Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, December 03, 2010
Broad Stock Market Reversal - Better Hold On To Your Hat! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This had been an exiting week for traders as the equities market was on a verge of a major sell off. Fortunately, we were watching the market very closely and saw the sentiment and market internals shift shortly after a new low was set last week. That was an early warning for us that a trend reversal to the upside could happen at any hour or day this week.
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Thursday, December 02, 2010
Stock Market Thursday Thrust, Just Buy the F’ing Dips / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's very sad when you can get your best financial advice from cartoon characters.
I apologize for the language but this video pretty much says it all. As the man in green says: "Buy the f'ing dip, you f'ing idiot." That's the entirety of the market strategy we are being trained like Pavlov's dogs to follow. Also as the man says "Now, don't forget this only works if you go out and tell all your friends and family to do the same. That way, when they are buying more expensively than you, you can sell back to them and collect your money."
Thursday, December 02, 2010
Stock Market Bulls In Directional Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If we choose to view the Nov-Dec pattern in the S&P 500 emini contract (e-SPZ) as a big "W," then the upside projection from the base-like "W" identifies two optimal measured objectives: 1) 1226/29, and 2) 1237/42.
At this juncture, only a decline below 1210 will begin to compromise the upside targets, while a break into the 1206-1200 support plateau will weaken that larger pattern altogether.
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Thursday, December 02, 2010
U.S. Dollar Full Short-Term...Stock Market Up..Still Nowhere.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's the reality of this stock market, even though today felt really good. I respect and understand the emotions behind a market this good, but you have to keep in mind that all we're doing short-term is trading in a range defined by 1228 on the top and 1171 on the bottom. The dollar had put in a short-term topping candle yesterday and because the stock market is trading inverse to the dollar trade, it's no shock that we had a very nice up day today. This does not mean that we're about to break out above 1228. It's not likely to happen at all.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Euro, USD, Gold and Stock Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Good Days: From the get go, today seemed like a good day. A day, when most things fall in place almost perfectly and should I emphasis without much effort. Same could be said about the investment world. Regardless of the media’s hype about EU debt crisis or the Wiki Leaks which surely aren’t investment world’s secret “cables”, even the global markets are breathing a sigh of relief and optimism as even the BEARs amongst us know, a Bull market is just more fun!
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Stocks S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil and the Banks Trend Trading Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Sellers were in control most of the trading session on Tuesday, however an overnight buying surge pushed the S&P 500 back up to overhead resistance as the directional battle raged on between the bulls and the bears. For over a week we have had relatively choppy trading as the S&P 500 has remained in a tight range between the 20 and 50 period moving averages. By the open Wednesday, the U.S. financial markets demonstrated their resiliency yet again. It is critical to note that we received our first and second official tests of the 50 period moving average on the S&P 500 daily chart.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Stock Market Quarterly Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
My favourite indicator of market breath, the McClennan Summation Index, is finally beginning to get to a level where it is becoming interesting. A move into negative territory, though some ways to go, will herald the probability that stocks will soon begin providing price action that brings solid technical support. This is good news particularly for those who have been out of the market since the early September bull move. In my books patience is a major key to achieving above average investment returns. Those investors who relaxed and held off while the herd chased the trend should now begin to sharpen their attention. At the moment the Dow Transports (DJ-20) are showing more strength than the Dow Industrials (DJ-30). However, Technology, Mid-Caps and Small Caps all remain strong despite pull-backs. This indicates that the March 2009 bull trend is still solidly in place for the moment.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Are The Problems in Europe Just Beginning? European Stocks Opportunities / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
The fear of another financial crisis in Europe is impacting the markets around the world. The decline in the euro has been significant enough to rekindle speculation of the euros demise. Portugal’s bond auction of 12 monthTreasury bonds saw a significant rise in cost with the yield hitting 5.28% versus the 4.8% in early November. Spain has seen a rise in yields as well with rumors growing concerning financial trouble. It is the uncertainty of the current issues facing Europe that are driving the markets lower. One thing is for sure, a lack of clarity breeds speculation which left unchecked will feed on itself causing extreme market volatility.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Nasdaq Leads on Downside as Stock Market Sell-Off Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered another down day today, and were particularly weak on Nasdaq. The indices opened with a gap down, bounced back sharply, and then hit higher highs midday on the S&P 500, but couldn't on the Nasdaq 100. They pulled back in the afternoon, backed and filled, but in the last 20 minutes sold off to close near the support lows intraday.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist Newsletter Exclusive Free Access / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
An exclusive only for Market Oracle readers, FREE access to Robert Prechter's recent 10 Page The Elliott Wave Theorist Letter:
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Fixing FUBAR: Next Week in Washington D.C. / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Next week, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, hosts its Supervision Summit. Attendees comprise 300 "stakeholders," whom I'll address the morning of Wednesday, December 8, 2010 with a presentation titled: Repairing the Damage of "Fraud as a Business Model."
