Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, August 22, 2010
The Hindenburg Stock Market Omen Doomed to Crash and Burn? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The dreaded Hindenburg Omen (HO) has been making the rounds in the mainstream press and BlogosFear for the past few weeks, which purportedly heralds an imminent stock market crash.
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
Clear Signals That Market Risk Is Elevating / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s no secret the economic data in the U.S. and other major economies have rolled over. That’s why bond yields have taken another nose dive — hitting record lows in Germany and nearing record lows in the U.K., the U.S. and Japan, as shown in the chart below.
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
PRESERVE and PROTECT Mapping the Financial Markets Tipping Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The economic news has turned decidedly negative globally and a sense of 'quiet before the storm' permeates the financial headlines. Arcane subjects such as a Hindenburg Omen now make mainline news. The retail investor continues to flee the equity markets and in concert with the institutional players relentlessly pile into the perceived safety of yield instruments, though they are outrageously expensive by any proven measure. Like trying to buy a pump during a storm flood, people are apparently willing to pay any price. As a sailor, it feels like the ominous period where the crew is fastening down the hatches and preparing for the squall that is clearly on the horizon. Few crew mates are talking as everyone is checking preparations for any eventuality. Are you prepared?
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
Stock Market Still Going Nowhere...Bearish Overall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market keeps absorbing bad news report after bad news report and refuses to give it up. Doesn't mean it won't at some point, as it likely will, do just that. However, in the face of a Philly Fed report showing a contraction of 7.7%, the market still won't break. The excuses are out there with the most talked about one being the market wants to see the jobs report on the first Friday in September. Fair enough. I can respect that, but the news leading up to that report has been dismal at best, especially on the employment front as we had our first 5 handle on claims just yesterday.
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
Stock Market Mixed Close, but Indices Well Off Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed on the day today after a mid-day and afternoon rally brought them back from early losses.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 opened lower, tried to bounce in the morning, but then gave it up. They hit new lows for the entire decline on the SPX down around 1063.90. At that point the NDX held near yesterday's lows around 1811, and without getting any further downside follow-through, the indices began a snapback. When the morning rally highs were taken out they extended that rally, but backed and filled in the last hour. They backed off, particularly in the last few minutes, to remain negative in the blue chips, but the NDX managed to stay positive today.
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
Take Your Pick: Invest in Sinking U.S. or Soaring BRIC's / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Since March 2009, the S&P 500 has surged by nearly 60% and US Treasuries have continued to surge, pushing yields close to all-time lows. This has elicited sighs of relief from professional investors, who see the strength as sure signs of recovery. Yet, these investors are ignoring - willfully or otherwise -- the very thin trading volume upon which this rally is built. Retail investors remain scarred by the '08 collapse and have steered clear of the stock market altogether. Instead, they have parked cash in the Treasury market (hence the low yields).Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 21, 2010
U.S. Treasuries Go Parabolic as Hedge Funds Exit From Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Jobless Claims in U.S. Rose to Highest Since November - Claims for U.S. jobless benefits jumped to the highest level since November and Philadelphia-area manufacturing shrank for the first time in a year, indicating the economy may be slowing faster than forecast.
