Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, March 10, 2014
Disinformation War Still Dominates Stock Markets - Charts to watch / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Bulls--t and criminality back in 1970 was much the same as bulls--t and criminality now.January 2014 marked the 44th anniversary of one of the biggest mistakes of my life. Back in January 1970, I was young and inexperienced as to how stock markets functioned and balked at selling on the huge profit I was making at the time. The Australian speculative boom in nickel stocks was peaking and everyone around me was saying it was going to last forever. Even the solicitor I was using at the time told me to hold on, while unbeknown to me, he was actually dumping huge quantities of one of the stocks I was holding. This was in the middle of a huge feeding frenzy of disinformation that makes up a large part of every bull trap that has ever existed. But then as now the market tone was and is changing, from one where greed and overoptimism dominate, to one where fear again regains ascendance. Bull traps have forever been defined in these terms.
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Monday, March 10, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started with Russia flexing its military muscle in the Ukraine, and the market sold off to SPX 1834 by Monday noon. After the event was temporarily neutralized the market recovered, and made all time new highs every day thereafter. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.90%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.45, and the DJ World index rose 0.40%. Economic reports for the week finally turned positive, with positive reports outpacing negatives ones 10 to 7. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the MIS, monetary base, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: monthly auto sales, the ADP, ISM services, factory orders, consumer credit, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit nudged higher. Next week we have Retail sales, Business/Wholesale inventories and the PPI.
Monday, March 10, 2014
Stock Market Indicators Increase Their Warning Of A Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - New uptrend still in doubt.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 09, 2014
Stocks Bull Market 5th Year Anniversary Grinding Towards Another New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
One of the most hated stocks bull markets in history has passed its fifth year milestone with the DJIA last closing at 16,453, less than 1% away from its all time closing high of 16,577. This now five year long bull market that I termed as a stocks stealth bull market for much of its life-time has remained mostly invisible to the mass of retail investors who followed the approx 95% of that which purports to be market commentators but in reality are just journalists regurgitating ad nauseam the ramblings of clueless academics and a financial sales industry that is mostly populated by failed traders who have turned to selling services and products that never worked in the first place to trader and investor wannabe's, tools and services that are guaranteed to fail due to the fact their primary purpose is to perpetuate sales when the real secrets for successful trading are diametrically opposed to that which most are exposed to as illustrated below.
Sunday, March 09, 2014
Gold, Commodities and Stock Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
Trying to predict short term direction is notoriously difficult, especially in the volatile metals market, but I'm going to take a stab at it today.
First off let me start with the big picture: For almost a year now I've been saying that the inflation that's been stored in the stock market for the last three years is eventually going to start leaking into the commodity markets. You can see in the next chart that process has begun as smart money investors begin to move capital out of an overvalued and overextended stock market that is destined to top some time during the first half of this year, and into undervalued commodity markets where they are getting a better return on their investment.
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Sunday, March 09, 2014
Stock Market Squeaks Out Another Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the headline Nonfarm Jobs in the February employment report came in better than expected. The S&P 500 rallied briefly at the open, hitting its all-time intraday high, up a modest 0.35%, in the first five minutes of trading. The index then retreated to its similarly modest -0.34% intraday low in the late morning. It spent the rest of the day in a fairly narrow trading range and managed to rise above yesterday’s close in the final minutes to squeak out another record high, up 0.05%. The 500 rose an even one percent for the week.
Saturday, March 08, 2014
Safe Havens Are Trouncing Stocks So Far This Year / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Investors are going crazy for stocks, piling into individual stocks and equity mutual funds at a near record pace. Investor sentiment polls confirm the high level of bullishness. Margin debt is at record highs. Brokerage firms and polls of investor groups show individual investors have unusually high portfolio allocations skewed to stocks and away from bonds and cash.
Saturday, March 08, 2014
Intensifying Currency War Investor Consequences / Stock-Markets / Currency War
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“When the dollar collapse comes, it will happen in two ways: gradually then suddenly. That formula, famously used by Hemingway to describe how one goes bankrupt, is an apt description of critical state dynamics in complex systems. The gradual part is a snowflake disturbing a small patch of snow, while the sudden part is the avalanche. The snowflake is random yet the avalanche is inevitable. Both ideas are easy to grasp. What is difficult to grasp is the critical state of the system in which the random event occurs.”Jim Rickards, Currency Wars
Saturday, March 08, 2014
How the Ukraine/Russia Situation Is Misleading Stock Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Sometimes, what seems obvious on the surface isn’t necessarily the best way of looking at a situation. The recent crisis between Ukraine and Russia is a perfect example.
A very basic fundamental analysis of the situation would lead one to conclude that if hostilities were to break out, one of the results would be a disruption to the oil and natural gas supplied to Europe. This makes sense, since many pipelines and oil/gas fields are located in Ukraine and Russia.
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Saturday, March 08, 2014
Proof Your Money Is not Safe In Europe, Or Anywhere / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Jeff_Berwick
As I write this, the European Union has just announced a possible $15b aid package to the Ukraine (including 8 billion euros in fresh credit). Everybody has read the headlines about Europe: record unemployment, no end in sight, and so on. So you might be wondering just where the European Union, and its' constituent nations, scrapped together the money to propose aid for the Ukraine. Well, wonder no more, because the following eight events might give you an idea of where governments go to get a little extra cash.
