Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Stock Markets Hit by Spanish Woes, Korea And Soaring USD LIBOR / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Back into crisis mode courtesy of Korean sabre rattling, Spanish banking woes & skyrocketing USD inter bank rates. This toxic mix dragged down US stocks Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its lowest level in three months. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase declined 3.5% plus to lead losses on the Dow, while Wells Fargo shed 4.7% after being downgraded over at Goldman Sachs.
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Stock Market Near-term Selling Pressure Near Exhaustion? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
If the Volatility Index (VIX) versus S&P 500 (SPX) pattern analysis has any merit, then this morning it should be indicating that the spike to new lows in the SPX is eliciting increasing levels of fear, represented by a spike to new highs in the VIX. This is NOT the case so far today.
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Global Stock Markets Co-ordinated 2.5% Tuesday Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We failed to retake 10,200 yesterday.We failed to retake 1,100 on the S&P and we failed our 2,225 line on the Nasdaq and that means we’ll be testing that 630 line on the Russell and, if they don’t hold, I’ll be sending a box of chocolates to CNBC to apologize for calling them a bunch of dangerous morons when they were telling their viewers to panic and liquidate their portfolios on Friday afternoon. Today, on their web-site, CNBC has quite the collection of headline articles including: Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Text Book Ending of a Substantial Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The end of the dream is not the end of the world, even though it may at times seem that way.
If I have learned one thing about financial markets over the last 40 years or so, it’s that large upward price moves often fail to relate to the realities of the real world. A human civilization based upon limitless consumption, fueled by an endless supply of credit in an environment of limited resources cannot go on forever. At some time it must end. In many ways this is really what the GFC is all about. The financial markets meltdown is merely a symptom of the disease – not the disease itself. This should never be forgotten.
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Eurozone Debt Contagion Telling Us It’s Time to Buy Dividend Stocks, REITS and MLPs / Stock-Markets / Dividends
Jon D. Markman writes: With the escalating Eurozone-debt-contagion fears of recent weeks, a significant shift is taking place in the global stock-and-bond markets.
The powerful bull cycle that grew out of the early March 2009 market lows - the quickest and strongest stock-market rebound of the past 50 years - has been losing some of its youthful verve as it matures. That means we can expect the pace of gains to moderate as asset classes (stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities) begin to differentiate themselves.
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Why Middle-Class America Is About to Get Slaughtered / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Tom Dyson writes: I spoke to a broker at Fidelity a few weeks ago. At the time, the stock market was rising almost every day. There was so much optimism in the marketplace it was almost surreal.
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
F.I.R.E. and F.E.A.R. In the NEW Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Well here we go. It seems that it is possible some very interesting times may be upon us, although not new but interesting for sure.The new FEAR (F&$% Everything And RUN) scenario may be playing out before our eyes and may grow quite a bit stronger in the coming days weeks and months.
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Marc Faber Says Stock Market Could Fall by a Further 15% / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom reports, talks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt about the outlook for U.S. stocks.
Faber says global stocks are in a "correction period" and believes the Standard & Poor's 500 Index could decline another 10-15 percent. He also discusses the violence in Thailand.
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Copper and Canaries, Signs of Panic Brewing in World Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The evidence suggests that the world’s markets may be on the edge of panic.
In particular, the ratio of the gold price/commodities index is manifesting a chart pattern known as a “double top”. Based on historical experience with this type of formation it is very likely that, if the old top is breached, we will see the gold price shooting up relative to commodity prices which, in turn, will likely be falling.&
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Why We Hate ETFs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Over the last 5 months we’ve been talking about buying the dips and selling the rips which up until recently has been the buzz. However we can now replace that with:
“Buy in the face of fear and sell into all rallies.”
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010
After the Crisis: Planning a New Financial Structure, Learning from the Bank of Dad / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
This week we visit an essay from an old friend of Outside the Box, Paul McCulley, the Managing Directpr of PIMCO. This is a speech he did at the Minsky Conference sponsored (I believe) by the Levy Institute. It was also the same speech he gave at my conference mid-April that was quite well received.
Essentially Paul argues that the cause of the recent crisis was the creation of the Shadow Banking System outside the purview of regulation. And while he did not use the line in this speech, he did at my conference, which is one of the truly great lines I have heard this year.
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Stock Market Indices Roll Over, Repelled by Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices started out the day with firm action, backed off, held support, and then ran to the session highs early in the morning. By midday they retested again and again key overhead resistance at 1840 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1090 on the S&P 500, but couldn't get through and began a slow rollover in the afternoon. In the last 15 minutes that accelerated down into the session lows near key support, particularly on the S&P 500.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Stock Market Continued Bearish Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I tried to think of what else there was to say but horrific summed it up best, I thought. Clearly, we are in a down trending market. I don't think anyone would argue with that premise. If you do argue it, I feel sure that you're totally wasting your energy. With a clean break below the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages and with some indexes below their 200-day exponential moving average, what good is there to say about things. Nothing if we're all honest about things.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Stock Market Bounce Should Be Short-Lived / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last week's bottom line can be summarized quite simply: There's a lot of serious chart damage out there! We certainly can look forward to a bounce -- and that could be 7 hours or 7 days -- which repairs or recovers some of the damage from last week. However, my sense is that the bounce will be fleeting and followed by another downleg.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Gold, Dow And The South African Rand / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week was a very interesting week in the gold market. Those people who think that gold is going down from here have a big surprise coming. However, we will probably have more of these scary drops in the gold price as we continue into this volatile phase of the gold bull market. The good news for gold bugs is that we will also have some huge up days, and the general trend will be very much up. Is a $50 or $100 up day coming soon?
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Monday Monetary Meltdown, Sill the Euro! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s funny how much damage a splash of cold water can do, isn’t it? Especially when that splash of cold water is reality and the witch is fiat currency. You are very, very lucky because I do not have to rant on about this for 2 pages here because I already told people this was going to happen in March of 2007, when I warned that rising oil prices were indicating a serious issue with fiat currencies and would eventually undo our then-indestructible rally. The title of that post was "Are We Heading for an Economic Tornado?"
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Monday, May 24, 2010
ETFs and the Flash Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Liquidity is one of the key selling points for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), but the Dow Jones “flash crash” of May 6 shows how that supposed advantage can turn into a huge liability for investors.
A report this week from the SEC and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) found that ETFs accounted for the overwhelming majority of securities that fell at least 60 percent that day. Many of those ETFs fell all the way to $0.01 per share during trading.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Conservative Equity Income Investment Filter / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Equity income is important to most investors who have substantially completed the savings stage of life, and who expect to rely on those assets to maintain lifestyle. While bonds are important to portfolios, they do not provide growth of income. Some level of income growth (equity income) is essential to those investors who expect to pay for lifestyle with investment income.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
Bears Remain In Charge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Pick a cliché, tin hat time, carnage , capitulation, get some tinned food for the bunker as the market blew a collective fuse Thursday. Yes the week long rout in stocks deepened, with U.S. benchmark indexes losing the most in more than a year, as economic reports cast doubts about the strength of the economic recovery and European leaders struggled in vain to contain the region’s debt crisis.
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Monday, May 24, 2010
The Markets vs. Bernanke / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
Who should investors listen to; the markets or the Fed? One says we are in for a double dip recession, the other just raised GDP forecasts.
The head of our central bank Benjamin S. Bernanke has a perfect track record for predicting economic outcomes. Unfortunately, his track record is only perfect due to its 100% inaccuracy. The Fed Chairman once assured investors that the subprime housing crisis was contained and would not bring down real estate prices or affect the overall economy.