Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

S&P U.S. Credit Rating Downgrade: Where to Now? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Brian_Bloom

The credit rating of the world’s largest economy has been downgraded. That is a fact. Neither hand wringing nor stone throwing nor “I told you so” will be constructive under current circumstances. The overriding question is: What is the appropriate response?

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

U.S. Debt Downgrade Impact, Stock Market Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: John_Mauldin

The question we will ask ourselves in 20 years is, “Where were you when they downgraded the US and the Fed?” This week’s Outside the Box is from David Rosenberg. He has made his letter public and graciously given me permission (at 34,000 feet ) to send it to you.

I thought about writing an immediate response to this weekend’s events but decided to wait and meditate on what has transpired. Clearly, we are at the beginning of the Endgame. And that saddens me. The events of the weekend were hotly discussed at the Shadow Fed meeting in Maine. My youngest son, Trey, was paying attention this year. Last night he said, “Dad, it is good for you that you are right with your book, but I don’t think it’s good for the rest of us.” Out of the mouths of babes.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

The Elusive Abyss, Debt Crisis and Gold Bull Far From Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Neil_Charnock

Financial markets are currently in a panic, bonds spiked last week (this continues at the moment), cash deposit levels up sharply according to BNY Mellon, US debt downgraded by Standard and Poor's from AAA to AA+ and equities crashing. The Chinese rating agency Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. have now lowered their rating on the US debt from A+ to A after lowering their previous US rating from AA to A+ in November 2010. All agencies are warning us that they are on "negative" in their forward view of their respective US ratings.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

Where Is The Stock Market Headed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the movement of stock prices and Markets in general, ultimately creating patterns that kept repeating." - From a book on Jesse Livermore's trading style.

Markets at major inflection points are more a function of investor psychology and less technicals and or macro data. The struggle between bull and bear, greed and fear will always play a major role in the success and failure of investors. As Jesse Livermore discusses these struggles are a reflection of human emotions and since human emotion never changes they leave patterns that are repeated.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

Stock Market Collapse Continues..... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Jack_Steiman

The market doesn't fool around when it gets angry. It's certainly a reminder of how things are going around the world both fundamentally and politically. How often do we see a 512 point down day on the Dow, 136 on the Nasdaq, and 60, on the S&P 500 get followed up in a week by numbers as bad, or worse, on some indexes! Not very often in your lifetime. It was an amazing follow-up for sure. We saw the Dow lose 634 points today. The Nasdaq joined the party with losses of an astonishing 174 points, while the S&P 500 turned in a head-turning loss of 80 points. Small rallies along the way.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

What's Next For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

Three weeks ago I began urging members of my service to reduce risk and raise cash. I pounded the table incessantly for the past two weeks to continue to raise cash and reduce risk. I have not issued a trade alert to members in over 3 weeks, but by acknowledging risk ahead of the debt ceiling debate I was able to sidestep one of the worst weeks in U.S. financial markets since 2008.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

The Stock Market SP500 Index Could Bottom at 1096-1100 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: David_Banister

The markets bottomed last Friday at 1168 roughly on the SP 500, then violently reversed with a 47 point rally to 1215.  I had forecasted a likely short term bottom at 1176/1188 ranges with a possible 60 point rally coming.  With that said, I didn’t think it would all happen in nearly 1 trading day.

Monday, August 08, 2011

Stock Market Recovered in 1994, 1998, and 2004 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Our July 27 article, How Will A Downgrade of U.S. Debt Impact Stock and Bond Prices?, is obviously more relevant now. Since the news of Standard and Poor’s (S&P) downgrade of U.S. debt on Friday night, we have been reviewing the market’s current risk-reward profile and preparing for what should be another volatile week for investors.

On Sunday, we revisited our study of points in market history that are similar to the present day. Since we are dealing with human greed and fear, we can better understand the bull/bear odds in the present day by looking for differences between markets that should have been held (1994, 1998, 2004) and markets that should have been sold (2000).

Monday, August 08, 2011

Stock Market Sell-Off Time to Profit Not Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Kerri Shannon writes: Thursday's stock-market sell-off has injected investors with more fear and uncertainty - but this is not the time to panic.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Thursday fell 513 points, or 4.3%, and regained only 0.54% Friday to close at 11,444.61. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 60.27 points, or 4.8%, Thursday and slipped another 0.06% Friday to close at 1,199.38.

Monday, August 08, 2011

Stock Market Losers Club, Stay Out Until Dow Drops below 6000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bill_Bonner

Investors were staggered yesterday. Stocks got walloped. Dow down 512 points.

