Category: Global Debt Crisis 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, December 22, 2014
The Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
― Oscar Wilde, The Picture of Dorian Gray“There is a current set of delusions that is powerful and dangerous: that monetary debasement can be infinitely pursued without consequences; that the financial system is now solid and sound; that the low volatility and high prices of stocks, high-end real estate and bonds are real; that bonds are a safe haven; and that large financial institutions which get into trouble in the future can be unwound in a much safer way than they could be in 2008."
-Paul Singer
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Saturday, October 18, 2014
Gold And Silver - Financial World: House Of Cards Built On Sand / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Take heart PM community, your turn is coming. What is happening in the stock market is a harbinger of what is sure to come for gold and silver, at some point in the future. When? Ah, that elusive question the answer to which so many want to know, the same answer to which so many so-called prognosticators have serially gotten wrong over the past few years. The best answer is patience.
It is highly unlikely that a single bank, at least in the Western fiat central banking system, is solvent. All, repeat, all banks are insolvent, propped up by the Rothschild system that few can successfully challenge. All banks exist by accounting deceit and every kind of threat, indirect or otherwise, that it is not wise to challenge the international banking cartel [on the verge of collapse]. Russia and China are rising to the occasion rather timely.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
The Specter of Global Debt Default is Once Again Rearing its Head / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.
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Friday, September 12, 2014
Debt And The Decline Of Money / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Let it erode, Dump it or Deny it?
For some members of the loosely defined school of Kierkegaard, itself loosely descended from Nietzsche's nihilist school of philosophy, money is a trick invented by human beings to deny their cosmic responsibilities. They use money to create fake value in this world and depreciate the real value of celestial thought and the purpose of cosmic being. Even in this world however, devaluing or repudiating a national money is a time-worn trick for evading responsibilities – like paying debt.
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Colonization by Bankruptcy: The High-stakes Chess Match for Argentina / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
If Argentina were in a high-stakes chess match, the country’s actions this week would be the equivalent of flipping over all the pieces on the board. – David Dayen, Fiscal Times, August 22, 2014
Argentina is playing hardball with the vulture funds, which have been trying to force it into an involuntary bankruptcy. The vultures are demanding what amounts to a 600% return on bonds bought for pennies on the dollar, defeating a 2005 settlement in which 92% of creditors agreed to accept a 70% haircut on their bonds. A US court has backed the vulture funds; but last week, Argentina sidestepped its jurisdiction by transferring the trustee for payment from Bank of New York Mellon to its own central bank. That play, if approved by the Argentine Congress, will allow the country to continue making payments under its 2005 settlement, avoiding default on the majority of its bonds.
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Friday, August 15, 2014
Cry for Argentina: Fiscal Mismanagement or Pillage? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Argentina has now taken the U.S. to The Hague for blocking the country’s 2005 settlement with the bulk of its creditors. The issue underscores the need for an international mechanism for nations to go bankrupt. Better yet would be a sustainable global monetary scheme that avoids the need for sovereign bankruptcy.
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Friday, August 08, 2014
Argentina's Debt Default: A Devastating Lesson in Unfunded Government Liabilities / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Dickson Buchanan Jr writes:
Last week, on July 30, the Republic of Argentina was declared to be in default for the third time in 30 years.
Let's put that into perspective. If you were a bank officer who offered a 30-year mortgage to the Government of Argentina in the early '90s you would have spent nearly the entire life of the loan in a perpetual nightmare of refinancing. You would likely be not only fired from your job, but a pariah in the entire industry. This is what Argentina's international creditors and domestic citizens have faced in real life. At the time of writing this article S&P has downgraded Argentina to CCC-, one of the lowest ratings available for sovereign governments.
Sunday, August 03, 2014
Understanding Argentina’s Coming Debt Default / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Nicolás Cachanosky writes:
At the time of this writing, Argentina is a few days away from formally defaulting on its debts.How could this happen three times in just twenty-eight years?
Following the 2001 default, Argentina offered a debt swap (a restructuring of debt) to its creditors in 2005. Many bondholders accepted the Argentine offer, but some of them did not. Those who did not accept the debt swap are called the “holdouts.” When Argentina started to pay the new bonds to those who entered the debt swap (the “holdins”), the holdouts took Argentina to court under New York law, the jurisdiction under which the Argentine debt has been issued. After the US Supreme Court refused to hear the Argentine case a few weeks ago, Judge Griesa’s ruling became final.
Monday, July 14, 2014
Global Economy Is Deteriorating Fast / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
The insanity doesn’t just continue, it intensifies. The overriding idea is still that the more companies and individuals borrow, the better the economy goes. But that is nowhere near true. It may have been at some point in the past, but not now, not with debt levels at historic highs. Today’s problem is not that there is not enough credit or money available, as central banks try to make you believe, but that people are not spending what they have. Individuals are either maxed out or scared to be left with nothing, and companies see no opportunities for investing in productive projects (besides, they may well be maxed out too).
