Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 17, 2017
Stock Market, Gold Miners GDX Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We entered into a Mercury Retrograde period on April 9, which I have said before is like trading in the Bermuda Triangle, difficult at best! Typically, this usually portends a turn in the precious metals market within about 2-4 trading days. As far as the stock market is concerned, the normal indicators tend not to work as well.
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Monday, April 17, 2017
Stock Market Bounce Coming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 16, 2017
Stocks Are Completely Mis-pricing the Risk of a Another Debt Ceiling Screw Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
While everyone continues to focus on Trump and his policies, a much larger issue looms.
That issue is the US debt ceiling.
The US Government hit its debt ceiling on March 16, 2017. The Government employed “extraordinary measures” to keep the Government open. At that time, Congress had a little over three weeks to deal with this issue.
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Saturday, April 15, 2017
Stock Market Does NOT Trust Tesco's Results Recovery Story / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The mainstream media has been busy painting a rosy picture of how Tesco, Britain's supermarket giant is bouncing back in its latest results, with sales up for the first time in 7 years and the SFO false accounting scandal behind it.
Tesco reports first sales growth in 7 years - FT 12th April
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Saturday, April 15, 2017
SPX Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2356. After a rally to SPX 2366 early Monday the market started to pullback. After a decline to SPX 2337 Tuesday morning the market rallied to 2353 by Wednesday morning. Then the market declined into the end of the trading week, closing at the SPX 2329 low. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.05%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.15%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: the CPI/PPI, retail sales, the WLEI, the Q1 GDP estimate, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit rose. On the uptick: export/import prices. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the Beige book, the NY/Philly FED, and industrial production. Best to your week!
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Saturday, April 15, 2017
Stock Market Traders are Too Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Traders are too bearish. Stocks are going bottom early next week and the frantic put buying seen in this chart will likely prove futile.
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Friday, April 14, 2017
Yellen’s Setting Up the Markets For Their Third Fed-Fueled Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Janet Yellen is playing with matches next to a $20 Trillion Debt Bomb.
During her speech at the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy in Michigan, Yellen stated that the biggest risk to monetary policy is for the Fed to “get behind the curve” regarding inflation.
To that end, the Yellen Fed has already raised interest rates twice in the last six months. And it is pushing for yet another rate hike in June.
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Thursday, April 13, 2017
Will All Of This ‘Optimism’ Crash The Stock Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Currently, the short-term trend for the SPX is NEUTRAL. The intermediate and long term trends are still very BULLISH! There is No trend, in the market, at this time. It is neither overbought or oversold.
The SPX is in a ‘Non-Trending’ market. I expect this next retracement will be completed by the end of April 2017. I plan on taking advantage of this summer’s rally.
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Thursday, April 13, 2017
Passive Investing Will End In Pain For Many Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Every bear market correction since 1947 that didn’t come during a recession was relatively quickly reversed. Think about what happened in 1987 and 1998. There were pretty serious corrections and then a bull market.
The bull market that found its footing in 1987 lasted for another 13 years. In 1998, we were only a few years away from a major correction accompanied by a recession.
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Thursday, April 13, 2017
12 Charts That Show Why A 60% Stock Market Crash Is Very Real / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
BY JOHN MAULDIN : A few weeks ago, I spent two days giving multiple speeches alongside my friend Steve Blumenthal of CMG in New Jersey. I listened to Steve do deep dives on stock market valuations.
Steve puts a great deal of research into the topic, so I asked if he could share some data from time to time, and he agreed. With his help, I compiled valuation measurements used by people who know what they’re talking about.
Not surprisingly, they all point to the fact that equities are pricey. But what is surprising is the degree of overvaluation—we are talking about the risk of a 60% decline.
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Thursday, April 13, 2017
Stock Market Weak Technicals, Pullback Continues, Negative Day Across the Board / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market was decidedly lower today. The indices started the day out, though, with a little pop to the upside, but resistance failed immediately. They then started to work their way lower by late morning, and reached the session lows on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, bounced in the afternoon, took back about two-thirds of the losses, and then pulled back down and retested the lows before a late bounce pulled them off the lows for the day.
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Thursday, April 13, 2017
Stock Market Signs of Concern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
After a strong showing of strength from the markets over the last four months, a topping appears to be developing.
Some of the factors that seem to be soften the near-term bull market are geopolitical risks.
The building tensions around Syria and North Korea have placed many investors on edge and moved them toward safe-havens.
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Wednesday, April 12, 2017
US Economy Contracting but Expect Higher Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The United States is the world’s largest and most diversified economy! It is currently suffering through a protracted period of slow growth which has held down job creation and labor market participation. The Pew Research Center reported, in late 2015, that a mere 19% of Americans trust the government either always or most of the time.
The FED must print more money in order to keep the party going forward.
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Wednesday, April 12, 2017
Stock Market Indices Closes Moderately Lower on the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices suffered steep losses early in the session. They came down very sharply to test an important support at the bottom of their current down channels and lateral price support, near 5360 Nasdaq 100 and 2337-8 S&P 500. By midday, they rallied very sharply and took back more than fifty percent of the losses, but pulled back at the end of the session. Only in the last ten or fifteen minutes did they spike up again to finish with nominal losses on the blue chips, but pretty solid losses on the Nasdaq 100.
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Wednesday, April 12, 2017
Analysis and Forecasts for 50+ Global Financial and Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Hello,
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Monday, April 10, 2017
Stock Market Still No Clear Short-Term Direction - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, April 10, 2017
Stock Market Cycle Lows Still Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 09, 2017
What Will Finally Break the Market's Lethargy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
To most individual traders, there is no bigger buzz kill than a narrow trading range. It takes the wind out of the sails of breakout and momentum traders, and even expert stock pickers have a tough time finding the stocks which are bucking the sideways trend.
Wall Street would much rather see a lively bull market when stocks are roaring and participation is widespread among all classes of investors. But sometimes even a trading range-type market is good enough for the Street , provided stock prices are near all-time highs. For even when prices are making no headway, the aggregate yield on stocks pays enough in dividends to make the lack of action worthwhile.
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Saturday, April 08, 2017
SPX Corrective Pattern Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the week at SPX 2363. On Monday the market opened higher but dropped down to SPX 2345. Before the day ended the market had turned around, and then rallied to SPX 2378 by Wednesday. Then after a decline to SPX 2349 by early Thursday, the market hit 2364 late, and then again on Friday, before ending the week at 2356. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.45%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, auto sales, monthly payrolls, the WLEI and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, wholesale inventories, consumer credit; plus the unemployment rate, trade deficit and weekly jobless claims all improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the CPI/PPI and retail sales.
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Friday, April 07, 2017
3 Must-See Market Charts: Learn What's Next for Europe / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
You can learn a LOT about stocks from these 2 factors
In this new interview, Brian Whitmer, the editor of our European Financial Forecast and contributor to the European section of Global Market Perspective, highlights the precarious position of European stock markets.
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