Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Inflation Expectations, What’s Doctor Copper Predicting For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Graham_Summers
Copper is often called Dr Copper as the metal is considered a bell-weather for the world economy due to its close correlation to economic growth (used by many industries, copper typically rallies when the world economy is growing).
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market Forecast to Consolidate, Euro Hype Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Graham_Summers
Last week’s explosive rally was due to three factors:
- Stocks came perilously close to breaking down so the PPT stepped in
- A bullish falling wedge pattern in stocks
- Euro options expiration/ ECB intervention
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market Keeps Hanging In At An Overbought Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has its head down again. It refuses to pull back decently even when the oscillators say it would be best if it did. The daily charts are not quite overbought except for the mid caps, which are flashing a 70 RSI on that daily chart. The other major index charts are flashing 60's on those RSI's. The 60-minute charts, however, are overbought with RSI's again at 70 and thus you can expect a pullback at any moment, but timing it is virtually impossible with this type of overall momentum carrying through day to day. This is why some exposure is essential at all times. You can't time a pullback in this environment. When the market does pull back you'll be under water a bit but that's fine. We can deal with that. Do not be shocked when it does hit. Right about now it feels like it can't hit, but, of course, it will at some point. Catches you when you least expect it.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Goldman Sachs Delusional World View, Pulling on Global Threads and the SEP / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
"We think the global (and overall European) outlook remains robust."
That’s the word from Goldman Sachs’ Erik Nielson this weekend, who also observes that he was "Possibly deluded by the wonderful vibrancy of California." Deluded indeed seems to be an excellent choice of words with a new report out showing that California leads the nation in a local government pension crisis that has a $3.5Tn hole to fill and will not be sufficient to pay benefits through 2020 along with 5 other states while another 20 states will run out of funding by 2025. Is Nielson just saying anything to herd more suckers into the market by telling the sidelined cash that it’s safe to go back in the water or is he cleverly employing an SEP Field to bamboozle the public?
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
US Treasury Yield Determines Duration Sweet Spot for US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: ECR_Research
Over the last quarters, stocks predominantly reacted to monetary policy as is clearly visible in the graph below.
Read the lips of Bernanke and make money. This is nothing new, as an old maxim goes: “Give me the sign of monetary policy (plus for monetary expansion etc.) and I will tell you what the stock markets’ direction will be.”.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Ben Bernanke's Money Pump to Create New Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Michael_Swanson
This morning global markets are mixed and US futures are down a few ticks before the open. Overnight US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced that he was ready to buy up more bonds and he will undoubtedly formally announce such a decision at the next FOMC meeting next week on December 14th. As soon as he said this Asian markets ticked up a few points in hope that some of the hot money he creates will flow overseas to emerging markets. It probably will.
Monday, December 06, 2010
Big Banks Are Stifling Economic Growth & Taxing Consumers / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
By: Dian_L_Chu
Have you noticed the price of oil lately? It’s $90 a barrel in a dismal economy with unemployment hovering around 10%. The problem with Fed chairman Bernanke`s latest QE 2 initiative is that he has just given more access of cheap money to the big banks.
Monday, December 06, 2010
How to Play Stock Market Uncertainty With an Options Straddle / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Money_Morning
Larry D. Spears writes:
It's often said that the only thing certain in the stock market is uncertainty - and that's certainly been the case this fall.
Since 1950, September has consistently been the worst month for stock performance and October is most notable for the market crashes it has seen - 1929 and 1987, to name two.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
This Stocks Bull Market Has Legs, Bargain Prices Mean Buy Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks swept higher over the past week as investors swooped in to pick up bargains lying on the stock exchange floors. It did not matter if they were in Asia, Europe or the United States. If they were down 10% or more in the past month, they were vacuumed up.
Monday, December 06, 2010
Stocks Rally Back From the Brink / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
As the Irish economy came close to meltdown and the World held its breath to see if the Euro zone would put together a timely rescue big enough to satisfy markets, equity markets sold off. Indeed, even after the rescue deal was announced markets remained nervous.
