Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, April 22, 2014
Stock Market Rally Won't Quit...Yet... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
And why should it? Just because sentiment is poor, and the weekly and monthly charts look awful, doesn't mean we should fall, now does it? I mean, don't we need a real reason to fall? Poor charts just isn't enough it seems. Ms. Yellen, and those low rates into perpetuity, just won't allow a real correction. Not yet, anyway. Sure, we have a bear market in froth, but we don't have even a real correction in the overall market. Market continues to find rotation as the name of the game. As long as that exists we won't fall very hard. Lower P/E stocks with solid earnings are holding this market up. Folks don't want to leave the market, they just want to place their money in the land of safety.
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Tuesday, April 22, 2014
A Crisis vs. the REAL Crisis: Keep Your Eye on the Debt Ball / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Laurynas Vegys, Research Analyst
Today I want to talk about crises. Two of the most notable ones that have been in the public eye over the course of the past 6-8 months are obviously the conflicts in Ukraine and Syria. The two are very different, yet both seemed to cause rallies in the gold market.
I say “seemed” because, while there were days when the headlines from either country sure looked to kick gold up a notch, there were also relevant and alarming reports from Argentina and emerging markets like China during many of the same time periods. Nevertheless, looking at the impressive gains during these periods, one has to wonder if it actually takes a calamity for gold to soar.
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Tuesday, April 22, 2014
Is This What a Credit Bubble Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: F_F_Wiley
There’s been some buzz recently about a pick-up in business lending. The six largest banks increased business loans at an average annual rate of 8.5% in the first quarter, according to a Wall Street Journal report last week. Other first quarter data reported by the Fed shows commercial and industrial loans jumping 12% from last year. Charles Schwab’s chief strategist went so far as to call a chart depicting the Fed’s broader lending data “the most important chart in the world.”
Monday, April 21, 2014
Stock Market Smart Money – All Out or More to Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
This has been the flow of Bloomberg's "Smart Money Flow Indicator" and, as Zero Hedge wonders: Just who is soaking up what the smart money is selling? Company Buybacks, Johnny 5 (tradebots) or the Greater-Fool Retail Investors?
Monday, April 21, 2014
How Last Week’s Stock Market Mini Rally Is Reshaping My Investment Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: The stock market staged a minor rally last week, but don’t get too excited yet; the buying support was largely triggered by a technically oversold market, rather than solid fundamentals or a fresh catalyst.
What I can say is that investors need to be careful with the high-beta stocks that are extremely volatile at this time and vulnerable to downside selling.
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Monday, April 21, 2014
Stock Market Minor Correction Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Failed to overcome resistance at the high. May have started an intermediate decline.
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Sunday, April 20, 2014
Nikkei Stock Market - Sell Japan / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: WavePatternTraders
Bottom line: Sell Japan, I think both markets still need at least one more leg lower to complete a corrective WXY decline from their respective peaks.
Saturday, April 19, 2014
Stock Market SPX Topping Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Zeal_LLC
The lofty stock markets are starting to wobble, with selloffs’ frequency and sharpness increasing. The dominant reason the Fed’s stock levitation is running out of steam is severe overvaluation. Stocks are just far too expensive today compared to historic precedent, a dangerous state seen when bull markets are topping. Rampant overvaluation is a glaring warning sign to investors that selling is just beginning.
Friday, April 18, 2014
Best Stock Market Weekly Gain Since July 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The pre-market announcement of new jobless claims continues to beat expectations with its four-week moving average now the lowest since early October of 2007, two months before the last recession. Despite the good claims number, the S&P 500 opened fractionally lower with some options expiration volume and sold off to its modest -0.30% intraday low 25 minutes later. The index slowly recovered to its 0.39% intraday high early in the final hour of trading. It closed with a trimmed gain of 0.14%, the fourth day of gains and a hefty 2.71% advance for the holiday-shortened week — the best weekly since the week after Independence Day in 2013.
Friday, April 18, 2014
Bank Depositor Bail-Ins and Real Assets vs Liability-Based Assets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Dan_Amerman
Bail-ins are a new way of "rescuing" banks and other financial organizations that have been sweeping around the world, even as they rewrite the rules for investors and depositors.
Bail-ins have already occurred in Cyprus with their banking system, as well as with the retirement system in Poland. The European Union is on board in rapidly implementing bail-in standards, and they are under intensive scrutiny by regulators in the United States, with ratings on some major US bank securities already being changed in anticipation of the potential for bail-ins. Canada has announced its intentions in this area as well, and Japan is moving rapidly.
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Thursday, April 17, 2014
One of Harry Dent’s Three Keys to Market Prediction is Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Survive-Prosper
Harry Dent writes: I learned three crucial principles early on in my forecasting career.
The first is that the economy is a dynamic play between opposite principles.
The second is that natural, cyclical forces have an unstoppable effect on markets and economies, regardless of what we do.
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Thursday, April 17, 2014
Investors Ignore Frightful Russia, Europe Geopolitics / Stock-Markets / GeoPolitics
By: John_Browne
When the former Soviet Union collapsed almost 25 years ago, most global strategic forecasters assumed that the U.S. would adapt pragmatically to her new status of sole world superpower. Instead she has pursued a variety of misguided nation-building adventures and has largely shrunk from her primary responsibility of neutralizing the ambitions of petty dictators around the world. From this perspective, America's multi-generational expenditures on military personnel and equipment has become more of a stealth economic stimulus program rather than an insurance policy for global stability.
Thursday, April 17, 2014
What the Stock Market Bears Have Been Waiting for... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Greetings,
Most investors are complacent -- they do not want to hear what bears have to say.
Not You!
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Wednesday, April 16, 2014
High-Frequency Insider Trading / Stock-Markets / HFT
By: BATR
No one has ever claimed that the financial markets are a level playing field. Equities, bonds, currencies, options and futures are not arenas that operate by equivalent standards for all parties. Great fortunes were built not by chance, but on superior information, known to the few. Professional traders are not risk gamblers, but operate on the premise of special advantage. Through advance and proprietary techniques that reduce exposure hazards and provide exclusive head start triggers, which virtually guarantee profits, the elite firms dominate Wall Street.
Wednesday, April 16, 2014
Stock Market Flash Crash Alert! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have been attempting to find the reason for the triple bottom at 1814, 1815 and 1816. The best I can figure is that SPX is finding support at the 120-day moving average and Wave [ii] is expanding for another challenge of the trendline. It appears to be a desperate situation. The powers that be managed to re-cross the trendline in February, so there may be an attempt to duplicate that event.
Wednesday, April 16, 2014
Stock Market Cycles Middle Sections / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
An advancing Middle Section from early 2009 (top) pointed to two separate highs last week. The definition of a Middle Section is a period of time in which the Dow's rate of advance slows relative to what comes both before and after it. The two measuring points are points E and C. Point E is always the second-to-last rally in a Middle Section. Point C is the day the Dow drops down from a minor topping formation and begins the decline into the low of the Middle Section at point D. In this case, points C and D are identical.
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Tuesday, April 15, 2014
Fed Rigs Markets, Not the Flash Boys / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Michael_Pento
There’s been a lot of attention being paid to high frequency trading (HFT) as of late. The question has been raised as to whether or not HFT rigs markets. It is true that HFT adds nothing to GDP and is simply a legalized form of high-tech front running. However, the real problem with the stock market—and the economy as a whole—isn’t the fact that HFT skims pennies off transactions from institutional traders; but rather that the Fed has rigged interest rates and asset prices to the extent that investors can no longer distinguish reality from fiction.
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Tuesday, April 15, 2014
Flash Crash, Rigged Markets - What’s the Frequency Zenith? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: John_Mauldin
By Grant Williams
WARNING: This week’s Things That Make You Go Hmmm... is going to run a little longer than usual, I’m afraid, so if you have some time to kill, strap yourself in for the ride.
Yes. I have read it.
For the last couple of weeks those have been the five words I have used the most — by a country mile.
The second most-used five-word combination during that time has been “I know, what a tool.”
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Tuesday, April 15, 2014
Stock Market Gap Up Failure But Positive Divergences In Place...Will It Matter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
It should. Those short-term charts have some pretty compressed down oscillators that normally give a bounce, especially when they have a positive divergence in place. We have that here and, while we can't rule out a complete crater down, I don't think the market is quite ready for the next leg lower. Sure, in time, but not right here although you don't let your guard down and you avoid froth stocks like you would the plague. No reason to be involved with those types of stocks, even if we get the bounce. While this divergence gives hope for a short-term bounce, the medium term looks poor for the bulls at this moment in time. Things can always change, but the charts are suggesting lower in time. But again, I don't think so right away. We'll have the answer to that soon enough.
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Tuesday, April 15, 2014
Stock Market - Is Something Nasty About to Happen? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s rally fell short of its targets. This afternoon the SPX almost fell out of bed, but rallied in nine waves (impulsive) into the final hour to close beneath this morning’s highs. Folks, this has the look of a running correction, where sub-Minute Wave (c) is the shortest wave in the correction. If so, we may see the bottom fall out of the market overnight.