Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, August 06, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicators At SubNormal Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Richard_Shaw
David Rosenberg, in his daily letter, presented some interesting sentiment statistics in perspective of historical values during good and bad times. The implication is that there is a major disconnect between bullish comments about the economy by some experts and the view of the people where the rubber meets the road. He combines that information to suggest that the S&P 500 is substantially overvalued.
Friday, August 06, 2010
Turning White Swans into Black / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: DeepCaster_LLC
Golden Antidotes
“At the start of last week, we reported on the very strong demand response from the physical market due to the drop in the gold price below $1,180. This demand has continued unabated. The gold price decline comes at a good time, especially for the Indian market but also other markets such as Turkey where price elasticity is being assisted by a very strong seasonal demand reaction”
Read full article... Read full article...Standard Bank, Gold Physical Flow Index, 8/3/10
Friday, August 06, 2010
A Closer look at the Stock Market, XAU Death Cross / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Clif_Droke
Market technicians sometimes let their imaginations carry them away. Because of the dry, tedious nature of the business, they sometimes exaggerate the importance of a technical signal by drawing to attention to what would otherwise be a non-event. Take for instance the simple moving average crossover. This rather pedestrian occurrence can be seen whenever the rolling price average of a stock or market index crosses above or below a moving average of longer duration. When the 50-day moving average for the S&P 500 Index crossed under the widely followed 200-day MA, market technicians the world over had a field day.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Strong Second Quarter Earnings Can’t Keep the Stock Market Bears at Bay / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
The second-quarter earnings season has gotten off to a strong start, but it's been no match for bears who are less than thrilled with future earnings prospects.
More than half of the companies on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index have reported second-quarter earnings results. And so far, they've been strong, with two-thirds of those companies beating earnings estimates, three-fifths beating on sales and almost half beating on both earnings and sales.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
The Hidden Potential of Learning How to Trade SP500 & Gold Options / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: J_W_Jones
Market technicians believe they operate in a world that few people truly understand. It is as if they believe they are working in some sort of secretive financial construct that only a few lucky souls away from Wall Street can access. The truth is that technical analysis should only be used as one metric to help a trader navigate financial markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 06, 2010
Stock Market Nominal Losses in 4th Consecutive Consolidation Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a vacillating-type, consolidation day, as the four-day sideways move continued today. Although they closed down a little bit today, the path was different.
They opened sharply lower, bounced back quickly and then rolled over. The Nasdaq 100 made new lows for the day, but the S&P 500 did not, which set up a positive divergence. That caused a 3-wave rally, bringing the NDX back from 1892 to 1908 in the afternoon. The SPX at that point rallied from 1119 1/2 to 1126 1/2. They rolled over in the last half hour, but in the last 5- minutes snapped back again to pare the losses.
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Remain In Control... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stock Market Through the Roof or Smashed into a Thousand Pieces? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
GRANDPA JOE: But this roof is made of glass. It’ll shatter into a thousand pieces. We’ll be cut to ribbons!
WILLY WONKA: Probably.
Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stocks Tread Water as Non Farm Payrolls Beckon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
U.S. equities rallied and fixed income sold off upon hump day on the back of a surprisingly solid July non-manufacturing ISM release quelling some of the concerns that the economy is slowing and some good earnings from Time Warner and Polo , this all despite a Bloomberg News reported that China told lenders to conduct a new round of more stringent stress tests to gauge the effects of a deeper real-estate slump.
Thursday, August 05, 2010
Pattern Analysis of the SP 500 Index Stock Index Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: David_Banister
Judging by some analysts comments, the bullish heads on CNBC, and fearless Bulls, we have to continue to question whether this is a "corrective" rally up in the markets working off oversold indicators and sentiment in late June.... or.... the start of a major 3rd Elliott wave structure off the 2009 bottoms which takes the markets to new all time highs.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 05, 2010
Gold and Markets Same Old Song and Dance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Steve_Betts
Today the ADP report came out claiming U.S. private-sector firm employment rose 42,000 in July. "July's rise in private employment was the sixth consecutive monthly gain," said Joel Prakken, chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers, which produces the report from anonymous payroll data supplied by ADP. "However, over those six months increases have averaged a modest 37,000, with no evidence of acceleration." On Friday, the government is scheduled to report nonfarm payrolls for July, and economists polled by MarketWatch are looking for a decline of 60,000.
