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The biggest question of the week is: if the economy is doing so poorly, why is the stock market cheering? Based upon the GDP report, economic growth in the US is a measly 1.3%, way below what even the most pessimistic economists believed. As with any bit of bad news, there is always a silver lining – and here the blame rests firmly upon the housing slump. Next week we get the “big” economic reports that tend to move markets: employment and purchasing managers reports (ISM data).
Either these reports will confirm the GDP report or they will point to a one-quarter wonder and investors will continue to cheer stocks higher. The current guess (as good as it gets in this business!) is that payrolls will grow by roughly 100,000 with a fairly wide range around that figure.
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Monday, April 30, 2007
Re-Scaling Global Stock Market Perception / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
BACKDROP
In April of 2006, we were quite aware of the parabolic price movements taking place amid numerous global equity markets. We weighed in on the matter with a piece entitled Global Contagion.
On September 14, 2006 with the Dow trading at the 11,500 level, Elliott Wave Technology forecast an imminent critical mass building within the Industrial Average. At the time, we shared those observations in our presenting Equity Markets Approach Critical Mass .
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Sunday, April 29, 2007
America for Sale! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Clive_Maund
Many investors have been taken by surprise by the sudden strength in the broad US stockmarkets, especially given the severe structural problems of the US economy. The breakout to new highs by the Dow Jones Industrials was predicted in a Marketwatch article on 13th April, based on volume studies.
The S&P500 index has not as yet broken out to new highs, but is close to doing so and is expected to shortly. What are the reasons for this sudden strength and to what extent is it an illusion?
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Sunday, April 29, 2007
US Equities - Dead Market Walking / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Michael_J_Panzner
"Dead man walking" is the phrase shouted by guards when a condemned prisoner is taken down to Death Row. The words have also been used to describe individuals who face an unwelcome but unavoidable fate. In other words, although they might be employed or involved in a particular relationship right now, circumstances will soon change -- for the worse.
In many ways, this epithet describes today's U.S. equity market. That is despite the fact that the majority of investors seem to believe that the increasingly exuberant run-up we've seen since the fall of 2002 can only lead to one thing: more of the same.
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Saturday, April 28, 2007
US Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Report 29th April 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
A 3-dimensional approach to technical analysis
Cycles - Breadth - Price projections
A summary of the market position:
Long-term trend : up
Intermediate trend: up
Short-term: consolidating.
Saturday, April 28, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Technical Analysis - Party like it's 1999 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
The markets have totally blindsided any trader or analyst who's clung to a bearish big picture view of the markets since the 2000 high in the S&P 500. But now, 60 points under its 2000 peak, some of them are finally looking to buy! It was only a few months ago that acquaintances within the trading community had every sort of target or cycle that supposedly should have halted this advance about a hundred points lower. Now, they ask if it can extend. Once again, this is Mrs. Market doing her job well oh so well.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 28, 2007
FTSE 100 Index Summer Outlook / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The standing forecast as of December 06 for 2007 is for the FTSE to rally towards 7000 by year end, however a strong summer correction is also anticipated to begin sometime during May 2007 and carry into July 07. The following analysis is an attempt at fine tuning the Outlook for the Summer FTSE 100 CorrectionRead full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 28, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 28th April 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: All of the major indices hit multi year or all time highs during the past week.
Short Term
The secondaries lead both up and down.
Saturday, April 28, 2007
The Last Bear Standing, Dow 36,000??? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: John_Mauldin
This week we look at the growing disconnect between the US economy and the stock markets. One is slowing and the other is exploding to the upside. One of my mentors once said that it is the duty of the markets to prove the most-possible people wrong.
So far, I am clearly in the wrong category. We will look at some explanations as to why, ponder if this can continue, and more. (I will conclude the letter I promised last week in next week's letter. There were still a few details I needed to get it ready.)
Friday, April 27, 2007
How and Why the Chinese Shanghai Stock Market Index could implode ... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Marty_Chenard
This week, the Shanghai Composite Index has maintained its bubble trajectory angle, and if the angle continues to hold, the Shanghai will hits its 12 year major resistance in the latter half of next month. Why is the Shanghai continuing to move up at such an incredible pace?
Because of supply and demand of investors.
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Friday, April 27, 2007
Dow Jones What Record High? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Peter_Schiff
As the Dow burst through the 13,000 milestone this week, few understood the hollowness of the achievement. Measured against the rising dollar-denominated prices of just about everything else on the planet, the Dow has actually lost value over the past seven years. Measured against the truest benchmark, the price of gold, the record high for the Dow was set back in January of 2000 when its price equaled approximately 43 ounces of gold. Today it is only worth about 19 ounces.Read full article... Read full article...