Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Why the Stock Market Will Pullback, Rally, and Roll Into a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 has made a 61.8% retracement and is now stalling. This is completely normal. Most 10%+ corrections have a 61.8% retracement and then a pullback or retest of the lows before heading higher.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
Stock Markets Around the World are Crashing. What Not to Worry About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Financial media’s favorite headline is “here’s why you should be worried”. Blind “worrying” and “concern” is good for their business because it drives pageviews and ad $$$.
Certain markets around the world remain in a downtrend right now, namely emerging markets and oil.
Instead of “worrying”, let’s look at the facts.
Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
Big US Stocks Q3 Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The widely-held mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets are just wrapping up another blockbuster earnings season. Sales and profits soared largely due to Republicans’ massive corporate tax cuts. Still these lofty stock markets are vulnerable to serious downside, as October’s brutal plunge proved. Such extreme revenue and earnings growth cannot persist, and valuations remain in dangerous bubble territory.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs contain the best fundamental data available to investors and speculators. They dispel all the sentimental distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
3 Triggers That Could Push This Sell-Off into a Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
There’s very real possibility the global economy breaks down in the next six months.Anything could trigger a crisis, and it could well be something no one now foresees. But here are my three candidates.
Corporate Credit Crisis
US companies are way more leveraged now than they were ahead of the 2008 crisis.
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Sunday, November 11, 2018
Why the Stock Market Will Pullback Before Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 has reached its 61.8% retracement and is now facing short term resistance (as expected).
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Saturday, November 10, 2018
Stocks Breaking Higher, but Resistance Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was very bullish, as stocks accelerated their short-term uptrend following the U.S. Elections outcome. The S&P 500 index got back above the level of 2,800. The market is at its mid-October local high. So, will it continue higher or reverse downwards here?
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 2.1-2.6% on Wednesday, breaking above the short-term consolidation, as investors' sentiment improved following the U.S. Elections. The S&P 500 index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on last week's Monday. And now it trades just 4.3% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.1% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.6% yesterday.
The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is now at around 2,815-2,820, marked by mid-October local high of 2,816.94. The next resistance level is at 2,860-2,865, marked by the previous local lows. On the other hand, the support level is now at 2,780-2,800, marked by the recent resistance level. The support level is also at 2,755-2,775, marked by yesterday's daily gap up of 2,756.82-2,774.13.
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Saturday, November 10, 2018
Stock Market Was Supposed to “Crash Like 1987” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
It seems like just yesterday when everybody on CNBC was saying “here’s why the stock market could crash like 1987”.
With that being said, the S&P has made a perfect 61.8% retracement of its current correction. We predicted over the past 2 weeks:
Read full article... Read full article...Even if this is the start of a bear market, the S&P will bounce and retrace 50-61.8% of its decline. Bear markets don’t go down in a straight line.
Friday, November 09, 2018
SPX : The Incredibull Stock Market Plays On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
Today I would like to update some of the charts we’ve been following for some of the SPX that had a wild October to say the least. For whatever reasons October has a lot of volatility which can lead to some important lows and in a few cases a crash which is rare. This past October shaped up similar to many of the previous Octobers we’ve seen since the bull market began in 2009.
This weekly chart for the SPX shows all the Octobers since the bull market began in 2009. For the most part if you took a position in October you were generally ahead of the game the following October with a few exceptions. This past October again marked a good spot to take a position in the SPX for a possible intermediate term move.
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Friday, November 09, 2018
US Stocks Roar To Life After Midterm Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team is writing this message to alert all investors and traders of a pending rotation in the US stock market that may happen between now and November 15. The upside price breakout that is occurring on November 7, the day after the US mid-term elections, is an incredible display of global investor sentiment regarding the GOP success in the Senate and the continued business-friendly expectations originating out of Washington DC. The move, today, shows how clearly a global capital market shift is still engaged in the US markets and how much global investors are counting on the US to drive ROI and economic growth going forward.
