Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Stock Market Nails On The Chalkboard.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No one likes that sound. Makes you cringe. Makes you scream and cover your ears. It's just not pleasant. That's where we are now. An unpleasant grinding market that refuses to change its stripes. It refuses to pull back and reset those oscillators, but at the same time it's constricted to the upside. Markets do not blast higher, even in retail market days such as these are at holiday time, when you're this overbought. There's just not enough fuel in the tank to allow things to launch upward and out in to a new leg of this bull phase we're in right now.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
Bernanke’s Next Fed Created Treasury Bond Market Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week the major market averages traded in a narrow range, with the S&P 500 trading between 1246 and 1234, as they appear to be taking a small pause in the rally. I think there is a good change that they will breakthrough this range before the end of this week and start another move higher and if they don't do it this week they almost certainly will next week.
Everyone knows that the market moves up at the end of the year and everyone is bullish right now.
Monday, December 20, 2010
The 'Big' Stock Market Test ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The big, Institutional Index test that is now going on ...
Last Tuesday, we posted the Institutional Investor "core holdings' chart. The core holdings are the collection of stocks that represent most of the investment money Institutional investors have in play.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
…Risk On…Risk Off… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It doesn’t matter if you’re naughty or nice; Santa has been coming early to resource investors everywhere this year. A somewhat ironic combination of fear buying in precious metals and fearless buying in most everything else has generated gains across the sector this month.
In fact, the gains were good enough to have us checking the numbers on many development stories to make sure we were not wearing rose coloured glasses. We were mildly surprised to find that many stories looked, if not cheap, then at least like they still had headroom. That is a testament to just how good metal price moves were this month.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
Stock Market High Volume Options Expiration Leads to Flat Close... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Expected quadruple witching volume left the major indexes little changed...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
U.S. Stocks Retake Leadership Role as Emerging Markets Stumble / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks tiptoed through a typically introspective, no drama December week in the past five days, with the Dow Jones Industrials rising 0.7%, and the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 all rising about a third of a percent.
While an 0.3% gain doesn't sound like much for a week, it is actually a great result. If the market were up 0.3% every week for 52 weeks, it would be up 17% for the year without dividends, which is about double the long-term average. And just to round out that idea, if the market were up 17% every year for 10 years, it would end the decade up 380%. Small amounts add up due to the magic of compounding.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
Stock Market Holiday Grind Is Here For 10 Days Only - Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's that time again when volume dries up and prices rise into the new year. A lot of individuals are scrambling to prepare for the holidays, even though we had a year to prepare. The big money has already done most of their year end shuffling and will be taking it easy until January.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Stock Market Heading for a Early Week Short-term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
It's Tough Being Bearish on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It is tough to be bearish for the following reasons: 1) the overwhelming consensus opinion of investors, bloggers, and newsletter writers is bullish now and into 2011; 2) the perception amongst investors is that the Federal Reserve has back stopped the market; 3) there is a persistence to the tape as it marches higher on both good and bad news; and 4) it is the holiday season where thinly traded markets can be easily manipulated higher. Yes, it is tough being bearish when everyone and everything you read is bullish, and the equity market can only go one way -- up. Yet, here I write that I am bearish. Why?
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
Gold Short-term Bearish but Medium and Long-term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Weakness in the recent market action has not been eliminated but as yet has not become serious. What’s to come?
