Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Step Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Who Has It Right, Stock or Bond Market Investors? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
As David Rosenberg put it today, "One has to question which asset class has it right – stocks or bonds. It is extremely difficult to square a sustained economic recovery which is what the equity bulls are telling us with a $38 billion 2-year note auction that was sold at a new record low-yield of 0.665% (as was the case on Tuesday)."Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 02, 2010
How to Conquer Volatile Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market since the May “flash crash” and early July cycle low has been a trading range affair characterized by alternations between high and low volatility levels, or what pundits have taken to calling “volatile volatility.” As Steven Sears in his Barron’s column of July 26 pointed out, “The back-and-forth action is just the latest reminder that volatile volatility is a central fact of the 2010 market.” After being spoiled by last year’s extremely low volatility market, participants are shell-shocked at the heightened levels of volatility in recent months.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 02, 2010
Does the Stock Market Have Enough In-flowing Liquidity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No matter how you cut it, the stock market needs "an increasing inflow of money to go up and increasing money flow to sustain an up move".
One of the daily charts we post on our paid subscriber site shows the in-flow and out-flow of Liquidity in the stock market.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
The Dangerous Financial Markets Confidence Game / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We are near a major turn in markets and preparing landmark new recommendations this week. So I’m going to be very brief and get straight to the point:
Wall Street brokers and pundits seem to think their dangerous con game can prevail despite a major decline in the real economy.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Stocks, U.S. Dollar, Gold and Miners Technical Chart Report / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2010
Stocks: I expect, barring some kind a catastrophe, next week should be another good week for the market. The recent minor pullback has worked off the short term overbought conditions and in the process formed a small bull flag.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Wall Street’s Mood Shift Signaling a Profit-Making Stock Market Price Push Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: A mood of mild optimism has begun to spread down Wall Street not long after there was nothing but long faces. Fancy that.
More good news out of Europe, better-than-expected new home sales, and the latest of a solid second-quarter earnings season has helped resuscitate the animal spirits that were missing in action since the spring.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Stock Market, Look For A Retest Of The Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In our mid-day update to our subscribers on Friday we said : “Part of me would feel safer seeing a retest of recent highs for a mini double top (little red line at 1120 or even the 1131 level before a drop as that would mark a double top at a retest of 1120 and/or a 5th and final wave higher.”Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 01, 2010
Low Risk ETF Trading Setups for SP500, Gold and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
As we all know there is an unlimited amount of ways to trade the financial markets. Each person sees the market in a different way, has different skill sets, trading experience and risk tolerance levels. While some individuals create and use complete systems to make money there are some very basic trading strategies which still work well and require nothing more than basic charting, patients and a little money management.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 01, 2010
Stock Market Targeting Down Trend S&P 900 to 950 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
SPX: Intermediate trend.The index made an intermediate top at 1220 and is now in an intermediate
downtrend which should come to an end in October 2010.
Sunday, August 01, 2010
Economic Coin Flips and WikiLeaks Catching Up With Market Truths / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Many market analysts were left scratching their heads as the stock market ignored bad news the whole week from ECRI recession data to worse than expected U.S. GDP data by closing up on the week at 10,466 (10,425), with the Dow continuing its meandering trend towards a target of 10,700 which will more than likely be achieved this coming week. Last weeks newsletter (Stocks Bull Markets Generate Economic Growth) proved an opportune reminder to readers to remember asset prices drive economic growth which is contrary to the consensus view.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
Solving the Great Disconnect Between Stock Market and Economic Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We have a “Great Disconnect” on our hands.
On Monday, the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas released its latest manufacturing survey. This wasn’t old, stale data; the survey was conducted in mid-July. And the results were awful, with the headline index plunging to -21 from -4 a month earlier. That was the worst showing in a year.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
Stock Market Reversal Again At Support...Should Be Bullish Short Term.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yesterday we had a strong move down to support. We blew through 1099 and headed to the 50-day exponential moving average at 1093. It actually fell slightly below. We rallied as the day went on, but closed poorly. This allowed for another gap down today that was quite nasty, as we once again, tested the 50-day exponential moving average. This time we went a bit lower than yesterday as we traded to 1089. Getting too close for comfort when you think of how close we got to 1080, or the long term down trend line. It was do or die time for the market.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
Stock Market Advances on Bad Economic News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. Economy Grew 2.4% in Second Quarter, Below Forecast
Growth in the U.S. slowed to a 2.4 percent annual rate in the second quarter, less than forecast, reflecting a larger trade deficit and an easing in consumer spending.
The increase in gross domestic product compared with a median forecast of 2.6 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and follows an upwardly revised 3.7 percent pace in the first quarter that showed a jump in inventories, according to figures from the Commerce Department today in Washington. Business investment climbed at the fastest rate since 1997.
Friday, July 30, 2010
Are Stock Market Investors Being Set Up For Another Fall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the early 1930’s, after the 1929 crash, Wall Street could not get nervous investors interested in stocks again. However, with interest rates dropped to extreme lows in the Great Depression, those who still had money were eager to invest in something that would provide more income than they could receive on savings accounts. As a result Wall Street had no trouble selling them bonds.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 30, 2010
Mega-Battle Investor Opportunities and Threats: Gold, Debt, Markets, Politics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“In his latest commentary blogger FOFOA (Friend of Friend of Another) concludes that gold lease rates are being falsified to conceal that gold for some time has been in backwardation because supplies available in exchange for fiat currency have dried up. Along the way FOFOA reports that, like GATA's Adrian Douglas, he too last week had trouble getting access to the usual data at the Internet site of the London Bullion Market Association.” (emphasis added)
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Friday, July 30, 2010
US Earnings Mixed And Japan IP Shocker / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There were no real reasons for the US coming off its early highs Thursday (and taking Europe with it) other than technical ones. The 200 day MAV was reached and then the market collapsed. Maybe a little profit taking ahead of Month end today, with S&P +7% on the month? Late headlines about the Attorney General probing the Life Insurance Industry for fraud wasn’t terribly helpful but appears to be confined to military related issues rather than a broad based probe. Techstocks were weak; Symantec Corp. and Nvidia Corp. lost at least 9.9% after reporting forecasts while Akamai Technologies slid 13%t after saying its profit margin shrank.
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Stocks Bulls Get Beaten as Volume Increases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Robert Prechter's Deflationary Bear Market On the Slope of Hope / Stock-Markets / Deflation
Almost everybody who follows financial markets has heard about climbing the "wall of worry": the time when prices head up bullishly, but no one quite believes in the rally, so there's more worry about a fall than a rise.
What's the opposite condition in the market?
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Who Flipped The Switch On The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is your captain speaking, we’ve turned off the keep your seat belts on sign (for those of you who have short exposure, those who have long exposure? Please fasten your seatbelts). You are now free to move about the cabin. This MAY now conclude our in flight turbulence for the time being.
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