Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, July 03, 2013
Stock Market Drop Forecast by Leading Sectors, Cycles and Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As talked about almost two weeks ago when the SP500 trend reversed to the down side we have been waiting for a bounce in price to short the market (buy and inverse ETF). That happened last week and now we are waiting for the market to shake out the short positions and suck in as many traders to get long before the next wave of major selling takes place.
Wednesday, July 03, 2013
Stock Market Flash Crash Still Probable / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX revisited the 50-day moving average this morning at 1624.06 and has since declined toward Short-term support and rally trendline at 1650.50. Once beneath these supports, we should see the SPX fall away pretty rapidly. The probability of a Flash Crash is very high, with a potential bottom date of Tuesday, July 9. Beyond that, there may only be a short but powerful bounce that will rollover into a deeper decline ending in the first week of August.
Wednesday, July 03, 2013
Inflation’s Shot Across the Bow, Deflationary Pressure is Expected to Resurface / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Clif_Droke
On May 3, the bond market fired the proverbial “shot heard ‘round the world.” Treasury yields began a two-month climb to levels not seen in almost two years. Many analysts proclaimed the end of the 30+ year interest rate decline. The true significance in the yield rally isn’t that the long-wave deflationary trend in interest rates is over, however. Rather, it’s that the commencement of long-term inflation is within sight.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 03, 2013
The Stock Bull Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
It looks increasingly likely that the high in the Dow on 5/22/13 was the top of the bull market. Let’s go through the process used by George Lindsay to discover why.It is true that the window for the top (as defined by the 15year interval from October 1997) is open until the end of September, as is the time span of a short basic advance (630-718 days) from the low of the basic cycle on 10/4/11.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2013
Brady Bonds Euro-zone Solutions, Rising Interest Rates Impact on Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Christopher_Quigley
Brady Bonds For the Eurozone Are the Only Long Term Solution:
Ireland’s presidency of the European Union ended last Friday. One of its last acts was to finalize the banking policy whereby future troubled Euro banks will be restructured using the Cypriot “bail-in” model. Ostensibly it would appear that the banking crisis is now behind us and the path is clear on how to move forward and achieve banking stability and re-capitalization.
Tuesday, July 02, 2013
The Worst Stock Market Investing Mistake You Could Make Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Many investors are understandably nervous when it comes to what the markets will do this week. Some are downright agitated.
My take? Keep calm.
The markets are doing what they need to be doing right now. The big swings we're experiencing lately are not a sign that the markets are broken. Far from it.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2013
Developing Deflationary Major Forex, Precious Metals and Commodity Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I would like to show you some different currencies that are completing major reversal patterns that should be positive for the US dollar. By the looks of some of the base metals miners BHP, RIO and FCX they seem to be saying that deflation is on the horizon. These big miners look like the HUI before it broke down from its major H&S top pattern.
Lets start with the US dollar that has been rallying back after hitting its long term resistance rail last month in a sharp sell off. I think that was the shake out before the breakout. This first chart of the US dollar shows a nice H&S consolidation that is getting close to breaking the neckline to the upside. A break above the neckline will put the US dollar at a 3 year or so high.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
Stock Market Forecast - Major Bull Market Cycle Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Stocks managed their third session higher as of Thursday June 27th and its too late to jump onto that move. Major indexes and leading stocks have rebounded into resistance along with a few key moving averages. The next 1-3 days favor a pause or pullback at the least simply because of the selling momentum and multiple resistance levels being tested. It is only natural for traders and investors to pull some money off the table or short at these levels.
Monday, July 01, 2013
Another Stock Market Pop-n-drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The commercials are doing it again. You may have noticed that there is a pretty regular ramp in the Pre-Market, then the market goes quiet during the day. At 3:00 or 3:30 the selling begins, with a huge red volume spike into the close. This is a distribution pattern that has continued for over a month, with a few exceptions. Through this method, stocks are being distributed to weak (retail) hands.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
High Frequency Traders – Pushing For the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Rory_Gillen
The rules of engagement in markets have changed and perhaps not for the better. Pre the computer age market participants could look each other in the eye. Understanding who was buying and who was selling and why was straight forward. The raison d'etre of markets is to match the corporate world’s need for capital with investors’ savings. Traders, trying to squeeze out a return from market trends, add to the liquidity in the secondary market.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. After reaching 1687,an intermediate reversal took it down to the 1560 level, from which it rebounded strongly. That rebound appears to be evolving into the beginning of a new uptrend.
