Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 12, 2009
U.S. China Trade War Underway Signals Inflation and Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
What would you do before you go visit someone whose help you desperately need? Would you give him a one-fingered salute with your middle finger?
Well, President Obama is about to make his first visit to China, and that is exactly what he has done to the Chinese leaders.
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Thursday, November 12, 2009
Stock Market Hesitation At Resistance...Some Doij's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Doji's today, which mean an equal number of sellers to buyers, once we gapped up early on says, there could be a pause in the bullish action over the next day or so. It doesn't have to take place, but be prepared for that possibility. It says the possibility is made more real by the fact that we're at some really tough longer-term resistance at 1101 S&P 500. That doesn't mean individual stocks can't be owned. It simply tells us that having too much exposure, say 50% or more right here, makes little sense, and you have to own the best of each sector if you do own stocks. Own stocks that have unwound or have gaps underneath them so there's strong support.
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Thursday, November 12, 2009
Support Holds as Stock Market Indices Eek Out More Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets managed to eek out another gain today, although they had a rough road. Despite the early big gap-up and strong surge that took them to new 2009 highs, taking out the October highs on both indices, they reversed sharply lower, bounced and then came down and made lower lows, but only slightly, and couldn't follow-through to the downside in mid-afternoon when they hit their session lows. Then an afternoon 3-wave rally brought them back towards intraday resistance but closed them right there.
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Thursday, November 12, 2009
The Problem With Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As the U.S. dollar carry trade continues unabated, it would be wise to look at the last instances of such biased positioning. The price of ‘risk’ assets, which include currencies, commodities and stocks, continue to rise inversely to the dollar’s decline almost tick for tick. The flood of cheap money taking advantage of near-zero interest rates continues to chase positive returns in any risky asset class, which is rising in the honeymoon period of stimulus and quantitative easing.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
S&P Stocks Index Approaching Key Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The tension in the market today is palpable, isn’t it? The dollar goes down, and stocks, metals and commodities go up. The dollar rallies off of oversold, and stocks, metals and commodities pull back. That said, however, let’s notice on the hourly chart of the S&P 500 emini futures contract that after making yet another new recovery high this morning at 1103.25, the emini S&P has sold off to nearly unchanged and more importantly is approaching an important test of key near-term support at 1093-1090.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Stock Market Breadth Trying To Make Bullish Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Below we'll cover a potentially positive development in market breadth. Wednesday morning's financial headlines may help breadth continue to improve in a bullish fashion:
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Testing Time for the USD and Aging Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
No one alive has probably experienced a time when so much highly geared money has been controlled by so few large corporations, who with their accumulated power, have governments all over the world running scared. This power has been magnified with the continued availability of government handouts and cheap funding from the USD Carry Trade. This has created an "Open Sesame" to a monetary wish list that has no limits for those involved. It makes for a deceptive market, with a bought out and manipulative mainstream media, who constantly refuse to provide cogent introspection and analysis of the high risk and highly geared trading activities of the major banks. Don’t forget that Goldman Sachs has a debt to capital ratio of over 1000:1.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Marc Faber Says Bernanke is Mugabe's Hyperinflation Apprentice / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Market Morning's Pat Bolland is joined by special guest host Marc Faber, editor and publisher, "The Gloom, Boom, & Doom Report"
Marc Faber says the US Dollar is going to zero in the long-run but a bounce is overdue which will hit asset prices.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Stock Market Lateral Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When markets get overbought you usually expect a fast drop lower, and that may still, and actually, should take place. However, we are still in a clear up trend off the March lows and this market is trying to fight off those overbought 60-minute time frame charts with all its muscle. Today seemed like the perfect day for some unwinding and although we got a drop, it wasn't very much to get excited about thus we head in to tomorrow still overbought on the short-term time frame charts only.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Are We Headed for a 25% Stock Market Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
With anticipated GDP growth insufficient to sustain current market levels, Q1 Publishing's Founder and Chief Investment Strategist Andrew Mickey asserts that great expectations tend to lead to great disappointments. Although he's not foretelling a big crash, he tells Gold Report readers why it makes sense to expect the market to fall back to a fair-value level over the next six months to a year and there will still be plenty of opportunities for those in the right spot.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Do NOT go Against This Stock Market Iindicator ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
We think it is important enough to post everyday on our paid website ... what is it?
It is a chart of how much selling Institutional Investors do everyday, and what the short term trend of that selling is.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Societe Generale's Albert Edwards Calls New Stocks Bear Market Low in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Societe Generale's Albert Edwards is generally considered an uber bear, although there were times in the past year he has tactically increased exposure to equities to take advantage of oversold conditions. Now is not one of those times. In fact, Edwards chimes in with many similar thoughts we've posted on the fundamentals... but sticks his neck out calling for new lows in 2010.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Dow New 2009 High, What Comes Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Dow jumped to new highs for the year, extending its gains from the lows seen in March.
What does this mean for the future?
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Why is the Stock Market Rising When The Economic Recovery is Weak? / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
"Why" many ask, "is the stock market going up when the bond market is telling us the recovery will be tepid? Isn't there a disconnect?" And the answer is that there is, and this week good friend and fishing buddy Paul McCulley of PIMCO fame discusses that very topic with his usual insight and wit. He poses the conundrum that those expecting a "V" shaped recovery have pushed risk assets up quite high, and that the real risk to their position is that they in fact get a "V" shaped recovery. And yet, they could go higher and into bubble territory.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Why is the Stock Market Rising While Unemployment is Soaring / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Daniel Gross points out that part of the reason that the American stock markets are going up even though unemployment is rising and the real economy suffering is because multinational corporations headquartered in the U.S. are experiencing strong sales abroad:
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Destroys the Crash Bears Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Seems like Déjà vu where virtually on every correction the mega perma-bears re-emerge to pronounce the demise of the bear market rally only to be beaten back down by the subsequent rally to a new high for the move as we witnessed today with the Dow closing above the previous mid October peak of 10,120, by closing at 10,226.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
Stock Market Slays the Doomsayers... Pullback Due.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Of course, that doesn't mean we can't and won't pull back because we will. We will have selling episodes that feel bad, but with the bears unable to take out those 50-day exponential moving averages with force, there is nothing bad going on for the bulls. We did break below on a closing basis on the S&P 500, but barely. The Nasdaq lost by a bit more but the Dow never broke. I wrote a nightly commentary on this.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Can't Ask for More / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The indices had a huge rally today, gapping up sharply at the opening, running hard in the morning, and then working their way steadily higher in a rising channel all session. Then in the last 15minutes they exploded into the close, closing at the highs for the day going away. The bulls couldn't ask for more.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
Russia Regroups Twenty Years After the Fall of the Berlin Wall / Stock-Markets / Articles
We are now at the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the beginning of the collapse of the Soviet empire in Eastern Europe. We are also nearing the 18th anniversary of the fall of the Soviet Union itself. This is more than simply a moment for reflection -- it is a moment to consider the current state of the region and of Russia versus that whose passing we are now commemorating. To do that, we must re-examine why the Soviet empire collapsed, and the current status of the same forces that caused that collapse.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
Stock Market On a Glide Path Towards Dow 11,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
All the market and the economy are asking for is a little bit of respect. The expectation of better economic news, coupled with above estimated earnings has put the equity market on a glide path towards 11,000 over the course of the next few months. The economy is on a bumpy recover, with manufacturing replacing all the stuff bought over the past six months (inventory rebuild), while productivity of American workers is through the roof. So goes the bullish argument. However, the king of lagging indicators, unemployment is not really showing signs of “expansion”.
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