Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, March 28, 2011
Stock Market Needs Additional Accumulation Before Trending to New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
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Sunday, March 27, 2011
India’s Stock Market BSE Sensex Index Heading to New Highs / Stock-Markets / India
Nothing has changed longer term. India’s Sensex entered a multi-decade Cycle wave [3] in the spring of 2009. The current multi-year bull market is only Primary wave I of this Cycle wave, and we’re still expecting the Sensex to reach 34,000 during this bull market.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Unintended Consequences of Central Banks Money Printing, Bubbles in Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
The central banks of the developed world are printing money and are engaged in a very-low-interest-rate regime. What does that mean for emerging markets? It is more than just a dilemma, it is a tri-lemma – they have problems not just coming and going but also sitting still! I am in Zurich tonight after a long day, with a 4:30 AM wake-up call to get back home, but deadlines are deadlines. So, to make this one easier on me as well as hopefully instructive for you, you will get chapter 15 of my new book, Endgame, in which coauthor Jonathan Tepper and I speculate about the future of emerging markets in general and investments in them in particular. We once again are on the New York Times best-seller list this week, by the way (thanks to many of you).
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Stock Market Correction May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Markets worldwide just had their best week since the beginning of November 2010. The SPX/DOW gained 2.9%, and the NDX/NAZ was +4.2%. Asian markets gained 3.5%, European markets were +4.0%, the Commodity equity group gained 2.4%, and the DJ World index was +3.2%. US economic reports, for the first time in months, were mostly on the negative side. Existing/new home sales declined, along with, FHFA housing prices, durable goods orders, public sentiment, and the WLEI. On the positive side, Q4 GDP rose along with the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week will be highlighted by Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI and the monthly Payrolls report.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Hold Strong..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A tough group these bulls. They don't like to give things too easily. Just when it looked like things would fall apart as they lost those 50-day exponential moving averages, they fought back strong and took those levels back in no time at all. The Nasdaq in particular gave up that critical 50-day at 2712 with relative ease. No real fight as those high beta froth stocks were taken down in a big way. No mercy on some of those stocks as they took 20% hits. Others were hit quite a bit more than that off their most recent highs. Not pretty as many stayed oversold and refused to bounce as their prices seemingly went lower.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Could There Really Be a Bernanke Put? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Back in 1998, the U.S. stock market had become overbought and was in a normal correction, while Asian markets were plunging due to a currency crisis. When on top of those situations, giant hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management collapsed, causing problems for some major banks, the U.S. Fed worried that the combination might send the U.S. economy into a recession. So it quickly and dramatically cut interest rates. The economy did not slow into a recession, and the interest rate cuts encouraged the stock market, which turned back to the upside and kept going into the 1999 bubble.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Investor Opportunities and Threats, Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Sir Alan Greenspan spent almost 20 years serving his masters who own the Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and many more. The Fed has no independence – it takes orders from these banks and brokerage houses. This same group controls Congress by paying off 95% of the representatives and senators via campaign contributions and via lobbying. Thus, with the assistance of the Fed, Wall Street and banking, they not only control money, supply, credit, interest rates and Washington, but they control our entire economic and financial scene and the lives of every American. Booms and bubbles can be blamed on politicians, but the real culprits behind the scenes are Wall Street and banking in which we spent 29 years of our lives and for many of those years owned our own firm. If you do not know and understand these realities you should not be an investor or a financial and economic journalist.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Stock Market Showing Great Resilience But Has it True Bull Legs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The recent sell-off in the S&P and other leading equity markets in reaction to the earthquake/natural disaster in Japan and fighting in Libya, appears to have run its course, since the S&P has rejected the recent lows.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Leading Market Indicators and Tipping Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
As a financial markets trader I can only make money by successfully predicting the future to some degree. Therefore I am more interested in market analysis and less interested in market commentary. I am more interested in leading indicators and less interested in coincident and lagging indicators. I am more interested in tipping points and less interested in known issues. I understand that all data flow and newsflow is by necessity after-the-event, but I can focus on flow that has historically consistently correlated with future market performance.