Yet, we feel it is important to urge investors that our modeling systems are still suggesting an ultimate price bottom should be setting up near November 8~15 and that we could still see a bit of downward price rotation over the next few days before this ultimate price bottom completes. It might be too easy to get caught up in this move, today, and fail to properly understand the price rotation risks that are still active in the time/price horizon.
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Friday, November 09, 2018
Are We Entering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
I’ve gotten a lot of questions lately about whether I think we are entering into a bear market. The honest answer is I don’t know.
First, looking back in history, there are two types of bear markets:
- those that happen in a recession,
- and those that don’t.
Bear markets that happen in a recession are often deeper and the recovery is much longer. Those that happen simply because the market had gone “too far, too fast” tend to be “V”-shaped recoveries. Think 1987 or 1998.
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Friday, November 09, 2018
The Risk of Stock Market “Buy-and-Hold” Nobody Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
Investment advisers say we are “investing for the long run” and diversify among low-fee funds in various asset classes and indexes.Then they trot out studies showing investors will average 8% or whatever in the long run. And those are true statements.
The problem is that most investors don’t have the 40 or 50 years those studies cover. And they have to experience the bear markets along with the bull markets.
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Thursday, November 08, 2018
Is the Stock Market’s Rally “All Good To Go”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 is just under its 200 dma.
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Stocks Made a Post-crash Bounce. What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 has made a correction and its bounce stalled at the 38.2% retracement.
Here’s our long term, medium term, and short term outlook for the U.S. stock market. As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Following The Stock Market "Heard" Can Get You Into Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
So, I heard that good news is now bad news and bad news is now good news in the market. Or was that bad news is bad news and good news is bad news? Or, was that bad news is bad news and good news is good news? To be honest, I just can’t keep up with all the convoluted ways people try to explain how to view the market based upon news. And, it changes all the time.
Last week, I heard the dollar rally was causing the market to tank. Well, by Wednesday this past week we had rallied 130 points off the lows in the S&P 500, and the dollar continued to rise along with us at the time. This is another Foghorn Leghorn market moment for analysts:
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Wednesday, November 07, 2018
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bear market
Intermediate trend – Bear market rally
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Stock Market Calm Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
With very strong US jobs data hitting the news wires this morning and an incredible upside price swing overnight because of expectations and hope of a US/China trade deal in the works, we were not surprised by the downside rotation in the US stock market this morning. As we’ve been warning for the past 3+ months, we expect the US stock markets to trade very narrowly headed into the US mid-term elections and begin a breakout upside price move sometime between November 8 and November 12.
Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Stock Market’s Short term Outlook is Slightly Bearish, But Medium term is Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. stock market’s daily volatility is high, with large intraday swings. Here’s the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, November 06, 2018
Financial Markets Are Making Faulty Assumptions about Growth & Resources / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Dr. Chris Martenson of PeakProsperity.com, and author of the book Prosper! How to Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting. Chris is a commentator on a range of important topics such as global economics, financial markets, governmental policy, precious metals and the importance of preparedness among other things. And it's always great to have him with us.
Chris, it's been too long, but welcome back and thanks for joining us again.
Chris Martenson: Hey Mike. Thank you so much. It's great to be back with you.
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Monday, November 05, 2018
A Year of Inflated Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Harry_Dent
So far, the 21st Century has seen one B.S. bubble after another.Even worse, these bubbles have inflated beyond any recognizable or manageable form. They’ve morphed into monsters, seemingly with minds and wills of their own.
There are, at the least, two forces at play here: central banks (the crack dealers)… and cycles. Let’s continue our discussion of the most important cycle that will impact us next year, particularly in the last half…
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Monday, November 05, 2018
Stock Market Sharp Corrections and Bounces are Usually Followed by Retests / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
After a rapid drop last month, the U.S. stock market has bounced over the past 3 days. The S&P’s most likely target for this bounce is its 200 day moving average.
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