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Gold, Dollar and Stock Markets Decoupling! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I’ve received a number of e-mails over the last week asking me, better yet warning me about decoupling. The principal culprits are gold and the Dow as well as gold and the dollar. Bloomberg and CNBC go on and on about gold moving inversely to the dollar and everybody listens to them as if it were gospel. What they don’t know is that these TV experts are years behind the curve. There is no doubt that gold is rising in terms of every major currency in the world, but what is less known is that it rallies with or against the dollar. With respect to the supposed link between gold and the US dollar I want you to focus your attention on these two charts. First let’s look at an eleven month daily chart for gold:
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
U.S. Economy Forecast 2011, How to Profit Even With a Double Dip Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Martin Hutchinson writes: It's been a dull year for the U.S. economy. But don't expect a repeat in 2011.
In fact, as we enter the New Year for the U.S. economy, investors face some major risks. Should the U.S. Federal Reserve opt to maintain its record-low-level of interest rates, it's very likely that we'll see the kind of virulent inflation that will send commodity prices skyward, and inflict some real long-term damage in the process.
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Stock Market Big Comeback Pares Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a down day, but came way back in the last couple hours to shave a big chunk off the losses. The day started out with a big gap to the downside, bounced, and then went sharply lower in the morning, reaching the session lows literally in the first 45 minutes.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Could Wikileaks Revealing Major Bank Secrets Crash the Global Economy? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Whilst the mainstream press is focused on tittal tattle such as the Duke of York's' rude utterances or South Koreans suggesting that China would be more than happy for them to takeover the North that smacks more of wishful thinking than anything credible.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Stock Market Small Late Reversal...Nothing To Get Excited About... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We saw the market come off its lows today. To many this will seem as if the selling is finally over. I'd be very careful with that type of thinking since all the market did was rally a bit after the dollar hit major resistance on its daily chart at the 200-day exponential moving average. At the same time its daily chart was hitting strong resistance, its oscillators got overbought on both the 60-minute and daily charts. So it was no real surprise to see the market find a reversal off the lows late day. None of this makes the market bullish short-term. It could lead to a small rally over the next day or so, but it's incredibly unlikely we'll see much to the upside here.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Investors Drawn to China Like Moths to a Flame / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"Investors are drawn to China like moths to a flame." – Neil Woodford
That’s a great quote. Neil is the head of investments at Invesco, running the UK’s largest investment fund with a decade of 15% average returns under his belt so let’s take the man seriously for starters. Mr Woodford’s concerns coincide with figures showing that food prices in China were 10.1pc higher in October than in the same month last year – a level of inflation not seen since mid-2007. This is deepening concern that China’s economy is now starting to overheat.
Monday, November 29, 2010
Stock, Bond and Silver Year-End Targets To Watch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday and weekend! But now I want to turn our attention back to the markets. Judging by the positive response to last Monday’s column, I want to give you more year-end signals to watch for key markets.
Remember, this is the first time ever that I’ve released such signals. They are based on a proprietary trading model I developed in the early 1980s, and are a unique combination of cyclical and technical analysis.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Are Mid-Cap Stocks Set to Lead the Market Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks struggled over the past week as investors managed to shrug off an escalating conflict in Korea only to have renewed sovereign debt troubles in Europe slug them in the face. The Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 both closed half a percent lower while the Nasdaq closed half a percent higher. The European exchanges all closed 3% to 5% lower.
Yet some sectors thrived. Best groups for the week were retailers, semiconductor makers and Internet software and hardware makers, all up 3% to 5%. Major damages were mostly in large-cap banks and materials producers.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Market Concerns Over Euro-Zone Bailout, Smart Money Preparing to Sell Stocks Hard / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
(ZeroHedge) Despite its illiquidity, The FX market has been the first and earliest indicator of how the market is taking the Irish bailout. So far it has been a complete abortion, and after opening in the mid 1.33 in the interbank market, the EURUSD has just touched on 1.3196, and is about to take out Friday support. The vigilantes refuse to go away. In addition to LCH margin hikes on Portugal and Spanish bonds tomorrow which now appears inevitable, we continue to expect that FX margin requirements will be hiked over the next few days across the board. Lastly, expect to hear rumors of secret service chasing any and all bond shorts/CDS longs. The war for the Eurozone's survival is now on in earnest.
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