Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Stock Market Tumultuous Tuesday Waiting for the Fed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Wheeeee - this is going to be exciting!Yesterday we knew that the move up was fake, Fake, FAKE and we acted accordingly in Member Chat. We had a nice QID cover play right in the Morning Alert that was an easy fill as the Nas went higher and higher all day. It was the Aug $16/17 bull call spread at .42, and the $16 puts sold for .29 for net .13 on the $1 spread with a nice 669% upside if the Nasdaq heads sharply down on us. Our stops on the play were a combination of Nas 2,300, Dow 10,700 and Russell 666 and we got the Nasdaq and the Dow over their marks but, once again, 666 proves to be an ominous barrier for the Russell.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Stock Market Cautious Advance in Front of FOMC Statement... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Federal Reserve Look Set To Act to Kick Start Economic Growth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks climbed Monday, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index reaching its highest level in more than two months, amid speculation the Federal Reserve may announce more measures to help kick start economic growth this evening. McDonald’s rose 1.6% after beating sales estimates, while E-Bay gained 2.5% after former unit Skype filed for an initial public offering. US Homebuilders rose after Deutsche Bank said the housing market decline is almost over. But Hewlett-Packard plunged 8% after CEO Mark Hurd resigned. Elsewhere Target Corp. advanced 2%t after Barron’s said the retailer’s focus on higher margin goods may boost earnings.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Stock Market Trends for Bulls and Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
At the end of July, I wrote: Stock Market Trending for Bulls and Bears Holding Hands at Lover’s Leap. The main idea was the following:
The Bearish View: If this is a head and Shoulders Top, I want to discuss the concept of Bulls and Bears Standing Hand-in-Hand at Lover’s Leap. If this is a top, it’s likely the bearish Elliott Wave count so many have highlighted is the end of Wave 2 higher and thus Wave 3 lower is about to begin. This is usually the most impulsive wave and will move swift and fast to the downside. It has everything to do with the bulls and bears in unity.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Stock Market Four Points To Breakout.......... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's all we need to get this market rocking higher. 1150 would be next, where an old gap lives, and then 1173. I know it seems impossible based on the fundamentals, but we have to play what we see. The fact that we printed such nice hollow candles at the 20/50 day exponential moving averages on Friday, and then we followed it up today with nice candles, tells me the bulls are starting to take control short-term, although it's not official until we can waive goodbye to S&P 500 1131.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
The Horrific Derivatives Bubble That Could Destroy Entire World Financial System / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
Michael Snyder writes: Today there is a horrific derivatives bubble that threatens to destroy not only the U.S. economy but the entire world financial system as well, but unfortunately the vast majority of people do not understand it. When you say the word "derivatives" to most Americans, they have no idea what you are talking about. In fact, even most members of the U.S. Congress don't really seem to understand them. But you don't have to get into all the technicalities to understand the bigger picture.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
Four Things To Look For From The Stock Market This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And the 60 minute charts strike again! Throughout this whole move off the July lows the Full Stoh’s and the green up trendline have basically nailed every peak and valley as shown below in the S&P 500 chart.
There is no doubt that the 60 minute chart and the green line are in play. A break of the green line signals a trend change, while the 1131 level to the upside so far is capping the move higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
Stock Market Waits for Quantitative Easing II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The elephant in the room this week is the Fed meeting Tuesday and statements on what it might do with regard to quantitative easing. The Fed seems to be telegraphing that something needs to be done to boost the economy and increase liquidity.
Obviously any return to quantitative easing, or QE II (as quant easing I officially ended March 31), would likely impact gold (higher) and the dollar (lower), as well as the overall market (S&P 500), which rolled over shortly after QE I was phased out.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
Muted Market Reaction to Disappointing U.S. Payroll Numbers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A very muted reaction from equity markets to what were undoubtedly disappointing payroll numbers on Friday with the Dow closing down just 21 on Friday after a positive week that fall could have been considerably more. Asia much the same with the Nikkei off 69 and the Hang Seng down just 1.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
Massive Wealth Shift From West to Emerging Markets in Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin here with a quick update on foreign markets.
