Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Sometimes Doing Nothing is Doing Something, How to Find the Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Yesterday I had a dozen readers write to me asking if we should we be buying into the market now or commenting on what great bargain prices these stocks are selling for. I have written many times that "sometimes doing nothing is doing something". I told them that the hardest thing to do when the market sells off 634 points is to do nothing. I will explain why.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
S&P's Ill-Advised Downgrade Ushers in Stock Market Buying Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Kent Moors writes: A number of years ago, Standard & Poor's (S&P) gave me a desk in one of their offices on Wall Street. In those days, I was providing energy analysis for a short-lived S&P publication called Emerging Global Markets.
I never felt comfortable in that office. Actually, whenever possible, I avoided going there.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
S&P U.S. Credit Rating Downgrade: Where to Now? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
The credit rating of the world’s largest economy has been downgraded. That is a fact. Neither hand wringing nor stone throwing nor “I told you so” will be constructive under current circumstances. The overriding question is: What is the appropriate response?
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
U.S. Debt Downgrade Impact, Stock Market Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
The question we will ask ourselves in 20 years is, “Where were you when they downgraded the US and the Fed?” This week’s Outside the Box is from David Rosenberg. He has made his letter public and graciously given me permission (at 34,000 feet ) to send it to you.
I thought about writing an immediate response to this weekend’s events but decided to wait and meditate on what has transpired. Clearly, we are at the beginning of the Endgame. And that saddens me. The events of the weekend were hotly discussed at the Shadow Fed meeting in Maine. My youngest son, Trey, was paying attention this year. Last night he said, “Dad, it is good for you that you are right with your book, but I don’t think it’s good for the rest of us.” Out of the mouths of babes.
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
The Elusive Abyss, Debt Crisis and Gold Bull Far From Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Financial markets are currently in a panic, bonds spiked last week (this continues at the moment), cash deposit levels up sharply according to BNY Mellon, US debt downgraded by Standard and Poor's from AAA to AA+ and equities crashing. The Chinese rating agency Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. have now lowered their rating on the US debt from A+ to A after lowering their previous US rating from AA to A+ in November 2010. All agencies are warning us that they are on "negative" in their forward view of their respective US ratings.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Where Is The Stock Market Headed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the movement of stock prices and Markets in general, ultimately creating patterns that kept repeating." - From a book on Jesse Livermore's trading style.
Markets at major inflection points are more a function of investor psychology and less technicals and or macro data. The struggle between bull and bear, greed and fear will always play a major role in the success and failure of investors. As Jesse Livermore discusses these struggles are a reflection of human emotions and since human emotion never changes they leave patterns that are repeated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Stock Market Collapse Continues..... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The market doesn't fool around when it gets angry. It's certainly a reminder of how things are going around the world both fundamentally and politically. How often do we see a 512 point down day on the Dow, 136 on the Nasdaq, and 60, on the S&P 500 get followed up in a week by numbers as bad, or worse, on some indexes! Not very often in your lifetime. It was an amazing follow-up for sure. We saw the Dow lose 634 points today. The Nasdaq joined the party with losses of an astonishing 174 points, while the S&P 500 turned in a head-turning loss of 80 points. Small rallies along the way.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
What's Next For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Three weeks ago I began urging members of my service to reduce risk and raise cash. I pounded the table incessantly for the past two weeks to continue to raise cash and reduce risk. I have not issued a trade alert to members in over 3 weeks, but by acknowledging risk ahead of the debt ceiling debate I was able to sidestep one of the worst weeks in U.S. financial markets since 2008.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
The Stock Market SP500 Index Could Bottom at 1096-1100 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The markets bottomed last Friday at 1168 roughly on the SP 500, then violently reversed with a 47 point rally to 1215. I had forecasted a likely short term bottom at 1176/1188 ranges with a possible 60 point rally coming. With that said, I didn’t think it would all happen in nearly 1 trading day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Recovered in 1994, 1998, and 2004 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Our July 27 article, How Will A Downgrade of U.S. Debt Impact Stock and Bond Prices?, is obviously more relevant now. Since the news of Standard and Poor’s (S&P) downgrade of U.S. debt on Friday night, we have been reviewing the market’s current risk-reward profile and preparing for what should be another volatile week for investors.
