Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stock Market Holds Up Despite Terrible Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
You have to scratch your head in disbelief. How can this market hold up with such a terrible Jobs Report? The jobs created were basically 100,000 below expectations, and the unemployment level ran up to 9.8% when 9.6% was expected. The futures reversed only 75 points lower on the Dow, which to me, was a miracle unto itself. I thought a 300-point reversal was imminent. With the market hanging in there very well up to this report, it seemed that a major disappointment was the tonic the bears needed. The market refused to cave in. The gap down was quickly stabilized with the market slowly working its way back in to the green as the day rolled on, especially late in the day as the dollar fell hard late. A real surprise across the board, but the market is focused on other things at this point and thinks it sees good news at the end of the tunnel.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stocks, Gold, and Oil Crude Remain Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Pre-Market trading on Friday morning was wild as the S&P 500 did not react well to the latest jobs report. Sellers stepped in and pushed down the e-mini contract by over 10 points in less than 15 minutes which is a pretty drastic move. It is critical to note that before the jobs announcement, the S&P 500 had put in a new high in the pre-market drawing in bulls and leaving many of them trapped. Today's price action will be interesting as Fridays are usually pretty quiet.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Unemployment Hits 9.8%, America’s Love Affair With Stocks May be Over… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The unemployment rate edged up to 9.8 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was little changed (+39,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Temporary help services and health care continued to add jobs over the month, while employment fell in retail trade. Employment in most major industries changed little in November.
U-6 Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force remained at 17% in November.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
An Encouraging Week For Stock Market Investors! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After a strong rally in September and October, the stock market topped out short-term four weeks ago, with the Dow then declining 4% in just seven days.
In the process it broke below key short-term support levels that market technicians watch, and entered a very narrow sideways trading range, locked between 11,000 on the downside and 11,200 on the upside that it couldn’t seem to break out of in either direction.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Investor Profit Lessons from The Ongoing Europe, USA Debt Crises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The money struggle is the struggle against totalitarianism”
“It may be a bit hypocritical for an American to wonder why Europeans are giving up their democracy, their countries, their money, and their very lives to an unelected, overweening, bank-controlled bureaucracy. After all, that already has happened in the United States. But at least there are powerful stirrings against the new European totalitarianism, perhaps best articulated today by Nigel Farage, a member of the European Parliament from southeast England and leader of the United Kingdom Independence Party.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
How to Know if Stock Market Bulls or Bears are in Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There are different ways of measuring what is happening in the markets.
Indexes measure the market, but some indexes are price weighted, some are market value-weighted or market share-weighted, and some are float weighted. It is sometimes why, a few stocks can have an over exaggerated impact on the movement of an index.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
How Sidestep Europe's Debt Crisis and Profit from the EU's Economic Muscle / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Martin Hutchinson writes : The $100 billion-plus bailout of Ireland, which followed the $100 billion-plus bailout of Greece, seems at first to validate the standard U.S. view of Europe - that it's a bunch of backward, socialist countries that will be washed away by the tide of history.
According to this view, one European country after another will succumb to the "Greek disease," until the continent ultimately runs out of bailout money.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
Broad Stock Market Reversal - Better Hold On To Your Hat! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This had been an exiting week for traders as the equities market was on a verge of a major sell off. Fortunately, we were watching the market very closely and saw the sentiment and market internals shift shortly after a new low was set last week. That was an early warning for us that a trend reversal to the upside could happen at any hour or day this week.
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Thursday, December 02, 2010
Stock Market Thursday Thrust, Just Buy the F’ing Dips / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's very sad when you can get your best financial advice from cartoon characters.
I apologize for the language but this video pretty much says it all. As the man in green says: "Buy the f'ing dip, you f'ing idiot." That's the entirety of the market strategy we are being trained like Pavlov's dogs to follow. Also as the man says "Now, don't forget this only works if you go out and tell all your friends and family to do the same. That way, when they are buying more expensively than you, you can sell back to them and collect your money."
Thursday, December 02, 2010
Stock Market Bulls In Directional Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If we choose to view the Nov-Dec pattern in the S&P 500 emini contract (e-SPZ) as a big "W," then the upside projection from the base-like "W" identifies two optimal measured objectives: 1) 1226/29, and 2) 1237/42.
At this juncture, only a decline below 1210 will begin to compromise the upside targets, while a break into the 1206-1200 support plateau will weaken that larger pattern altogether.
