Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 07, 2009
Pondering the Stock Markets Next Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Heres our indicator positioning and our thoughts on the week ahead...
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Monday, December 07, 2009
Stock Market Rally Devil’s Advocate / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
A Contrarian Bullish Perspective On The Zombie Dia And The Status Quo Powers That Keep It Alive
How the Deck is Currently Stacked
Despite the unequivocal failure of the entire global financial system, the prescient minority bearish contingent whom saw the writing on the wall years ago, are duly disappointed with the present outcomes since March. This persistently bearish free-market contingent views the presently unfolding outcomes as a complete waste of a-once-in-a-lifetime crisis in which nothing of sustainable utility has been resolved to reconcile such an unmitigated disaster. This contingent is largely of the belief that the worst is yet to come.
Sunday, December 06, 2009
Stock Market Trends Update, Short Down, Medium Up, Long Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN -
(See Long-Term Chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1974 for further details)
Sunday, December 06, 2009
Financial Market Trends For Gold, 10 Year Treasury Yields, And Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
On Friday, yields on the 10 year Treasury spiked higher by little over 3%. Our composite indicator that assesses the strength in the trends of gold, 10 year Treasury yields, and crude oil is back into the extreme zone. This represents a headwind for equities.
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Sunday, December 06, 2009
Stock Market Short-term Rally More Probable than a Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that
much lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down
decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low
point.
Sunday, December 06, 2009
Stock Market Cross Currents / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The trading range that has developed over the past several weeks is emblematic of the cross currents confronting this market. New highs seem to be made daily and then boom, the rug is pulled out from the market, and prices plunge for a couple of hours. Buyers appear and back to the highs we go and selling begins again. If you are looking for some support area where you might think it is "safe" to find a low risk entry, then this isn't the market for you. Sell offs are clearly unpredictable although they are occurring at the upper reaches of the trading zone that I had expected when I stated this over two months ago:
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Sunday, December 06, 2009
This Stock Market is on Less Footing than in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
It seems that we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era. In fact, the words bubble, gold, bull market, and stocks seem to be popping up on finance web sites all over the virtual stratosphere.
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Sunday, December 06, 2009
Stock Markets Pull Back Off The Top On The Best Possible News / Stock-Markets / Articles
What an interesting day we saw today. An unusual day from many perspectives. We can start with the jobless report that came out 60 minutes before the opening bell. Expectations were calling for nearly 150,000 job losses. We saw only 11,000. You can imagine how much the market loved that report, especially when you add in that the employment rate fell from 10.2% to 10.0%, another nice surprise. Of course, that's a bad number overall but it was better than the market had expected it to be.
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Sunday, December 06, 2009
Gold Fever Boils Over and the Master Forecasters of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The big news story of the week was the improving Jobs picture in the U.S. which saw the unemployment rate dip back to 10% from 10.2%, triggering a surge in the stock indices early Friday. Last weeks news of Dubai World's debt default hit Emirate stock markets hard this week with the UAE's main exchange in Abu Dhabi down more than 20%.
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Probability of a Stock Market Crash Is Rising / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A new ball game?
In the past few weeks, this analyst has been taking the unpopular stance that the US Dollar Index might be wanting to bottom out. The sharp rise on Friday (chart courtesy yahoo.com) may or may not have been the start of a new move but it was certainly not a mild move in currency terms.
Saturday, December 05, 2009
Nasdaq NDX Stock Index Futures Technical Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I was lucky in the order, but I've always been lucky when it comes to killin' folks – Character of William Munny, as played by Clint Eastwood, in the Movie Unforgiven
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Bullish Trend Remains Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Grudgingly, I must admit that the market's upward trend remains in place. However, this remains a very difficult market to make money in while the risk/reward still looks more like a gamble on the long side rather than a solid speculation.
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Positive Seasonal Factors Have Ended, Heading for a Down Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
The good news is: • The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new recovery high last Monday.
Short Term - Seasonality has not been very influential for the past 3.5 years (mid 2006).
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Losing Traction on Lack of Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The employment situation suggests an improvement - The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In the prior 3 months, payroll job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. In November, employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and information, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Investment Profit Vehicles for the Intensifying Financial and Economic Storm / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
“A Great Collapse. The U.S. economic and systemic solvency crises of the last two years are just precursors to a Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. Such will reflect a complete collapse in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity, a collapse in the U.S. financial system as we know it, and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. The current U.S. financial markets, financial system and economy remain highly unstable and vulnerable to unexpected shocks. The Federal Reserve is dedicated to preventing…debasing the U.S. dollar…
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Friday, December 04, 2009
If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Robert Folsom writes: The major stock indexes are the wrong place to look.
A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline:
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Stock Market Sectors and Bonds for Higher Investment Income Yields / Stock-Markets / Dividends
The Federal Reserve’s policy of pegging interest rates to the floor is having a slew of consequences. It’s driving down the dollar. It’s helping fuel new asset bubbles. It’s leading to the misallocation of economic resources.
And perhaps most importantly for you, it’s punishing savers. By cutting the federal funds rate to a range of zero percent to 0.25 percent, the Fed has forced rates on short-term Treasuries, short-term certificates of deposit, and money market accounts into the gutter. You can’t earn squat on these safe, cash-like investments.
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Friday, December 04, 2009
The Resilient FTSE 100 Stocks Index May be in for Trouble Ahead / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Investment Fraud after Investment Fraud, Another Ponzi Scheme Comes to Light / Stock-Markets / Scams
So many thought all the investment frauds would have ended already. However more and more have come to light. One investment fraud which shocked me was Scott Rothstein who I knew from college.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
Dow Stocks Index Expanding Triangle Bearish Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
My most recent in depth analysis of the stock market (02 Nov 2009 - Stocks Bull Market Forecast Update Into Year End) concluded with a projected rally for the Dow from 9712 to the target zone of 10,350 to 10,500, which on subsequent price action was fine tuned to 10,425 (Nov 2009 - Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? ). This was achieved last week and was followed by a swift drop following the Dubai debt crisis implying that the correction towards the target zone of 9,900 to 9,950 was underway.
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