Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 23, 2009
Red Alert, The Second Wave of The Financial Tsunami to Hit in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Many of my friends who have been receiving my e-mail alerts over the last two years have lamented that in recent weeks I have not commented on the state of the global economy. I appreciate their anxiety but they forget that I am not a stock market analyst who is paid to write articles to lure investors back into the market. My website is free and I do not sell a financial newsletter so there is no need for me to churn out daily forecasts or analysis.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Long, Immediate and Short-term Index Trading Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN
(See Long-Term Chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1974 for further details)
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Footprints of a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Asset markets around the world have been propelled higher from fiscal stimulus packages, record low interest rates and money printing. This type of government action can push markets higher in the short term, but to create long term growth bank lending has to increase along with rising consumption and job creation, none of which has happened. Actually bank lending is still contracting, unemployment is rising and consumption is in decline.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Mixed Signals Warn of Near, But Not Imminent End to Bear Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The rally from the 1030 low has entered a consolidation/correction phase which is likely to be followed by higher prices into the normally bullish December season.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern, Dollar Spikes on Middle East Intrigue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The The FDIC seems to be having a slow weekend! Keep checking on the FDIC Failed Bank List over the weekend. So far there is only one failed bank this weekend.
David Rosenberg points out that the world’s reserve currency is being used to fund just about every asset beyond cash on the risk spectrum.
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Recognising a Stock Market Top in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
John Whtehall writes: Risk Outweighing Reward for Financial Markets... Remember when the S&P was playing around 666-670? Remember that day? Of course we do. However, remembering how you felt on that day is far more important than glancing back at a date on a calendar. Most of the investing population remembers early March as if it were yesterday, but many investors are far too forgetful of the emotions elicited during that time.
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Market Expected to be Quiet Over Thanksgiving Holiday / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
In holiday shortened week, there won't be much to gleam from market action in the coming week.
Over the past couple of months, Monday's have been kind to the bulls. Wednesday will be light as traders ready for Turkey Day on Thursday. Friday is another snooze fest that seems to go to the bulls --why spoil a great American holiday?
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Markets Succumb to Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stock markets succumbed to a bout of profit-taking last week, sparked by concerns that the rally has overshot the pace of economic recovery. Riskier assets were showing signs of fatigue as the US dollar - the catalyst of many recent moves - stabilized and was perceived to be near its trough (if only short-term in the books of ardent dollar bears).
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Market High Drama Week with No Material Gain or Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Tight action and a negative bias ended another OpEx week.
Last week was a rather high drama week with no material price gain or loss.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Possible Stock Market Top Or Emergent Sideways Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
You know the stock market is in trouble when the only explanation for stock price movements is the direction of the dollar. Market goes up -- must be the dollar going down. Market goes down like last week -- must be the dollar firming up.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stock Market Correction Begins / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Do the Feds sense a Wil-e Coyote moment ahead?
Federal Reserve officials are stepping up scrutiny of the biggest U.S. banks to ensure the lenders can withstand a reversal of soaring global-asset prices, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Lives On / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The rally out of the March low lives on. Cyclically, this is a higher degree move that is, thus far, still intact. From a Dow theory perspective, there was a short-term non-confirmation in place the week of November 13th, but this last week that was corrected and the uptrend was reconfirmed. However, the longer-term data has not changed. From a longer-term perspective, this rally still must be viewed as a counter-trend affair or a cyclical bull within an ongoing secular bear market.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The story of the week was President Obama hopping on a plane to Communist China to learn about Capitalism, the U.S. Bond Market rallied on hopes of an extension to the China funded U.S. overdraft that currently totals $800 billion.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Year-End Investment Profit Parachute Strategy / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
“The end of an empire always comes when the currency is destroyed.”Congressman, Dr. Ron Paul, November 9, 2007
““That probably has to be a basket," Strauss-Kahn said of the eventual replacement for the dollar. "In a globalized world there is no domestic solution," he told a forum…
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Stock Market Rydex Timers Persistence / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel. This value is now at its lowest point since the rally began in March, 2009.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Obama in China Opening the Doors for Wall Street, Nothing More / Stock-Markets / China
Barack Obama took Hu Jintao to task this morning, scolding the dejected-looking Chinese leader at a press conference held in Beijing. Obama delivered one ferocious jab after another, claiming that China's dollar-peg has cost the US millions of high-paying manufacturing jobs while creating gigantic trade imbalances which have destabilized the global economy and thrust the world into severe economic contraction.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Stock Market Some Selling... Should Be More...Nothing Terrible / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A lateral range is simply that, a lateral range. It frustrates. It's annoying. The bulls want things to break out and the bears want things to break down. The bulls have had the best of it for sure and we have come oh so close many times to making that breakout move. We were on the cusp once again and once again the bears came in at the very top of those wedges and took the market down, especially the technology stocks. Those are the stocks that are most overbought and to be blunt, most frothy thus they took the biggest hit.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Recovery Rally in Ultra Short S&P 500 Proshares SDS / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
This is an extraordinary chart picture from the high in the UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares (NYSE: SDS) at 118.24 (3/06/09) into this week's low at 35.50. The most salient feature is the fact that RSI momentum hit its most oversold level on 8/04 at 45.37, and thereafter, each successive lower price low has been accompanied by a higher low in the RSI. Each one of the divergences produced a potent rally, but none of the rallies has been able to hurdle its prior peak.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Dow and NASDAQ Stock Indices Ready for Major Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It may surprise you as to which indices have had the most comeback from the lows seen in March. In today's video we take a close look at both the Dow and NASDAQ indices.
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Friday, November 20, 2009
Is the S&P Stock Market Index About to Plunge or Headed Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
In my latest video I hope to answer those questions and show you what I think could happen to this market in the near-term.
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