Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 08, 2011
Burgeoning Bubbles and Popping Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Last week I was both surprised and pleased when the Supreme Court upheld lower court decisions requiring the Federal Reserve Bank to comply with requests for information made by Bloomberg under the Freedom of Information Act ("FOIA"). Bloomberg simply wanted to know who received loans from the Fed's discount window in the aftermath of the 2008 financial market crisis, and how much each entity received. Surely this is basic information that should be available to every American taxpayer. But the Fed fought tooth and nail all the way to the Supreme Court to preserve their privileged secrecy…
Friday, April 08, 2011
Tracking Stock Market Cycles in Search of the Business Cycle Top in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: David_Knox_Barker
One of the contributions to market cycle analysis by the late financial analyst PQ Wall was the discovery that there are nine dynamic market cycles in every business cycle. This cycle is widely known as the 20-week cycle. Investors and traders have been aware of this cycle for decades, although its exact length has been a point of disagreement. If there actually are nine cycles in a business cycle, it is a remarkable and important discovery, and has major implications for investors and traders seeking to understand current market action, and identify the market top expected in 2011.
Friday, April 08, 2011
Q2 Forecasts for Investor Profits / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
With the first quarter of 2011 behind us, there's a lot to take away and learn from - especially when it comes to the direction of oil prices, interest rates and stocks.
Granted, we're right now navigating one of the most uncertain periods in modern global history. But if you're a trader or an investor, knowing how markets have been reacting to recent news and events provides you with some valuable insights that you can use going forward.
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Thursday, April 07, 2011
Investing in South Korea is Still a Better Bet Than Buying Japan / Stock-Markets / South Korea
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
As we get further and further from the March 11 earthquake and tsunami that devastated Japan, investors are going to be looking for opportunities to benefit.
But if you're looking for buying opportunities in Asia, investing in South Korea actually is a much better bet than Japan.
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Thursday, April 07, 2011
Investors Don’t Get Stung by the U.S. Government Shutdown Debate / Stock-Markets / US Debt
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is once again worried that we're going to hit our debt ceiling (this time by May 16), and the resultant debate has once again brought our government to the brink of a "shutdown."
I don't know why: The entire debt ceiling concept - as well as the investor fear, political-posturing, self-aggrandizing behavior and government-shutdown debates this budget limit repeatedly spawns - is a joke, albeit it a very bad one.
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Thursday, April 07, 2011
April Key Events And The Outlook For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
7th April: ECB rate decisionA rate rise is priced in. The Euro is currently threatening to break out from long term resistance against the US Dollar, but the bearish sentiment against the Dollar suggests a bounce is overdue. If the Euro does break out then Dollar index support levels at 75 and then 72 may provide that Dollar rally. Although Portugal appears to be edging closer to a bailout, the Euro strength reflects the fact that Spain's troubles have eased, as shown in the inverse relationship in the chart below. It appears the markets are confident that bailouts will be limited to the smaller economy nations.
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Thursday, April 07, 2011
Bearish Sentiment... Stocks Bull Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Make no mistake when trying to understand what's in play here. Yes, we have a major headache with sentiment. No one would argue that a 41.6% spread of more bulls to bears is a real problem that'll have to be dealt with in time. No one, I believe, would also argue that we're still in a bull market. If you don't think we are then you haven't been watching for the past year or so. When sentiment becomes a problem it means that some decent selling is out there, but with a printing machine in place from fed Bernanke, the bull market lives on until the liquidity he's providing goes away. It's really that simple folks. When you have this type of spread in place, (57.3% versus 15.7%) it tells you that the time has come for reigning in the bullish attitude to some degree, but again, not completely.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2011
BullBear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Steven_Vincent
In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic selloff while at the same time laying out the parameters for a bearish turn in the markets. The bearish conditions did not come to fruition and BullBear Traders were able to catch the exact bottom of the move after having lightened their positions at the exact top. I emphasized an overweight position in BRIC and Emerging Markets and that has proven to be an accurate call as well. We also jumped on bottoms in Grains and Agriculture as well as a long term breakout in Clean/Alternative Energy.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2011
How Investors Can Avoid the Growing Inflation Threat / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Pretty much everyone but U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke sees that inflation is returning: After all, even Bernanke's favorite inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) deflator, was up 0.4% in February - which hints at an annualized inflation rate of almost 5%.
