Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, June 09, 2011
Stock Market Tug Of War, Mass of Bottoming Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Let's start with 8 indicators that all suggest a stock market bottom is close at hand, and therefore a stock market buying opportunity:
Thursday, June 09, 2011
Stock Market Acting More Bearish... Changes Of Character / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
When studying markets, what you try to do is find a change of character. Something different that hasn't been taking place for quite some time. Something out of the ordinary. If it happens once you can shrug it off as a one time happening that really shouldn't be given any real energy. If it happens more than once you have to start tasking it seriously. Now I think we have to start taking things more seriously from a bearish trend point of view. There are two thins occurring now that have to be taken as a bad omen for the short-term. We are getting any early buying turned into late day selling. Late day selling is a way of the big money saying you can't do too much if you're a bull. Stop buying early on.
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Thursday, June 09, 2011
Wiping Out All of 2011's Stock Market Gains! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
S&P 1,260. That's the line we need to hold.
That's where we started the Year on January 3rd and we finished that day at 1,271, beginning a fine tradition of making almost all of our gains on the first day of the month, continuing a very disturbing (and very fake) year-long trend that I am calling "sell the next day (of the month) and go away." (chart by Bespoke).
Thursday, June 09, 2011
Stock Market Potential Long Term Topping Process Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In the introduction to this report, I detailed many of the non-technical elements that should have happened and could have happened and almost happened--but that ultimately failed to happen--leading to a non-confirmation of an ongoing bull market. Let's reiterate: I gave the bull the benefit of the doubt and argued its cause to the extent that it gave a cause to argue. But when reality departs from argument I will have to go with reality. Let's look at some technical factors which failed to confirm an ongoing bull market and give substantial cause to anticipate a renewed bearish environment.
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Wednesday, June 08, 2011
Financial Markets Know QE2 Is “Transitory" - What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Here are some highlights from the latest Wall Street Examiner's Professional Edition. Lee Adler's perspective on the stock market is extremely insightful as he tracks factors we don't often consider well enough in anticipating how the markets are going to move. Unfortunately, the stock market is largely at the mercy of the money flows between the Fed, the Treasury, Primary Dealers, foreign central banks, the banking system, and the markets. Lee closely follows these money flows and explains how they are likely to affect the markets.
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Wednesday, June 08, 2011
Chinese Internet Stocks Getting Crushed / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
It looks in retrospect that RenRen (RENN) was the top of the "chinese internet/ social media" bubble, at least this time around. [May 2, 2011: RenRen IPO Appetite Seen as Huge, but Red Flags Abound] [Apr 19, 2011: RenRen Set to IPO May 4th] That broken IPO has been a disaster, as we warned. (IPO Priced at $14, first day mark at $24!) At this pace it may actually go low enough where I'd be interested!
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Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Stock Market Bulls or Bears? Who Is In Control? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A current update on last week's analysis of Very Strong stocks versus the Very Weak stocks ....
From last week's posting: What if the number of Very Strong stocks in the market was in a "down trend" while the number of Very Weak stocks in an "up trend" ... what would you say?
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Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Forecasts for Every Major World Market, Stocks, Commodities, Currencies and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
There are just days left for you to download Elliott Wave International’s issue of Global Market Perspective, FREE!
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Tuesday, June 07, 2011
China SSEC Stock Market Index Could Double / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
China SSEC Stock Market Index Could Double
Back in December, 2010 we posted a special report on China’s SSEC. OEW suggested this market had some additional sideways/down work to do before it completed Primary wave IV. As you are likely aware, while the rest of the world has been in a bull market China’s equity market has been in a bear. This is not that unusual for this index as it often moves to its own beat.
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Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Baltic Dry Goods Index Stock Market Non Confirmation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In a recent article, Richard Russell made the following fascinating observations:“..Barron's Business Index hit its high in June [1929], which was three months BEFORE the Dow recorded its 1929 record high! After June 1929, Barron's Index headed down. But wait -- the Dow continued higher, recording its record high three months later on September 3, 1929. Following the Dow's September high came the famous 1929 crash, which only two months later took the Dow to a temporary bottom of 198.69 on November 13, 1929.
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Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Stock Market Madness – Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Another day another $453M!
