Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, May 09, 2020
Right Now, the Bullish S&P 500 Ride Goes On No Matter What / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Yesterday, we’ve pointed out the many bullish signals going for stocks, and saw them open higher, and extend their gains. Well, that was true about the first half of the session, as the S&P 500 returned to trading close to unchanged before the closing bell. Is the upswing over now?
In short, we doubt that.
S&P 500 in the Short-Run
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Friday, May 08, 2020
3 Things to Watch When the Stock Market Fed Jet Fuel Runs Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: John_Mauldin
Main Street needs customers. The Fed, for as much as it is trying to flood the markets with money, can’t create them.
And yet, the jet fuel has succeeded in pushing stock benchmarks and valuations back near their old highs. Clearly, and probably rightly, investors are willing to look past the second- and possibly even third-quarter earnings, which everyone acknowledges will be dismal.
But what happens when earnings are dismal in the fourth quarter?
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Friday, May 08, 2020
Stock Market Bears Running Out Of Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
Tuesday’s session played out as a ‘gap up and go’ structure that faded in the final few minutes of regular trading hours (RTH). If you recall, RTH opened at 2863.25 after Monday’s closing print of 2827.5 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), so it was a +1.2% gap up. Then price action continued in the trending direction for the majority of the day, forming higher lows and higher highs as the northbound train goes towards the immediate targets.
However, the bears made a counterattack around 2889.75 high, which was right near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2965-2771 range, and swiftly backtested into our key support of 2850 by the end of the day.
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Friday, May 08, 2020
Technical Analysis Points To Key Reversal Of Global Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, we received a number of email messages and comments regarding our recent Bitcoin article and how we attempted to explain the market trend/technical analysis. It appears we were not making our interpretation very clear for our friends and followers. This article should help to clear up our interpretation of the major market trends and our advanced technical analysis tools and utilities.
As purely technical traders, there are certain things we want to make clear. First, we do pay attention to what is happening to the fundamentals and global economic data when it posts. We’ve authored many previous articles stating our belief that “capital is like a living/breathing entity which attempts to survive (generate ROI with little risk) in various global market environments”. In order for us, as technical traders, to identify real opportunities for superior trades, we must be aware of what is happening in the “environment” that surrounds us.
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Thursday, May 07, 2020
Quantitative INFLATION - Fed QE4EVER / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Once money printing starts it never ends! Instead what happens is any unwinding of central bank balance sheets tends to be temporary in advance of the next crisis which tends to send balance sheets through the roof. This has been my consistent message for the past 10 years since Quantitative INFLATION began in 2008! And so the corona crisis has seen the Fed once more flood the markets with liquidity buying up all sorts of assess left right and centre from junk bonds, to stocks of bankrupt corporations to of course government bonds, and when the buying is done the Fed will likely have DOUBLED it's balance sheet from $4.2 trillion a couple of months ago to approaching $9 trillion!
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Thursday, May 07, 2020
Money Printing is the New Mother's Milk of Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Michael_Pento
My friend Larry Kudlow always says that Profits are the mother's milk of stocks. That used to be true when we had a real economy. But sadly, that is no longer factual because we now have a global equity market that is totally controlled by central banks. To prove this point, let's look at the last few years of earnings. During the year 2018, the EPS growth for the S&P 500 was 20%; yet the S&P 500 Index was down 7% over that same time-frame.
Conversely, during 2019, the S&P 500 EPS growth was a dismal 1%; yet the Index surged by nearly 30%. What could possibly account for such a huge divergence between EPS growth and market performance? We need only to view Fed actions for the simple answer: it was the degree to which our central bank was willing to falsify asset prices.
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Thursday, May 07, 2020
Another Stock Market Selloff Could Drive More Bullion Buying / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
Investors got a look at first quarter GDP, and it wasn’t pretty. The U.S. economy contracted by 4.8%, even worse than the 3.3% decline anticipated by economists.
In addition to that bad news, 4 million more Americans filed for unemployment last week. More than 30 million people have lost jobs over the past 6 weeks, and the situation is only getting worse.
The S&P 500 lost 2.8% on Friday.
Perhaps equity investors are beginning to wonder if share prices, which have moved relentlessly higher in recent weeks, accurately reflect the dismal economic data.
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Thursday, May 07, 2020
This Stock Market Makes No Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
The title to this update is likely the most repeated phrase you have heard over the last month from market participants and analysts alike. As more and more bad economic news is presented through the media, somehow, the market just keeps grinding higher.
I think this picture taken from one of Jim Cramer’s shows expresses the disconnect best:
Doesn’t the market understand what everyone else clearly “knows:” we are heading into the next Great Depression?
As I have always tried to make people understand, the stock market and the economy are not one and the same. Rather, there is a reason that the stock market is considered the best “leading indicator” for the economy. And, it is purely because market sentiment (the true underlying driver of the stock market) is seen in action much quicker within the stock market as relative to the fundamentals within the economy, which take time to catch up to the market action.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2020
SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: readtheticker
Early 2020 the fear was the human race 'David' may suffer terribly under a frightening new flu (COVID 19) 'Goliath', well after few short months it is now clear the human race will win this trial by combat.