The number of unemployment claims unexpectedly shot up by 12,000 to 500,000 in the week ended Aug. 14, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s general economic index turned negative in August, signaling contraction.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Tech Stock Sector, HP`s Outlook for 4th Quarter Much Better than Cisco`s / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
I listened to the HP earning`s call, and it was really solid. It appears that HP is integrating the EDS and Palm acquisitions quite well, and will start to gain some upside margin growth in many of their business lines as they start to recognize the synergies of these new acquisitions.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Can China Stock Market Hold Up Despite Wall Street Weakness? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Instead of breaking out to the upside above 2700 today, the Shanghai Composite instead rolled over into a bout of profit- taking (-1.8%). That said, however, let's notice that the weakness has not violated any meaningful technical levels, which are clustered in the 2593/90 area, and again down at 256.00. A downside sustained breach of 2564 -- the prior pullback low -- will indicate that the Jul 2-Aug 19 upleg is complete, and that a significant correction is in progress that could press the index back to 2500-2470, or even revisit the July low area at 2400-2320.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Warning, What About the Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
MarketWatch columnist Bill Farrell writes Warning, bear market 2010: 11 ’sells.’ Only 6 ‘buys’, detailing the current buy and sell recommendations of well known economist and Forbes writer Gary Schilling. We’ve summarized Schilling’s 17 strategies below:
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Utility Sector Divergence Between Smart and Dumb Money / Stock-Markets / US Utilities
The Utility Sector is thought to be a safe haven in the time of market duress. There is no question that the market is under pressure, but I would be very careful about betting on the assumption (dogma?) that safety will be found in the Utility Sector. Currently, it should be noted that utility company insiders are net sellers of their shares to an extreme degree.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
US Economic Data Again Dampens Stock Market Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As I highlighted yesterday one of the key obvious risks to the market near term is a continuation of the weak US data we’ve been hampered by. We didn’t have to wait long to see its impact with yesterdays weekly jobless claims of 500k- that was a shocker, bring ing the 4-week moving average back up to 482.5k – the highest since early December.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Investing in Australia, The Brighter Future Down Under / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
Is Australia the world’s best stock market? Credit Suisse thinks so, and makes its case in its Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2010. Credit Suisse calls Australia “the lucky country,” pointing out that Australia’s market has outperformed the rest of the world’s major markets over the last 110 years. But what about this year, and on into 2011? I think there are plenty of good reasons to place your bets down under. And I’ll give you some specific picks in a bit.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Broken Bank Stocks a Canary in the Stock Market Coal Mine? / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
If there’s one sector of the stock market that trades like death warmed over, it’s the financials. Bank stocks simply can’t get out of their way these days.
Take the KBW Bank Index (BKX) of 24 leading U.S. banks. You can see in this chart that it plunged in April and May, and it hasn’t been able to get off the mat since. In fact, just this week, it’s collapsing to fresh, multi-month lows.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
U.S. Markets and Economic Contraction... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Philly Fed report really shook up a lot of investors who had counted on a continued modest expansion.
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Stock Market Indices Suffer a Nasty Spill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered a nasty spill in a very negative session today. They gapped lower at the opening, went down sharply in the morning despite a 15-minute bounce, and then rolled over hard to the session lows just before noon when they tagged 1811 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1070.66 on the S&P 500.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
SP500 and Gold Forecast Follow-Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In my last article a few weeks ago for Kitco.com, I was concerned that the market could have a hangover after the recent rally. Apparently, my concern was not un-founded as we dropped from a rising bearish wedge near 1130, to the 1070 Fibonacci pivot earlier this week. Although my subscribers were prepared for this drop by shorting the SP 500 in advance of that move, we covered our short near 1070 on the SP this week.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
Efficient Market Hypothesis: R.I.P. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Of all the belief systems of Wall Street, few can claim the devoted following of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, the idea that stock prices adhere to the same laws of supply-and-demand that govern retail products. Once coined the theoretical "Parthenon" of economics, this notion has consistently endured the test of time ----- until now. Academics and advisors across the globe are currently exposing crack after crack in the "Efficient" model so deep as to bring the entire theory crashing to the ground.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
Bernanke Expands Permanent Open Market Operations to Buy Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Today we get another round of Permanent Open Market Operations.POMOs are the Fed's way of creating additional bank reserves to finance asset purchases and loans for its Primary Dealers (the Gang of 12 or, as David Fry calls them, Da Boyz). GS and Co. then turn around and use this money to fuel their bots to buy equities and we believe we saw a little test run of those programs a couple of times this week as we had very irrational, sharp rallies for no particular reason and I had commented to Members, during chat, that it looked like some Bot testing.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
Retail Hope Powers Stock Market Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Retailers caught a bid on earnings expectations and helped lead the market higher...
Recommendation: Buy shares of DIA to cover and buy DIA to open long positions at a limit price of $104.00. Buy shares of QQQQ to cover and buy QQQQ to open long positions at a limit price of $45.25. Buy shares of SPY to cover and buy SPY to open long positions at a limit price of $109.11.
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