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Monday, July 01, 2013
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
Wild week! Monday started off with a gap down opening pushing the SPX down to 1560. Then for the next three days the market gapped up, hitting SPX 1620 on Thursday. Friday appeared to be a consolidation day as the SPX ended the week at 1606. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.80%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%, and the DJ World index rose 1.3%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negatives 11 to 5. On the uptick: durable goods orders, Case-Shiller/FHFA prices, consumer confidence/sentiment, new/pending home sales, personal income/spending, PCE prices, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, Chicago PMI, median home prices, WLEI and the monetary base. Next week, a holiday shortened one: monthly Payrolls, Auto sales and ISM.
Monday, July 01, 2013
FTSE Stock Index Make Or Break Time On Next Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
Put all news and opinions aside. The best and most reliable source for market information comes directly from the market itself, the clearinghouse for all of the decisions that are executed in the marketplace. It is actual executions that matter the most.
Our primary focus for stocks is the S&P, being Chicago-based, but a chart is a chart by any other name, and the FTSE dances to the same beat of supply and demand, as all markets ultimately do. Here is what the market has to say, based upon collective input from all sources, from the best and most informed to the least and uncertain.
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Sunday, June 30, 2013
Has the FTSE Stock Market Index Put in a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: WavePatternTraders
The case for a long term major top looks very compelling.
The advance from the March 2009 lows has a 3 wave look and to an Elliottician that's significant as it only suggests a corrective advance.
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Sunday, June 30, 2013
Bankster Bankruptcy Bail-Ins Are Retirement Accounts Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Andy_Sutton
One of the biggest concerns of savvy investors since the ongoing crisis began in 2008 has been the safety and longevity of the various types of retirement accounts and systems. Throwing gasoline on the flames have been the decisions rendered by courts of ‘law’ regarding the treatment of customer money in the case of the bankruptcy of several brokerage firms, most notably, MFGlobal. The susceptibility of bank deposits has already been firmly established in prior issues of this column. To our alarm and dismay it appears, at least on the surface, as though few are doing anything to prepare for such an eventuality.
Sunday, June 30, 2013
Stock Market Looks To Head Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
What is the message of the market as the week, month, 2nd Qtr, and first half of the year
just ended? The second half of the year is likely to prove more troubling for the Bulls. We
do not make predictions for a future that has not yet happened, but an assessment on what
may unfold for the remainder of the year is about to begin on a weaker tone, based on the
developing market activity.
Saturday, June 29, 2013
Stock Market Next Comes the Big Drop / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Today should be the peak of end of the quarter performance gaming.
Stocks have rallied hard for three days. The financial media has seen this as indicating the worst is over. But the fact of the matter is that most of this is performance gaming aided by various Fed officials issue verbal interventions yesterday.
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Saturday, June 29, 2013
Politicians Should Study The Four-Year Presidential Cycle! / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Sy_Harding
The current Congress has not been winning many awards as the best and brightest. In fact, it’s been singled out for comical examples of ineptness, an ability to pass unimportant bills laden with pork, and gridlock stupidity on important issues that have repeatedly held markets and the economy hostage.
This year, unable to cobble together any kind of carefully planned strategy on fiscal policies, it simply allowed the automatic government spending cuts known as ‘sequestration’ to begin.
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Saturday, June 29, 2013
Stock Market Monthly Losses Minimal....Market Internals Correct.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The Dow was down 1.4%, the S&P 500 1.5% and the Nasdaq down 1.5% for the month of June. Not much in terms of losses considering how overbought we had been and how high the bull-bear spread was. We reached the level of 36.4% more bulls but finished at 16.7%. You have to love that if you're a bull longer-term. It’s five weeks of churning to get the bulls to turn agnostic to bearish. Remember, this was a month with minimal losses. So from the perspective of sentiment, the market gets an A+ for the month for the bullish case. If we study the other aspect of what basically 1.5% worth of selling did, just take a look at those key oscillators we follow. We know that the market had deeply compressed oscillators to the top side. That couldn't last forever. MACD's at extremes not mention stochastic's and RSI's at levels that normally can't support buying to come. They were at levels that suggested some type of selling had to occur shortly.
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Saturday, June 29, 2013
Stock Market SPX Kiss of Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made an irregular Wave [b] below support this morning with a retest of support-turned-resistance. A turn-down here is literally the “kiss of death” for the rally. In this case, we would not want to see SPX retesting the 50-day moving average, since it is still rising. However, the Short-term resistance and Lip of the Cup with Handle formation serve as a proxy.