That's right, there are still 335,695 open 1,000-barrel July contracts on the NYMEX with just 2 weeks left to dump them and the pump crew was foolish enough to run oil back to our $100.60 target, where we were able to jump back in and short it in last night's Member Chat (as the Gekko said: "Money never sleeps!"). This morning we took a stop at $99.25 and now we are patiently waiting for them to pretend they want to pay over $100 for oil again so we can short it again...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Bears Now In Total Control..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
You need to recognize a real change when it occurs. Hopefully, all of you can now realize that the market characteristics have changed from bullish to more bearish for the short-term. Once the bears were able to take out 1320/1315, or the critical trend line in play, it has been lights out for the bulls. It took three full attempts by the bears to get the job done, but they did it. They defended resistance over and over and kept pounding away at 1315/1320 and finally got the job done. To that you say it's about time, and it's good for this market. The bears have been bowing down to the bulls for quite some time now. Every time the bulls needed to make a move higher through resistance it seems they got the job done without too much trouble. Day after day and week after week this trend remained in place. The bears unable to put up a fight.
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Monday, June 06, 2011
The Stock Market Fly Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
June 3, 2011. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just lost over 400 points in the last 3 days. A lot of investors are wondering what has happened. The bulls have started to wonder why the bears have started up their grills. Why did the markets suddenly take a dive? I have the answer. Come close so you can read this information accurately. Closer. Please, come on in real close. Use a magnifying glass if you need to. Ready? Hear it is. It’s a scam!
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Monday, June 06, 2011
Ignore the Headline Economic Data, The Stock Market Gearing Up for a Major Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: The stock market swirled lower over the past week as a barge full of U.S. economic data sank in stormy seas.
But don't worry: We may actually be able to ride some of these swells to sizeable profits.
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Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Extreme Fear Points to Higher Prices Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Everyone knows people make mistakes when rushed to do something or if they are scared of something bad happening. We also know fear and greed is what moves the market each month, week, day and tick… So when the majority of investors are selling their shares at the same time you must recognize the psychology behind it and prepare for a low risk trading opportunity in the days that follow.
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Monday, June 06, 2011
The 0.6 Quadrillion Dollar Systemic Risk? Global OTC Derivatives Counterparty Risk / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
Remember the 0.6 quadrillion dollar problem* ATCA flagged a few years ago in regard to counterparty risk? Guess what, it is still there! The $600 trillion global Over-The-Counter (OTC) derivatives market is still broadly unregulated although a number of new rules for privately traded swaps -- the biggest part of that $600,000 billion dollars -- have been proposed by the two US derivatives regulators:
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Monday, June 06, 2011
Financial Stocks XLF ETF Prevented a Potentially Devastating S&P 500 Trade / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
My most recent analysis regarding the S&P 500 has been proven to be inaccurate as a failed breakout has transpired on the S&P 500 this past week. While there is no such thing as a perfect analyst, I will openly admit that my most recent article proved to be wrong. After I watched as the S&P 500 broke out above the upper channel resistance area I was expecting continuation. What transpired the following day was absolute carnage in the marketplace.
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Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Disconnect, 8.6 Year Cycle Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Monday, June 06, 2011
Credit Markets Diverging From Equities Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
"Don't criticize what you don't understand, son. You never walked in that man's shoes." - Elvis Presley
In prior posts I discussed how the equity market has become far less forward looking. Rather than being a proactive pricing mechanism it has become a reactionary trading one. In 2001 the equity market peaked nine months before the recession. In 2008 they peaked two months before.
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Sunday, June 05, 2011
Current Stock Market Pullback is Second Longest in Duration Since March 2009 Bear Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This data from the blog VIX and More is a day old, but it highlights an interesting situation. Of the 16 pullbacks since the March 2009 "generational bottom", the current episode is the 2nd longest at 23 days, trailing only the 48 days experienced last April-June as QE1 ended and the flash crash hit. But that said, as of yesterday it was only the 11th most severe with a 4.7% loss on the S&P 500 (obviously a bit higher today). Which is why this has not been an easy pullback even for bears who target the indexes - it's been a long slow grind with a lot of spring back rallies, and a rotation into defensive sectors which has offset the brash selloffs in 'beta'.