Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Wild Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The US market opened the week on a gap down to SPX 1182, hit 1102 on tuesday, then spent the rest of the week trading wildly between the 1120′s and 1180′s only to close the week at 1179. The FED met on tuesday stating they will keep rates low for the next two years, and the economy is weaker than expected. The weekly economic reports were mostly to the downside. Retail sales, weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. Productivity, wholesale/business inventories, and the trade deficit all declined.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Stock Market Reflex Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Nothing goes straight up forever. Although it seems to do that quite frequently. And nothing goes down forever, either. When we fall, we fall hard. But a 2100-point drop is quite a fall, and it happened in just a little over two weeks. It was time for a reflex bounce as the oscillators on the daily charts got very oversold. You could say, safely, that it was violently oversold, and although we've seen lower oscillators in past bear markets, this was enough for the first leg down in that process. The bounce was quite good this week as we went up roughly 8% off the lows. Not bad at all, but really not much more than a 30-35% retrace of the move down.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Watching Silver and S&P Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
If we look closely at the enclosed patterns, we can make the case that since Aug 8 & 9, spot gold is looking a bit toppy, while the emini S&P 500 and spot silver have a considerably more constructive look.
If we translate that into fundamental reason, perhaps scared money is beginning to flow out of gold and back into equities and industrial commodities in anticipation of improvement in the U.S. and global economies.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Garnering Profits in The New Abnormal in Gold, Silver, Stocks, Commodities & Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The United States is quickly approaching a fiscal Armageddon and the players in Washington — specifically Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke — don’t understand what is happening or know what do about it, world renowned investor and author Jim Rogers tells Newsmax.TV...
…any halt in the decline of stocks was just a “temporary bottom.”
He said that while America was not at the brink of a fiscal Armageddon right now, the nation is likely to default on its obligations in the future.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Trading Stock Market Crash Fear and Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
With the plunging stock markets terrifying traders, many are running for the hills. Steep selloffs always generate intense fear, a scary emotion from which we humans are naturally hardwired to flee. But in the stock markets, major fear spikes should be embraced. They mark the best opportunities ever seen to buy low, the necessary prerequisite to selling high and multiplying your wealth.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Time For Some Relief! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
We’ve had enough bad news in recent months. It’s time for at least some temporary relief.The economic news has been awful. The ‘soft-spot’ in the first half that was supposed to be temporary turned out to be worse than previously thought. GDP growth, previously reported as having been around 2% in the first half, was recently revised to being up only 0.8%.
Friday, August 12, 2011
U.S. Downgrade Triggered Flash Crash, Why Stocks Will Go Up Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There are many theories about how to value the US Stock market (as a whole); some said that stocks were 40% over priced in May 2009, same story in August 2011. All it took was the hilarious spectacle of the workings of what passes for “modern” democracy to be aired on prime-time, for those same tired-old theories to get dusted off and paraded like some sort of universal truth.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
High Risk Reward Trading Strategy in VIX Put Options / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Many investors dream of making the "big trade."
Spurred on by stories of fabled investors who accumulated generations of wealth with just one big trade, they talk incessantly about what they could or should have done.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Aftershocks From a Nervous Stock Market ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By now, you know why I like the Institutional Index of "core holdings". It is because it is not really an index, and it represents the action of the core holdings being held by institutional investors.
Since it isn't really an index, it can't be manipulated, tweaked, or experience stop running. It is because of these factors, that this index of core holdings can be strikingly accurate relative to market turns and projections on a technical analysis basis.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Credit Markets Point To A Major Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Credit is like a black box to most retail investors. It's a shame CNBC gives Rick Santelli only 10-15 minutes a day to report on this market. The Fed may set short term rates but the bond market sets everything else. From credit formation that fuels economic growth to interest rates that affect everyone's life the bond market is home to many smart investors and one market you do not want to ignore.
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Friday, August 12, 2011
Stock Market Recovery Remains Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Thursday's strong bounce in the markets may raise some hope with investors of a recovery, but equity indexes still remain far too weak for the bull to return.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stock Market History May Not Repeat, But It Always Rhymes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The last time we had a deflationary bear market low followed by a bull market was 1932-1937. When that bull market completed, the 1929-1932 bear market was still fresh in everyone’s minds. We reviewed the waves coming off the spring 1937 top and found a similar pattern to today’s market.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Ever since the rally out of the March 2009 low began, I’ve been saying that we have been in a bear market rally that should ultimately prove to separate Phase I from Phase II of a longer-term secular bear market. This view has not changed. Based on the overall evidence at hand, I continue to believe that we are operating in an environment much like that of the 1966 to 1974 secular bear market, with the advance out of the 1966 Phase I low being similar in nature to the rally out of the 2009 low.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Irrationality Drives Financial Markets, That's How Systems Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Oh thank you, Wikipedia, for this definition:
“Irrationality is cognition, thinking, talking or acting without inclusion of rationality. It is more specifically described as an action or opinion given through inadequate reasoning, emotional distress, or cognitive deficiency. The term is used, usually pejoratively, to describe thinking and actions that are, or appear to be, less useful or more illogical than other more rational alternatives.”
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Stock Market Crash 2011 Critical Juncture Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
The Dow plummeted some 1800 points in the past weeks.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Stock Market and Economic Overview / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
AVA Investment Analytics : Approximately three months weeks ago the U.S. markets began to correct. We warned about this first correction in the May issue of our firms paid research publications.
We followed up in June, forecasting additional downside down to the 11,800 level with the highest probability. This level was to be the repurchase area for those who decided to sell positions at the top. The Dow rallied in late June after hitting 11,844.
Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Fed Call Wakes Up Global Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Yesterday the Fed minutes were released and to cut to the end they told everyone what they already knew and why the markets have sold off 14% in the last two weeks. The U.S. economy is slowing and it’s not all transitory from bad weather and Japan’s tragic tsunami and earthquake. While people will debate the verbiage what was made abundantly clear was that the Fed is going to keep interest rates low for a very long time. The statement said rates would remain low until mid 2013. That the Fed would commit to such a long time frame is a very unusual event.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Return of the Stocks Bear Market, Do Central Bankers Lead or Follow the Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The bear market is back says Australian economist Steve Keen. I agree. Moreover, the recent action, including the rally, offers sufficient evidence. The biggest percentage gains in history have all been in bear market rallies.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Global Stock Markets Poise for a Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Sam Chee Kong writes: Due to the Downgrade of the US Sovereign ratings by S&P, the current rout in the global stock markets seems like there is no end in sight. Last week the authorities hoped to downplay the severity of the downgrade by announcing the downgrade over the weekend when most markets are closed. Come Monday, all hell broke loose when trading bells open in Asia and Europe, markets are dropping like flies.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Run, Ride or Buy? What Should Stock Market Investors Do? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There’s an old contrarian investing maxim from Baron Rothschild that says “the time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.” The idea is that the best investors strategize when others panic, allowing them to buy stocks on “sale.” The legend of Warren Buffett was built on this philosophy during the market turmoil of the mid-1970s.
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