Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Will Fed Hint at QE3 and Surprise the Stock Market Bears? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Will the Fed Hint atGiven the stark contrast between asset class performance before and after the implied announcement of QE2, the Fed’s statements related to quantitative easing in the coming weeks will have a significant impact on the outlook for stocks and the relative attractiveness of asset classes, market sectors, and subsectors.
The Fed is scheduled to issue statements on March 15 and April 27, 2011 with the following concerns as a backdrop:
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Japanese Nuclear Plant Explosions Trigger Global Stock Market Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Japanese Nuclear power plant buildings exploding virtually every other day has sent a shock wave across the worlds stock markets that effectively crashed the japanese stock market by 11% which set in motion a chain reaction of stock market meltdowns across the world.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Negative Returns for a Decade, Is Gold in a Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Shedlock
John Hussman is is once again exploring the topic of valuations and expected future returns. Please consider this snip from Anatomy of a Bubble
Read full article... Read full article...When valuations are reasonable, investors can expect satisfactory long-term returns simply on the basis of the stream of cash flows they receive over time. But once valuations are elevated, investors become increasingly reliant on pure increases in prices and valuations in order to achieve satisfactory returns. This is easily seen in historical data for the S&P 500.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Japan's Nuclear Crisis Leads to 'Panic' - Nikkei Crashes, Gold Down 1% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: GoldCore
Japan's nuclear crisis has deepened and we deeply regret to say that there is now the real possibility of a nuclear catastrophe. Investor panic has set in with the Nikkei down over 16.5% in two days and the Topic index down by 17% - its worst two-day loss since the 1987 Wall Street stock market crash.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Secular Stock Market Trend Game Changer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
This week we look at another except from Ed Easterling’s gonzo book on stock market return projections, called Probable Outcomes. This section is entitled “Game Changer,” and it is that and more. (Again, thanks to Ed for letting us read his work!)
“Game Changer” is a thought-provoking, somewhat detailed analysis, with two major surprises. The first is that GDP growth was well below average last decade (a trend that could continue this decade); and second, slowing growth has a substantial negative effect on valuations (P/E ratios). This ties well into my own Endgame and suggests implications about slower growth, etc. (similar to what I project from work of my own). Slower growth drives P/Es lower (even without higher inflation, or deflation) and could drop the market by a third or so relative to “normal” cycles.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Stock Market Doing What It Was Going To Do... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Markets have a way of doing what they need to do regardless of whatever news is out there. The situation in Japan is incredibly sad. Breaks my heart, and I'm sure it breaks the heart of each and every one of you out there.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Japan’s Nikkei Index Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mac_Slavo
Japan’s Nikkei Index, which measures the top 225 companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, went into an almost immediate freefall after Tsunami waves began washing up on the country’s northeast coast. The Nikkei 255 Index, which reached a high of 10,600 point on Wednesday, had tumbled to 10,250 points by Friday’s close. The earthquake off the coast of Japan hit at approximately 2:00 PM Japanese time on Friday, March 11.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Nuclear Power Industry Praying Japan Will Avert a Nuclear Disaster / Stock-Markets / Nuclear Power
By: Martin_D_Weiss
Explosions and meltdowns at nuclear reactors in Japan this past weekend will forever change the world of energy.
Authorities have already scheduled widespread power outages starting today — and they could continue the planned outages for weeks or even months.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Stock Market Investors, It’s Time to Get Out! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
This is for all you folks out there with retirement accounts in the general stock market. I've been warning for many months that the cyclical bull we've been in for almost two years is still just a counter trend rally in an ongoing secular bear market. I made that same warning about the last cyclical bull market from `02 to `07. Many people ignored me in November `07 when I said the second leg down in the secular bear had begun. I suspect many people wish they hadn't.
Monday, March 14, 2011
Will Stock Sell-Off Trip Up the Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks tumbled over the past week - despite a sharp 3% drop in crude oil prices - as investors fretted about the devastating earthquake in Japan, a downgrade of Spain's sovereign debt rating, weak trade data out of China, Germany and the United States and violence in Saudi Arabia.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down by 1% for the week, while the Nasdaq Composite Index finished down 2.5% and the Russell 2000 small caps fell 2.7%. The stock sell-off was punctuated by a 90% downside day on Thursday, which means nine out of 10 stocks finished lower and 9/10 of the volume was in declining stocks.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Japanese Stock Market Trend Forecast Post EarthQuake / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: readtheticker
The Japanese people are suffering after a massive earthquake, our best wishes go out to them. Many financial market analyst are posting what happened to Japanese stocks (N225) post the 1995 Kobe earthquake. What can we expect this time, we fear much of the same.
