Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Trump Stocks Bull Market Rolling Over? You Were Warned! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has been on a tear since Donald Trump surprised nearly everyone by winning the November 2016 US Presidential election, including the markets. Since which time the Dow has gone from a November low of 17,883 to an early March high of 21,200. That's a near 19% bull run in just 4 months! During which time America's Alt-Reality thin skinned President has often stepped forward to claim success for the stocks bull market rally under his Presidency.
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Stock Market Charts That Scream “This Is It” - Here’s What to Do / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: David_Galland
By Stephen McBride: The S&P 500 and DJIA haven’t seen a 1% drop since October 2016. For some perspective, Hillary Clinton was the presidential frontrunner the last time markets fell 1%. This is the longest such streak for both indices in over 20 years.
In February, the DJIA recorded its longest “winning streak” since 1987. It closed 2,000 points above its 200-day moving average for the first time ever.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now violated the neckline. This gives us our sell signal in SPX. Confirmation may come with the violation of the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2345.00.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
SPX turns at the half-Cycle interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s action may add credence to a 43-hour decline from the 2390.01 top and the probable Master Cycle low on Friday morning, as discussed this morning. The SPX turned exactly at the 21.5 hour interval. Wave [iii] may be underway.
There is no signal from the VIX or the Hi-Lo. They will likely be in place as SPX declines through the neckline.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Biotech’s had Especially Good Day on Mixed Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the day with a little bit of a dip, with lower futures, and then exploded, testing the Nasdaq 100 all-time highs, but could not get through the 5427 area. The S&P 500 rallied sharply as well, but only did 50% of its drop from Friday afternoon, and then both indices rolled over sharply, reaching the Thursday’s lows on the Nasdaq 100 and the gap low on the S&P 500. Late in the day, they rallied, but in the last few minutes backed off again to close mixed on the day.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
SPY Flirting With Near-Term Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Mike_Paulenoff
On Friday, the SPY closed beneath its 20-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since the Dec 28 close at 224.40, which triggered a very minor bout of weakness for two days into a Dec 30 low at 222.73 (0.93%).
Purely from a technical perspective, when the SPY closes beneath the 20 DMA, the ensuing weakness is dependent on the slope of the moving average (MA) at the time. If the MA is sloping upward, then the likelihood is that SPY will endure just a brief, shallow correction prior to a resumption of the underlying uptrend.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock Market Long, Hot Summer / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
It looks like the Dow is due for its first major correction of 2017. While the expected downturn could be “uncomfortable” for many, it is not expected to witness the end of the secular bull market.
Lindsay’s long cycle is expected to count a 15yr interval between point A (10/10/02) and points J or H. That would place the more important high in the period from October’17 until September’18.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Interest Rate Increase - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, March 20, 2017
A Stock Market Dip in the Offing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Right now, the coming dip could be a little scary, but shouldn’t amount to much, maybe around 4%. My guess is the first couple of days next week should see a sharp drop, but a buy the dip mentally and seasonal strength should prevail for now. The astros were ripe for a top around February 27-March 2. We have another even more complex period coming up March 31-April 15. March 31 could be a top and then another secondary bottom around April 11-12 would be ideal. A sharp drop next week would produce a need for a momentum failure retest by around early/mid April.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 19, 2017
US Fed is Driving Stock Prices and Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week’s news that the US Fed will raise rates from 0.75% to 1.00% drove the US markets, generally, over 0.40% higher after Fed Chairman Janet Yellen announced the hike. As of right now, the NASDAQ has pushed to a new all-time high and the SPY is very close to an all-time high.
Yet, as we move into the end of March 2017 and begin the spring season, we have to be aware of the risks that are before us. OIL has recently seen a downward price break based on over supply, yet is up today on the Fed news. Gold and Silver are up nearly 2% today. The US Dollar is down nearly 0.75%.
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Sunday, March 19, 2017
What ‘Ice-Nine’ Means for Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Submissions
Dear Reader,
As you read this message, financial elites are devising a plan that could see them take complete control of your money.
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Sunday, March 19, 2017
The Future for U.S. Stocks has never been so bright / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
Roy Bombardia writes: The U.S. stock market, as indicated by the S&P 500, is on the verge of a massive rally. This rally will be comparable to that of 1995 or 2013 when the S&P more than 30% in one year! Here's why.This is the first time in 8 years in which literally every single market will go up
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Saturday, March 18, 2017
Stock Market 4 Year Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2373. After ticking up to SPX 2374 on Monday the market gapped down on Tuesday to SPX 2358. After that it rallied to SPX 2390, after the FED raised rates 25 bps to 1.0% on Wednesday. Then it pulled back to SPX 2378 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.55%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, building permits, and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: the CPI/PPI, retail sales, business inventories, the NAHB, housing starts, capacity utilization, leading indicators, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by durable goods orders and housing. Best to your week!
Friday, March 17, 2017
Janet Yellen Just Popped the Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed hiked rates for the third time in eleven years.
In so doing it has confirmed what many have long suspected: that the only thing that matters to the Fed is stock market levels.
The Fed certainly doesn’t care about GDP growth. If it did, it would be evident that now is NOT the time to be hiking rates.
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Friday, March 17, 2017
Financial Crisis, Steve Eisman: Smart, Lucky, Abrasive & Now One Of Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: James_Quinn
I loved Michael Lewis’ book – The Big Short – about the 2008 Wall Street created global financial catastrophe, that is still impacting the little guys on Main Street eight years after it was supposedly resolved by Paulson, Bernanke and Obama. I even wrote an article about it called The Big Short: How Wall Street Destroyed Main Street. I also loved one of the main characters in the book – Frontpoint Partners hedge fund manager Steve Eisman – a foul mouthed, highly skeptical, open minded guy who figured out the fraudulent subprime mortgage scheme and shorted the crap out of the derivatives backing the fraud, making hundreds of millions in the process.
Friday, March 17, 2017
$1.4 Trillion of SPX Notionals Due to Expire / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are flat going into Quad Witching options expiration. The action is likely to begin in the final minutes before the market opens as traders square away their positions.
ZeroHedge reports, “A quiet start to today's quad-witching St. Patrick's day, with European stocks mixed, Asian shares and U.S. index futures (-0.1%) little changed ahead of industrial production data with just Tiffany's set to report earnings.”
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Thursday, March 16, 2017
Stock Market Resume Uptrend Or Correct Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
Call Me Boring, But… Those who don’t like my writing style may already call me boring (or worse), but as far as stock holdings go I willingly take on that description. If you’re looking for words about yesterday’s FOMC meeting, you won’t find them here. There are plenty of people picking that thing apart and trying to make chicken salad (news) out of chicken shit (a non-event).
I am not going to go on about the precious metals’ big rip yesterday because that is for casino patrons to get excited about. I’ve expected the sector to bounce from oversold conditions. When it takes out real upside parameters (that NFTRH will surely manage) we’ll amp up the hysterics (not really).
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Thursday, March 16, 2017
The Straddle Trade Stock Market Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Christopher_Quigley
Day Trade the News with Straddle Trades.
As part of my trading system I have 7 day trading strategies that I utilise. One such strategy employed is the straddle. This strategy I use to: “trade the news”. (I list all the other 6 strategies below for review. Over the next few months I hope to explain each in greater detail and provide examples of their technical set-up and actual execution).
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Thursday, March 16, 2017
Stocks Get Close To Record High Again As Fed Hikes Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral