Inverse relationship between the Yen and SPX
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Apr 23, 2014 - 12:45 PM GMTThe daily SPX chart shows two Orthodox Broadening Tops in place. This is natural for fractals…yes, you are seeing double. This often happens with other formations as well. For example, smaller Head & Shoulders formations will appear within larger ones.
There are signs of weakness in these formations. The upper trendline of the blue Orthodox Broadening Top was overridden by the Ending Diagonal trendline, but it persisted in making a seventh point at 1897.28. Within that top is yet another Orthodox Broadening Top which may be failing as we speak. A failure to reach the upper trendline may be construed as a sell signal.
The Pre-market is modestly down. The rally appears to have run its course.
XJY closed at Short-term support last night and may be ready for another surge higher. Note that a declining Yen is indicative of monetary expansion which provides fuel to move markets higher. A rising Yen will have the effect of “pulling” money out of equities.
Nippon Life is increasing its Yen holdings in anticipation of currency appreciation.
ZeroHedge reports, “Keep an eye on the USDJPY which has had seen some rather acute "trapdoor" action in early trading and is approaching 102 after breaching its 55-DMA technical support of 102.38. If the support is broken here we go again on the downside. Keep an eye on biotechs and GILD in particular - if the early strength reverts into more selling again (after the two best days for the biotech space in 30 months), the most recent euphoria phase is now over.”
Regards,
Tony
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