Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, October 05, 2009
U.S. Dollar, Gold and S&P Mega Trades for Q4 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
Three Potential Mega Trades In Q4
It seems to me that we are at an inflection point in the economy. The government has blown pretty much all of its money and the economic recovery and the economy is still sputtering along. No surprise there.
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Monday, October 05, 2009
Stock Market Toppy and Trendless / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Overall, the evidence is mounting that some kind of a top in equities and commodities and some kind of a bottom in the US Dollar is in the process of being produced. Short term, an oversold condition and a spike in bearishness may combine with the proclivity of traders to buy every dip off the March bottom with abandon producing a bounce to resistance. What happens then will be very telling. A period of indecision and trendless, choppy trading is likely as either a top is created or markets break out again. This is a good time to be on the sidelines waiting for the markets to resolve in either direction.
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Sunday, October 04, 2009
A Solution for the Financial Crisis, Is America Broke Part III / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
"The rich ruleth over the poor,and the borrower is servant to the lender." [1]
Abstract
This is the third and final paper in the Is America Broke series. In the first two articles, several of the contributing factors to today’s financial crisis were discussed. Several important questions were asked:
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Sunday, October 04, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: The Trend Is Your Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment changed little as the 3rd quarter came to an end. The "smart money" continues to sit tight and has yet to tip its hand. The "dumb money" or retail investor (sorry, no offense meant to those who have been right for the last 3 months) continues to buy the dips aggressively. Company insiders continue to sell in record numbers. In the end, it is the same story as "the trend is your friend until it ends".
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Sunday, October 04, 2009
Where Next For The Dow Jones Stock Market Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Round numbers I'm calling the intra-day high on the Dow of 9,938 on 23rd September as a "hit", that's within 1% of where my model in May said it would reach without any mishap (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article10604.html).
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Sunday, October 04, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Correction Continues, U.S. Dollar Bears Running Out of Time? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Stock markets continued to correct following the preceding weeks sell signals as confirmed in last weeks newsletter. The market has now given a ABC pattern which allows me to generate a trend channel within which I can trade more closely to the price, i.e. rather than leaving stops far distant due to the lack of price action as the below chart illustrates (more on trading, eventually at walayatstreet.com).
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Sunday, October 04, 2009
Dr Doom Marc Faber Forecasts Worse Financial and Economic Crisis Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Faber, Dr Doom in this 4 part video interview skeptical on the stock market rally and states that the the U.S. economy will not recover and a far larger economic and financial crisis lies ahead and discusses the zero yield boosting asset classes.
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Saturday, October 03, 2009
Has FDIC Run out of Funds to Close More Bankrupt Banks? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
No new entries on the FDIC Failed Bank List. What gives?
U.S. stocks fell, capping the market’s first back-to-back weekly declines since July, as a bigger-than-estimated loss of jobs and a drop in factory orders spurred concern the economy is struggling to recover.
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Saturday, October 03, 2009
Financial Markets and World Economy Fingers of Instability / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
Fingers of Instability
Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles
Stability Leads to Instability
A Stable Disequilibrium
3 Billion and Counting
"To trace something unknown back to something known is alleviating, soothing, gratifying and gives moreover a feeling of power. Danger, disquiet, anxiety attend the unknown - the first instinct is to eliminate these distressing states. First principle: any explanation is better than none... The cause-creating drive is thus conditioned and excited by the feeling of fear ..." Friedrich Nietzsche
Saturday, October 03, 2009
Sock Market Breaks Support on 20Day Exponential Moving Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We can remember the beginning of October as the time when the major indexes across the board lost their 20-day exponential moving averages. The market had traded above them for many months. So long, in fact, that they were able to cross over the 50-day exponential averages, which is quite bullish.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
A Jobless Economic Recovery or Something Else? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
U.S. job losses accelerated last month and the unemployment rate climbed to the highest level since 1983, stark reminders of how the worst financial crisis in a generation may undermine consumer spending and economic growth in the months ahead.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
Another October Stock Market Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I have been asked countless times in the past month why it is that share markets seem to have a difficult time navigating the autumn months. Obviously, there is a healthy amount of fear regarding the next 29 days, as the memories of last year are still firmly intact. Yesterday’s 203-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrials Average has done nothing more than rekindle those sour memories. While the question ‘Why October?’ is largely rhetorical in nature, we can certainly take a look at history for some potential causes for the blowups.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
Stock Market Correction Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Mike Burnick writes: As the Director of Research and Client Communications at Weiss Capital Managemen, I write a weekly e-newsletter, Weiss Advice. Recently, I cautioned our readers that the month of September is historically one of the cruelest for stock market investors. However, this year, the market sailed higher in September, posting its seventh-straight monthly gain since March.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
CAUTION: Stock Market Crash /Collapse Dead Ahead Say Faber, Rogers, Dent and Celente / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
After a massive upswing in US stocks over the last six months, the recent rally may finally be coming to an end. It seems that the trend of rising stocks on bad or better than expected news may be in a reversal, as evidenced by market participants’ caution over the last couple of weeks. For those that follow contrarian investors like Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Gerald Celente and Harry Dent, this should come as no surprise.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
Has the Six Month Stock Market Rally Ended? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The G-20 Pittsburg Summit ended last Friday. Their official statements made for some novel and interesting reading.
We were informed that the group could by working together could manage a transition to a more balanced pattern of global growth. Tending to domestic demand as private savings increase. It is obvious to us this cannot work. We are seeing increased savings and decreased consumption. The IMF as well agrees with these policies. We cannot recall that the IMF has made a correct decision over the past 50 years. The group gushed forth the same platitudes we’ve heard for years. The shared understanding and deepened dialogue that produces no solutions, only more power and wealth for the entrenched elite.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
Stock Market Collapses Through Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
1046, 2090 and 9648 on the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow respectively. Those are the magical 20-day exponential moving averages that all went down today without a fight. The market didn't even have to gap below those levels to get the job done. Normally, important levels of support go away through morning gaps but today we saw the bears take control and just destroy those 20-day exponential moving averages.
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Friday, October 02, 2009
Credit and Credibility Chapter 2 Footnotes / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Credit and Credability Chapter 2 Footnotes Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 02, 2009
Credit Crisis Explained- Credit and Credibility / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Chapter 2: “Nobody’s right, when everybody’s wrong”
Chapter 1 Here : “Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!”
Arguably more effective than the military adventurism that dominates the headlines, what amounts to American cultural imperialism has subtly seduced large swathes of the world, and it has not been limited simply to a taste for fast food, film, and fashion. The far more addictive aspect has been the successful overseas marketing of the “debt culture” via the financial innovation associated with the securitization (derivative) markets, which at $27 trillion has constituted the US’ largest export of the 21st century. This is the realm of the money center banks. 1
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Friday, October 02, 2009
Stocks and Commodities 4th Quarter Investment Thoughts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
I would like to start by making a comment on my last article. Globally, there are values in financial stocks in countries not hit as hard as the US and Europe. My bearish stance is US based, not global.
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Thursday, October 01, 2009
Stock Market Collapsing Into the Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It was an extremely negative session for the indices as they dropped from the get-go, fell sharply all morning, stabilized around mid-day, tried to rally back mid-afternoon but failed at resistance, and then rolled over, especially in the last 10 minutes when they collapsed into the close.
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