Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, March 06, 2014

Full-Spectrum War, Peak Complexity, and Real Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: John_Rubino

Not so long ago — say when the Soviet Union was crushing rebellions in Czechoslovakia and Hungary in the 1960s or the US was invading half the Middle East in the 2000s — a big country picking on a small one was mostly a physical activity. Tanks would roll in, buildings and people would be blown up, and that would be that. The aggressor might face the occasional trade sanction from otherwise-impotent “powers,” but this was relatively painless in a world that was not yet financially or technologically integrated.

Thursday, March 06, 2014

Stock Market Bombs Away, 2011 Crash All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past few weeks I have been watching the DOW and Transportation index closely because it looks and feels like the Dow Theory may play out this year and the stock market could take a 15% haircut.

But what if you skipped on the haircut and opted for a 40% refund? What? Keep reading to find out how.

Wednesday, March 05, 2014

Putin's Move Into Ukraine 'Out Of Weakness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Bloomberg

Roger Altman, Chairman of Evercore Partners, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Betty Liu today to discuss a number of topics including the situation in Ukraine, mergers and acquisitions in 2014, and the Moelis IPO.

On Moelis, Atlman said, "I don't see any reason why this won't be successful and why the public markets won't be hospitable to Moelis...[the] timing is reasonably good."

Wednesday, March 05, 2014

Fears Settle And Stocks Soar! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Submissions

Joshua Rodriguez writes: Over the recent past, we’ve watched as tensions escalated between Russia and the Ukraine. As tensions rose, we watched stocks plummet. However, the day was saved Tuesday as tensions between the Ukraine and Russia finally eased. Tuesday brought great news for investors as the DOW soared 228 points or 1.4%. That’s the biggest gain the DOW has seen all year! The DOW wasn’t the only market to enjoy the frenzy either. Nasdaq had a gain of almost 1.8% while S&P 500 hit record highs.

Wednesday, March 05, 2014

Ukraine Fears Were a Stock Market Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Today, as far as the world markets were concerned, the Crisis in Ukraine evaporated, and yesterday’s anxieties, in retrospect, were a buying opportunity. The EURO STOXX 50, which plunged 3.02% on Monday, rose 3.02% today. The S&P 500 surged at the opening bell and drifted to its 1.65% intraday high about 15 minutes before the close. A bit of selling trimmed the gain for the day to 1.53%, the biggest one-day advance for the index since December 18th. And of course today’s close set another record high.

Wednesday, March 05, 2014

All Market Eyes Are on Ukraine…and the Thermometer / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Kent Moors writes: The weather is taking a decidedly better turn here in London this morning.

It’s a good thing, because all of the talk today in British circles is about the deteriorating situation in Ukraine.

These concerns involve the all too obvious geopolitical impacts of a Russian takeover of Crimea and perhaps a broader swath of Eastern Ukraine.

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Ukraine Crisis: RTS Russia Stock Market What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Russia

By: EWI

Social mood is another term for the shared inclination of a society. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a dramatic example of social mood in action.

Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this article below the video.

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Stock Market QE - And the Band Plays On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Don_Miller

Quantitative Easing (QE) is no longer a surprise, but the fact that it's continued for so long is. Like many Miller’s Money readers, I believe the government cannot continue to pay its bills by having the Federal Reserve buy debt with newly created money forever. This has gone on much longer than I'd have ever dreamed possible.

Unemployment numbers dropped in December and the Federal Reserve tapered their money creation from $85 billion to $75 billion per month. Why did the unemployment rate drop? Primarily because people whose benefits have expired are no longer considered unemployed. The government classifies them as merely discouraged, but the fact remains that they don't have jobs.

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Political Gamesmanship Allows the Stock Market to Morph / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

A political chess game is being played between Putin and the West. Of course, this has sent the futures soaring, but not to new highs…yet. Of course nothing has changed on the ground in the Ukraine.

This gamesmanship has the ability to change the pattern of the markets, as well. Not everyone is confident that the Russians are really backing down. If the market fails to make a new high, then the pattern on the chart will be the correct one.

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Stock Market and U.S. Mid-Term Election Years / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Ed_Carlson

Mid-term election years are typically poor performers for most of the year until finding a bottom in the fall and beginning a rally which lasts well into the following pre-election year.

The traditional approach to seasonality during a mid-term election year (chart) shows the final high (prior to the long period of under-performance) in April.

