Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Investors Fooled by Talk of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
What a week we’ve just witnessed. In 3 days the entire gains in equities in 2010 have been wiped out. The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all fell into the red for the year to date. The gold price dropped to its’ lowest in a month. And this all happened at a time when investor confidence had started the week at a 27 month high according to the VIX index…
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Is the Stock Market in Trouble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Hello everyone this is Adam Hewison. I just got back from New Zealand and Australia and when I returned from "down under" and studied the charts this past weekend, I can see that the major indices have not fared well while I was away.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Trend Tracking the 45 Day Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Through my outlooks in recent years, I have often pointed out that the most dominant cycle in US stocks is the nominal 10-week component - which, at the present time, has a current 'expression' of 45 trading days from trough-to-trough.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Quiet Inside Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today's candlestick traded inside of Friday's large down stick and normally that equates to another day of struggling for this market. When a market has trended down for a few or more consecutive days and you get this type of inside stick, you can expect a little more selling in normal times. Apple's (AAPL) earnings tonight could try and turn that tide but normally the market will have a tougher time. Futures are up some after hours based on AAPL so it may be different this time but don't bet on that too much. Nothing will be easy for this market very short term. Those tough and too powerful sentiment readings just haven't been worked off enough to get aggressive with regards to buying stocks.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Harami Candlestick Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news about a hirami is that it is moderately bullish...
http://www.stockbarometer.com/candlesbullish.aspx
Monday, January 25, 2010
Stock Market Breakdown! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The monthly chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Index below (courtesy BigCharts.com) shows that the Index:
1. has failed to penetrate the falling trend line on the upside, and
2. has broken below the lower boundary of the (typically bearish) rising wedge pattern
Monday, January 25, 2010
Anticipated Stock Market Correction on Not So Hot Bank Earnings and Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We may have gotten our answer posed last week with the thud heard on Wall Street this week; earnings at the banks are not that great and neither is the economic data, giving the equity markets a bad case of the flu! Housing continues in a funk, with starts declining (again), although those looking at the glass half full would say that permits (a leading indicator) rose – potentially providing some good news in the months ahead. Also jumping a bit were initial jobless claims, and more importantly the rise above its 10-week average, potentially ending talk of job gains come the February jobs report.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Gold, Dollar, China, Important 2010 Q&A / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Even though it’s very early in the new year, there are some wild market movements and lots of news out of China, which has prompted readers to ask me many questions. So, I’m dedicating today’s issue to those questions — and my answers …
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Rude Awakening For Stock Market Investors 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The heyday of the Bush-Obama bailout frenzy is coming to an end.
The bailout’s base of public support, tenuous from the outset, is collapsing.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
How To Trade Bernanke Re-appointment Decision Either way / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
Market commentator Peter Navarro presents the case for firing Ben Bernanke and evaluates different trading strategies depending on whether a Keynesian like Larry Summers or Alan Blinder replaces him versus a new "stable money" Fed chair like John Taylor, Martin Feldstein, or Paul Volcker.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Major Change Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Let’s talk about sentiment.
Last week was the worst market week since March 2009. Similarly, the three-day decline from Wednesday through Friday was the worst three days since March 2009. The market is now officially in the red for 2010. And the persons we’ve identified as market props (Bernanke, Geithner, etc) are now beginning to come under intense fire for their actions.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Will the Stock Market Rebound from Last Week's Beating? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks slipped sharply in the past three days as the underlying market weakness we've been highlighting for the past two weeks finally mattered. A number of better-than-expected earnings reports were ignored. Even the successful election of a Republican to one of Massachusetts' two Senate seats, which helped health-care stocks push the market up on Tuesday, wasn't enough.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Stock Market Downtrend into Key Reversal Date Low of 28th Jan / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
With the market moving sharply lower last week, we have a key reversal date coming soon.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Stock Market Outlook and Forecast Into Mid 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Equity markets have enjoyed a near flawless advance since the March low. Now with the quick retracement last week, many investors are becoming concerned that a steep correction is in the making. It is important to remember that markets typically trade up 1/3rd of the time, down 1/3rd and flat 1/3rd. Models suggest that the probability of a period of horizontal trading is increasing as the bull market moves toward mid-2010.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
Stock Market Price Plunge Means Lowering Expectations on Intervening Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Purely from a technical perspective, last week¹s price plunge indicates that significant near-term technical damage was inflicted on the heretofore dominant Mar-Jan uptrend (as viewed in the accompanying S&P 500 chart), and that additional price weakness should be expected into the beginning of February. Furthermore, my intermediate-term cycle work is poised to create headwinds into the end of Q1.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
Are Commodities and the Stock Market Dow Index Dead? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It was a heart pounding week on Wall Street as traders and investors locked in profits during 2010’s first round of earnings season. While it is normal to see selling of shares after good news hits the market, last weeks melt down was over exaggerated and for good reasons.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
Stock Market Heading for Black Monday Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
On Friday Goldman Sachs and J P Morgan broke down decisively from their Head-and-Shoulders tops, a development that we predicted before the open based in large part on the huge downside volume in these stocks on Thursday. The Put options that we bought in the early trade in GS and JPM soared, some contracts rising by about 50% by the close. This bearish development caused shockwaves to spread through the market which accelerated to the downside late in the day. After 2 days of heavy losses the Precious Metals stocks indices stopped for a breather just above their 200-day moving averages, and closed virtually unchanged on the day.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
Stock Market Plunge Wipes Out December and January Gains! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
S&P shed 44 points last week, and established a mid-term downtrend.
This is what I wrote regarding the weekly frame in Thursday’s post
There are signs of a correction on the chart, broken uptrend line, rapidly falling RSI, a cross on MACD
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Stock Market Correction, Watch for Bearish Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In my previous weekly newsletter, I urged extreme caution in the market until the question of whether the market was at the beginning of a correction had been resolved. This last week, with the American stock market taking its worst set of consecutive losses since bouncing off the March lows, we got our answer. The market is definitely in a correction.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
China Stocks Continue to Lead Financial Markets and Gold Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week's report started with China's announcement to raise reserve requirements for bank deposits. The news sent markets into a tailspin. China continued this week to lead world markets down.
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