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Wednesday, June 04, 2014
The Primitive Theory Of National Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Blasphemy Against the Holy Ghost
Marx thundered that “...with the rise of national debt-making, want of faith in the national debt takes the place of blasphemy against the Holy Ghost, which cannot be forgiven”. Not being able to speak for the Holy Ghost, we can state that dark and primitive magic was certainly in play when national debts were invented – literally ex nihilo. But that was small beer compared to what was coming.
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Everything You Think You Own Has Been Borrowed / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Let’s take another look at debt. We’ve probably all gotten so used to huge debt numbers that we’re losing sight of what they actually mean. In the following article, Tyler Durden made me rethink both the debt issue and the perverse consequences of 7 years of zero interest policies (ZIRP) and/or ultra low interest rates. The destruction to society is far greater than anyone seems to be willing to let on. But that doesn’t make it any less real. Here goes:
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Tuesday, April 22, 2014
A Crisis vs. the REAL Crisis: Keep Your Eye on the Debt Ball / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2014
By Laurynas Vegys, Research Analyst
Today I want to talk about crises. Two of the most notable ones that have been in the public eye over the course of the past 6-8 months are obviously the conflicts in Ukraine and Syria. The two are very different, yet both seemed to cause rallies in the gold market.
I say “seemed” because, while there were days when the headlines from either country sure looked to kick gold up a notch, there were also relevant and alarming reports from Argentina and emerging markets like China during many of the same time periods. Nevertheless, looking at the impressive gains during these periods, one has to wonder if it actually takes a calamity for gold to soar.
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Thursday, April 17, 2014
Three Variables to Consider Before Investing in Gold / Commodities / Global Debt Crisis 2014
George Leong writes: While there continue to be many gold bugs out there, I’m not one of them—but I do see gold as a trading opportunity.
Given what we have seen so far and looking ahead, I just don’t see gold as a buy-and-hold strategy at this time. Yes, there’s money to be made, but it’s going to be for traders only.
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Debt Makes You Dumb, Japanese Edition / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Debt works the same way for countries as for families and individuals. That is, if you borrow too much, your life begins to suck. And actions that in normal times might have seemed unwise, contradictory or downright stupid begin to look better than the (even more disturbing) alternatives.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Ukraine "On Verge of Financial Bankruptcy" Reaches $27 Billion "Kamikaze" Deal With IMF / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Ukraine and the IMF have agreed to an aid package that will no doubt prove to be as beneficial to Ukraine as the Troika bailout (plunder) of Greece.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Japanese Debt Debacle Now Imminent / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014
I first warned about the impending bust of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) when I wrote "Abe Pulls Pin on JGBs" back in January of 2013. In that commentary I laid out the math behind a collapse of the Japanese bond market and economy stemming from the nation's massive amount of government debt, combined with the Bank of Japan's (BOJ's) folly of pursuing an inflation target.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
The High Price of Delaying the Debt Default / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Credit is a wonderful tool that can help advance the division of labor, thereby increasing productivity and prosperity. The granting of credit enables savers to spread their income over time, as they prefer. By taking out loans, investors can implement productive spending plans that they would be unable to afford using their own resources.
The economically beneficial effects of credit can only come about, however, if the underlying credit and monetary system is solidly based on free-market principles. And here is a major problem for today’s economies: the prevailing credit and monetary regime is irreconcilable with the free market system.
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Debt Deleveraging Deception Continues / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2014
I first wrote about the “Deleveraging Deception” back in September of 2010. Unfortunately, those that would have you believe the economy has paid down its excessive debt levels are still at work trying to deceive you. But here’s the truth.
In order to perpetuate their deception that the economy has deleveraged, many Wall Street pundits often site the statistic that Household Debt Service payments as a percentage of disposable income has fallen to 9.2%, the lowest level since 1980 and down from 13.18% at the peak of the Great Recession.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Argentina in Bad Economic Shape Again - Debt Rattle 2014 / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2014
Argentina is once again in very bad shape. It rose out of the ashes of its 2002 crisis, when it went through presidents like they were popsicles, and large swaths of the middle class ended up living in Villa Miseria shanty towns around Buenos Aires, but it did so through issuing debt. So there we go again.
The no. 1 problem, again, is the lack of foreign reserves. How the country can escape its fate this time is hard to see. People have kept storing their wealth abroad, afraid as they were for the very thing that now happens; a little self fulfilling, one might say. The cost of borrowing shot up, prices for its export products, meat, soy, wheat, plunged, et voila, the squid’s your uncle!
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