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Thursday, December 02, 2010
U.S. Dollar Full Short-Term...Stock Market Up..Still Nowhere.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's the reality of this stock market, even though today felt really good. I respect and understand the emotions behind a market this good, but you have to keep in mind that all we're doing short-term is trading in a range defined by 1228 on the top and 1171 on the bottom. The dollar had put in a short-term topping candle yesterday and because the stock market is trading inverse to the dollar trade, it's no shock that we had a very nice up day today. This does not mean that we're about to break out above 1228. It's not likely to happen at all.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Euro, USD, Gold and Stock Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Good Days: From the get go, today seemed like a good day. A day, when most things fall in place almost perfectly and should I emphasis without much effort. Same could be said about the investment world. Regardless of the media’s hype about EU debt crisis or the Wiki Leaks which surely aren’t investment world’s secret “cables”, even the global markets are breathing a sigh of relief and optimism as even the BEARs amongst us know, a Bull market is just more fun!
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Stocks S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil and the Banks Trend Trading Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Sellers were in control most of the trading session on Tuesday, however an overnight buying surge pushed the S&P 500 back up to overhead resistance as the directional battle raged on between the bulls and the bears. For over a week we have had relatively choppy trading as the S&P 500 has remained in a tight range between the 20 and 50 period moving averages. By the open Wednesday, the U.S. financial markets demonstrated their resiliency yet again. It is critical to note that we received our first and second official tests of the 50 period moving average on the S&P 500 daily chart.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Stock Market Quarterly Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
My favourite indicator of market breath, the McClennan Summation Index, is finally beginning to get to a level where it is becoming interesting. A move into negative territory, though some ways to go, will herald the probability that stocks will soon begin providing price action that brings solid technical support. This is good news particularly for those who have been out of the market since the early September bull move. In my books patience is a major key to achieving above average investment returns. Those investors who relaxed and held off while the herd chased the trend should now begin to sharpen their attention. At the moment the Dow Transports (DJ-20) are showing more strength than the Dow Industrials (DJ-30). However, Technology, Mid-Caps and Small Caps all remain strong despite pull-backs. This indicates that the March 2009 bull trend is still solidly in place for the moment.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Are The Problems in Europe Just Beginning? European Stocks Opportunities / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
The fear of another financial crisis in Europe is impacting the markets around the world. The decline in the euro has been significant enough to rekindle speculation of the euros demise. Portugal’s bond auction of 12 monthTreasury bonds saw a significant rise in cost with the yield hitting 5.28% versus the 4.8% in early November. Spain has seen a rise in yields as well with rumors growing concerning financial trouble. It is the uncertainty of the current issues facing Europe that are driving the markets lower. One thing is for sure, a lack of clarity breeds speculation which left unchecked will feed on itself causing extreme market volatility.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Nasdaq Leads on Downside as Stock Market Sell-Off Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered another down day today, and were particularly weak on Nasdaq. The indices opened with a gap down, bounced back sharply, and then hit higher highs midday on the S&P 500, but couldn't on the Nasdaq 100. They pulled back in the afternoon, backed and filled, but in the last 20 minutes sold off to close near the support lows intraday.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist Newsletter Exclusive Free Access / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
An exclusive only for Market Oracle readers, FREE access to Robert Prechter's recent 10 Page The Elliott Wave Theorist Letter:
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Fixing FUBAR: Next Week in Washington D.C. / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Next week, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, hosts its Supervision Summit. Attendees comprise 300 "stakeholders," whom I'll address the morning of Wednesday, December 8, 2010 with a presentation titled: Repairing the Damage of "Fraud as a Business Model."
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Gold, Dollar and Stock Markets Decoupling! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I’ve received a number of e-mails over the last week asking me, better yet warning me about decoupling. The principal culprits are gold and the Dow as well as gold and the dollar. Bloomberg and CNBC go on and on about gold moving inversely to the dollar and everybody listens to them as if it were gospel. What they don’t know is that these TV experts are years behind the curve. There is no doubt that gold is rising in terms of every major currency in the world, but what is less known is that it rallies with or against the dollar. With respect to the supposed link between gold and the US dollar I want you to focus your attention on these two charts. First let’s look at an eleven month daily chart for gold:
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
U.S. Economy Forecast 2011, How to Profit Even With a Double Dip Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Martin Hutchinson writes: It's been a dull year for the U.S. economy. But don't expect a repeat in 2011.
In fact, as we enter the New Year for the U.S. economy, investors face some major risks. Should the U.S. Federal Reserve opt to maintain its record-low-level of interest rates, it's very likely that we'll see the kind of virulent inflation that will send commodity prices skyward, and inflict some real long-term damage in the process.
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