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Stock Market Rally Pauses as Markets Watch the Crisis in Ukraine / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Today’s major economic news, the Personal Income and Outlays for January and ISM Manufacturing, was of little interest to the market, which was exclusively focused on the crisis in Ukraine. Before the US markets opened, most Asian indexes had closed lower, and the selloff in Europe was worse. The EURO STOXX 50 index subsequently closed with a 3.02% loss. The S&P 500 opened lower and sold off to its -1.35% intraday low at lunchtime. Some buying during the afternoon trimmed the closing loss to 0.74%.

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Russia Stock Market Excuse To Sell..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Mr. Putin has taken some aggressive action moving into the Ukraine. It seems highly unlikely he'll do too much since he's getting tremendous political global pressure. But the very fact that he's taken action is a built in excuse for the market to sell based on sentiment. If sentiment wasn't an issue we would likely have gone green today. Markets don't take these issues too seriously when it seems doubtful it will escalate into anything too serious. Of course, if the market thought it could become something uglier it wouldn't matter what type of market we're in right now. It would sell, but that doesn't seem to be the case here. The market could definitely use a pause in the action. That said, you don't get bearish just because we need something. You don't know when that issue of removing too much bullish behavior will take place.

Monday, March 03, 2014

Investors Should Heed Markets; Not Fed Apologists / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Michael_Pento

Investors are currently receiving mixed messages regarding the ramifications resulting from the Fed’s exit of debt monetization. Officials from the Federal Reserve are assuring market participants that there will be a smooth transition from the central bank’s manipulation of long-term interest rates. But markets are reaching a completely different conclusion.

Monday, March 03, 2014

Stocks to Gap Down at the Open / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The early morning futures declined to the upper trendline of the Bearish Wedge and Short-0term support at 1841.00. It is currently hovering at 1846.00 (cash) and is likely to continue its decline after the open.

Crossing the trendline would give the SPX sell signal sometime this morning.

Monday, March 03, 2014

Government Plan to Raid Your Savings And What to Do About It / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: I recently came across a headline that made me do a double-take... for all the wrong reasons.

It reminded me of what happened with the bailout in Cyprus... and appears to be looming again in Europe.

What's more, it bears an uncanny resemblance to what President Obama proposed in his latest State of the Union with his MyRA "plan."

Monday, March 03, 2014

Was Friday a Stock Market Reversal Signal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - New uptrend still in doubt

Monday, March 03, 2014

The S&P500, Dow and Nasdaq Since Their 2000 Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a retired professor now actively educating investors through his Trader’s Eye website. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.

Sunday, March 02, 2014

Stock Market Orthodox Broadening Top  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- VIX closed below its cluster of weekly Model supports after challenging weekly mid-Cycle resistance at 15.63.  VIX  did not make new lows this week, a non-confirmation of the SPX rally attempts.

SPX is repelled by Cycle Top resistance.

Saturday, March 01, 2014

Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: David_Petch

The S&P 500 Index is most likely to be in a topping pattern with an upside bias that lasts for at least another 18 months. This provocative thought is based upon the collective technical analysis of the S&P charts at different time frames (Daily, weekly and monthly), alongside the Elliott Wave count. There has been a comparison to 1987 and more recently, 1929 analog charts that suggest a very sharp decline in the broad stock market indices.

The chances of such a sharp decline occurring before 18 months (end of June 2015) is slim and more probable to occur at some point in September 2015. This time frame is based upon Elliott Wave analysis time considerations between wave structures from inter-market analysis. One of the main reasons that I examine gold, US Dollar, 3 currencies, oil, natural gas, AMEX Gold BUGS Index, AMEX Oil Index, S&P 500 Index, 10 Year US Treasury Index, Toronto Stock Exchange, Euro 350 iShares, Nikkei along with various exchange traded funds is to try and view the total picture of the landscape to see how everything is inter-related.

Saturday, March 01, 2014

Stocks Bull Market New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market opened the week with a rally to new highs by noon Monday. After that it tested and retested the 1841 pivot four times, day traders delight, with the last test Thursday morning. Then the market hit an even higher high on Friday, before again selling off again. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.30%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.00%, and the DJ World index was +1.00%. Economic reports for the week were again slightly biased negatively, for the fourth week in a row. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA index, new/pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, and consumer sentiment. On the downtick: consumer confidence, durable goods orders, Q4 GDP, median new home prices, the WLEI (4th week in a row), the M-1 multiplier and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week we get reports on the ISM, the FED’s beige book and monthly Payrolls.