Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, March 09, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Elliott Wave 4 Rally Due / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - We are probably within 2 or 3 weeks of starting a counter-trend move of intermediate nature. Technical signs are becoming very favorable in diverse areas of the market.
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Monday, March 09, 2009
Global Financial Collapse as $50 trillion of Asset Values Wiped Out / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Asian Development Bank estimates that the global financial crisis has seen a loss of asset values of more than $50 trillion, with the loss to asian emerging markets estimated at near $10 trillion. The ADB president Haruhiko Kuroda puts the destruction of asset values on par with that of the Great Depression"This is by far the most serious crisis to hit the world economy since the Great Depression"Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
The Financial Markets Last “Bubble” that Remains to be Popped / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The problem plaguing the market heretofore has been two-fold: a lack of buyers on the retail side and deleveraging on the institutional side of the aisle. In an all-out liquidation market cycles, support levels and technical indicators are of little to no use until the panic subsides and a level-headed approach prevails. Most of the indicators – technical and psychological – are in place for a major bottom and even the charts are starting to look somewhat constructive. We don’t have a confirmed bottom yet, though, so until we do we have to maintain a defensive position.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Stock Market Extreme Oversold Level Points to Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The good news is: The dollar is on a tear, closing at a 2 ½ year high Friday.
Short Term - In the past 6 months all of the major indices have fallen between 40% and 60%. This includes 3 brief, but impressive 20+% rallies following the 2 October lows and the November low.
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Sunday, March 08, 2009
Credit Default Swaps, Wall Streets Worst Invention Ever / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: When it comes to naming a winner in the competition for “the worst product ever invented by Wall Street,” there is quite a list of worthy candidates. With just the current financial crisis alone there are such “inventions” as subprime mortgages, auction rate preferred stock and asset-backed commercial paper, which all have a good claim to this title.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Bullish Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
For 13 weeks the "dumb money" has been on the wrong side of the trend and hopeful that the November, 2008 lows would hold. The "smart money" has not been bullish on the markets for about 20 weeks now. With the November, 2008 lows on the S&P500 convincingly behind us, the "dumb money" has turned bearish and the "smart money" is now the most bullish it has been in 30 weeks. These are bullish signals for equities.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
The Worst Stocks Bear Market Since the Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
“Down, down, deeper and down”. So goes the chorus of a Status Quo song, but it is eerily starting to sound like the stock markets' anthem.
Another week and another plunge of equities on fears about the intensity of the global recession and renewed skepticism regarding the beleaguered financial sector. And, yet again, flight-to-safety trades such as the US dollar (at a three-year high) and government bonds took center stage.
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Sunday, March 08, 2009
Obama's Stocks Bear Market Takes A Breather / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The meltdown that began in February is nothing short of spectacular. Like a tornado, its ferocity and destruction is frightening, yet fascinating to watch. On Thursday, the S&P 500 had lost 20% since inauguration day, resulting in some calling this recent leg down “Obama's Bear Market.” To be fair, we have been in a bear market since October 2007. Whether this recent downtrend is the fault of the current administration is “above my pay grade.” What is not above my pay grade (or at least I think it's not) is analyzing the recent price action of the indexes.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis - Stocks Bear Market Near Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stock Markets fell to fresh bear market lows with the Dow Jones Index now fulfilling the original target for the bear market low of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below graph.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Brief Overview of Stock Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Of late, I have received a few e-mails about cycles and the ways in which I use them. I've learned that in many incidences it seems that when I talk about cycles many conjure up images of some sort of black magic, voodoo, chicken bones and the like. However, I can assure you that this is not the case and in this article I'll show you why. Cyclical analysis is simply a method of trend identification that allows one to look at various trends of like degree. In my case, I then data-mine these trends in an effort to find common traits.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Stock Markets Post Crash Pattern Moving from A to B / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Are you scared yet? You should be because not many others are in spite of the growing carnage in the financial markets these days. This is set to change in a hurry however, where borrowing from the Kübler-Ross model on ‘death and dying', which is the same process investors are going through right now, if I am right about this, in getting from A to B, with A being denial and B anger, the stock market could do the unimaginable. You can see it already, the spoiled brats, with Obama in the lead, are starting to realize reality does actually bite, and that no matter how much one attempts to change it, nothing will make it go away.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Obama's Stocks and Bonds Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Employment Situation? Grim - Nonfarm payroll employment continued to fall sharply in February (-651,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 7.6 to 8.1 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment has declined by 2.6 million in the past 4 months. In February, job losses were large and widespread across nearly all major industry sectors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
The Oracle with Max Keiser - The AIG Black Hole / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This weeks "The Oracle" presented by Max Keiser for BBC World Service with key guests Dean Baker, Andy Zaltzman seeks to predict the news before it happens.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Market Trends March 2009: Bear Market Targets S&P 600 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
To identify the stock market trend, it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Nasdaq Stock Market 21 Year Elliott Wave Pattern Forecast / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Desperately Seeking Stability - At the worst of the two-year dot.com bust, the NASDAQ registered a 78% peak to trough decline. In the following five-years spanning 2002-2007, though the market came nowhere near reclaiming its former value, it nonetheless posted a 158% five-year trough to peak bull market return.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
SPX Stocks Bear Market Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
With the S&P 500 slumping below its November panic low, it's been one tough week in the stock markets. The SPX was holding its own until the Marxist Party inexplicably decided to announce giant and aggressive tax hikes on American investors. So confidence, already very weak after the first true stock panic in 101 years , continued flagging on the Marxists' plans to steal ever more of the fruits of our labors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Jim Cramer's Latest Rant, Technical Analysis is Voodoo Mumbo Jumbo / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
Jim Cramer is at it again -speaking before thinking and pontificating on a subject he knows very little about. Before we get to another Jim Cramer "moment" let me state that I have no personal axe to grind with him, and in fact, as a former contributor to TheStreet.com , I am indebted to Jim Cramer for giving me a start and some credibility in the financial publishing business. I don't know the man, and I doubt he is even aware of my existence. I think he is genuine about helping investors, but I guess his downfall is that he must be a entertainer first and an analyst second. It is a tough job.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock Market is Now Fairly Valued But Watch Out Below / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
The stock market (the DJIA) is now very close to fair value based on my forecasts made in 2006. But fair value doesn't mean the market won't go any lower. It's likely to fall considerably lower. I'll explain below. I decided to do a Q&A format so I can cover more material in less time.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 6th March 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be near. If however, March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1165.67 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2009
How To Tell a Good Forecast from a Bad One / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
Here's a forecast for you. Clear and direct. As quoted by a Reuters reporter in his January 15, 2009, article, entitled, "Global Lending Thaw May Yet Return to Deep Freeze."
"'This is a temporary respite and when it's over, the stock market will make new lows...,' says Robert Prechter, chief executive officer at research company Elliott Wave International in Gainesville, Georgia." [Reuters, 1/15/09]
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