Previous Post: SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review
In the previous post the blog said (part 1)
.."We must conclude the major 900 period low is now in, and we are now in a up swing, which may top out ate 2020 or late 2021. Any future top out may only generate a 10% to 20% correction, of course this can be deemed very mild. This is expected, but the expected does not always play out."...
Tuesday, May 05, 2020
Fed Cuts Equities Stimulus 86% This Week and Stocks Are Falling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
What happens to the global markets when the US Fed begins to weaken stimulus activity and when the global markets must begin to function on their own? Are the global markets capable of sustaining current price levels without the Fed supporting them?
A recent news article suggests the US Fed has drastically slashed stimulus activity over the past 5+ days. From a peak level of nearly $600 Billion a week to current levels near $83 Billion per week – a -86% decrease. How will this reflect in the market’s ability to sustain current price levels in the face of disastrous Q2 expectations? Yup, markets are falling fast and hard going into the weekend as expected!
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Tuesday, May 05, 2020
Stock Market Hit Resistance and Fell, Transportation Sector Forms Topping Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, the Transportation Index and the S&P SPDR ETF setup topping patterns near the end of April 2020. In terms of technical triggers, these patterns need to see additional downside price confirmation before we can confirm the true potential for these setups. If they do confirm, we could be starting a new downside price trend fairly soon.
The recent market upside price move is dramatically different on the TRAN chart vs. the SPY chart. Even though the SPY price advance has mirrored the move in the ES and NQ, the TRAN upside price move has been more muted. This is because global economic activity has continued to stall and is not translating into active shipping and trucking activity. Remember, the Transportation Index helps us to understand the core levels of economic activity as parcels and products move around the globe.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2020
Stock Market Resuming the Major Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – We are in an official bear market
Intermediate trend – resuming decline?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, May 04, 2020
Stock Market “Fundamentals ? It’s ALL in the Chartology” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Rambus_Chartology
Before we look at tonight’s Precious Metals charts I would like to make a comment on the US stock markets. I will take some flack over some of the comments I’m going to make but that’s fine as it won’t be the first time nor the last.
Let me start by saying, “The only rule when it comes to trading the stock markets is, “There Are No Rules.” The other important rule that I live by is that, “the markets are always right regardless of what I think.” It’s interesting to hear comments like, the markets don’t trade like they used so its not any fun anymore. Even trading during the mania phase in the tech bubble parabolic rise wasn’t easy. Or the markets can’t keep going up because of no volume or interest rates are too high or countless other reasons that only make sense according to traditional investing.
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Friday, May 01, 2020
How To Reduce Trading Risks When Using CFDs / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, April 28, 2020
This Major Stock Market Indicator is Flashing a HUGE Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Here's what should happen during a bear-market rally as sentiment rises
A question was posed to Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter for a classic Elliott Wave Theorist (Prechter's monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979):
Under the Wave Principle, what is the most important thing to watch other than price?
Prechter answered:
Volume.
You see, high trading volume means that traders are displaying a great deal of conviction about a given market, whether the trend is up or down. Low trading volume means a lack of enthusiasm.
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Monday, April 27, 2020
We Don’t Have Markets Anymore / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Patrick_Watson
The novel coronavirus is destroying human lives: almost 170,000 worldwide as I write this, including 40,000+ in the United States.
These aren’t just numbers. They were people who were loved. Now they are gone. Next to that, all other effects are secondary.
But some are still serious. For one, government actions and consumer choices are pushing an already-weak economy into deep recession.
I said in a video interview last week (watch here) the world economy we knew three months ago won’t be back, ever. It is gone. After a transition period, we will find something different, whose contours are not yet known.
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Monday, April 27, 2020
Stock Market Re-testing the Recent High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Sunday, April 26, 2020
Stocks Bears Hoping To Win Battle At Confluence Of Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
Tuesday’s session saw an immediate downside continuation based off of Monday’s double top/lower high setup. Essentially, the bears broke support and hit a quick homerun into the daily 20EMA 2718 target on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then buyers/bulls showed up to put a temporary floor in place. It was a fairly simple trend day to the downside that could be classified as a ‘gap down and go’ day given the fact that the majority of the losses occurred during the overnight globex hours.
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Saturday, April 25, 2020
Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Coronavirus trend trajectories for both the UK and US ARE IMPROVING! I.e. Targeting 36,000 US deaths and 10,000 UK deaths far below the likes of Dr Fauci have been bandying around of a minimum of 100,000 to 240,000 deaths. With some late to game so called Medical experts are getting carried away with projections running to 1 million plus for the US which is NOT reflected in the trend trajectory. So it looks like many people have become infected with EXTREME PESSIMISM which is what happens at major market bottoms, as I concluded last week that we have probably seen the bear market low at Dow 18,200 which this weeks coronavirus data is confirming.
Therefore this improving coronavirus trend 'should' resolve in relative stock market strength during the coming week.
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Friday, April 24, 2020
Stock Market 40 Year Cycle - 1980 Part 2? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Submissions
We are tracking the 1980 correction in relation to the ongoing correction today. Thus far, the two have been shockingly similar.
1980 SHARE MARKET CHART 40 YEAR CYCLE
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