Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Stock Market and Bond Markets Better Than 2008, Is Not The Same As Good / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Sure, things are not as bad in the stock and bond markets as they were in the depths of 2008 and 2009, but better isn't the same thing as good. The "worry list" in the marco-environment is too long and too severe to think of today as "normal" (unless you are talking about the PIMCO "new normal"), and there are price behavior signs that all is not well.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
S&P500 Stuck Below Its 200-Day Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 index (proxies SPY and IVV) has closed below its 200-day average now for 11 straight days. Outside of the "2008 pre-crash" that lasted about 4 months beginning 12/27/07, and the 2008 crash that lasted about 12 months beginning 5/20/08; the current period below the 200-day average is the second longest in the past several years. That's a bad sign.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Markets Feeding Off Blunders and Indecision / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The markets have been thrashed up and down. We’ve witnessed one of the greatest bull runs since the suckers rally in the 1930s, and whilst many are calling this a top, there are some that are calling this a market correction… albeit one that may last a few months.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
How Investors Can Profit From Global Financial and Economic Threats / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Shah Gilani writes: U.S. investors can be excused for feeling as if the sky is falling right now. After all, there are a lot of falling objects crushing investor sentiment, consumer confidence, financial portfolios - and any hope that the U.S. stock market can generate the kind of returns that will ever make investors whole again.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Stock Market Very Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices started the week on a down note, although in the beginning of the session they did try an early rally that failed right at resistance. They rolled over to new pullback lows on the Nasdaq 100, and made slight new lows on the S&P 500. They tried to work their way back up, but failed at the declining topslines, rolled over in the afternoon, bounced with about an hour to go, and then got slam-dunked into the close.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
S&P 500 Approaching 1040 Neckline...IWM Loses Yearly Trend Line..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A lot of bad stuff took place technically for the market today. The Nasdaq finally lost its 200-day exponential moving average currently at 2224 while the iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) or the ETF for the small caps, the very best performer this year, lost its 200-day exponential moving average. on to of that, the IWM also lost its yearly trend line of support and you'll see that tonight in one of the available charts for your viewing.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Could This Be The Pause That Refreshes the Stock Market Trend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The big question early this week is will be are we going straight to a retest of the recent lows if not more? Or are we going to backtest Monday? If we backtest we’ll be looking at shorting another name or two on our watch list.
Well folks it sure looks like a backing and filling type of day thus far with bouts of volatility back and forth.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Stock Market Crash, the X-Wave Confluence / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I’ve either heard or read just about every explanation for why the stock market could plunge dramatically moving forward, and I would like to offer mine now, now that it appears the fundamentals associated with our political economy are finally aligned to sponsor such an occurrence. To get things rolling in this regard, everybody should read Jim Kunstler’s latest, where he offers a few thought provoking ideas of why things are likely moving in this direction. And more so, please take the time to review Martin Armstrong’s latest (you need a great deal of RAM to read the entire article) as well, where as usual he does an exquisite job of explaining why ‘we the people’, have finally had enough, and are now doing something about it.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Stash Cash for Next Stock Market Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Back in February we stated: “As the chart of the Crash of 1987 below demonstrates, the 3rd wave of a market decline is usually the most distinct.” With the third wave now underway, the Wall Street Journal is reporting on the parallels between the Crash of 1987 and May 6th’s Flash Crash. We suspect that the comparison will transition to the Crash of 1929 as the selling continues. Here is why:
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Stocks In Smackdown Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Very ugly close on Wall Street Friday – and with DOW below 10.000 the next important levels are now how long 1.040 and even 1.000 will hold in S&P500. Rumours that giant French bank Soc Gen (déjà vu Mr Kerviel) was in a spot of bother on derivative losses combined with a Greek style mishandling of fiscal difficulties in Hungary mixed in with some very disappointing US jobs numbers (the private sector only created 41k jobs in May with the rest best temp census hires) made for a bearish cocktail that sent stockmarkets into a tailspin.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
What is leading to the Global Markets Sell Off? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Markets behaviour in past few days have been quite chaotic and strangling, leaving investors completely clueless.Everything under the sun(except Dollar & Gold) have been falling off the cliff. Take any currency, it is falling ferociously against dollar and loosing value against Gold.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Wealthbuilder Quarterly Market Brief and Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
On the 21st. May we wrote the following: “Due to lower highs and lower lows on both the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports there is now a change of trend in existence in the markets. How long this correction will continue no one can be sure. A bounce can be expected at any time due to the fact that the market is terribly oversold based on Stochastics and the McClennan Summation Index. However, I do not think we have seen support lows in place yet. What is the reason for this capitulation? As mentioned in my last brief I believed the “flash crash” of the 6th. May mortally wounded all indices from a technical pointy of view. It will take some time, probably the whole summer, before some degree of confidence is restored.”
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Why U.S. Stocks Can Outshine Faltering Global Economic Growth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: After another lousy week, it's official: Global markets have suffered the worst late-spring setback since 1940 -- a May-June period when the Germans invaded the Netherlands, then marched into Paris, and Italy declared war on France and Great Britain. Just like that, seven decades ago, World War II was on, and markets went into freefall.
If stocks are as good at anticipating global calamity this time as they were in that horrible spring 70 years ago, we may be in for a terrible second half.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Bears Seize Control of Schizophrenic Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear market. This bull market should last until 2011
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Second Stocks Bear Market, The Right Path! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
"Our government has kept us in a perpetual state of fear - kept us in a continuous stampede of patriotic fervor - with the cry of grave national emergency. Always, there has been some terrible evil at home, or some monstrous foreign power that was going to gobble us up if we did not blindly rally behind it." ---General Douglas MacArthur (1880-1964)
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
Stock Market Plunge on Disappointing Jobs Data, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Dow closed the week sharply lower on Friday at 9932 against last weeks close of 10,136. The stock market had exhibited a tightening of its trading range for most of the week following a bounce off an early week low of 10,014 into a rally peak of 10,315 Thursday, as the market marked time ahead of the Fridays Jobs Report that disappointed market participants and resulted in a 333 point drop on the day right from the opening gap down and trend lower all the way into the close.
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
Stock Market Precipitous Sell-off, Was the Jobs Report That Bad? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A precipitous sell-off in the stock market took place last Friday (Chart 1) as the Labor Department’s May monthly report showed that job growth was weak in the private sector. The NYSE had to invoke “Rule 48″ again, marking the fifth time this year it has used the rare rule, which is intended to help smooth the opening following volatile futures action.
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
The SP 500 Stocks Index Poised to Break to New Lows? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Back in mid April on Kitco.com I wrote a market forecast calling for a top in the SP 500 index and an ABC correction. Since that time I had one intervening update on both Gold and the SP 500 index, and this is a June 5th follow-up.
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
Safe Havens are Shining but are Stocks About to Rocket Higher? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It was another extremely volatile week sharp rallies followed by sharp sell offs. Fear is in no doubt controlling the market. The bulls and bears continue to battle it out. The charts below cover some important trends and market internals I pay attention to on a daily basis.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 06, 2010
Here's How You Figure Out Where the Stock Market Is Headed Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dan Ferris wites: If you want to get an idea of where the overall stock market is likely headed in the next few years, just take a step back and think about Mr. Market's wild mood swings of the past few years...
After a three-year depression lifted in late 2002, Mr. Market became irrationally exuberant all over again. By late 2007, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high. Stocks were king. Nobody thought about risk.