Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, March 16, 2013
Stock Market Investors Remain Invested But Alert! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
As the old investing maxim goes ‘the trend is your friend – until it ends’.
The trend of this year’s winter rally has been okay so far. The Dow has gained 15.9% since its November 15 low. Last winter the Dow gained 24.6% from the previous October until the favorable season ended May 1.
Saturday, March 16, 2013
Cyprus Bank Run, Who's Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Overnight last night, the Eurogroup (Eurozone executive committee) negotiated a deal for a bailout of the banking system in Cyprus. As part of the deal, a one-time, one-off levy on depositors was agreed: deposits below €100,000 are subject to a 6.75% levy, while those over €100,000 are subject to a 9.99% "fine".
While none of the timing is surprising - late Friday, early Saturday is always the ideal time to push such measures down people's throats -, neither did it come as a surprise that a bank run ensued as soon as those few Cypriot banks that do business on Saturday mornings, opened their doors.
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Thursday, March 14, 2013
The Greatest Disconnect Between Stock Market and Economy Biggest I’ve Ever Seen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
By looking at the stock market’s recent performance, one might think the U.S. economy has turned the corner and the worst is behind us. This is far from reality! The U.S. economy is fundamentally damaged, and since the financial crisis of 2008–2009, there really hasn’t been any real economic growth.
Thursday, March 14, 2013
Five Reasons the Dow's New Highs are "Bull-o-ney" and What to Do About It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: While many investors want to celebrate the Dow hitting seven straight new all-time highs, things are not exactly as they appear.
Today I want to talk about why the hoopla surrounding the Dow is misplaced and what that means for your money. Then, I want to offer a few thoughts on what's next for the markets.
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Thursday, March 14, 2013
Stock Market Trend Forecast Hot Sector ETF’s / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Trading with the trend should be your main focus for long term success no matter what type of trader you are (Options Trader, Stock Trader, or ETF Trader) although it’s not as easy as it sounds.
The good news is that there is a simple trading model that removes 95% of trading analysis and greatly reduces trading related emotions because the key technical analysis rules based on one of the world’s best chart technicians (John Murphy) technical analysis methods have been applied to the chart automatically. The key is to identify the trend of the market. Once that is known you can focus on trading strategies that take advantage of the current trend.
Wednesday, March 13, 2013
How to Make 13.2% in the Next Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: This week I’m in St. Petersburg, FL speaking at the 15th Annual Investment U Conference. I love attending the conference every year and seeing the other speakers present their ideas for the best ways to make money in the markets.
What I especially appreciate is that most of the speakers’ ideas are simple. No one is there peddling annuities or products with complex structures. Alexander Green talks about owning great companies. Steve McDonald shows investors how to buy bonds at a discount. The ideas are easy to follow and you don’t have to get into all kinds of crazy strategies to make good money with your investments, particularly over the long term.
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Wednesday, March 13, 2013
New Stock Market Dot Com Bombs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes: When stocks are hot, you can make money in initial public offerings (IPOs). Wall Street had a phrase representing the so-called confidentiality between corporate finance departments and research—the “Chinese Wall.” In practice, the Chinese Wall was a joke; it should’ve been the “Chinese Fall.”
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Tuesday, March 12, 2013
How to U.S. Dollar Crash Proof Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: Axel_Merk
Financial writer and best-selling author Peter Sander sits down with portfolio manager Axel Merk for insights on investment considerations in light of the risks posed to the greenback.
Peter: A lot of talk about a "dollar crash" keeps coming up in the blogosphere. Is it a serious threat, and if so, what should an investor do about it?
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Tuesday, March 12, 2013
What Does The DOW At New All Time Highs Really Mean? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Swanson
Yesterday the DOW rallied 50 points to close at an all time high at 14447. What does this mean?
Well for one thing it means that the stock market naysayers have been proven wrong and man oh man there have been a lot of them. I don't want to name names here, because some of them might take it as a personal attack if I do, but there are a lot of experts with egg on their face right now.
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Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Stock Market MAP Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Marc_Horn
In How German DAX on 3 Dec Confirmed a long term bull market MAP Wave Analysis confirmed that we were indeed in a long term bull market and those that registered have had regular updates to help guide you through.
With the Dow and Russell at all time highs, the SPX will challenge its all time highs this week. Failure this week will be confirmed before the end of April. That only leaves the Composite lagging in that field. However the Composite led the way of post 2000 highs after its dramatic correction, leading to the conclusion that 2000 was a yearly peak, but as there is not sufficient data to verify this we will not know for some time to come!
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Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Stock Market Stable....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
It's hard to believe it's stable, but that's what the market is doing, and showing the ability, for now, to fight through all the negatives that abound for owning stocks short-term. The strong negative divergences alone are reason enough to pull this market down hard. Add in overbought daily, weekly, and almost monthly charts and the bears have little to no excuses left. These types of set-ups often cause market turmoil that allows fear to shoot up in a big way. Instead, the VIX is falling to new lows. With so much going for the market fundamentally, such as Mr. Bernanke adding liquidity and keeping rates low, it's finding a way to hang in tough.