On Sunday, we revisited our study of points in market history that are similar to the present day. Since we are dealing with human greed and fear, we can better understand the bull/bear odds in the present day by looking for differences between markets that should have been held (1994, 1998, 2004) and markets that should have been sold (2000).
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Sell-Off Time to Profit Not Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Kerri Shannon writes: Thursday's stock-market sell-off has injected investors with more fear and uncertainty - but this is not the time to panic.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Thursday fell 513 points, or 4.3%, and regained only 0.54% Friday to close at 11,444.61. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 60.27 points, or 4.8%, Thursday and slipped another 0.06% Friday to close at 1,199.38.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Losers Club, Stay Out Until Dow Drops below 6000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Investors were staggered yesterday. Stocks got walloped. Dow down 512 points.
Today, bond yields are falling… oil is below $86. London, Paris, Frankfurt – all down heavily. Only gold has resisted the general rout. It lost only $7 yesterday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Gold Cries "BullSheet" to Manipulated Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In an extreme act of extreme hubris over common sense, a "forced rally" has begun. S&P futures that were down as much as 37 points are now down 14 points. It is 2:30 AM Central. I do not know what the actual stock market open will look like. However, I do know "sheet" when I see it.
A few times recently I used the word "BullSweet". One reader objected saying I was too polite. He proposed the word "BullShill".
Monday, August 08, 2011
S&P Downgrade of US Debt Puts Stock Market Under Pressure / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The financial markets have been under pressure now for weeks and the selling reached a crescendo last week as the DOW fell over 500 points in one day on Thursday. This weekend people are even more worried about what may happen this week, because ratings agency Standard & Poor's downgraded U.S. Treasury bonds from a AAA rating to AA+.
People are concerned that this ratings downgrade will have a big impact the stock market and interest rates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Why the Dow Dropped 500 Points / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Sam Chee Kong writes: The problem that now besiege the US economy does not happened overnight or during the past few years. It had been accumulated for the past 40 years whereby the US government encourage the growth of credit. Interest rates are kept low so that people can afford to borrow to buy basic necessities like cars and houses. However bankers due to their greed are not satisfied with the miniscule margin they are getting from the traditional brick and mortar business model which is accepting deposits and providing loans.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
How The Smart Money Handles a Debt Downgrade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
These are the times where the smart money makes their money!
Here’s our take on the markets and what could happen Monday:
As we’re sure you all already know S&P downgraded the US to AA+ from AAA. And of course the repercussions are being heard all over the media and the net. More hype folks more hype.
Monday, August 08, 2011
Stock Market Low Very Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
SPX: Long-term trend - The probability that the bull market which started in March 2009 may have ended when the SPX reached 1370 on 5/02/11 has increased, but remains unconfirmed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 08, 2011
Raging Credit Crisis, Why the Dow Crashed 512 Points On Thursday / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
What caused global markets to plunge on Thursday?
Was it poor economic data in the US; the sudden slowdown in manufacturing, declining consumer spending, shrinking GDP and ongoing troubles in the housing market?
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Stock Markets Panic Crash Continuing, Is the Stealth Bull Market Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Investors and Traders are reeling after a week of plunging stock prices and high market volatility as the worlds major stock indices fought to and then failed to hold support sending the Dow down to an extreme intra-day low Friday of 11,139, before recovering to close up marginally on the day at 11,444, as of writing asia is sharply lower with Dow futures trading over 270 points lower at 11,170 suggesting a continuation of a downtrend early week to below Dow 11,200.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Stock Market Broad-based Downturn Not Yet Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Stock markets normally trend together. So before a broad-based down turn can be identified, most equity indexes need to have rolled over. At present, that event has not occurred. But it is getting close
The NYSE represents a broad collection of North American and global securities. A decline below 7600 for a week (to August 12) would clearly indicate a new down trend has begun (Chart 1). Currently the index has just broken through the 7600 level. More time is needed to confirm a reversal of the bull market has developed.
Read full article... Read full article...