Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, February 14, 2013
Stock Market Near Overbought Again....Not Yet At Bull-Bear Extremes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
It was surprising and good to see the bull-bear spread actually pull in a drop this week. Bears stayed the same, but the bulls dropped a bit, which allowed the spread to pull back 1% to 31.5% more bulls than bears. Maybe it doesn't seem significant, but it is good to see the sentiment dry up a bit, or else we would have hit that first magical red-flag level of 35%. It's not a sell signal at 35%, as it takes 40% to get that to kick in, but it's never good once you get to 35%. At 31.5%, however, you can still see quite a decent pullback, especially since many of the major-index daily charts are flirting once again with 70 RSI's. The mid-caps actually got decently above 70 RSI, while the rest are in the mid-to-upper 60's on average.
Thursday, February 14, 2013
Stock Market Boldly Going Where It Hasn’t Gone Before! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Doug Short writes: The phrase “To boldly go where no man has gone before” was made popular by the Star Trek series back in 1966 (wisely ignoring the priggish rule against split infinitives).
The Wilshire 5000 is taking investors where they have never gone before, as it breaks into all-time high territory at (1) in the chart below.
Thursday, February 14, 2013
Higher Levels Expected for Bond Yields and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Donald_W_Dony
Over the last decade, US Treasury Bond yields have generally moved with the S&P 500. That connection appears to have tighten over the last 12 months. And as the outlook for the US equity index is for higher levels in 2013, so is the forecast for bond yields.
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Wednesday, February 13, 2013
State-Corporate Decline And The Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Andrew_McKillop
CAPITALISM VERSION 1.0
In a guest post to Zerohedge, 8 February, Charles Hugh-Smith starts: "The road for both global capital and the State is narrowing to a rocky trail that leads to a cliff. We turn to cycles--business, solar, Kondratiev, etc.--to understand current events. But what if this era is not just a cycle but the terminal phase of Global Capitalism 1.0?"
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
Gold Stocks vs the Stock Markets..Caution... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Rambus_Chartology
I like to use this chart when I want to know how the HUI is doing compared the the stock markets. It clearly shows that sometimes the HUI is outperforming the SPX in a big way and sometimes the SPX is outperforming the HUI, yellow shaded areas, and sometimes they move together. I would like to focus your attention to the right side of the chart that shows the blue shaded area. The blue shaded area shows how the HUI and the SPX has decoupled starting in November of 2012. How long this divergence goes on is anybodies guess. But it is what it is until it changes.
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
The Most Important Online Investment Event You'll Attend in 2013 (FREE) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: EWI
Your free invitation to attend The State of the Global Markets Online Conference is a weeklong event hosted by the authors of EWI's new 40-page report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2013 Edition, which has now been downloaded by more than 10,000 investors worldwide. Learn more about the event and download the 40-page report now -- both are free >>
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
Stock Market Final Surge higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We may now have an estimate where SPX is finished with its final surge. Wave 1 equals wave 5 at 1523.37 (already achieved), while Wave [i] of 5 equals wave [v] of 5 at 1521.50. The Cycle Top resistance also acts as an attractor at 1523.96. We could easily see this final thrust finish in the next hour or so.
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Tuesday, February 12, 2013
Is the Euro Zone Debt Crisis Really Over? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
Many investors are wondering what has been behind the relentless rally in stock prices. Look no further than corporate profits.
Consider that in the third quarter of 2013, corporate earnings were $1.75 trillion, up 18.6% from a year ago. That took after-tax profits to their greatest percentage of GDP in history. For the most recent quarter, earnings for S&P 500 companies are estimated to have risen 4.7 percent, above a 1.9 percent forecast at the start of the earnings season. See earnings chart shown below.
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Tuesday, February 12, 2013
Will the Year of the Snake Bring Another Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes: The Chinese New Year officially began Feb. 10, bringing us the year of the snake - which some investors consider a very bad omen.
Not only does the year of the snake have the worst stock market returns of all zodiac signs, but some of the darkest moments in U.S. history have come during that zodiac year.
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Tuesday, February 12, 2013
Stock Market Monday Mini-Drama / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 slipped at the open and spent the day in a narrow 0.31% range from its intraday low, 45-minutes into trading, to its intraday high eleven minutes before the close. And speaking of the close, that was the only inkling of interest in an otherwise dull day of trading. At 3 PM sharp the index launched a rally that broke above the opening price. Would we finish with gain? Alas, the rally fizzled in the final minutes, and the index closed with a fractional loss of 0.06%. Here is a 5-minute snapshot of today, highlighting the closing mini-drama.
Tuesday, February 12, 2013
Stock Market Standing Still.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
We're all waiting to some degree for this market to take the big spill lower. It will happen soon. It's only a matter of time before sentiment and the repeated overbought conditions catch up to the market. The problem for everyone, bulls and bears alike, is the reality of not being able to time this eventual plunge to unwind the sentiment issues currently at hand. We're not at extremes yet, so timing it is virtually impossible. If you've tried to do so from a bearish perspective you have had some rough times lately.
