Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 09, 2010
Massive Wealth Shift From West to Emerging Markets in Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin here with a quick update on foreign markets.
One year ago, in our 2009 Global Forum, we forecast a massive shift of wealth — from the United States, bogged down with huge deficits and chronic, long-term unemployment … to emerging markets, enjoying the most rapid growth on the planet.
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Economic Coin Flips and WikiLeaks Catching Up With Market Truths / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterAugust 1st, 2010 Issue #45 Vol. 4
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Monday, August 09, 2010
Stock and Commodity Markets Volume by Price Reveals Key Support & Resistance Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I find it amazing how many traders do not use volume as a factor in their trading decisions. I believe it’s always important to track the volume no matter which time frame you are trading simply because it tell you how much interest there is for that investment at that given time and price level. If you use volume and understand how to read it when located at the bottom of the chart which is the standard way of reading it then your well ahead of many traders and just may find this little volume indicator helpful.
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Financial Markets Instability Personal and Corporate Bankruptcies Soar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It was only a month ago that the Dow closed at 9686. From there it started to move back up again as insiders learned of the Fed’s plan to inject $5 trillion into the economy over the next two years. The result has been a run up to 10,674. We figured out what the Fed was up to, but most everyone else did not.
During that period, almost unnoticed, was the fall in the value of the dollar. On the USDX it has fallen from 86.12 to 80.58.
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Update, Dow, Transports and Telefonica / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In our last communication in July to clients we pointed out that there was a possible significant bullish trend change approaching in the market. The key Dow Theory technical levels we identified were 4400 on the Transports and 10500 on the Industrials. As is by magic the market has remained “stuck” around these levels over the last 10 days. This “line” in market action is good because, as I never fail to mention to students, the longer such a line persists the more significant the potential market move on “breakout”.
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Manipulation and Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Periodically, the question of manipulation comes up and I’ve recently been asked if the Dow theory or any other technical method is still of value because of all the efforts to manipulate the markets. The short answer is, yes. While manipulation can have a temporary effect on the market, it cannot fix the problem, it cannot stop the inevitable and in the end it will only serve to make matters much worse.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Marc Faber Fed's Printing Press to Create Final Crisis and Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Investors should've listened to me already six months ago, when I wrote that the Fed will continue to monetize, and this is my view ... they will print and print and print, until the final crisis wipes out the entire system," Marc Faber, editor & publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told CNBC. David Bloom from HSBC joined the discussion, adding, "I think we're not quite at those draconian points."
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Bad Economic News Catches Up with the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Private employment rises less than forecast, prior month hiring revised down.
Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 131,000 in July, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Federal government employment fell, as 143,000 temporary workers hired for the decennial census completed their work. Private-sector payroll employment edged up by 71,000.
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market No One Has Control....Strong Finish For The Bulls... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No one has control but you have to give a little nod to the bulls today for hanging in where they had to at the down trend line at S&P 500 1110. A small breach below and then a nice rocket ride back up. You're always looking for something that tells you someone is taking control. With the market at that down trend line, it was step up time for one side to take command, and for the day, the bulls did. However, no one is in control since all we're really doing is continuing to trade in a range between 1080 and 1131. Until this range is taken out with force one way or the other, there really isn't all that much to do except try to find the best set-ups and play them.
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Pullback Near 200-Day Not A Given / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The bulls lounge was nearly empty when we published Stocks May Surprise By Year-End on July 2, 2010. The S&P 500 was standing at 1,022, bears were out in full force, and talk of a move toward 850 on the S&P 500 was common. As we awake today, the S&P 500 stands 11.50% above the intraday low made on July 2, 2010. With the Dow, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 all above their respective 200-day moving averages (see Hedge Funds Care About 200-Day), the question now becomes should you wait for a bullback before putting any new cash to work?
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Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Investors Are Becoming More Knowledgeable! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s quite discouraging to look at the historical performance of public investors.
For instance, the most recent annual study by research firm Dalbar Inc. shows that over the 20-year period ended December 31, 2009, the S&P 500 Index gained an average of 8.2%, but the average equity investor had an average annual return of only 3.2%. Of course, the word ‘average’ is very misleading. Over that 20-year period the S&P 500 was up as much as 50% in individual years, down as much as 40% in others, providing ample opportunity for market-timing strategies to buy low and sell high, and so not only match but outperform the index.
Friday, August 06, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicators At SubNormal Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
David Rosenberg, in his daily letter, presented some interesting sentiment statistics in perspective of historical values during good and bad times. The implication is that there is a major disconnect between bullish comments about the economy by some experts and the view of the people where the rubber meets the road. He combines that information to suggest that the S&P 500 is substantially overvalued.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Turning White Swans into Black / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Golden Antidotes
“At the start of last week, we reported on the very strong demand response from the physical market due to the drop in the gold price below $1,180. This demand has continued unabated. The gold price decline comes at a good time, especially for the Indian market but also other markets such as Turkey where price elasticity is being assisted by a very strong seasonal demand reaction”
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Friday, August 06, 2010
A Closer look at the Stock Market, XAU Death Cross / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Market technicians sometimes let their imaginations carry them away. Because of the dry, tedious nature of the business, they sometimes exaggerate the importance of a technical signal by drawing to attention to what would otherwise be a non-event.Take for instance the simple moving average crossover. This rather pedestrian occurrence can be seen whenever the rolling price average of a stock or market index crosses above or below a moving average of longer duration. When the 50-day moving average for the S&P 500 Index crossed under the widely followed 200-day MA, market technicians the world over had a field day.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Strong Second Quarter Earnings Can’t Keep the Stock Market Bears at Bay / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: The second-quarter earnings season has gotten off to a strong start, but it's been no match for bears who are less than thrilled with future earnings prospects.
More than half of the companies on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index have reported second-quarter earnings results. And so far, they've been strong, with two-thirds of those companies beating earnings estimates, three-fifths beating on sales and almost half beating on both earnings and sales.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
The Hidden Potential of Learning How to Trade SP500 & Gold Options / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Market technicians believe they operate in a world that few people truly understand. It is as if they believe they are working in some sort of secretive financial construct that only a few lucky souls away from Wall Street can access. The truth is that technical analysis should only be used as one metric to help a trader navigate financial markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 06, 2010
Stock Market Nominal Losses in 4th Consecutive Consolidation Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a vacillating-type, consolidation day, as the four-day sideways move continued today. Although they closed down a little bit today, the path was different.
They opened sharply lower, bounced back quickly and then rolled over. The Nasdaq 100 made new lows for the day, but the S&P 500 did not, which set up a positive divergence. That caused a 3-wave rally, bringing the NDX back from 1892 to 1908 in the afternoon. The SPX at that point rallied from 1119 1/2 to 1126 1/2. They rolled over in the last half hour, but in the last 5- minutes snapped back again to pare the losses.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Remain In Control... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stock Market Through the Roof or Smashed into a Thousand Pieces? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
GRANDPA JOE: But this roof is made of glass. It’ll shatter into a thousand pieces. We’ll be cut to ribbons!
WILLY WONKA: Probably.
Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stocks Tread Water as Non Farm Payrolls Beckon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. equities rallied and fixed income sold off upon hump day on the back of a surprisingly solid July non-manufacturing ISM release quelling some of the concerns that the economy is slowing and some good earnings from Time Warner and Polo , this all despite a Bloomberg News reported that China told lenders to conduct a new round of more stringent stress tests to gauge the effects of a deeper real-estate slump.
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