Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, June 18, 2011
Why It’s Too Soon To Buy the Stock Market Dip! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
After six straight down weeks the S&P 500 is down only 6% from its April peak.
That’s not near enough to factor all the negatives into stock prices. Those negatives include the rapidly slowing U.S. economy, sharply rising global inflation, plunging global markets as central banks raise interest rates to ward off inflation, the cuts in government spending yet to hit the U.S. economy as Washington and individual states tackle their record budget deficits, and the end of the Fed’s QE2 stimulus program.
Saturday, June 18, 2011
Stock Market Black Swan Event 40% Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Sara_Nunnally
Yesterday on CNBC, Mark Spitznagel, chief investment officer for fund manager Universa Investments L.P., made a scary prediction. He warned that the S&P 500 could lose 40% of its value in the next couple of years.
He went on to point out several facts and figures that led to this prediction. He specifically said, "there is a 20% chance of a well-over 40% correction in the S&P 500 within the next few years."
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Saturday, June 18, 2011
Investor Profit and Protection, Major Market Moves During QE3 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“In perhaps the best evidence of silver manipulation to date, the CFTC’s Bank Participation Report for June shows that from May 4th to June 7th, the silver short position held by 4 large US banks increased from 20,613 to 22,628 short contracts. This means that the 4 largest US banks increased their short silver position from 103,065,000 ounces when silver was trading near $50 in early May, to 113,140,000 on June 7th. Basically, The Morgue and HSBS ADDED 10 MILLION OUNCES OF SILVER TO THEIR SHORT POSITIONS WHILE SILVER DECLINED 36% IN PRICE! Lets look at this another way. COMEX silver inventories are down 28.7 million ounces. This means that in 1 months time, The Morgue and HSBS have added NEW short positions equal to 1/3 of the remaining physical silver supply on the COMEX. This means that these 4 US banks are currently short roughly 4x the amount of silver remaining on the COMEX.
Friday, June 17, 2011
Trading Stock Market Fear VXO / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Zeal_LLC
The stock markets’ sharp June selloff is waking traders from their complacent slumber. The risk of a significant selloff, long ignored, has surged back to the forefront of market psychology. These pullbacks and corrections are healthy and necessary within ongoing bull markets, but they don’t end until fear grows great enough to rebalance sentiment. And today, stock fear is still too low for a bottoming.
Friday, June 17, 2011
U.S. Dollar’s Close Friday Important for Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Investors are faced with numerous concerns, including:
- Weakening economic data: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s general economic index fell to minus 7.7, the lowest since July 2009, from 3.9 the prior month.
- U.S. debt ceiling: On Tuesday Ben Bernanke said, “Failing to raise the debt ceiling in a timely way would be self-defeating if the objective is to chart a course toward a better fiscal situation for our nation.”
- Greece won’t go away: It is obvious, based on the market’s recent reaction, the problems in Greece are serious and they have not been addressed.
- QE2 ending: The Fed’s second quantitative easing program (QE2) is set to formally end this month. As we discussed in this audio interview on Seeking Alpha, the Fed does not yet have the necessary political cover to begin talking about QE3.
Friday, June 17, 2011
Give Economic Catastrophes a Chance to Wipe Out Bad Investments / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bill_Bonner
More Disasters, Please!
Whoa. Tuesday’s gains had disappeared before traders’ coffee had gone cold, yesterday morning. The Dow ended the day down 173 points…signaling what looks like a 7th straight week of losses. Stay tuned.
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Friday, June 17, 2011
Stocks are Weak, Especially the EuroStoxx50 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
The rally in equity markets globally looks at risk now as traders start to re-assess the health of the global economy. And no matter where one looks, all the major economies are experiencing their own unique and sometimes shared difficulties.
Friday, June 17, 2011
Stock Market Sentiment Surveys Or Margin Debt Who Is Smarter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
The one and only data point that has given the bears pause is the extremely bearish sentiment readings. As an example the AAII survey recorded its highest bullish view on December 21, 2010 at 63.3% bullish to 16.4% bearish whereas on June 15, 2011 those readings were 29.0% bullish to 42.8% bearish.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Oil Slick and Euro Debt Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
Good golly what a mess!
I hate to say I told you so but... Oh wait, no, I'm actually loving this... I TOLD YOU SO! Look at July 2008 and look at June 2011. Now, look at July 2008 and look at June 2011. Now, look at where oil USUALLY trades. Is it over $100 or under $80? You don't want to go back further because then the case could be made for under $60.
Thursday, June 16, 2011
European Debt Contagion Impact on Domestic Banks and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The price action in U.S. financial markets on Wednesday was the culmination of fear and disease. Fear was represented by a breakout in the Volatility Index (VIX) and the disease was related to the sovereign debt crisis unfolding in the Eurozone. The violent reaction by the Greek citizenry to proposed austerity measures paired with grumblings coming from multiple Eurozone nations ignited fear among traders and investors alike.