GOLD LONG TERM - On the long term once a trend is set in motion it continues for a long time. So it is this week, the bullish trend continues even though the shorter term action may be on the verge of changing. Gold remains comfortably above its positive sloping long term moving average line. The long term momentum indicator remains in the positive zone although it is moving lower and has moved below its negative sloping trigger line. The long term volume indicator is mow in a lateral trend but remains above its long term trigger line. All in all the long term rating remains BULLISH.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
Greed Is Not Good, Financial Interests Dictate Sovereign Policy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
With regards to the global financial crisis, imposing austerity is not the answer. That is like starving the slaves to improve their condition by making the plantation more profitable. Looting the 'great house' and the barns to feed the slaves, at least temporarily, is not the answer either. The problem is obviously in the system itself.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
Soul Sacrifice, The Theme Song for Central Bank Subterfuge, Forecasts 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It might be a generational thing but for sixty’s generation, none of us will ever forget Carlos Santana at Woodstock in 1969. His band performed a song titled, ‘Soul Sacrifice’ in front of a half million people or so. Being the sixties, and being an outdoor festival, Carlos ingested some hallucinogens several hours before he was supposed to take the stage (at least this is the version I have read). At least, he thought he had some time for a trip. However, there was a schedule mixup and he was immediately ushered onstage. With his perception chemically altered, the neck of his guitar appeared to transform into a series of waves. Fearful of losing contact completely, he grabbed the guitar neck with his left hand and never let go. The result was one of the greatest performances in recorded musical history. If I have any of this wrong, my apologies to one of the greatest guitar players to ever play the instrument.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
U.S. Dollar Rally is Still Concerning for Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
As we head into the final two trading weeks of the year, the U.S. Dollar Index has completed two of the three steps typically associated with a change in trend: (1) the black trendline was broken, and (2) a higher low has been made. The third step would be to make a higher high via a daily close above 81.19.
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Saturday, December 18, 2010
The Stocks Bull Market Trend and the Improving Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Economic reports for the week were quite good: 13 improving, 3 lower and 2 unchanged. Yet the SPX traded the entire week 7 points above and 7 points below where it had closed last friday. On the economic front, the current account deficit increased, building permits declined and weekly mortgage applications were lower. The NAHB housing index remained flat, as did the weekly jobless claims. On the positive side, the NY FED and Philly FED both improved, as did, industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, the BEA leading indicators, the monetary base and the WLEI.
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Saturday, December 18, 2010
Stock Market Holiday Grind... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
market down off of overbought daily charts. We are overbought on the oscillators and on pure sentiment readings. The market wants to sell but it still can't find a reason to do so in this holiday season. Timing the pullback, whatever it may look like, is very difficult here as the bigger picture remains solidly bullish. Where will the catalyst come from is the real question we're all asking. It didn't come from a bad employment report some weeks back. I thought that would do it.
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Saturday, December 18, 2010
Has the Stock Market Finally Run out of Steam? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
False Hope? U.S. Leading Indicators Index Increases by Most in 8 Months
(Bloomberg) The index of U.S. leading economic indicators increased in November by the most in eight months, a signal the recovery will strengthen early next year.
The Conference Board’s gauge of the outlook for the next three to six months rose 1.1 percent after a revised 0.4 percent gain in October, the New York-based group said today. The reading matched the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
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Saturday, December 18, 2010
2011 The Third Year of the Presidential Stock Market Cycle! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The history of the Four-Year Presidential Cycle is that the stock market tends to experience its worst corrections and bear markets in one or both of the first two years of a president’s term, and then be positive for the last two years of the term.
In fact, studies have shown that if investors were to stay out of the market for the first two years of each presidential term, and then buy and hold for the last two years they would substantially outperform the market over the long-term.
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Long AND Short Important for Investor Profit & Protection in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“There is a dire collapse taking place below the radar screens of the public. The financial condition of the fellow states of a currency union is the most critical component of a common union currency's value today. It is the challenged financial integrity of member states and their constituents, the cities, towns and villages that make up the state where risk is most prevalent.
The municipal bond market is today in a second freefall…
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Friday, December 17, 2010
What Investors Should Do as the Fed Plays Ostrich / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
The latest Federal Reserve meeting came and went this week. And I gotta tell you, the Fed should replace the eagle on its website with an ostrich!
I say that because the post-meeting statement was a bunch of boilerplate text. No recognition of rising inflation pressures around the world. No recognition of an improved tone to the economic data. And most importantly, no acknowledgement whatsoever about the dismal failure of QE2!
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Friday, December 17, 2010
The Unseen Force in the Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Sometimes, something is worth repeating ... like this questions from investors:
Read full article... Read full article..."Why is it that "negative divergences" aren't triggering, which is rendering various investing models powerless as the market runs over them?"