The fear was that Ireland was just another domino in a line ready to fall with traders switching their attention from one weak peripheral economy to another. The first to require a rescue was of course Greece and although Ireland adopted a severe austerity program earlier in the year, it wasn’t enough.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Stock Market Heading for Mid to Late December Intermediate Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Interest Rate Yields the Dominant Market Theme for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
After the bottom of the 4-year cycle in September the stock market began what has been described, in the words of Samuel J. Kress, “the final cyclical bull market of the post-World War 2 expansionary era.” The months ahead could well be the last chance for individuals to prepare for the coming “winter” phase of the deflationary 60-year cycle which enters its final “hard down” phase in 2012 and bottoms in 2014.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 05, 2010
The Next Market Disaster, EWT Overview of the Markets and Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: EWI
An exclusive only for Market Oracle readers, FREE access to Robert Prechter's recent 10 Page The Elliott Wave Theorist Letter:
Sunday, December 05, 2010
Cashing Out of the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
In the last newsletter, I indicated that I was cashing out many of my positions and taking profits “in anticipation of a flat to down US market until the end of December. I have continued with this process and not been particularly disappointed. While Investors Business Daily declared last week that the upward trend of the market has resumed, I still see it in a largely sideways pattern. Since October 25, the S&P 500 index, as measured by the exchange traded fund SPY, has gone from about 118 to 122 back down to 118 and back up to a little more than 122. BFD. It's just not worth the risk to be in the market.
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Sunday, December 05, 2010
Stock Market Cycles, Virtuous Circles and Trillions of Dollars / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: David_Knox_Barker
The op-ed in the Washington Post a few weeks back by Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke contained a few interesting revelations. Bernanke came clean on what he is doing, or at least trying to do with the trillions of dollars he has been passing out to the world’s needy that show up with tin cup in hand on the steps of the Federal Reserve System. Of course, Uncle Sam is the neediest of them all. The job description for the Federal Reserve includes delivering both 1) price stability and 2) maximum employment. Based on this dual mandate, Bernanke appears to have concluded that the Federal Reserve’s current priority is to use quantitative easing to stamp out business and stock market cycles.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stock Market Starts December With a Strong Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Tony_Caldaro
This week the market started off the month of December with a strong rally. This was very similar to the strong rallies that started in the month of July (Intermediate wave one), and the month of September (Intermediate wave three) of this multi-month uptrend. Economic reports were more mixed this week than what we have been observing in recent weeks.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stock Market Holds Up Despite Terrible Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
You have to scratch your head in disbelief. How can this market hold up with such a terrible Jobs Report? The jobs created were basically 100,000 below expectations, and the unemployment level ran up to 9.8% when 9.6% was expected. The futures reversed only 75 points lower on the Dow, which to me, was a miracle unto itself. I thought a 300-point reversal was imminent. With the market hanging in there very well up to this report, it seemed that a major disappointment was the tonic the bears needed. The market refused to cave in. The gap down was quickly stabilized with the market slowly working its way back in to the green as the day rolled on, especially late in the day as the dollar fell hard late. A real surprise across the board, but the market is focused on other things at this point and thinks it sees good news at the end of the tunnel.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stocks, Gold, and Oil Crude Remain Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: J_W_Jones
Pre-Market trading on Friday morning was wild as the S&P 500 did not react well to the latest jobs report. Sellers stepped in and pushed down the e-mini contract by over 10 points in less than 15 minutes which is a pretty drastic move. It is critical to note that before the jobs announcement, the S&P 500 had put in a new high in the pre-market drawing in bulls and leaving many of them trapped. Today's price action will be interesting as Fridays are usually pretty quiet.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Unemployment Hits 9.8%, America’s Love Affair With Stocks May be Over… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The unemployment rate edged up to 9.8 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was little changed (+39,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Temporary help services and health care continued to add jobs over the month, while employment fell in retail trade. Employment in most major industries changed little in November.
U-6 Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force remained at 17% in November.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
An Encouraging Week For Stock Market Investors! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Sy_Harding
After a strong rally in September and October, the stock market topped out short-term four weeks ago, with the Dow then declining 4% in just seven days.
In the process it broke below key short-term support levels that market technicians watch, and entered a very narrow sideways trading range, locked between 11,000 on the downside and 11,200 on the upside that it couldn’t seem to break out of in either direction.
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