Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Will Alibaba Destroy the World? / Stock-Markets / China Credit Crisis

By: PhilStockWorld

"The Word ends not with a bang, but a whimper."

As TS Elliot noted: "Between the idea and the reality, between the motion and the act falls the shadow." Whether or not Elliot was referring to "shadow banking" in 1925, 100 years later his words certainly ring true as "Vampire Internet Funds" like Alibaba's Yu'E Bao are draining liquidity out of China's financial system at an alarming rate.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Cold Warning - When Market Bubbles Burst / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Raul_I_Meijer

You can hurt a few handfuls of Putin’s people for a few days with sanctions like closing their Visa accounts. But if you threaten to buy less Rosneft oil and Gazprom gas, why should they really care? It’s not as if there’s a glut of either available. Any pain will be short lived. Moreover, it’s all but certain that such actions will drive Russia and China closer together, and is that such a dream scenario for America and Europe?

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

S&P500, GOLD And Crude OIL Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

S&P500 Daily: wave five reversing from resistance zone
S&P500 has been in bullish mode since February but it looks like that the direction of a trend could be changing now after a rally up to 1880/1920 Fibonacci and channel resistance area, where we see zone for a completed fifth wave in wave 5) of (3). So far, market is reversing nicely down with a weekly close price at 1839 so we suspect that market will continue to the downside now for a three wave pullback down in blue wave (4). We are also looking at the RSI that is reversing from 60/70 area that can be signaling for a bearish pullback, similar like in the past few months.

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Froth Stocks in Mini Bear Market....Overall Market Still Meandering... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

There is really not much to add from what I spoke about on Friday. The bears once again seized on froth, but failed to seize on the entire market. The Nasdaq was down eighty-plus points intraday, but managed to recover some of those losses. The action on the Dow and S&P 500 was quite benign for now. There are two markets under way here. There's all that isn't froth, and those stocks are holding up quite well while froth gets hit day after day without mercy. There are some oversold bounces along the way, but the froth stocks are taking a real beating.

Monday, March 24, 2014

Stocks Continue To Fluctuate As Investors React To Mixed News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, March 24, 2014

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week gapping up after last Friday’s decline to SPX 1840. The rally carried it into FOMC Wednesday to SPX 1874. Then right after the FOMC statement was released the market dropped to SPX 1850. Another rally carried the market to match the all time high at SPX 1884 on Friday. Then right after the open Techs sold off and the market pulled back again. Another choppy week, only this time to the upside. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.45%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%, and the DJ World index rose 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the uptick: NY/Philly FED, capacity utilization, industrial production, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, CPI, leading indicators and the monetary base. On the downtick: existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims edged higher. Next week: Q4 GDP, Durable goods orders, and more Housing reports.

Monday, March 24, 2014

Stock Market Testing Resistance At Former High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Trying to overcome resistance at the high.

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Stock Market Top, Example of VIX ETF, TVIX to ride the Market Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Thomas_Clayton

DJIA. Huge non occurring volume at the Opening followed by meager volume and at Noon, the Bears decided to spank the Bulls.

Saturday, March 22, 2014

Stock Market Record Intraday High Fades to a Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: The Nikkei was closed today for the Vernal Equinox, having posted a 0.72% loss for the week, but the Shanghai Composite soared 2.72%, erasing what would otherwise have been a fractional weekly loss. When the US markets opened, most European indexes had been trading higher and would close with modest gains, the EURO STOXX 50 up 0.25%.

Saturday, March 22, 2014

S&P 500 New High....Then Bye Bye.....Froth Absolutely Annihilated.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

This was a day to remember for many. So many will never play the game again after today as those who lived by the sword clearly died by it today. There were losses that most won't be able to overcome from a mental perspective alone. The moves from the highs to the lows on many stocks are just beyond stunning. Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) and Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN), just to name two out of more than one could count. The losses are not just from today, because these froth stocks have been in their own little bear market of late.

Saturday, March 22, 2014

U.S. Stock Market Swimming Against an Ominous Global Tide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Sy_Harding

After an unusual blow-out 2013, the U.S. stock market has gone nowhere so far this year.

Down for January, back up for February, and sideways for March, the Dow is 1% below its record high reached at the end of the year, and thus down 1% for 2014 so far, while the S&P 500 is up just one percent.

Friday, March 21, 2014

Stock Market Crash Fractal - Deja Vu 2000 All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Crash Fractal is still alive and well in the Dow. Its peak was December 31.

Friday, March 21, 2014

Potential Flash Crash - SPX Reveals its Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

To the left is a more complete explanation of what I had illustrated last night. That suggests Minor Wave 3 of Intermediate Wave (3) may be underway.

Granted, the Pre-market shows a possible probe above 1873.49, but I think the algos are keeping the market in line for the harvest of the index options at the open. The SPX may let go at the open for an approximate 63 point plunge. I am basing that projection on the wave relationship where Wave 3 of (1) is 2.625 times the size of Wave 1 of(1)…

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Stock Market Broadening Wedge Trendline May Break Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has declined in the Pre-market to near 1856.00. That was expected as a high probability, since it had closed beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance at 1861.54. A break of the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge at 1850.00 gives us the confirmed sell signal of that formation.

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Stocks Extend Short-Term Consolidation Following FOMC Statement Release / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Another Stock Market FOMC Mini-Drama / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Today’s market provided a familiar drama for FOMC Wednesdays. The S&P 500 traded in a narrow range from the opening bell to the 2 PM release of the latest FOMC statement. The index immediately dropped about ten points with the not-surprising statement of another $10B cut to the asset purchase program. But the more dramatic plunge came during Chair Yellen’s press conference, when she quantified the “considerable time” after the end of QE to the start of Fed Fund rate hikes as “around six months.” The index promptly fell to its -1.17% intraday low at 3:10 PM. Subsequent buying essentially halved the loss to 0.61% at the close.

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Fed Says Goodbye To QE....If...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Data dependent. If the economy continues to recover, Ms. Yellen says that she'll continue the tapering until it's at zero. She said that likely in the fall the QE program will be over completely. No more liquidity. No more free lunch. October is the hoped for end to all that free cash. The market's reaction was a big yawn at a time when it had every right to crash lower based on daily and weekly MACD's. Why is it having trouble falling?

Thursday, March 20, 2014

The Stock Market and Pessimistic Press Headlines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Doug_Wakefield

Do you remember the following headline from the fall of 2011?

"In the Absence of a Credible Plan We Will Have A Global Financial Meltdown in Two or Three Weeks" [states] Dr. Robert Shapiro, Advisor to the IMF, Zero Hedge, October 6, 2011

How about these headlines, from June 2012?

[Spanish] Bankia Customers Pull Out Over 1 Billion Euros, Reuters, May 17 '12

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

The Best Play for a Scary Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Michael A. Robinson writes: U.S. blue chips suffered their biggest drop in five weeks recently because the latest round of economic reports are fostering a lot of uncertainty about the prospects for continued global growth.

For most investors, it's been that kind of year.

But I continue to believe that the tech sector - especially here in the U.S. - still has a lot of fuel left in its tank.

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Another S&P 500 Gain Puts a Record Stock Market High in Easy Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the US markets opened, Japan’s Nikkei had snapped a wicked four-day selloff with a 0.94% advance, and the European indexes were in the green. The EURO STOXX 50 would later close with a 0.81% gain. The S&P 500 rallied during the opening hour and traded the rest of the day in a fairly narrow range to its 0.72% final tally. The index is now less than six points from its record high set seven sessions ago.