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Stock Market Bear is Back and This Time it will be Much Worse / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
Don't let the perma bulls fool you, this is not a normal correction, and it has nothing to do with Greece or Spain. This is the beginnings of the next leg down in the secular bear market and the start of the next economic recession/depression. And this time it's going to be much much worse than it was in `08.
For months now I've been warning investors to get out of the general stock market. I was confident that once the dollar put in its three year cycle low the next deflationary period would begin and stocks would enter the third leg down in the secular bear market.
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Thursday, June 16, 2011
Gold, Commodities, Stocks and Dollar, What's Coming Next! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_J_Stills
Every act you have ever performed since the day you were born was performed because you wanted something. ~ Andrew Carnegie
The media is asking a series of ignorant and self-serving questions that will only confuse the investor and I would like to shed some light on this. Yesterday the stock market rallied and the press immediately anointed the event as the precise moment when things started to get better. They're of course wrong.
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Thursday, June 16, 2011
Stock Market Close To Breaking Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Yesterday was promising for the bulls. We had a gap up near key support. Always good to see a gap up when you're so close to breaking down below key support. The gap up ran quite a ways higher before pulling back so late in the day. Overall, a good day for the bulls. Gave them some real hope that maybe things wouldn't get so bad. That maybe losing the 200-day exponential moving average wasn't a guarantee after all.
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Stock Market Indices Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
On Monday we saw the intraday sell-off and reversal pattern that I had stated I was looking for, to accompany the mass of bottoming indicators that were flashing. We didn't get everything in alignment (capitulation breadth/volume not as deep as historically, lunar/Puetz downward pressure period not quite complete), but we had more than 10 different oversold technical indicators and contrarian sentiment readings calling for a trend change together with the intraday sell-off and reversal coming just 2 days from the full moon: that was enough for me to add long stock indices positions. It is rare that the market provides perfect alignment and I believe it is probable that was the bottom. If it wasn't the bottom and we hit lower over the next couple of sessions then a reversal would become even more compelling and I would add further on the long side. Let's dive in.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Financial and Economic Collapse is Coming! Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Submissions
Gerald Celente writes: Everything is not all right. And things are going to get worse … much worse. The economy is on the threshold of calamity. Wars are spreading like wildfires. The world is on a razor’s edge.
Not so, say world leaders and mainstream media experts. Yes, there are problems, but the financiers and politicians are aware of them. Policies are already in place and measures are being taken to correct them.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Stock Market Possible Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
Further to the June 4th Market Minute titled "Corrective low draws near" today's market action suggests that the bottom to this retracement may have occurred.
Probability models have indicated that the low in the current pullback should develop sometime in the second half of June (More information is on page 8 of the May newsletter). Today's strong broad-based advance may prove to be that bottom, however, additional follow through with higher price levels will be needed before confirmation. The S&P 500 will need to close above 1300 and the TSX over 13,200.
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Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Stock Market Six Straight Weeks Down, DJIA Below 12,000, What Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
The Dow has suffered the "longest losing streak since the fall of 2002. The market's last seven-week stretch of losses began in May 2001, as the dot-com bubble deflated," reports The Associated Press.
As for why stocks are falling, most observers agree: Blame "weaker hiring, industrial output, and a moribund housing market." The economic reports from the past two weeks made that clear.
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Tuesday, June 14, 2011
How the U.S. Government Is Choking Off Access to Traditional Safe Havens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DailyWealth
Chris Weber writes: Everywhere I go in the financial world in Europe, I hear the same thing: The U.S. is shooting itself in the face.
The problem is the regulations the U.S. now insists every nation impose on U.S. companies or people seeking to do business or lower their taxes.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Stock Market Getting Ready To Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
At least it should be. Without question the thing to watch for is a bottoming, which we did not get today, unfortunately, for the bulls. Looking for a gap down that prints a hollow red candle to tell me that an upside move is in the cards to unwind extremely oversold market conditions on the daily charts. It will probably be nothing more than a dead cat bounce, but a bounce is definitely in the cards to bring up those oscillators. It's easy to get caught up in the selling, and think that we'll stay oversold forever, but when you get down to major areas of support to be talked about later in this letter, it's time for that bounce as the bulls will defend at these critical levels across all the major index charts on the dailies. We're at 30 RSI on the daily charts pretty much across the board, and sub-10 on stochastic, not to mention RSI's at very low levels.
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Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Biotech and the Unintended Consequences of Moore's Law / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: John_Mauldin
Today we turn away from Europe and QE2 and talk about something I find far more interesting, if not as immediate. I have been talking and emailing with Pat Cox of Breakthrough Technology Alerts a lot lately. There is just so much happening in the biotech space and, as long-time readers know, that is my hobby and the one place I actually buy stocks in this market.
There is just so much misinformation (and sometimes borderline lies by short-sellers). I asked Pat to give us an update on the state of the stem-cell world, and in typical Pat fashion he gives us a lot more to think about. Indeed, Moore’s Law is changing more than just computers.