Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 05, 2009
Any Way You Slice It, We’re at a Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As you’re no doubt well aware, the US stock markets have been on an absolute tear since March 2009. Indeed, October stands as the first month stocks closed at a loss this year, which means the market had seven straight winning months in a row. This HAS to be some kind of record.
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
Is Warren Buffett Implying the Stock Market Will Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Before we begin this article we would like to clarify that neither this article nor this site is associated with Mr. Buffett. Then why did we title this article that way. Continue reading and you will figure out the relationship.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Analysis for November 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Starting with the indexes gives an overall perspective to the markets. This is monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent for defining the longer-term trends for the market.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
China Up / U.S. Down Investment Risk Theme Checkup / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
One big investment risk is subscribing to a popular mantra with your life’s savings, without continuously checking the data — the facts — to make sure the mantra continues to make sense.
The “China up” and “U.S. down” theme is a major current mantra. There are plenty of very bright, well informed, high profile people espousing the virtues of investing in China — people such as Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Mohamed El-Erian, George Soros and many others.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Still Many Broken Charts Despite the Stock Index Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Something that has been apparent lately is the weakness in small and mid caps, masked by the relative strength in large caps. We can see this in the indexes - while we've corrected some in both NASDAQ and S&P 500 it is nothing like what I am seeing on individual stocks.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
This S&P 500 Chart Tells the Two-Part Truth / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Have you seen or read ANYTHING like this in the past two weeks?
The following text is courtesy of Elliott Wave International. Until Nov. 11, EWI is allowing non-subscribers to download their latest market analysis and forecasts for free, including Robert Prechter's latest Elliott Wave Theorist and Steve Hochberg's and Pete Kendall's latest Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. Learn more about FreeWeek, and download your free reports here.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Robert Prechter Latest Financial Market Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Eight months ago, the stock market began a very large rally -- the gains exceeded 60% in the S&P 500. Everyone knows this. But here's a fact that has gone virtually unreported: The vast majority of those gains (about 90%) were from March through August. By comparison, September and October were sluggish.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Fed Preventing Financial Institutions From Deleveraging by Propping Up Asset Prices / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Size matters. And it particularly matters when the size of the financial system grossly exceeds the productive capacity of the underlying economy. Then problems arise. Surplus capital flows into paper assets triggering a boom. Then speculators pile in driving asset prices higher. Margins grow, debts balloon, and bubbles emerge. The frenzy finally ends when the debts can no longer be serviced and the bubble begins to unwind, sometimes violently. As gas escapes; credit tightens, businesses are forced to cut back, asset prices plunge and unemployment soars. Deflation spreads to every sector. Eventually, the government steps in to rescue the financial system while the broader economy slumps into a coma.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Stock Market Going Nowhere... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I can try to think of a catchy title but what a waste of time. Only thing to say is what I said. We are Nowhere folks! The tape isn't a thing of beauty for either the bulls or the bears. It's playing, on almost a daily basis, with the 50-day exponential moving average on the S&P 500 while trading above it on the Dow and below it on the Nasdaq. A hunger for lower beta and lower P/E's is the story these past few weeks. That happens when markets, at the very least, are in correction mode. We fell 7% off the highs but there's been no follow through at the 50-day exponential moving average on the S&P 500, and considering we have the financials living there, they will have to falter much harder than they've already done for the S&P 500 to start looking truly bearish in nature.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Nouriel Roubini's 2009 Stock Market Calls Track Record / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
Nouriel Roubini, Dr Doom the academic economist who has repeatedly peddled the stocks bear market case to a captured audience of naive investors has again come out with another in a series of Doom stories that has the effect of scaring investors away from the market.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Jeremy Grantham, Stock Markets Being Silly Again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
My long time readers are familiar with Jeremy Grantham of GMO as I quote him a lot. He is one of the more brilliant and talented value managers (and I should mention very successful on behalf of his clients). He writes a quarterly letter which I regard as a must read. I have excerpted parts of his recent letter, where the chief investment strategist really takes the current financial system follies to task. Typical of his great writing and thinking is the quote from this week's Outside the Box selection:
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Investing in Preferred Shares Dividend Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
When I talk about dividend stocks here at Money and Markets, I almost always mean common shares of a company.
But today I want to tell you about another class of stock that some income investors gravitate toward: “Preferred” shares.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Has the Stock Market Broken Major Support? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In our last video on the S&P 500 (10/27), we indicated that this market may have topped out for the year. Today’s action puts in place a weekly “Trade Triangle” which indicates that a temporary or a permanent top is now in place for this market.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Possibility of Dow Stock Market Trend Change / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
The two charts above of the Dow Transports and The Dow Industrials indicate that there is the possibility of a Dow Trend change. The trend altered on the transports over the last three days but is unconfirmed at the moment by the Industrial 30.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Is The Stock Market Starting to Fail? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The proverbial question is we in a V shaped recovery or a Bear Market Rally. Without predicting (One word every true trend follower hates) there are signs becoming apparent the stock market rally from March might be coming to an end. There are technical indicators which are pointing to weakness as well as recent economic figures are beginning to disappoint investors hoping for a recovery.
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Monday, November 02, 2009
Stock Market Support Holds..Nothing Good Either Way.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bears are trying. I'll give them that. After all, they've taken out the 50-day exponential moving average on the Nasdaq and have kept it below for a few days now. The S&P 500 is playing leap from the 50-day exponential moving average.
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Monday, November 02, 2009
Long Term Equity Valuation, Replacing the P/E Ratio for DR3 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Is the S&P 500 undervalued from the current level? To answer this question, one might be tempted to look at the actual P/E (Price / Earnings) and establish a comparison with its historical data. You most likely have seen this chart before:
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Monday, November 02, 2009
Gold, Silver and Stocks Analysis, Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The S&P 500 was down over 4% for the week. This was the second week in a row that the market closed down. A short term correction is underway. It remains to be seen if the short term correction turns into a medium term move down.
Up first is the daily chart of the SPX. It shows lower diagonal support broken below. If the October low marked by the blue horizontal line is broken below it would raise the possibility that an intermediate term move is unfolding.
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Monday, November 02, 2009
Stocks, Dollar and Gold Bull Markets Inter-market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This analysis seeks to update the trend prospects for all three major markets into at least the end of this year by taking into account their inter-market relationships which should resolve in a more accurate projection for each individual market.
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Monday, November 02, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Forecast Update Into Year End / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The update on the stocks bull market of early September called for a continuing trend towards a target range of 9,750 to 10,000 by late September / Early October to be followed by a correction in the region of 10% towards a target zone of 8,900 to 9,100, as illustrated below.
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