Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, February 22, 2010
Falling Debt Dynamite Dominoes, The Coming Financial Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Understanding the Nature of the Global Economic Crisis - The people have been lulled into a false sense of safety under the rouse of a perceived “economic recovery.” Unfortunately, what the majority of people think does not make it so, especially when the people making the key decisions think and act to the contrary. The sovereign debt crises that have been unfolding in the past couple years and more recently in Greece, are canaries in the coal mine for the rest of Western “civilization.” The crisis threatens to spread to Spain, Portugal and Ireland; like dominoes, one country after another will collapse into a debt and currency crisis, all the way to America.
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Monday, February 22, 2010
Stock Market Heading for a Period of Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
General Commentary: The system for the SPY is on a Buy signal 25%
The market has enjoyed a great rally over the last couple weeks, retracing to the 61.8% Fibonacci level (that's over 6% in 2 weeks). There's a very good chance we'll see a pullback from here so that the market can digest these gains.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Stock Market 600 Point Crash.... Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Headline grabbing title?
The U.S. Fed raised the discount rate for overnight funding from 0.5% to 0.75% last Thursday evening which sent the financial blogosphere into a frenzy of anticipation of a sharp drop in stock prices the following day.... The Dow closed UP 9 points.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Stock Market Remains in a Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The market action in the United States from last week provided some small encouragement that the stock market may be finding a new floor. That said, there remains significant cross currents buffeting this market which suggests continued caution.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Stock Market Chops Shaky Participants into Pieces / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
On Thursday market drifts sideways most of the day. It then finds flashes of bids for a ramp up
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Money Flow Implications of 2011 U.S. Investor Tax Rates / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
To the extent that federal tax rates drive investor behaviors and money flows, and to the extent that 2011 federal tax rates simply revert to prior rates under “sunset” provisions; 2011 would be a year in which municipal bonds rise in relative appeal versus other debt instruments, and equity income declines in relative appeal versus stock capital gains.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Stock Market Handles Discount Rate Hike by Fed... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
On Thursday evening, just after the market closed, the market took a shot to the jaw out of left field; although you can't argue it was hinted at, when fed Bernanke raised the discount rate to banks to 0.75% from 0.50%. The market, one would think, does not want to see lending made more difficult by making lending from bank to bank more difficult. Yes, it was only 0.25% worth of BP, but a start higher nonetheless at a time when the economy is trying so hard to heal some very deep wounds. Anything that hurts money flow must be considered a negative and once the new hit it hit fairly hard. The Dow futures almost immediately sank nearly 100 points. Not pretty with stocks taking a real shot after hours led my commodity and financial stocks.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment in Bounce Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The investor sentiment data is consistent with a market that is in bounce mode. Following the late January sell off, investors really did not become too bearish. The subsequent bounce over the past 2 weeks has once again created a sense of complacency across our various metrics. In light of this, it will be difficult for the major stock indices to climb to new highs. Despite the recent short term strength, it is still my contention that we will need to go lower before heading meaningfully higher. I discussed the research behind this claim in the article, "Why I Think We Need To Go Lower Before Going Higher".
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Saturday, February 20, 2010
Another Day in Stocks Bull-Land / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Bear Market Charts.
STD:
Saturday, February 20, 2010
The Federal Reserve and Central Banks Announce Exit Plan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
(Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise its discount rate shows that the global recovery is on track and other central banks can afford to keep withdrawing emergency measures, former policy makers and economists said.
The Fed yesterday raised the rate charged to banks for direct loans by a quarter-point to 0.75 percent, the first increase since June 2006. The Fed said it was a “normalization” of lending that wouldn’t affect monetary policy, and the main federal funds rate would remain low for an “extended period.”
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Saturday, February 20, 2010
Europe's Return to Making Risky Investments in Junk Bonds and Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Europe's Return to Risky Investment
By Editorial Staff
Over 100 banks are opening soon, buying junk bonds is gaining popularity and emerging markets are the trendy investment. Sound familiar? Europe appears to be returning to some bad investment habits.
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Saturday, February 20, 2010
Global Stock Markets and General Economics 2010, When Hope Turns to Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value ZERO" - Voltaire 1729
The greatest hoax and fraud in history perpetrated by public serpents, crony capitalists and their central bank and bankster masters continues to fall to its demise. Ever since Breton Woods ii changed semi-sound money into iou's and promises to pay, this inevitable moment has loomed large. As Ponzi finance fails, so do all the investments which underpin it. This is the greatest reversion in asset prices, mal-investments, to their real values -- reflecting their ability to produce wealth rather than the constant debasement of the currency in which they are denominated.
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Friday, February 19, 2010
Financial Markets Warning!, Exit Strategy Profitable for Limited Time Only!? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
CONUNDRUM: As The ___?___ Economy goes so goes the International Economy (Fill in the blank)
Markets Warning!
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Friday, February 19, 2010
China Is Selling U.S. Treasuries – So What Are They Buying? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Martin Hutchinson writes: In the monthly U.S. Treasury report this week, it was announced that China had sold $34.2 billion of Treasuries in December (or allowed short-term ones to run off), making Japan once again the largest holder of U.S. Treasuries.
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Friday, February 19, 2010
The New Reality Does Not Include a Doomsday Collapse of Anything / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Let's start with a core economic premise and build a scenario of supporting premises as we ponder the new reality of our global economic future without rhetorical, crash and doomsday scenarios which almost never play out.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 19, 2010
Stock Market Extends 5 Day Rally! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices pushed higher today and extended the 5-day rally. The day started out with a bit of mixed action, and then they had a 3-wave move to new highs on the Nasdaq 100 but failed to confirm on the S&P 500. By midday they had backed off in an orderly fashion indicating the probability of higher prices later on in the afternoon, and that certainly occurred.
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Friday, February 19, 2010
Fed Fires Interest Rate Shot, Stock Market Overnight Fireworks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Overnight Fireworks
The Fed fires a shot overnight and tomorrow will be difficult.
Friday, February 19, 2010
Stock Market Rally, S&P 500 Joins The Nasdaq For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today was a very interesting day from this perspective. Normally, when a market gets overbought on the short-term time frame charts, it sells off some almost immediately. If we were in a bear market or a strong down trending market, it probably wouldn't last but a moment. The selling would kick in basically immediately. We spent an entire day today at overbought. Unusual but bullish. At some point we'll need to sell that off some to unwind things but it was great action to see overbought stay overbought.
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Thursday, February 18, 2010
Three Walls of Worry Hitting the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Stock markets around the world are down about 10 percent since their January highs. Complacency, which was so high only weeks ago, has quickly vanished. Worries, if not outright angst, have returned.
However, if you take a closer look, you can detect interesting differences in the “walls of worry” building up in three major regions of the world. And since it’s often said that stocks climb walls of worry, these could lead to the next leg up for stock prices …
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Thursday, February 18, 2010
Today's Current Stock Market Accumulation-Distribution Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Occasionally, we share our Institutional Accumulation/Distribution chart on this free member site. Today, will be one of those days.
In this daily study, we calculate Institutional Investor buying levels and selling levels. Then, we subtract the Institutional buying reading from the Institutional selling reading.
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