Today, bond yields are falling… oil is below $86. London, Paris, Frankfurt – all down heavily. Only gold has resisted the general rout. It lost only $7 yesterday.

Monday, August 08, 2011

Gold Cries "BullSheet" to Manipulated Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

In an extreme act of extreme hubris over common sense, a "forced rally" has begun. S&P futures that were down as much as 37 points are now down 14 points. It is 2:30 AM Central. I do not know what the actual stock market open will look like. However, I do know "sheet" when I see it.

A few times recently I used the word "BullSweet". One reader objected saying I was too polite. He proposed the word "BullShill".

Monday, August 08, 2011

S&P Downgrade of US Debt Puts Stock Market Under Pressure / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Michael_Swanson

The financial markets have been under pressure now for weeks and the selling reached a crescendo last week as the DOW fell over 500 points in one day on Thursday. This weekend people are even more worried about what may happen this week, because ratings agency Standard & Poor's downgraded U.S. Treasury bonds from a AAA rating to AA+.

People are concerned that this ratings downgrade will have a big impact the stock market and interest rates.

Monday, August 08, 2011

Why the Dow Dropped 500 Points / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Submissions

Sam Chee Kong writes: The problem that now besiege the US economy does not happened overnight or during the past few years. It had been accumulated for the past 40 years whereby the US government encourage the growth of  credit. Interest rates are kept low so that people can afford to borrow to buy basic necessities like cars and houses. However bankers due to their greed are not satisfied with the miniscule margin they are getting from the traditional brick and mortar business model which is accepting deposits and providing loans.

Monday, August 08, 2011

How The Smart Money Handles a Debt Downgrade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: David_Grandey

These are the times where the smart money makes their money!

Here’s our take on the markets and what could happen Monday:
As we’re sure you all already know S&P downgraded the US to AA+ from AAA. And of course the repercussions are being heard all over the media and the net. More hype folks more hype.

Monday, August 08, 2011

Stock Market Low Very Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.

SPX: Long-term trend - The probability that the bull market which started in March 2009 may have ended when the SPX reached 1370 on 5/02/11 has increased, but remains unconfirmed.

Monday, August 08, 2011

Raging Credit Crisis, Why the Dow Crashed 512 Points On Thursday / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Mike_Whitney

What caused global markets to plunge on Thursday?

Was it poor economic data in the US; the sudden slowdown in manufacturing, declining consumer spending, shrinking GDP and ongoing troubles in the housing market?

Sunday, August 07, 2011

Stock Markets Panic Crash Continuing, Is the Stealth Bull Market Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Investors and Traders are reeling after a week of plunging stock prices and high market volatility as the worlds major stock indices fought to and then failed to hold support sending the Dow down to an extreme intra-day low Friday of 11,139, before recovering to close up marginally on the day at 11,444, as of writing asia is sharply lower with Dow futures trading over 270 points lower at 11,170 suggesting a continuation of a downtrend early week to below Dow 11,200.

Sunday, August 07, 2011

Stock Market Broad-based Downturn Not Yet Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Donald_W_Dony

Stock markets normally trend together. So before a broad-based down turn can be identified, most equity indexes need to have rolled over. At present, that event has not occurred. But it is getting close

The NYSE represents a broad collection of North American and global securities. A decline below 7600 for a week (to August 12) would clearly indicate a new down trend has begun (Chart 1). Currently the index has just broken through the 7600 level. More time is needed to confirm a reversal of the bull market has developed.

Sunday, August 07, 2011

Stock Market Downtrend Could Make a Double Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

In the US, the market recovered from its midday low on friday to close mixed but still posted the worse weekly decline since the early May 2010 flash crash. Europe, however, was not that fortunate and ended the week with their worse weekly decline since November 2008. The SPX/DOW lost 6.5%, and the NDX/NAZ were – 7.6%. Asian markets performed best losing 5.4%. While Europe lost 10.6%, the Commodity equity group lost 8.5%, and the DJ World index dropped 8.8%. We now have six of the fifteen international indices we track in confirmed bear markets, with the rest likely to follow.

Sunday, August 07, 2011

Stock Market Just Keeps Getting Crazier / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

What can you say about this week, mental and crazy swings, although I am sure there will be some hurting traders after all is said and done.

Last week I left readers with these comments.

"there is a setup for the bulls as long as 1258SPX holds, although I would prefer not to get that close to those lows, then the bulls have to "show us da money" and buy aggressively or they face losing the support areas we are currently vibrating.

Failure to hold these levels is a big issue for the bulls, as the market can be setting up for a substantial downside move."