Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 08, 2009
Stealth Stocks Bull Market Summer Correction Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The analysis of April 26th concluded that the Dow is targeting a high of 8,750 by mid May 2009 which was expected to be followed by a significant correction of 14% towards a Dow target of 7,500. The Dow hit the target on 2nd of June which was confirmed in the quick update at the time, and therefore expectations were for the significant correction to materialise.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Market Price Charts Can be Confusing ... Can't They? / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
Take the Relative Strength for example. It moves from zero to 100. The half way point has to be ascertained visually, because 50 is a critical level. So, you have to watch for 51 or 49 to know when you are above or below that critical mark.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Where Are We in This Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The short answer: somewhere around halfway through it. The long answer follows. The price to earnings ratio for the S&P 500 is currently greater than 100 and earnings are not coming back strong in the next few quarters, I can assure you. If you think so, stop reading here and go back to CNBC to get your analysis. Cramer has a hot stock tip for you right now!
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Significant Low for Nasdaq Q's? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) are approaching important near-term support between 35.00 and 34.75, which must contain forthcoming selling pressure to avert sell signals that will point to a retest of the May low at 32.96 next. The ability of the Q’s to hold above the 6/23 low at 34.77 will leave open the interpretation that all of the action off of the 6/11 high at 37.29 could be a correction of the May-June upleg (32.96-37.29) rather than a top formation.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
The Average Joe’s Take on Government Bailouts – and More / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
A story is making the rounds on the internet these days describing the practical interpretation the average Joe (and plain Jane, too) is putting on the way in which the U.S. government is dealing with the country’s current financial woes. I’ve done some editing and enhancing and present it below for your amusement and enlightenment and have added a segment with some insights and suggestions on how we can all potentially recoup the losses we incurred in 2008.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Sectors at Risk / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
In "6 Leaders For The Next Rally Phase", I highlighted those sectors that had the potential to lead the next bull market phase if and when that comes. This group focused on new leadership such as semiconductors and airlines. It did not focus on the old leadership of the past bull market such energy, metals and financials.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Markets At an Important Line in the Sand / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Brian Hunt writes: It's time to check in on one of the "must watch" charts for the trader: The all-important S&P 500.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
How Taiwan's China Deal Will Magnify Investor Profits / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Just last week - for the first time in 60 years - Taiwan opened its doors to investments from Mainland China.
The impact was almost immediate.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Stock Market Bounces as it Closes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After a rocky start following on from equity weakness in Asia and Europe, US stocks ground higher following a better than expected read on the ISM’s June non-manufacturing (services) index of activity. What strikes me as curious is that commodities and equities are telling two different stories with notable weakness in crude, oil, gold and copper prices yesterday pressuring producers, refining and mining stocks as the re-flation trade gets pricked and traders realise how much the prices of these stocks got ahead of themselves. After the bell last night Discover Financial Services (a credit card company) announced a $500m rights issue. This may pressure the market at the off today.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Inflation, Stock Market sentiment and the Kress Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Despite a 40% market recovery and an abatement of the credit crisis, a climate of high fear abounds among market participants. Investor sentiment polls continue to show an excess of bears over bulls as few believe that a recovery can be sustained.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Blue Chips Lead Stock Market Rally After Early Sharp Setback / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices put on a steady rally all session after early morning sharp weakness, and ended in the positive column, other than the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX). The blue chip indices, in particular, rallied back steadily to end near the highs of the intraday 5-wave rally.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
The Three Best and Worse Investment Sectors for the Next Five Years / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Larry Edelson writes: I often get the question, “Larry, what do you think will be the best and worst sectors to invest in for the next five years?”
So this morning, I’m going to answer that question. For many of you, my answer won’t come as a surprise. For many, it will. Either way, it’s important you know my longer-term forecasts.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Derivative Disaster on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
Regardless which type of derivatives you speak about credit derivatives,financial derivatives,futures derivatives or options derivatives these weapons of mass destruction are STILL OUT OF CONTROL. For all of those that say green shoots are growing, they to forget that unemployment has been increasing as well as foreclosures are increasing. Most scary is the unbelievable amount of credit derivatives,financial derivatives,futures derivatives or options derivatives floating around in the US banking system.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Obama and the Stock Market’s Presidential Cycle Carnival Ride / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
We probably don’t have to tell you that being in the stock market in 2009 has been like spending six months on Coney Island’s Cyclone roller coaster—turn by turn a terrifying and exhilarating ride.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
The SEC Takes Its Cues from… Wall Street? / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Originally today’s essay was going to counter the most common inflationists’ arguments. However, over the weekend the SEC announced it is considering reinstating rules that make it more difficult to go short in the market. This move warrants immediate attention for a number of reasons, namely:
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Monday, July 06, 2009
End of the Financial Crisis, the Great Lie of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Weiss writes: Just as the authorities were touting the “end of the financial crisis,” all heck has broken loose again …
We have a new surge in unemployment, and even without counting those who are excluded from the official numbers, 14.7 million are now jobless, the most since records dating back to 1948. Worse, for the first time since the Great Depression, every single job created after the prior recession has been wiped out.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Stocks Start Soft As Earnings Season Beckons / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week was an abrupt reminder to those who oversubscribe to the wishful thinking of the green shoots theory. Another 467k people lost their jobs taking unemployment to a 26 year high. It’s now a three week slump for the Dow Jones as it finished last week off 1.6%. The German DAX also slid 1.6%, but the headline UK index, the FTSE 100, managed to eke out a 0.1% gain.
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Monday, July 06, 2009
Secret The Bankers Know / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
"Cash was, is, and always will be - king. Always have cash in reserve. Cash is the ammunition in your gun. My biggest mistake was not in following this rule more often. Time is not money because there may be times when your money should be inactive... Often money that is just sitting can be later moved into the right situation and make a fortune. Patience-Patience-Patience. Patience was the key to success - Don't be in a hurry." - Jesse Livermore. How To Trade In Stocks, 1940.
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Sunday, July 05, 2009
Stock Index Action Gives Bears a Chance to Gain Control in the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning:
SPY: Nil (Cash)
QQQQ: Nil (Cash)
Sunday, July 05, 2009
Overbought Stock Market Enters Corrective Phase Rather than an Important Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.