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Saturday, March 08, 2014
Elevating Stock Markets: Signal of Reviving Bank Lending? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Earlier this week Bill Gross who runs Pimco’s bond fund made a conditional case <http://www.pimco.com/EN/Insights/Pages/The-Second-Coming.aspx> for investing in high-yielding bonds, even though on first cut the yield benefit appears insufficient to justify the extra risk. Put bluntly, he suggests that investing in bonds issued by insolvent Eurozone governments or second-rank corporate borrowers could be profitable. Mr Gross is following some other smart and usually sceptical fund managers in appearing to throw in the towel against persistently low bond yields and equity markets that defy gravity. He is unlikely to take this stance without good reasons.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Non-Farm Friday – America is Still Not Working, Stock Market BS Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Sorry but this "rally" is just too much BS for me.
As you can see from Dave Fry's SPY chart, we're running up on ZERO volume in the Futures and then we sell off all day on very low volume (because there are no buyers and the Funds are exiting slowly) and then we have dip at the finish as the ETFs that HAVE to buy at MOC (Market on Close) pricing get shares jammed down their throats by the pumpers.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Stock Market Top - 2014 The Year of Gold, Silver and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Trader MC writes: Charts are telling me that 2014 should be a great year for Commodities and Miners and I expect a period of financial market turmoil for the US Market. I believe that we are very close to an important corrective move as the Market is due to top in March 2014. The Rhythm of the Dow Jones Index is telling me that a major top could already have been printed:
Friday, March 07, 2014
Another Stock Market Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the weekly unemployment report came in better than expected, although the reporting of new claims has skewed in both directions by weather (e.g., my home state). The S&P 500 rallied at the open and hit its morning high 30 minutes later — one that it would beat by a tenth of a point during the noon hour, up 0.43%. The index traded lower in the afternoon and closed with a trimmed gain of 0.17%, but that’s another record high.
Thursday, March 06, 2014
The Deflationary Effects of the Crashing Stock Market Kress Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
Stocks came under selling pressure on Monday in the wake of renewed concerns over geopolitical instability in Eastern Europe. An escalation of tension between Russia and the Ukraine led to a plunge in Russia’s stock market, which in turn had a spillover effect on U.S. equities.Russia is currently the focus of Wall Street’s worries right now. One of the better proxies for Russia’s stock market is the Market Vectors Russia ETF Trust (RSX), which lost nearly 7% in value on Monday. RSX made a 4-year low today which underscores the political and economic troubles facing that region of the globe.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
The Stock Market’s New Normal: A Wall of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
While I realize that fundamentals are important to investment success I also appreciate the relevance of technical analysis in gauging investor sentiment and in timing entry and exit points.
From the technical point of view the market is in a strong bull trend and would appear to be poised to reach new highs. However, when I research into the fundamental reason behind this strength I find little to support it other than the actions of the FED. To explain what I mean I attach 5 charts from two different sources. They outline real underlying weakness. Thus while I am fully invested in equities at the moment I have hard sell stops in place and I am prepared to quickly and solidly go short should my key technical positions break-down on high volume.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Roubini: How I'd Invest $1 Million Right Now - Not Bitcoin or Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Bloomberg
Nouriel Roubini has been known as Dr. Doom since he predicted the 2008 financial crisis, but Roubini feels it's time for a new nickname. He thinks "Dr. Realist" is a better fit. So Bloomberg Television wanted to know if the self-proclaimed "Dr. Realist" would ever invest in riskier assets like Bitcoin (which he calls a Ponzi scheme) or even stocks.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Stock Market Quiet Day..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The bulls will take a quiet day after yesterday's big move up. There were some bad economic reports this morning, especially on the services side of the economy, barely holding above the flat line that separates growth and recession. The market is just not seeing the type of economic growth one would have expected by now when you consider the measures taken over the past few years by the Fed. One can only imagine how bad things would be if they hadn't done anything. The good news for the market is the Fed Yellen won't be raising rates any time soon. They are also unlikely to pull all the liquidity out of the system any time in the near future. That may be slowed down for a while.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Full-Spectrum War, Peak Complexity, and Real Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
Not so long ago — say when the Soviet Union was crushing rebellions in Czechoslovakia and Hungary in the 1960s or the US was invading half the Middle East in the 2000s — a big country picking on a small one was mostly a physical activity. Tanks would roll in, buildings and people would be blown up, and that would be that. The aggressor might face the occasional trade sanction from otherwise-impotent “powers,” but this was relatively painless in a world that was not yet financially or technologically integrated.
Thursday, March 06, 2014
Stock Market Bombs Away, 2011 Crash All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few weeks I have been watching the DOW and Transportation index closely because it looks and feels like the Dow Theory may play out this year and the stock market could take a 15% haircut.
But what if you skipped on the haircut and opted for a 40% refund? What? Keep reading to find out how.
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