Thursday, August 05, 2010
Stock Market Breakout Oh So Close... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
We can all taste it, can't we?
The market was so interesting today. The day started out with a gap up, then the non-manufacturing report came out with good news, and the market flew higher. We got to 1127 on the S&P 500, but then a very powerful sell program hit, and knocked the Nasdaq from up 17 to slightly red in a matter of moments. It looked bad, but once the market went slightly red, it started to churn. It refused to just quit. That gave the market some real hope.
Wednesday, August 04, 2010
Paradigm Shift in the Financial World, Major Structural Changes In One Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Jim_Willie_CB
A theme of frequent mention has been the Paradigm Shift in the financial world. It refers more specifically to the global shift away from a USDollar-centric alignment. The major industrialized nations of the world, along with major energy producers, struggle to develop a monetary and commercial system that is not based upon the crippled fraudulent bloated USDollar. The challenge is daunting, since expertise on financial structures, even in an honest legitimate fashion, is somewhat lacking outside the Anglo world. Changes indeed come.
Wednesday, August 04, 2010
Stock Market Which Way Wednesday - On the 50% Line - Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Wow, what a ride!Here we are back on the 50% retracement line at 1,121 on the S&P. As Barry Ritholtz points out, it’s the 5th time we’ve been here and, as I said yesterday, Barry says "Its going to take a lot of something — good earnings, liquidity, sentiment, breadth, momentum, psychology, quantitative easing, something – to move higher from here." Also great on Barry’s site today is a very neat summation of the housing crisis and his take on Timmy G’s NY Times Op Ed column, which I need to add my own .02 to.
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Wednesday, August 04, 2010
Stock Market Head Fake? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Was S&P 1011 The Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Banister
The SP 500 had a very interesting Fibonacci Intersection as I call it here at TheMarketTrendForecast.com on July 1st. At the 1011 pivot low, the index re-traced a Fibonacci 38% of the 2010 highs from the 2009 lows and bottomed out. In addition, the 1011 pivot was a 38% upward re-tracement of the 2007 highs to the 2009 lows. How is it that markets can be considered “random” when in fact they often pivot at clearly defined Fibonacci price points?
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Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Analog Comparisons Show Trouble Brewing For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Captain_Hook
As anticipated, last Friday, which marked options expiry for July, witnessed a down day in stocks, which in fact turned out to be a 90% down day. In a bull market this would not occur, as the trend would be up, so one must conclude Friday’s 90% down day on increasing volume is a negative omen even though it was not re-enforced by follow-through yesterday. Of course in order to establish the short-term trend as being down, stocks need to continue falling, this, along with taking out what could be considered a new neckline in the S&P 500 (SPX) head and shoulders pattern (now slanted) at 1015 to be considered confirmation this is in fact the case. Seasonally this is the weakest week in July and is most often down, so it will be interesting to see where we end up.
Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Profit Taking Hits European Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
U.S. stocks rallied hard Monday, sending the S&P 500 to the highest close in 10 weeks, after better than estimated earnings at companies from Humana to Allergan. US manufacturing data that topped forecast and speculation that the Federal Reserve may be about to embark on more QE. Alcoa rose 4.8%, to help lead gains in commodity shares. Oil climbed above $81 for the first time since May, giving a boost to energy companies. Humana, the biggest provider of U.S.backed health benefits, and Allergan, the maker of the Botox wrinkle smoother, rallied at least 3.6% while Intel gained 2.7% as a trade group said global chip sales were “robust.”
Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Quantitative Easing May Change Stock Market Dynamics / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Chris_Ciovacco
After reading James Bullard’s twenty-three page paper on possible monetary responses to further economic shocks, we feel it is important for investors to gain a basic understanding of how future Fed policy could impact the value of an individual’s savings and other financial assets. The basic premise of Mr. Bullard’s work is as follows:
Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Stock Market Good News Trumps Pessimists... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