Wednesday, April 06, 2011
Stock Market Investing with Cycle and Bartels Theory / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: readtheticker
A stock price time series wiggles by nature. These wiggles may or may not be in tune. If they are in tune their common frequency can be called a 'cycle'. To determine the cycle period we can do several measures.
Eyeballs: Viewing the chart for common distance between highs and lows.
Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Stock Shrug Off Dwindling Consumer Confidence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes:
High prices for commodities last month sent consumer confidence spiraling to a three-month low, but that doesn't necessarily mean the stock market will suffer.
On the contrary, stocks over the past two years actually have performed remarkably well in the months following sharp declines in consumer confidence.
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Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Stock Market Quiet At Resistance...After Hours Buyout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
What else can you say about today! The market refused to sell all day, even though we tested and failed at the test of the old highs on Friday. You would have thought that the bears could have done some damage today based on Friday's failure off a long run up, but that was not to be. The market moved up a bit at the open, but then spent the rest of the day trading on either side of the flat line with the Nasdaq leading down and the Dow leading up. Apple Inc. was a drag along with Google Inc. That's really the only reason why the Nasdaq was red at all. So nothing to talk about all that negative with technology. The NDX has under performed for some time now, but again, that's mostly due to Apple, which is taking a long and much needed rest from going up every single day for seemingly years.
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Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Stock Market Flash Crash Assets Move to Bullish Camp / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Despite recent calls for a new bear market, the bulls still have a few things going for them as we kick off the week of trading:
- Friday’s labor report came in above expectations.
- Defensive assets are lagging again.
- Energy investments continue to perform well.
- The Fed is still on track to complete QE2 as originally planned.
Monday, April 04, 2011
SPX bull mkt projection update / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Tony_Caldaro
About six months ago we posted a projection for the remainder of the bull market using OEW analysis and the current bull market characteristics. At the time of the projection the SPX had closed at 1149 that friday September 24th: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/....
We anticipated, at the time, the current uptrend from July10 and SPX 1011 would last six months until Jan11 and reach SPX 1313. Then the following downtrend would take one month to unfold and decline 9%.
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Monday, April 04, 2011
How to Profit From Nonsense -- New Financial Regulations / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Jared_Levy
One way of searching for investment opportunities is to look for businesses that are thriving with products and services that are in demand. But another method for finding investment opportunity is counterintuitive: Look for something that is broken or doesn't make sense. Once you locate that problem or fault, either look for a company that may have a solution or perhaps look at the problem itself to see if it is viable or just noise.
Monday, April 04, 2011
What the NYSE New Highs Are Saying About the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
Today, we are reporting on the raw data for the daily NYSE New Highs. On this chart, a minimum of 100 is a very important level in a rally, and 150+ is what I want to see. 50 is neutral, and less than 50 is historically Negative.
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Monday, April 04, 2011
Sun Spots Solar Activity and the Financial Markets Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
If you have not already read the first part of my analysis on Solar Activity and the Financial Markets, please do so here, as it provides important background for part II.
In that article I provided evidence that rising solar activity into a solar peak is correlated with periods of inflation and that in historical secular commodities bull markets the relative pricing of hard assets to stocks has each time peaked at the solar peak. Commodities are sought after in inflationary times and their prices are a key ingredient in consumer price inflation levels, producing a feedback loop, but given that stocks also usually perform well in inflationary times is there any correlation between stocks and solar cycles?
Monday, April 04, 2011
Stock Market Cycle Review, Don't Tell the Retail Investor, but.. / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: readtheticker
In Richard Wyckoff writings he suggest that the retail investor is always the last in, they tend to buy at the tops and sell at the bottoms. We dont tell them, just between you and me, we are closer to a top than a bottom. I recently saw dshort.com QRAtio market valuation of stocks and it also suggest that stocks are handsomely priced. Lets review some cycles to find if we concur.
Monday, April 04, 2011
U.S. Dollar's Impact on S&P 500, Gold, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I was starting to put on my bullish hat on Friday morning when out of the blue an ugly close has forced me to rethink my position. After viewing a few hundred charts, I have determined that while I am still leaning into higher prices at this point in time, I will not totally rule out a rollover on the S&P 500. In coming days the news flow will be extreme and headline risk will be everywhere we look. The S&P 500 has been able to deflect worry for quite some time now and in every case the resiliency is unquestionable.
Monday, April 04, 2011
Stock Market Pullback Before Going Higher Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
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