Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market S&P 500 Trend Analysis and Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The following article was published for the benefit of subscribers on Saturday November 23rd 2009. All indices and commodities are trading inversely to the US dollar index at present, so as long as the defined trend of the USD remains intact, everything else should trade inversely. Gold is presently in a parabolic move, which has repercussions mentioned a few days earlier…on to analysis of the S&P 500 index:
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Enters Seasonally Strong Period / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
Last week the market pretty much ended the week where it started as the S&P 500 closed on Friday down two points for the week. Gold though continued its torrid rise despite more premature calls by various talking heads and Wall Street experts for a major bottom in the dollar.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
U.S. Housing, Dollar and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
If this is the recovery, I would hate to see what a recession looks like!! Housing data released in the last week showed a still lousy housing market – from home builder confidence index that declined by a point to remain well under 20 (50 is “balanced”). Even traffic for new homes was near record lows. Housing starts and permits (a leading indicator of future starts ) both fell again. The Mortgage Bankers report of home purchases fell to a new low and are still down 15% vs. year ago levels.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Don’t Miss Out on the Looming Gold Bubble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Jon D. Markman writes: Gold was all the rage again last week. But why is it rising, and does anyone really know what it’s worth?
According to the way I calculate momentum, gold has just barely entered the gravity-free zone – where it has the potential to start advancing a lot, with much more fluidity.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
How Does the Stock Market Perform Over Thanksgiving Week? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
In this week's comments on investor sentiment, I alluded to the positive seasonality seen in the stock markets during the week of Thanksgiving. Here is some compelling data.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Marc Faber, Wall Street Is Living It Up, Everyone Else Is Suffering / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It has been a tumultuous phase for the markets globally in the recent past with major contractions in the private sector and huge stimulus packages. The question remains whether the markets are going to rally from here or is it bracing itself for a correction. Commenting on the same, Investment Guru Marc Faber says that the US economy did not respond well to stimulus packages. However, he adds, “The asset markets responded well to stimulus. The US Fed is keen to push the asset markets.”
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Societe Generale “Warning” Of Global Economic Collapse! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Socgen has issued a warning to its clients for a Global Economic Collapse! Seems the timing could not be better with 2012 in the movie theaters all over the world. Before one scoffs off Societe Generale’s warning one needs to take into context that they have been right in the past. One such instance was in May of 2008 they predicted a stock market collapse between 50-70%.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 23, 2009
Red Alert, The Second Wave of The Financial Tsunami to Hit in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Many of my friends who have been receiving my e-mail alerts over the last two years have lamented that in recent weeks I have not commented on the state of the global economy. I appreciate their anxiety but they forget that I am not a stock market analyst who is paid to write articles to lure investors back into the market. My website is free and I do not sell a financial newsletter so there is no need for me to churn out daily forecasts or analysis.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Long, Immediate and Short-term Index Trading Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN
(See Long-Term Chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1974 for further details)
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Footprints of a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Asset markets around the world have been propelled higher from fiscal stimulus packages, record low interest rates and money printing. This type of government action can push markets higher in the short term, but to create long term growth bank lending has to increase along with rising consumption and job creation, none of which has happened. Actually bank lending is still contracting, unemployment is rising and consumption is in decline.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Mixed Signals Warn of Near, But Not Imminent End to Bear Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The rally from the 1030 low has entered a consolidation/correction phase which is likely to be followed by higher prices into the normally bullish December season.
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Monday, November 23, 2009
Stock Market Bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern, Dollar Spikes on Middle East Intrigue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The The FDIC seems to be having a slow weekend! Keep checking on the FDIC Failed Bank List over the weekend. So far there is only one failed bank this weekend.
David Rosenberg points out that the world’s reserve currency is being used to fund just about every asset beyond cash on the risk spectrum.
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Recognising a Stock Market Top in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
John Whtehall writes: Risk Outweighing Reward for Financial Markets... Remember when the S&P was playing around 666-670? Remember that day? Of course we do. However, remembering how you felt on that day is far more important than glancing back at a date on a calendar. Most of the investing population remembers early March as if it were yesterday, but many investors are far too forgetful of the emotions elicited during that time.
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Market Expected to be Quiet Over Thanksgiving Holiday / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
In holiday shortened week, there won't be much to gleam from market action in the coming week.
Over the past couple of months, Monday's have been kind to the bulls. Wednesday will be light as traders ready for Turkey Day on Thursday. Friday is another snooze fest that seems to go to the bulls --why spoil a great American holiday?
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Markets Succumb to Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stock markets succumbed to a bout of profit-taking last week, sparked by concerns that the rally has overshot the pace of economic recovery. Riskier assets were showing signs of fatigue as the US dollar - the catalyst of many recent moves - stabilized and was perceived to be near its trough (if only short-term in the books of ardent dollar bears).
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Sunday, November 22, 2009
Stock Market High Drama Week with No Material Gain or Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Tight action and a negative bias ended another OpEx week.
Last week was a rather high drama week with no material price gain or loss.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Possible Stock Market Top Or Emergent Sideways Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
You know the stock market is in trouble when the only explanation for stock price movements is the direction of the dollar. Market goes up -- must be the dollar going down. Market goes down like last week -- must be the dollar firming up.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stock Market Correction Begins / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Do the Feds sense a Wil-e Coyote moment ahead?
Federal Reserve officials are stepping up scrutiny of the biggest U.S. banks to ensure the lenders can withstand a reversal of soaring global-asset prices, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Lives On / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The rally out of the March low lives on. Cyclically, this is a higher degree move that is, thus far, still intact. From a Dow theory perspective, there was a short-term non-confirmation in place the week of November 13th, but this last week that was corrected and the uptrend was reconfirmed. However, the longer-term data has not changed. From a longer-term perspective, this rally still must be viewed as a counter-trend affair or a cyclical bull within an ongoing secular bear market.
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Saturday, November 21, 2009
Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The story of the week was President Obama hopping on a plane to Communist China to learn about Capitalism, the U.S. Bond Market rallied on hopes of an extension to the China funded U.S. overdraft that currently totals $800 billion.
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