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Thursday, March 24, 2011
Gold and Stock Market At Do or Die Point – Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Equities and Precious Metals are on the edge of another rally and it could start as early as tomorrow.On March 13th I posted some of my analysis online showing how the market was trading at a key pivot point and that a sharp price movement was about to unfold. I also provided everyone with the direction in favor which played out perfectly catching a 4.5% in three days.
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Thursday, March 24, 2011
Stock Market Hangs in the Balance Whilst Social Mood Deteriorates Further / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
“We crawl on our knees for you,
Under a sky no longer blue
We sweat all day long for you,
But we sow the seeds to see us through
‘Cause sometimes dreams just don’t come true,
Look now at what they’ve done to you.” -Rise Against: Re-Education (Through Labor)
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Stock Market Inside Candles Kick In Late Today.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Yesterday we saw an up trend inside candle stick that usually portends a continuation of the previous pattern from the past few days. We had been up for a few days in a row. Then we saw a very light volume candle stick that showed trading action within the previous up day stick. It said it was likely we'd follow through on the up side, but it sure didn't look that way when we woke up this morning and saw eroding futures. Those futures never recovered, and thus, yet another gap down.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2011
How the VAR Model and Japan's Tragedy Affect Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Our thoughts and prayers are with the people of Japan. The videos, images and stories of the devastation caused by last week's earthquake and tsunami have touched our hearts and rattled investor psyches around the world.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2011
What China's Rising Wages Mean for Investors / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Jason Simpkins writes: There's a sea change underway in China's economy - one that's evident in soaring prices, shrinking trade surpluses, and higher property values. And it's being driven by higher wages for workers that for decades have been grossly underpaid.
From the country's fast-growing urban centers to its frontier countryside, wages are rising rapidly across China.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2011
How to Invest in the Third Year of a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Martin Hutchinson writes: The current bull market in U.S. stocks celebrated its second birthday on March 9.
With human beings, a 2-year-old is a lusty toddler with a lot more growing to do. For a bull-market-run in stocks, however - particularly a bull market as vigorous as this one has been - the two-year mark is a good time to start searching for some serious signs of aging.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2011
Stock Market Surges On Overseas News... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A great day for the market today as very good news out of Libya sent the futures rocking higher. Democracy is close at hand. The way it should be, of course. Equal rights for everyone. Autocratic rule about to be replaced, and that's what that country needs in the very worst way. It looks like that's coming to a head with Khadafy on his way out shortly.
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Monday, March 21, 2011
Economic Disasters Which Threaten To Rip World Financial Markets To Shreds / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Economic Collapse writes: 2011 has already been the most memorable year in ages and we haven't even reached April yet. Revolutions have swept the Middle East, an unprecedented earthquake and tsunami have hit Japan, civil war has erupted in Libya, the price of oil has been soaring and the entire globe is teetering on the brink of economic collapse. It seems like almost everything that can be shaken is being shaken. Unfortunately, it does not appear that things are going to settle down any time soon. The Japanese economy has been dealt a critical blow, the European sovereign debt crisis could flare up again at any moment and the U.S. economy could potentially plunge into another recession by the end of the year. The global economy and world financial markets were really struggling to recover even when things were relatively stable. If all of this global instability gets even worse it could literally rip world financial markets apart.
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Monday, March 21, 2011
Stock Energy, Materials, and Industrial Sectors Are Well Positioned / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Since the markets have pulled back significantly from their recent highs, it is a good time to revisit our big picture investment strategy. Attractive sectors, based on fundamental and technical data, include energy (XLE) and industrial stocks (XLI). While a good case for stocks in the materials sector (XLB) also exists, we prefer the materials themselves (commodities) relative to stocks.
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Monday, March 21, 2011
The Interest Rate Mega-Trend Ebook and Forthcoming Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dear Reader
The New UK Interest Rate Mega-Trend 85 page ebook is now complete and available for download.
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Monday, March 21, 2011
Stocks Falter, But Fed Policy Favors Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks spent the past week in the wash cycle, as bears finally cleaned up to the tune of a loss of 1.5% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a loss of 1.9% in the S&P 500, 2.6% in the Nasdaq Composite Index and 1% in the Russell 2000. They rebounded on Thursday and Friday with more of a whimper than a bang, as breadth and volume were a lot weaker than the headline gains in the Dow would lead you to believe.
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