Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 21, 2010
Short S&P 500 ETF Confronting Key Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Last week I entered a 50% long position in the single-levered Short S&P 500 ProShares ETF (NYSE: SH) just in case Mr. Market decided it did not like earnings season or the President's agenda.
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Broad Based Declined Across Financial Markets Except the Dollar, The Big One Could Finally Be Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week, we are witnessing something that should become fairly "as usual" over the coming months: Broad based price declines in virtually every major asset except the USD.
Gold is down about 3% for the week so far, silver is down about 6.5% for the week, and the USD is up (according to our analysis there really isn't much chance of it going anywhere else for the next while).
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
China Stock Market, Never Short a Country That Has $2 Trillion in Cash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The first rule of successful global investing - to paraphrase the words of New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman - is a simple one.
Never short a country with $2.3 trillion in currency reserves.
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Stock Market Bears Get the Ball Rolling / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today we saw the Dow down as much as 210 points before it rallied off of some oversold 60-minute charts. It finished down 122 points which is still somewhat satisfactory for the bears. They can at least feel as if they did a little damage, although, there has to be some frustration over the fact that they couldn't even close the major indexes below the 20-day exponential moving average. Only when that is accomplished will they get the chance to take this market down to the 50-day exponential moving averages across the major index charts.
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Stock Market, Gold Meltdown and U.S. Dollar Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
For the past few weeks I have been expecting the market to correct. By looking at the price action on the weekly and daily charts we can see that there has not been any real pullback since November and that is important to note. Without regular market corrections stocks start to become over bought meaning everyone has/is buying them and no real sellers have jumped off the trend. So when the price in an over bought market starts to slide lower we generally see everyone rush to hit their sell buttons. This is what causes the high volume breakdowns similar to the GLD (Gold) breakdown last December.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Stock Market Negative Reactions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The economic data continues to disappoint, although may are looking at the bright side (at least it is not as bad as last year!). However, the bit of “news” that surprised investors was news from JP Morgan as they released earnings data that they will be stashing more reserves away to cover additional loan losses. That took the markets down a peg and increased investors concerns that just maybe the stock market and economy are moving in two different directions.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Stock Market Remains in Sell Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Brown Beats Coakley
What does that mean for the markets?
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Stock Market Bouncing Off Oversold... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
But the market needs more unwinding. It can do it in two ways, of course. It can move in a base or laterally. Up, down, up, down, etc. The other way is a good old fashioned period of harder selling. One way or the other it should get the job done over the coming days and weeks. We are simply too stretched out here on the medium to longer term time frame charts to continue blasting higher but that doesn't mean we're going to fall apart.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
The Secret Formula for This Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I’m about to share with you the basic outlines for this market rally started March 2009. In no way shape or form am I providing official recommendations or investment advice in this post. I am merely pointing out the obvious trends that this rally has followed.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Is the Stock Market Flashing a “Sell” Signal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday’s decline has got a lot of commentators asserting that the official top is in for the rally that started March 2009. The primary reason for these assertions is that stocks look to have broken the rising channel they entered during this last leg up.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Stock Market Rally in its Final Stages, Elliott 5th Wave? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s time for a review of the broader market indices and possible implications for traders and investors: This analysis may prove controversial, but I tend to make big picture calls at critical junctures. This analysis is getting more bearish I realize, as I’ve been bullish since Feb 25th on the markets. I simply look at all the evidence, and instead of burying my head in the sand, I take it all in and plan accordingly. Being a perma-bull or perma-bear is a quick way to under-perform the markets. I try to be nimble and trade/invest accordingly. The next few weeks are likely to be volatile, possibly to the downside a bit. The market may not have peaked quite yet, but it’s feeling like the 8th inning in the game. Below are my thoughts:
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bills and the Budget Deficits, Financial Markets Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The 10-year T-note auction showed a bid to cover of 3 to 1, versus a 10 auction average of 2.67%.
We have been told over and over again a weak dollar would build exports and turn our balance of payments deficit down. Well, it hasn’t happened yet.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Smarter Stock Market Investing in Defensive Stocks for Profits in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: For U.S. investors looking to profit in the near term, the best offense may be a good defense.
"Defensive investing" becomes a mantra for investors who are seeking to navigate periods dominated by high risk, slow growth or excessive uncertainty. Given that the current market outlook probably contains an element of each of those scenarios, a strategy that includes elements of care and caution will make for a wise course of action.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Stock Market Pullback, Are the Bulls Afraid? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Welcome to Lynn T's 1-2-3 PLUS Alert.It would seem that the bears have crept out of hibernation and stunned the bulls. Now, I don't think the startling will curb the advance for long. It might just be a cure to the bull's hiccups. So, are the bulls afraid? Not at all.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Financial Markets, Economic Forecasts and Investing Strategies for 2010, What to Buy and Sell / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible. Gary was among the first to point out the problems with the subprime market and predict the housing and credit crises. His track record in this decade has been quite good. I want to thank Gary and his associate Fred Rossi for allowing us to view this smaller version of his latest letter.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Topping Action Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Stock Market SPY Index Trading Buy Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning: SPY: Long 50%
General Commentary: The system for the SPY is on a Buy signal
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Dow Jones (YM, CBOT) Options Trade Alert / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
The J.E.D.I. Way will be buying the following call option on the MINI-SIZED DOW JONES (YM, CBOT) at the Market:
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market finished last Friday on a decidedly bearish note – big drop on heavy volume. The question for this week is whether this was simply an aberration attributable to an options expiration day or the beginning of some kind of market correction.
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stocks and Gold and Commodity Trends Impacted by China Inflation Worries / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The big news this week was that China’s Central Bank – the People’s Bank of China (BOC), raised the reserve deposit rate on funds held under account by 50 basis points, starting Jan. 18. So, why did the BOC feel the need to raise the rate?
Well, let’s take a look at China’s recent credit reports, and see what’s been going on. In November of 2009, China’s banks lent out 295 billion Yuan in total. Last week, the banks lent about 100 billion Yuan ($14.6 billion) PER DAY – EVERY DAY.