Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, May 24, 2010
Stock Market Bounce Should Be Short-Lived / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last week's bottom line can be summarized quite simply: There's a lot of serious chart damage out there! We certainly can look forward to a bounce -- and that could be 7 hours or 7 days -- which repairs or recovers some of the damage from last week. However, my sense is that the bounce will be fleeting and followed by another downleg.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Gold, Dow And The South African Rand / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week was a very interesting week in the gold market. Those people who think that gold is going down from here have a big surprise coming. However, we will probably have more of these scary drops in the gold price as we continue into this volatile phase of the gold bull market. The good news for gold bugs is that we will also have some huge up days, and the general trend will be very much up. Is a $50 or $100 up day coming soon?
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Monday Monetary Meltdown, Sill the Euro! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s funny how much damage a splash of cold water can do, isn’t it? Especially when that splash of cold water is reality and the witch is fiat currency. You are very, very lucky because I do not have to rant on about this for 2 pages here because I already told people this was going to happen in March of 2007, when I warned that rising oil prices were indicating a serious issue with fiat currencies and would eventually undo our then-indestructible rally. The title of that post was "Are We Heading for an Economic Tornado?"
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Monday, May 24, 2010
ETFs and the Flash Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Liquidity is one of the key selling points for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), but the Dow Jones “flash crash” of May 6 shows how that supposed advantage can turn into a huge liability for investors.
A report this week from the SEC and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) found that ETFs accounted for the overwhelming majority of securities that fell at least 60 percent that day. Many of those ETFs fell all the way to $0.01 per share during trading.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Conservative Equity Income Investment Filter / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Equity income is important to most investors who have substantially completed the savings stage of life, and who expect to rely on those assets to maintain lifestyle. While bonds are important to portfolios, they do not provide growth of income. Some level of income growth (equity income) is essential to those investors who expect to pay for lifestyle with investment income.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Bears Remain In Charge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Pick a cliché, tin hat time, carnage , capitulation, get some tinned food for the bunker as the market blew a collective fuse Thursday. Yes the week long rout in stocks deepened, with U.S. benchmark indexes losing the most in more than a year, as economic reports cast doubts about the strength of the economic recovery and European leaders struggled in vain to contain the region’s debt crisis.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
The Markets vs. Bernanke / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
Who should investors listen to; the markets or the Fed? One says we are in for a double dip recession, the other just raised GDP forecasts.
The head of our central bank Benjamin S. Bernanke has a perfect track record for predicting economic outcomes. Unfortunately, his track record is only perfect due to its 100% inaccuracy. The Fed Chairman once assured investors that the subprime housing crisis was contained and would not bring down real estate prices or affect the overall economy.
Monday, May 24, 2010
Evolving Financial Crisis: The World Banking System is Insolvent / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Keeping up with today’s dysfunctional markets is very difficult because they change hour by hour. The problems of Europe have stolen center stage from US problems. The focus is on Europe, but we all should remember trillions of dollars have been injected into the US financial system since mid-2007. All are attempting to maintain the façade that all is well, when in fact all is not well. Underlying assets are worth far less than their stated value.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Will Extreme Market Volatility Actually Stabilize the Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks tumbled across the board last week like a pair of dice rumbling around a craps table, rocked by extreme volatility. Just when it looked like they were rolling up the unnerving loss of the critical 200-day average on Thursday, bulls' returned to the fray and pushed the major indexes just barely back into safe territory.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Stocks Medium-term Bull Market May Have Started An Intermediate-term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear market. This bull market should last until 2011
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Greece Debt Crisis and Bailout Market Volatility, What Just Happened? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The events of the last few months have been far more important than I had originally given them credit for. The bottom line was when a group of European nations, together with the International Monetary Fund, gave loans to Greece to pay off the rioters. That very day Jean-Claude Trichet was in the financial markets buying bonds
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Robert Prechter's Stock Market Elliott Wave Cycle Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The August 2009 issue listed the range for typical retracement as being from 9368 to 11,620. This is a wide range, but there is nothing we can do about it; second waves have a lot of leeway. The illustration shown in that issue is reproduced below alongside an update of market prices. The Dow has so far stayed within the normal range."
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Sunday, May 23, 2010
How to Trade Gold and S&P500 Market Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock market topped in April which was expected from analyzing stocks and the indexes. On 2nd May I posted a few reports explaining how to read the charts to spot market tops. Today’s report is about identifying market bottoms.
It does not get much more exciting than what we have seen in the past 2 months with the market topping in April and the May 6th mini market crash. This Thursday we saw panic selling which pushed the market below the May 6th low washing the market of weak positions.
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Sunday, May 23, 2010
Stock Market Volatile Corrective Range, Debt Deflation Escape Velocity Towards Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The week started the way it ended - VOLATILE, the Dow came up for a breath of air on Monday by rallying some 100 points above the previous weeks close to 10718, only to be pulled back under water all the way to the bottom of its range, culminating in Fridays sinking towards the low end of its 10,900 to 9,800 range by putting in a low of 9,919.
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Sunday, May 23, 2010
MortiES Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast, Bulls Bank Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A Wave 4 is described as a Profit-Taking Wave. It is not so much that the Bears are getting stronger as the Bulls are taking profits off the table as they see them eroding. The mini-crash on 6May may not have been real in the eyes of many, but it did technical damage to the market. The emotions of traders are seen in the market as fear and greed have their way. That is also why I said in my post on 6May that the low of that day would be taken out, even though the massive rebound made many think it was just an anomaly. That low (1056) was broken Friday as ES dipped to 1051.25.
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Sunday, May 23, 2010
Stock Market Panics Versus Crashes, It Makes All the Difference! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Much has been written about the so-called “flash crash” that occurred on Thursday, May 6, which saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average lose nearly 1,000 points intraday. But did this sell-off fall under the category of a crash or a panic? The difference between the two events is significant and will usually determine whether the stock market bounces back or continues to free fall.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 23, 2010
Stock Market Catastrophic Down Wave, Coming Economic Calamity Could Lead to a New World Order / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Big picture: We believe stocks have entered catastrophic wave (C ) down, which should be the third and most devastating phase of the Grand Supercycle degree wave {IV} Bear Market. This decline has the potential to be a nation changing economic meltdown. We have been showing for months several dangerous massive Head & Shoulders top patterns in major stock indices around the world.
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Sunday, May 23, 2010
Nouriel Roubini Stock Market 20% Drop Forecast, Time to Buy? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
According to CNBC, Dr Doom Nouriel Roubini has issued a call that the stock market is expected to fall by as much as a further 20%, not stopping there he also stated that a double dip deeper deflationary recession is likely. Roubini made his call on Thursday with the Dow trading at 10,185.
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Sunday, May 23, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: It Would Be Better If... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It would be better if prices on all of the major indices: 1) decisively broke their 200 day moving averages; 2) closed below weekly support levels; and 3) closed below the February, 2010 lows. It would be better if the prior week's pullback, which morphed into this week's "correction", actually caused investors to utter the "b" word -- as in bear market. It would be better if investors had their spirit's broken as investor sentiment actually turned bearish (i.e., bull signal).
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Saturday, May 22, 2010
Stock Market Trend Decisively Broken, Major Correction OR Downward Bearish Trend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Plan A is in effect for retail investors – remain in cash until the trend reestablishes itself. The big question now is whether we have “merely” a major correction OR the beginning of a downward bearish trend.
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