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Monday, March 11, 2013
S&P 500 Just 0.57% Below Its All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes:
With no economic news to juice the market (or scare it), the S&P 500 probably took its opening cue from the eurozone, where most of the indexes churned in the shallow red. The 500 opened lower and hit its intraday low, off 0.25%, in the first 15 minutes of trading. But by late morning it emerged into the green and closed the day with a gain of 0.32%, five basis points off its intraday high. The index clearly has an eye on its cousin the Dow, which keeps setting new all-time highs. The S&P 500 is fractionally less than nine points, make that 0.57%, from its all-time high. Will tomorrow see a new S&P 500 record?
Monday, March 11, 2013
SPX Stock Market Top Complete? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
For the past several weeks I have been puzzling over the zigzag rally from the February 19 low. This new low puts the last missing piece of the puzzle in place.
It also clears up the cycle pattern for the VIX, since February 19 made for a difficult Master Cycle low, while a low this week makes far more sense. I am not yet sure that this is the MC low, but there is a Cycle Pivot says that the VIX is in a turn window.
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Monday, March 11, 2013
Dow 14000: Why the US Economy Matters Less to US Corporations / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Keith_Hilden
A question remains on many people's minds regarding the US economy. Amidst a moribund recovery, stagnant job growth, lower household income, and US corporations being cash poor, how exactly can the stock market be reaching new all time highs?
It is precisely due to the fact that the stock price of US corporations are no longer dependent on strong domestic US performance to the degree that they previously were. Overseas profits continue to steadily amass over the decade as a higher percentage of revenues against their domestic US revenues. This needs to be understood in order to see why there is a Dow at an all time high. Cash poor in the US while cash rich abroad is due to corporations avoiding the repatriation of those profits due to a 35% penalty taxed upon those profits.
Monday, March 11, 2013
Investor Warning: Job Creation Data Fuelled by Cheap Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: The latest monthly employment data had a positive headline; a stronger than expected job creation number. However, looking at the core information, there remain significant concerns regarding the U.S. economic recovery and job creation specifically.
For February, job creation for non-farm related payrolls totaled 236,000. This number was far higher than expected, giving a boost to the stock market. (Source: “Employment situation summary,” Bureau of Labor Statistics, March 8, 2013, accessed March 8, 2013.)
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Monday, March 11, 2013
Why Your Financial Future Will Be Built Upon the Chinese Yuan / Stock-Markets / China Currency Yuan
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you have any illusions, put them aside now. It's the Yuan's world - the West is just living in it, or borrowing from it as the case may be.
Demand for the Yuan is growing at such a staggering rate that your financial future will be built upon it.
Admittedly, this is a very tough concept for most people to wrap their minds around. It's tough to lose "your" spot at the top and it's even tougher to know you're losing it and not be able to do anything about it because the leaders who are responsible for maintaining that position don't understand the end game.
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Sunday, March 10, 2013
Stock Market Final Push into Rally Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
Intermediate trend – The uptrend from 1343 may have a little farther to go before topping.
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Saturday, March 09, 2013
An Investor's Guide to X-treme Monetary and Fiscal Conditions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
I landed in Buenos Aires early this morning and have a day layover before heading off to Cafayate; but it is time to send you this weekend’s Outside the Box, and what a wonderful, powerful piece it is. I read John Hussman’s latest on the way down and had to review it several times. There is just so much meat here. And more than his usual quota of those wonderful graphs he comes up with. Did you know there is a 94% correlation between the price of beer in Iceland and the S&P 500? This is a teaching moment we must heed!
Saturday, March 09, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Nearing High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
Just when the negatives started to build the US market ignored it all and continued the uptrend. The SPX made a new bull market high, and the DOW, the DOW made a new all time high. This was quite amazing, as at the time 70% of the world’s indices were in downtrends. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.20%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.25%. Asian markets gained 2.3%, European markets gained 2.5%, and the DJ World index gained 1.8%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative reports. On the uptick: ISM services, the ADP index, consumer credit, the payrolls report, wholesales inventories, the monetary base, long term investor sentiment, and both the weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: factory orders, the trade deficit and the WLEI. Next week, options expiration week, we get retail sales, industrial production, and the CPI/PPI. Best to your week!
Saturday, March 09, 2013
Stock Market's Flat, Having Entered Period of Confluence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Pallotta
For the week ending March 8, 2013, the SPX was up 2.2%, the Russell small caps were up 3.0% and the COMP was up 2.4%.
All indices which had triggered short last week, were stopped out on Tuesday after stops were violated. The model has now entered a period of confluence with no trend yet determined. On an intermediate term basis, the trend remains up as the model triggered a long swing trade on Tuesday but this is viewed purely as a trade, not the start of a new trend. Only until support is tested and held would a long signal be triggered. Failure to hold support will then set up a test of short trigger levels.
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