Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
Stock Valuations Outrunning Profits Growth - And the Band Played On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
"We are still amazed by the chart [below], but it summarises the problem for those seeking to short stocks with fundamental weaknesses. In the last three years, the MSCI World Index has risen by 38% (11% per annum) whilst reported profits have risen by just 3% (that’s just 1% per annum!). As the events of last month attest, central bank actions–not profits–are driving equities forward." - Andrew Lapthorne, Societe General
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
Lindsay's Stock Market Right Shoulder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
With the October rally exceeding the September high we find ourselves once again searching for the right shoulder high which will mark the end of the bull market.
The rally from the end of the Sideways Movement on 11/25/11 terminated at the July high earlier this year when, after 964 calendar days, the Dow had come to the end of the longest of Lindsay's standard time spans and dropped 770 points. We know from the preserved, written work of George Lindsay that a right shoulder always follows a long basic advance. While a right shoulder is usually lower than the high of the basic advance, Lindsay left open the possibility that a higher right shoulder is possible and history shows that it is not without precedent.
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Tuesday, November 18, 2014
An Epiphany From Hell - Buy Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Richard_Daughty
Proving that I never have an original thought, I recently received an epiphany from Alan Greenspan, evil erstwhile chairman of the Federal Reserve who is directly responsible for the fatal mess we are in. He was recently casually “explaining” how it was absolutely necessary for him to destroy the United States by creating so much excess cash and credit that it created horrendously huge bubbles in stocks, bubbles in bonds, bubbles in business and personal debt, bubbles in size of governments and their growing legions of dependents, and an expensive housing/real estate market, all adding up to an incomprehensibly gigantic Huge Freaking Boatload (HFB) of debt, all made possible by the evil Federal Reserve, and all priced to yield at negative real (inflation-adjusted) rates!
Monday, November 17, 2014
How to Play the Stock Market 2014 Year-End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: With the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P 500 indices repeatedly making new highs, chances are better-than-good that markets will rally through year-end.
There are lots of reasons why stocks are headed higher, but one in particular is telling.
It's really a simple one, yet too many people have overlooked it; indeed, most wouldn't even give it enough thought.
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Monday, November 17, 2014
Stock Market Indexes Fluctuate Along Record Levels - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, November 17, 2014
Stock Market Trend Deceleration Tends To Precede Corrections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Intermediate structure unclear
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, November 17, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Set to Continue After Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Marc_Horn
SPX WEEKLY Current status - wave 5 - neutral - likely consolidation before breakout as has completed normal cycle.
Before we get into the technical stuff I need to have my rant first!
It is quiet incredible how short some of our memories are and how at times we can be so scientific in our decision making processes, yet with others we just do not look at the facts right before our eyes, let alone in over the past few weeks, and not a chance in hell over the last few months, and last few years - oh what is that??? Why is this I keep asking myself and the only consistent answer I keep getting to is our pride!
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Sunday, November 16, 2014
Price Rigging and Financial Corruption. A Global House Of Cards / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
As most Americans, if not the financial media, are aware, Quantitative Easing (a euphemism for printing money) has failed to bring back the US economy.
So why has Japan adopted the policy? Since the heavy duty money printing began in 2013, the Japanese yen has fallen 35% against the US dollar, a big cost for a country dependent on energy imports. Moreover, the Japanese economy has shown no growth in response to the QE stimulus to justify the rising price of imports.
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Sunday, November 16, 2014
A Studied Look Toward Stock Market Year-End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Markets traded quietly this week as oil prices continued to move lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 61 points or 0.35% to 17,634.17 and the S&P 500 added 8 points or 0.4% to 2,039.82. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 56 points to finish at 4688.54. The small cap Russell 2000 ended the week unchanged at 1,173.81. Bonds ended a quiet week with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury closing at 2.32%, up from 2.31% the week before. The main focus was falling crude and its possible effects on consumers.
Sunday, November 16, 2014
Stock Market 2015 Parabolic Blow off Mania or Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
François Lenôtre writes: Since June, some financial markets pundits have been vociferously calling for a market top or even a crash. We eventually witnessed a sharp but brief correction in October, which led to one of the most astonishing upside acceleration on record. We are now reaching new highs on a daily basis and, more than ever, we hear words of caution about an impending market catastrophe.
