Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 30, 2009
Stock Market Solid 5-Wave Advance Reverses Morning Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets started out the week on a positive note after some early session choppiness. They were down early at the get-go, rallied to session highs early on, and then rolled over hard to the session lows before noon. They meandered back and forth, held support and then launched a 5-wave advance over the last three hours to close with a solid advance.
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Monday, November 30, 2009
Financial Crash Risk Increasing Exponentially as Derivatives Monster Continues to Grow / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin here with an urgent reminder that, despite what you may be hearing from Washington, risk is still a four-letter word.
And despite solemn vows to the contrary, the U.S. government is promoting risk with new-found enthusiasm and gall.
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Monday, November 30, 2009
Stock Market Sector-By-Sector Analysis / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Yesterday, I noted that this market rally since March 2009 has been one of the most beta-heavy rallies in history. This means that picking out individual investments (individual stocks or companies) has contributed FAR less to investment success than the allocation of one’s money into the right “sector” or “asset.”
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Monday, November 30, 2009
Forget Dubai, This is What Could Cause a Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Last Monday, we reported on the VIX (Volatility Index) and how it had an "Expanding Wedge" pattern.
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Monday, November 30, 2009
Stock Market Key Reversal Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Markets are on shakey ground - but its all bullish...
Stock Barometer Analysis
The Barometer remains in Sell Mode.
Monday, November 30, 2009
Dow, Gold and Dollar Trading, What Goes Down Must Come Up? / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
This year has been a very exiting time for traders and investors. We have seen a steady climb in prices with controlled pullbacks in the broad market and gold.
Using technical analysis we are able to quickly and accurately make informed decisions just from looking at the charts. In the charts below you will see how simple chart patterns along with support & resistance levels can provide excellent low risk entry points. Also you will see how candle stick charts can be an early indicator for prices to reverse direction.
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Stock Index Trading Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN -
(See Long-Term Chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1974 for further details)
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Stocks, Commodites and Bond Inter-Market Relationships / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Ten Year Yields have been tracking in the same direction as stocks for years – until this summer. Now they are moving in opposite directions. What gives?
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Federal Reserve Allowing Bailed Out TARP Banks To Restrict Commercial Lending / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The following information may be the most important we have ever published. One of our Intel sources, highly placed in banking circles, tells us that on 1/1/10 all banks that have received TARP funds have been informed by the Federal Reserve that they must further restrict any commercial lending. Loans have to be 75% collateralized, 50% of which has to be in cash, which is a compensating balance.
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Will Dubai Debt Crisis Crack Uber Bullish Stock Market Sentiment? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As shoppers were emptying their purses on Black Friday bargains, Dubai’s attempt to reschedule its debt roiled financial markets, plunging risky assets into the red. The government of Dubai requested a six-month payment freeze on the $59 billion debt issued by Dubai World - a state-owned conglomerate that has become known for its extravagant real estate projects.
Worries about Dubai’s debt woes rattled investors’ confidence, precipitating a sell-off in equities, high-yielding corporate bonds, commodities and the Baltic Dry Index, while mature-market government debt, the US dollar and the Japanese yen attracted safe-haven buyers. On Thursday and Friday, many emerging-market and high-yielding currencies declined sharply.
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Still Waiting For the "R" Word / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As expected, last week's holiday infested market action provided little clarity. The sentiment picture remains relatively unchanged. Nonetheless, there was a market moving event, and the "default in Dubai" will likely leave investors with one of two conclusions: 1) coordinated efforts by central bankers to re-liquify the world economy are likely to continue as bad news means good news --the proverbial punch bowl will be with us for awhile; or 2) the house of cards -otherwise known as the recovery - is beginning to look a little wobbly; central bankers, no matter how hard they try, are unable to fight the forces of deleveraging. This contagion just won't go away so easily.
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Sunday, November 29, 2009
Dubai Property Crash Delivers Debt Black Swan to Deflationists / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This weeks major market event came late in the week whilst American's took the day off on Thursday for Thanksgiving, Dubai declared that it will be freezing repayments for at least 6 months on part of its approx $90 billion or so of visible debt at the state run Dubai World company ($20 billion). The ratings agencies responded by cutting the ratings on Dubai bonds to junk status.
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Saturday, November 28, 2009
Was March the True Stock Market Bottom? Here is How You Will Know Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Associated Press calls them “fully invested bears.”
It’s the most unique phenomenon of this rally. They are the large and successful group of investors – both individual and institutional – who see the economic reality around them and are naturally bearish. However, they’re still fully invested.
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Saturday, November 28, 2009
The Subprime Dubai Debt Default Crash / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Subprime Dubai
More Government Data Fun:
Unemployment Claims Were Not Down
Why I Am Optimistic About the Future
The Millennium Wave
I admit that of late my writings have had a rather dark tone. There are certainly a number of severe long-term problems that we must deal with, and they're going to serve up a lot of economic pain. But the Thanksgiving weekend with the kids has me in a reflective mood, and one that has only served to underscore my long-term optimism. This week we look at why 2007 will not be the good old days we will yearn for in 20 years, after we briefly visit Dubai and the latest unemployment numbers.
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Saturday, November 28, 2009
Dump the Dow, Stock Market Bullish Trend Under Growing Pressure / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
My crusade this week is to get financial analysts to stop focusing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average is the most important symbol of the US stock market. In the ticker tape parade everyday on CNBC, I would much rather see the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and the Russell 2000 rather than the Dow.
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Saturday, November 28, 2009
Stocks Market Bearish Visions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There are, in my opinion, some extremely strong warning signals being sent out by the markets right now. Every time we delay the inevitable by artificially supporting and bailing out markets, we create the set up for the next round of volatility. Governments cannot change the primary trend of the economy, they can only destroy the currency and destroy confidence through their irrational and dangerous acts designed to protect the few and screw the majority.
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Friday, November 27, 2009
Dubai Drops a Turkey on Global Financial Markets! / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
This was shaping up to be such a calm and enjoyable Thanksgiving week.
A lot of important economic reports were crammed into the first three days of the week. Most of them provided positive surprises, supporting the scenario of a nicely improving economy. It wasn’t good that the economic recovery in the third quarter wasn’t as strong as previously reported, with 3rd quarter GDP being revised down to 2.8% from the previously reported 3.5%.
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Friday, November 27, 2009
S&P 500 Temporarily Falls to 20 Day Moving Average, Russell 2000 Back to "Broken" / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Overnight, S&P futures had fallen all the way down to 1070, but as has been the case so many times the past year furious buying in premarket pushed the market higher in the 2 hours before the US markets opened. Hence domestic markets launched far above the worse levels overnight. The S&P has jumped as I write all the way back up to test its 20 day moving average from below (1090)...
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Friday, November 27, 2009
Flashback: Head of FDIC Says ‘The FDIC will never go broke’ / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Flashback: On January 15, 2009, the head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Sheila Bair, insisted that deposits in American banks were secure:
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Friday, November 27, 2009
Fed in Denial on Existence of Asset Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Ever see one of those “See no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil” statues or pictures? The ones with the three monkeys, one covering his eyes, one covering his ears, and one covering his mouth?
That’s pretty much what the Federal Reserve appears to be doing now when it comes to the asset markets …
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