Monday, March 14, 2011
Stock Market Correction May Be Ending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, March 13, 2011
Do or Die Week for Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past couple weeks have been choppy in the equities market. While the strong intraday moves are great for day traders, it is extremely difficult for swing/position traders who normally hold positions for 3-60 days in length, which is my focus with this newsletter. That being said, we are reaching a do or die point for the equities market and next week there should be a strong move out of this trading range. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 12, 2011
Stock Market Correction Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started with the market remaining in its SPX 1303 to 1332 trading range. During the latter part of the week the lower end of the trading range broke down, confirming an OEW downtrend, and the market traded down to SPX 1292 on friday before recovering during the day. Economic reports remained mostly good with positives beating out negatives 7 : 4. On the positive side, consumer credit continued to expand while wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, excess reserves, the monetary base and the WLEI all improved. On the negative side, the trade/budget deficits expanded, weekly jobless claims increased and consumer sentiment declined.
Saturday, March 12, 2011
What the VIX is Saying for the Stock Market... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
The VIX is regarded as the Fear Index by many, so you would expect it to be screaming "Fear" after yesterday's market drop, the Libyan and Saudi troubles, and the huge earthquake in Japan.
It isn't ... instead it is showing that the market is acting like it is relatively undaunted by all the above concerns.
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Saturday, March 12, 2011
Stock Market Trends Impacted by Social Moods / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
We can now add the recent uprisings in North Africa and the Middle East to the category of life imitating art -- specifically, music lyrics. Those who lived through the 1980s might be forgiven for hearing an unbidden snatch of music run through their heads as they watched first Hosni Mubarak and now Moammar Gadhafi try to hold onto power -- "Should I Stay or Should I Go" by The Clash. In Libya, where Gadhafi has used air strikes and ground forces against the rebels, The Clash's other huge hit from 1981, "Rock the Casbah," describes the current situation so well it's almost eerie:
Saturday, March 12, 2011
SPX has a Classic Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Hundreds killed in tsunami after 8.9 Japan quake
(AP) A ferocious tsunami spawned by one of the largest earthquakes ever recorded slammed Japan's eastern coast Friday, killing hundreds of people as it swept away boats, cars and homes while widespread fires burned out of control.
Hours later, the tsunami hit Hawaii and warnings blanketed the Pacific, as far away as South America, Canada, Alaska and the entire U.S. West Coast.
Friday, March 11, 2011
Markets Rocked By Japan Megaquake, Gold Mixed as Yen Surges / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: GoldCore
The massive earthquake and tsunami that has rocked Japan is being digested by markets and the economic ramifications and uncertainty is leading to risk aversion.
The massive earthquake measured 8.9 on the Richter scale and is the largest earthquake since 1896 and the 6th largest earthquake ever measured. It has triggered alarm that tsunamis may hit coastlines throughout the Pacific including on the U.S. western seaboard. A state of emergency has been declared at one of Japan’s nuclear stations due to a fire and the process for cooling the nuclear reactor is 'not going as planned'.
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Friday, March 11, 2011
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
In my analysis of March 2nd I suggested the stock market correction should last around 4 weeks (based on cycles and previous corrections) and sufficiently reset overbought or extreme indicators in order for the cyclical bull to continue. Today the correction is 3 weeks old, and we have seen just over 50 points wiped off the S&P500. So is it shortly a buy again?
Friday, March 11, 2011
Back to the Well? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Andy_Sutton
There is a rather popular cliché that those who don’t know their history are doomed to repeat it. I tend to like the variation, that the only thing we have learned from history is that we have learned nothing from it. Sounds like a clever oxymoron, but given the state of affairs in the world today, it is more than apropos. It would seem that once again, we are defying logic and trying to go back to 2005 when it was all roses, honey, easy mortgages, and big trade deficits. Have we really not learned a thing?