Sunday, November 16, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Grinds Bears into Dust, Is Santa Rally Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues its relentless drive higher as the Dow set a series of new highs virtually every other day, ending the week at 17,634, now up more than 11% from the market low of barely four weeks ago as another supposed new stocks bear market has effectively been ground into dust as illustrated by the following chart.
Saturday, November 15, 2014
Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
A quiet week as the market remains in drift higher mode. Monday and Tuesday we saw marginal new highs, a pullback Wednesday, then new highs again on Thursday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.4%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.4%, and the DJ World index rose 0.5%. Economic reports for the week were biased to the downside. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment and retail sales. On the downtick: export/import prices, long term investor sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit were higher. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, Capacity utilization, the CPI/PPI and housing.
Saturday, November 15, 2014
Stock Market Indices Sitting On Top of the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
"It may seem strange that any men should dare to ask a just God's assistance in wringing their bread from the sweat of other men's faces, but let us judge not, that we be not judged. The prayers of both could not be answered. That of neither has been answered fully. The Almighty has His own purposes. 'Woe unto the world because of offenses; for it must needs be that offenses come, but woe to that man by whom the offense cometh.'"
Abraham Lincoln
The stock market has reached nosebleed heights.
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Saturday, November 15, 2014
Government Banks on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
The following article was adapted with permission from the November 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm. Follow this link for the complete article.
Here's a key principle concerning the role of government in bull and bear markets, as outlined in The Elliott Wave Theorist in 1991:
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Friday, November 14, 2014
Stock Market S&P Megaphone Top, Huge Volume Bullish Reversal in Junior Gold Miners? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jeb_Handwerger
In a recent landslide election, Republicans took back control of the Senate and House. President Obama’s approval rating is very low. Although there a few making money in the stock market, the majority of the American people are fed up with close to 100 million people not working. Welfare and entitlement spending is out of control. The debt is still soaring close to $20 trillion and the dollar is rising making it even harder for politicians and banks to avoid default.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2014
The Case for Stock Market 2014 Year-End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: U.S. stocks have been making new highs in recent days. And I believe we’re looking at strong odds for a market rally that lasts to the end of the year.
There are lots of reasons why stocks are headed higher, but one in particular is both surprising and telling.
It’s also a difference maker.
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Friday, November 14, 2014
Stock Market Year End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
Although the Federal Reserve has now ended its quantitative easing (QE) program, the stock market has taken this in its stride and all eyes are now on the Fed Funds Rate, which will not be increased anytime soon. Make no mistake, the Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that it will pursue an accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future and this suggests that the ongoing party on Wall Street will continue for as far as the eye can see. For sure, the primary uptrend will be punctuated by periodic pullbacks to the key moving averages, but the bull market will probably continue for at least another 2-3 years.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Contemplating Stocks Without QE / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Peter_Schiff
Some influences on the stock market are casual, subtle or open to interpretation, but the catalyst behind the current stock market rally really shouldn't be controversial. As far as stocks go, we have lived by QE. The only question now is, whether we will die without it. A larger version of this article appears in the fall edition of Euro Pacific Capital's Global Investor newsletter.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stocks and the Unfolding Economic Crisis in Europe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Since October 24th Der Spiegel the German newspaper has been running a fascinating series of essays on the unfolding economic crisis in Europe. The scope and detail of the series has caused a bit of an online stir in that this bastion of German mainstream journalism painted a very negative view of the future and accordingly many are wondering whether the German elite are finally beginning to question the sustainability of the current monetary paradigm. To get a sense of the tone of these articles here a few excerpts:
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Stock Market Indices Reaching Cycle Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I just wanted to relay to you that SPX had reached its daily Cycle Top resistance at 2044.34 this morning. Generally, only wave threes (of any degree) may exceed the Cycle Top on any consistent basis. So we may expect to see SPX make several attempts at the Cycle Top, but it should not close above it.
What is helpful here is that the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top is at the same level, if not a few points above it. That should be the secondary stopper of this rally.
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