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Monday, February 11, 2013
Fed Pressuring Investors to Buy Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Robert_M_Williams
The average investor is worried and yet he doesn’t know why. The media tells him that things are getting better, and thus far he doesn’t feel like he’s sharing in the improvement. Somehow he’s missed the proverbial boat. Supposedly inflation is low and yet he never makes it to the end of the month with his paycheck. Through manipulation of the markets, the Fed is trying to create an atmosphere that allows for improvement in the economy. Yet it’s this very manipulation that seems to keep investors away from the markets. I know that because I look at the volume of shares traded. Friday’s volume was a measly 3.1 billion shares, an average morning in early 2009.
Monday, February 11, 2013
Stocks Bull Markets Never Make it Easy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
I see a lot of people lately agonizing over what we should have done. By that I mean it's obvious to all by now that the correct move was to buy stocks back in November instead of precious metals and miners. I mean seriously, it's obvious that liquidity was going to flow into every asset class except precious metals. Well it's obvious now in hindsight anyway.
Of course everyone has conveniently forgotten how tough it was coming out of that November low.
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Monday, February 11, 2013
Stock Markets Follow The Fed Brick Road / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
All we can do with the stock market indices is draw a few lines and then draw a few conclusions. It was easier with the SnP, but we had more words to add for the NAS. The stock market has been Fed-driven for the past few years as central planners have taken over, so we no longer see free markets, as more and more freedoms in other areas are being trampled over by puppet politicians.
Sometimes there is no need for any sophisticated computer models of myriad mechanical tools like MAs, RSIs, MACD, etc. All one need do is follow the obvious for as long as the obvious remains so. At least that is how central planners seem to work.
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Monday, February 11, 2013
Imminent Stock Market Correction Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
Intermediate trend - It is probable that the intermediate correction ended at 1398 and that a new uptrend is in progress which could carry a little further after a correction. However, it is also possible that we are putting an end to the move which started at 1343.
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Monday, February 11, 2013
Is This the Death Knell for the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: Well, it had to happen eventually. The average punter is finally returning to the stock market. (Or, as the little girl said in Poltergeist, “They’re baaa-aack.”)
We have more than just anecdotal evidence. TD Ameritrade, the Omaha-based online broker, registered an average 370,000 trades per day in January, up from 30,000 trades a day in December. And, according to data from TrimTabs Investment Research, investors funneled $55 billion into U.S. equity funds in January, the most ever for any month on record.
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Monday, February 11, 2013
Gold Breaking Support, US Bond Market Crash, Stocks Hitting Resistance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Clive_Maund
The Big Story now is that there is evidence that powerful forces will be brought to bear shortly to support the ailing US Treasury market, which is close to crashing critical support, and those wielding the power will have no qualms about sacrificing either the commodity markets or the stockmarket to achieve this objective, if necessary. We will look at the outlook for the bond market and stockmarket later, after we have examined the gold charts and indicators.
Monday, February 11, 2013
Stock and Financial Markets 2013 Investment Themes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
A year ago, Dr. Gary Shilling published the influential book The Age of Deleveraging, which followed his earlier work, Deflation (1998); and in today’s Outside the Box he updates us on his thinking.
Deleveraging of the financial and household sectors has created a terrific macroeconomic undertow since 2008, eroding growth. Gary argues (against many of the talking heads in the mainstream TV world) that the deleveraging process for both these sectors has several years to run before it returns them to the long-term trend. He notes that QE is having only temporary and limited impact, as each round of easing by the Fed has propped up stocks only until a crisis in Europe or the US undermines incipient recovery all over again.
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Sunday, February 10, 2013
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Trend Forecast 2013 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow Jones stock market index last closed at 13,992, having traded to a new intra-day bull market high of 14,022 and is well within 200 points of the all time closing high of 14,164 set on 9th October 2007 which has left many investors who have missed what amounts to a 4 year bull market asking the question whether they should buy now or not?
In this 2nd of a two part series I will seek to conclude towards a detailed trend forecast for stock market for the whole of 2013 and into early 2014.
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Sunday, February 10, 2013
US Stock Market Uptrend Continues While Europe Weakens / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
A choppy but interesting week. The market had 1% swings several days this week, after it had remained in a 1% range for the entire previous week. In the end, new uptrend highs and the uptrend reached the OEW 1523 pivot range on friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.45%. Foreign markets did not do as well. The Asian markets were -0.3%, European markets were -1.3%, and the DJ World index was -0.4%. Economic reports for the week were light, but remained with a positive bias. On the uptick: factory orders, the monetary base and the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: ISM services, consumer credit and wholesale inventories. Next week we get retail sales, industrial production and consumer sentiment.