Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, March 16, 2009
Stocks Bull-market Rally or Bear-market Fake? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
William Patalon III writes: It came right down to the wire, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day Friday with its first four-day rally since November, ending the week with a gain of 9.0%. And despite that robust performance, the Dow was the laggard among the three major U.S. stock indices. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index soared 10.6% while the broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index edged it with a weekly gain of 10.7%.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
Does The Stock Market Rally Have Legs? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Equities finished up on Friday for the fourth straight session as sentiment about the ailing US financial sector improved. But the big question remains does this equity bounce have legs? Sure the moves are chart-friendly but investors remain dubious. Since January it's largely been the case of one step forward and the two quick steps back. For example Deutsche Banks respected equity team released a downward revision to their outlook for US corporate earnings which they now see declining some 24.5% in 2009. Their outlook for underlying S&P 500 EPS has been accordingly marked down from $72.5 to $58.3.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Will the Stocks Bear Market Continue to Reign? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There were genuine signs of emerging optimism in stock markets last week. Confidence has been largely absent so far in 2009, with every attempted rallysquashed before it really had chance to get going. There is a growing sense that this time round things are different, and this belief will only grow further, if markets can survive the next week or so without dropping too far below last Thursday’s low. The next few weeks could be a real test. If markets are able to maintain these levels without giving up too much ground, then more buyers might come out of hiding and the recovery could gain momentum.
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Sunday, March 15, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Despite last week's big jump in the equity markets, the "dumb money" remains bearish on equities. These investors appear to be reluctant and still on the sidelines. The "smart money" is still bullish. This is a bullish alignment of signals suggesting that dips will be bought.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Global Stock Markets Short Covering Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Global stock markets surged over the past four days as investors adopted a more positive view of the prospects for the beleaguered financial sector and shrugged aside gloom about the economy. Citigroup (C) on Tuesday said it had turned a profit from operations for January and February (BUT did not mention credit losses, toxic paper, derivatives, etc.). JPMorgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) later made similar comments.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Oversold stocks soared last week, we now look in this video presentation as to where they are headed next.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
As stated in last weekends analysis and newsletter, following the Dow's Friday close at 6626 that the Dow Jones Index had now fulfilled its bear market target of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 2009 and illustrated by the chart below. The primary focus hence forth was to "position for a bullish spike higher" that would CONFIRM the bear market low, and negate the secondary far less probable overshoot target of 5,700 to 6000. This occurred on Tuesday which saw the first of a series of BUY TRIGGERS both on the Intra day charts and then on the Daily time frame chart that confirmed the preceding weeks Bear Market Low and set in motion the anticipated spike that took the Dow up 12% by the end of the week to close at 7,224.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Stocks Overbought Entering Seasonally Weak Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
The good news is: New lows disappeared last week.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Trading the Stocks Bear Market Wave 4 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
SCREW YOU MADOFF - Forget 12% a YEAR … How much is 30% per MONTH worth to you? - Casting aside 46% in open profits on our primary core positions with assurance contingency securing of a minimum 2009 return on the S&P 500 of 25%, what if we told you that on top of this, our Level-Three ancillary trading operations just booked another 30% return in the 9-February 13-March timeframe? Sounds too good to be true doesn't it.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Global Stock Markets Rallies, Buoyed by Stimulus Packages / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Consumer confidence is still in the pits. - Confidence among U.S. consumers in March held near a 28-year low, reflecting mounting job losses and a deepening recession. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment climbed to 56.6 from 56.3 in February. The gauge reached a 28-year low of 55.3 in November.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Stock Market– Record Increase in Supply Meets Extreme Risk Aversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Equity prices, like the prices of everything, are determined by the interaction of supply and demand factors. The latest flow-of -funds data from the Federal Reserve have an interesting factoid on the supply-side of the equities-price equation. In the fourth quarter of last year, net issuance of domestic corporate equities totaled $986 billion at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate - a record dollar amount of issuance (see Chart 1). This also was a record issuance relative to nominal GDP - 6.9% (see Chart 2).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Analysis of a V Shaped Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The consensus I tend to read amongst market commentators is that when this market bottoms, it will be a V shaped affair. Now I mainly write on precious metals but it will be foolhardy to presume that the fortunes of these two separate assets classes are not linked in some way. After all, if money is flowing back into the stock market, that means there is less money to flow into other asset classes such as gold and silver bullion products. I am also aware that most investors will be diversified in their asset allocation and will not only be holding gold or silver but will also be looking to re-invest in general equities at an opportune time.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Pet Rocks Stock Valuation and Mark-to-Market Accounting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Below are excerpts from a Marketwatch article dated March 11, 2008. WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Republican Study Committee, a group of conservative GOP lawmakers, believe that instead of pumping billions to bail out banks, lawmakers could save the economy by simply eliminating controversial mark-to-market accounting rules, which require daily revaluing of assets [based on market prices]. The first step is a hearing Thursday, hosted by House Securities Subcommittee Chairman Paul Kanjorski, D-Penn. Kanjorski argues that the standards have proven "problematic" for banks' illiquid assets...Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Stock Market Enters 2 Month Cycle Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Friday 13 may imply plenty of luck for global equity markets as it could confirm the beginning of a 2-month rally in the major indices based on cyclical analysis of the past 12 months. Since mid March 2008 (1-year anniversary of the Bear Stearns bailout), the S&P500 has persistently shown rallies and declines lasting 7-8 weeks. The same rule has applied for the FTSE, DAX and the NIKKEI.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
What are the Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
You will lose money if you go against the action of what Institutional Investors are doing.
Many of you subscribe to Investors Business Daily and pay particular attention to the "Accumulation/Distribution ratings" they show on listed stocks.
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Friday, March 13, 2009
Stock Market S&P 500 Trends: 1980 - 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Since we are in an historic set of economic conditions, and we have experienced an historic recent decline in equity prices, it is appropriate to examine historical market trends to put this year in perspective.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Stocks Soar As Rally Enters Its Fourth Day / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
News of significant new stimulus measures by both China and Japan, jawboning from Bank of America's Ken Lewis and the Swiss National Banks decision to start quantitative easing led equity indices to a 3% gain yesterday. All this despite GE losing its much coveted tripe A (AAA) credit rating and Moody's putting 23 US regional banks on review for a possible downgrade. With Madoff in jail and consumption seemingly fighting back (note the surprisingly robust US retail sales number) maybe Bernanke and Geithner should take a leaf out of the Dimon / Pandit book and leak a memo saying the US economy has grown in the first two months of Q1 2009? It's Friday the 13th for the second month in a row so be careful out there.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Another Huge Day for the Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It was another huge day for the bulls, as the market exploded after a brief early morning dip, and then ramped up in stair-step fashion for the rest of the day, closing near the highs for the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2009
Stock Market Rallies and Rhymes: Prepare Yourself Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Mark Twain said, “History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.”
Right now, investors and traders are getting ready for it to rhyme again.
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Thursday, March 12, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Takes a Break as Dow Targets 8,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Wall Street breathes a temporary sigh of relief, rallying for three rare days in a row now. Capital infusion for banks, upbeat news from Citigroup of a profitable year-to-date and a General Electric credit rating cut that was less dramatic than previously anticipated have all contributed to a Dow poised to take advantage of all the money market funds sitting on the sidelines. Valuations are becoming more and more appealing to the average investor out there. The chops are indeed being licked…Read full article... Read full article...
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