Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, June 13, 2011

Stock Market Closing in on a Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another week, another decline. That’s six weeks in a row. Economic reports were not as negative as they have been in recent weeks. In fact 8 of the 10 reports came in positive. The two negatives were a slight uptick in weekly jobless claims and another decline in the WLEI. On the plus side: export/import prices and wholesale inventories remained positive; and the trade/budget deficits improved. Moving higher were consumer credit, the M1-multiplier and the monetary wbase. Most markets, with the exception of the USD, moved lower. The SPX/DOW lost 1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ dropped 3.2%. Asian markets lost 0.8%, European markets were -2.1%, the Commodity equity group were -0.8%, and the DJ World index lost 2.4%. Next week Retail sales, CPI/PPI and Options expiration.

Monday, June 13, 2011

Time For Stock Market Reversal Drawing Closer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.

Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.

Monday, June 13, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Rally is Over Mantra About to Get Busted Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market's 6 week downtrend has continued to below 12,000 to close on Friday at 11,951 which has increasingly given much fervour to the perma crowd to jump on the bear market mantra band wagon, who collectively are coalescing around the end of QE2 marking the end of the so called bear market rally, despite the fact that the past 2 years has seen one of the greatest bull runs in history of more than 100%.

Sunday, June 12, 2011

Stock Market Choice Between Bulls Buying or Waterfall Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

It appears that the markets are now moving into areas where the bulls need to decide if they want to hold this market and step up to the table to buy it, or leave well alone and then could potentially see a waterfall from these levels.

The market is very oversold, there is no question about that, but the big moves come from oversold conditions, with the market now reversing from the lack of support from the POMO and QE operations, it's clear that the stock market rallying for the past 2 years has been one big shell game, and unless the FED comes into support the markets via another round of POMO and QE3, then further prices are likely, just like we saw in 2010 as QE1 ended and a near 20% correction until word of QE2.

Sunday, June 12, 2011

What the U.S. Dollar & the Euro Mean to the S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

The buzz around the blogosphere and in the media is that Quantitative Easing II is scheduled to end in around 3 weeks. Already pundits are asking about Quantitative Easing III as a matter of when, not if. In reality a QE III Lite version is already in the cards as the Federal Reserve has stated they will be buying Treasuries and Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) with maturing issues. The Fed also plans on reinvesting the interest earned from the existing portfolio (Roughly $15 billion/monthly).

Saturday, June 11, 2011

How Will Investors Handle The Stock Market Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Sy_Harding

Have investors learned how to recognize and handle market downturns?

They certainly have the tools available now, in the form of information and analysis to help identify when risk of a downturn becomes high, and when support levels have been broken indicating a correction has begun. And the availability of ‘inverse’ mutual funds and ETFs provides the opportunity to not only avoid losses, but to make gains from market declines.

Saturday, June 11, 2011

Stock Market Down Trend Continues Across The Board..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

I know the year seems as if it has been bullish, but this pullback that began six weeks ago has taken the gains out of this market for the year. The S&P 500 is up 1.1%, but now the Nasdaq is red by 0.3%. Not pretty since it was a very good year for the first five months. How fast things can change from good to bad. It came out of nowhere and hasn't stopped for six straight weeks, with the past two weeks being particularly bad, if not gruesome. The Nasdaq is now down 243 points off the top with the S&P 500 down 100 points. 1370 to 1270 at the close today. 8% on the S&P 500 and a little more than 8% on the Nasdaq.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Think Lower Trade Deficit Is Bullish For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: EWI

The Dow rose nearly 1 percent Thursday... Investors were encouraged by a report that the United States trade deficit had narrowed, one positive point in a recent string of weak economic data." (June 9, 2011, Reuters)

Before you join the crowd in thinking that shrinking trade gap is bullish for stocks, read this excerpt from the 2011 edition of our popular free Club EWI resource, The Independent Investor eBook.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Currencies & Commodities: QE3 Not Imminent - Remain Defensive / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Despite weak economic data, most economists remain optimistic about a second half rebound in the economy. From Bloomberg:

Rising exports, stable fuel prices, record levels of cash in company coffers and easier lending rules will be enough to overcome the damage done by one-time events like poor weather and the disaster in Japan, economists said. Nonetheless, the current slackening means Federal Reserve policy makers will wait even longer to raise interest rates next year, the survey shows.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Dollar Bouncing, Markets Near a Major Tipping Point Again - Technical Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

• Dollar is boucing up into a resistance zone again this morning and that is putting pressure on stocks and commodities
• We are nearing a major tipping point again in the market and im looking forward to getting some action soon
• Price action on the charts are still bearish and today's video explains this in detail.