One year ago, in our 2009 Global Forum, we forecast a massive shift of wealth — from the United States, bogged down with huge deficits and chronic, long-term unemployment … to emerging markets, enjoying the most rapid growth on the planet.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
Economic Coin Flips and WikiLeaks Catching Up With Market Truths / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterAugust 1st, 2010 Issue #45 Vol. 4
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 09, 2010
Stock and Commodity Markets Volume by Price Reveals Key Support & Resistance Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I find it amazing how many traders do not use volume as a factor in their trading decisions. I believe it’s always important to track the volume no matter which time frame you are trading simply because it tell you how much interest there is for that investment at that given time and price level. If you use volume and understand how to read it when located at the bottom of the chart which is the standard way of reading it then your well ahead of many traders and just may find this little volume indicator helpful.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Financial Markets Instability Personal and Corporate Bankruptcies Soar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It was only a month ago that the Dow closed at 9686. From there it started to move back up again as insiders learned of the Fed’s plan to inject $5 trillion into the economy over the next two years. The result has been a run up to 10,674. We figured out what the Fed was up to, but most everyone else did not.
During that period, almost unnoticed, was the fall in the value of the dollar. On the USDX it has fallen from 86.12 to 80.58.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Update, Dow, Transports and Telefonica / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In our last communication in July to clients we pointed out that there was a possible significant bullish trend change approaching in the market. The key Dow Theory technical levels we identified were 4400 on the Transports and 10500 on the Industrials. As is by magic the market has remained “stuck” around these levels over the last 10 days. This “line” in market action is good because, as I never fail to mention to students, the longer such a line persists the more significant the potential market move on “breakout”.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Manipulation and Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Periodically, the question of manipulation comes up and I’ve recently been asked if the Dow theory or any other technical method is still of value because of all the efforts to manipulate the markets. The short answer is, yes. While manipulation can have a temporary effect on the market, it cannot fix the problem, it cannot stop the inevitable and in the end it will only serve to make matters much worse.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Marc Faber Fed's Printing Press to Create Final Crisis and Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Investors should've listened to me already six months ago, when I wrote that the Fed will continue to monetize, and this is my view ... they will print and print and print, until the final crisis wipes out the entire system," Marc Faber, editor & publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told CNBC. David Bloom from HSBC joined the discussion, adding, "I think we're not quite at those draconian points."
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Bad Economic News Catches Up with the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Private employment rises less than forecast, prior month hiring revised down.
Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 131,000 in July, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Federal government employment fell, as 143,000 temporary workers hired for the decennial census completed their work. Private-sector payroll employment edged up by 71,000.
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market No One Has Control....Strong Finish For The Bulls... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No one has control but you have to give a little nod to the bulls today for hanging in where they had to at the down trend line at S&P 500 1110. A small breach below and then a nice rocket ride back up. You're always looking for something that tells you someone is taking control. With the market at that down trend line, it was step up time for one side to take command, and for the day, the bulls did. However, no one is in control since all we're really doing is continuing to trade in a range between 1080 and 1131. Until this range is taken out with force one way or the other, there really isn't all that much to do except try to find the best set-ups and play them.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Pullback Near 200-Day Not A Given / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The bulls lounge was nearly empty when we published Stocks May Surprise By Year-End on July 2, 2010. The S&P 500 was standing at 1,022, bears were out in full force, and talk of a move toward 850 on the S&P 500 was common. As we awake today, the S&P 500 stands 11.50% above the intraday low made on July 2, 2010. With the Dow, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 all above their respective 200-day moving averages (see Hedge Funds Care About 200-Day), the question now becomes should you wait for a bullback before putting any new cash to work?
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 07, 2010
Stock Market Investors Are Becoming More Knowledgeable! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s quite discouraging to look at the historical performance of public investors.
For instance, the most recent annual study by research firm Dalbar Inc. shows that over the 20-year period ended December 31, 2009, the S&P 500 Index gained an average of 8.2%, but the average equity investor had an average annual return of only 3.2%. Of course, the word ‘average’ is very misleading. Over that 20-year period the S&P 500 was up as much as 50% in individual years, down as much as 40% in others, providing ample opportunity for market-timing strategies to buy low and sell high, and so not only match but outperform the index.