Friday, June 10, 2011

Are Global Stock Markets Topping Out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Adam_Brochert

I think they are. The top is not yet confirmed, however. Additionally, the next cyclical global equity bear market will be getting into dangerous territory. Evil speculators will have to be careful shorting the markets once the opportunity arises in case the apparatchiks pull out their bazookas and declare that all asset prices except Gold and commodities can only rise and never fall. Don't laugh, because price controls are certain to come in many forms over the next several years as governments fight their losing battles against what is left of the global free market. Being a bear will be fraught with peril once the next downward cycle gets going.

Friday, June 10, 2011

JPMorgan vs. Bank of America, Financial Regulation Debate Showdown Between Bernanke and Dimon / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Bloomberg

Bruce Berkowitz of Farholme Capital spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker this afternoon from the Morningstar investor conference in Chicago.

Berkowitz said that financial services companies are "stronger and better than they have been in a very long time" and that Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan is "doing a good job."

Thursday, June 09, 2011

S&P Stock Market Cycle Points Lower / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today is day # 59 within my 70-75 day S&P 500 cycle. This means that the cycle is 79%-84% complete (from its prior low on March 16), and also means that it is in its final 15%-20% (down hard) period ahead of its anticipated low/bottoming timefame in and around the end of June-early July (June 27-July 6).

Thursday, June 09, 2011

SPX Stock Market Index Elliott Wave Pattern Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

We took a close look at the SPX charts in response to recent developments in the market. After a review of the SPX, on various timeframes, one count appeared as the most probable for this correction. We just posted that count on the SPX hourly chart.

Thursday, June 09, 2011

Stock Market Tug Of War, Mass of Bottoming Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: John_Hampson

Let's start with 8 indicators that all suggest a stock market bottom is close at hand, and therefore a stock market buying opportunity:

Thursday, June 09, 2011

Stock Market Acting More Bearish... Changes Of Character / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

When studying markets, what you try to do is find a change of character. Something different that hasn't been taking place for quite some time. Something out of the ordinary. If it happens once you can shrug it off as a one time happening that really shouldn't be given any real energy. If it happens more than once you have to start tasking it seriously. Now I think we have to start taking things more seriously from a bearish trend point of view. There are two thins occurring now that have to be taken as a bad omen for the short-term. We are getting any early buying turned into late day selling. Late day selling is a way of the big money saying you can't do too much if you're a bull. Stop buying early on.

Thursday, June 09, 2011

Wiping Out All of 2011's Stock Market Gains! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

S&P 1,260. That's the line we need to hold.
That's where we started the Year on January 3rd and we finished that day at 1,271, beginning a fine tradition of making almost all of our gains on the first day of the month, continuing a very disturbing (and very fake) year-long trend that I am calling "sell the next day (of the month) and go away." (chart by Bespoke).

Thursday, June 09, 2011

Stock Market Potential Long Term Topping Process Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Steven_Vincent

In the introduction to this report, I detailed many of the non-technical elements that should have happened and could have happened and almost happened--but that ultimately failed to happen--leading to a non-confirmation of an ongoing bull market. Let's reiterate: I gave the bull the benefit of the doubt and argued its cause to the extent that it gave a cause to argue. But when reality departs from argument I will have to go with reality. Let's look at some technical factors which failed to confirm an ongoing bull market and give substantial cause to anticipate a renewed bearish environment.

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Financial Markets Know QE2 Is “Transitory" - What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Here are some highlights from the latest Wall Street Examiner's Professional Edition. Lee Adler's perspective on the stock market is extremely insightful as he tracks factors we don't often consider well enough in anticipating how the markets are going to move. Unfortunately, the stock market is largely at the mercy of the money flows between the Fed, the Treasury, Primary Dealers, foreign central banks, the banking system, and the markets. Lee closely follows these money flows and explains how they are likely to affect the markets.

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Chinese Internet Stocks Getting Crushed / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: Trader_Mark

It looks in retrospect that RenRen (RENN) was the top of the "chinese internet/ social media" bubble, at least this time around. [May 2, 2011: RenRen IPO Appetite Seen as Huge, but Red Flags Abound] [Apr 19, 2011: RenRen Set to IPO May 4th] That broken IPO has been a disaster, as we warned. (IPO Priced at $14, first day mark at $24!) At this pace it may actually go low enough where I'd be interested!