Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, May 02, 2017
Stock Market VIX Gets Jammed to a New 10-year Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX was jammed down to 9.90 toward the close today. This makes a new low not seen since December 15, 2006. That also means that Super Cycle Wave (b) may just be finishing in VIX.
I have to caution that the decline may not be complete, even though I have labeled it so. Today is just 4 days shy of a probable 540-week Super Cycle in the VIX, divisible by 4.3 and 3.1416. The normal Super Cycle in VIX is 516 weeks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 02, 2017
Stock Market Due for Minor Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Over 2 weeks ago, I was looking for a top on April 26th and another on May 1. Today's top appears to be a secondary top, which is pointing down in the coming days. My best guess is a move to 2356/57 SPX by Tuesday this week, and by Thursday or Friday, a move down to as low as the 2344/47 area covering or filling the recent gaps. Another move back up to new highs by around May 16th or 17th should be it for the intermediate term with a major 18 month low beckoning in early to mid August of this year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 02, 2017
Stock Market Euro-phoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
A critical factor in risk-asset pricing is inflation expectations and inflation expectations are directly affected by the price of commodities. Looking at the futures markets, equity bulls should be concerned. The damage to commodities is already showing in the Chinese equities complex.
Tuesday, May 02, 2017
Trump Tax Cut Can Create the Last Stock Market Rally Since 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
As part of President’s Trump campaign pledge, he wants to sharply reduce the tax rate for all businesses from multinational corporations to mom-and-pop shops to 15%. Treasury Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin said this is the biggest tax cut and the largest tax reform in the U.S history. Currently the U.S. corporate tax rate is 35% and it is the highest among developed economies. President Trump also plans to simplify and reduce individual tax rate with the highest individual tax rate dropping to 25%.
Monday, May 01, 2017
Stock Market Getting to "B" / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 29, 2017
Bifurcated US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started to week at SPX 2349. After a gap up opening on Monday, and another gap up opening on Tuesday, the market hit SPX 2398 by Wednesday. After that it pulled back to end the week at SPX 2384. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.70%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.45%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, durable goods, pending home sales, Q1 GDP, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, new home sales and the Chicago PMI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FED’s FOMC, the ISMs, and monthly payrolls. Best to your week!
Friday, April 28, 2017
Stock Market Sentiment, Re-Fueled Along the Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
It’s a big picture view with a story to tell. People are micro-managing the VIX, talking about how it either doesn’t work anymore, if it ever did, or is forecasting extreme doom imminently (through investor complacency). But what is “imminently”? Is it next month or is it the 2-3 years that this indicator often wallows along the bottom of its support zone before overseeing a coming Armageddon? Sure, it started wallowing in the zone back in 2013, but then the ‘fuel stops’ that were ultimately bullish (the 2010, 2011 and 2015 corrections) cleared the overhead inventory of investors out of the markets.
Friday, April 28, 2017
What Happened to the Stock Market Crash Experts Were Predicting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Sol_Palha
"Any jackass can kick a barn down, but it takes a carpenter to build it." ~ Sam Rayburn
One jackass (oops we mean expert) after another, has been predicting that this market is ready to crash. The problem is that these brain surgeons have been making this argument for so long it almost sounds like the definition of insanity. Insanity boils down to doing the same thing over and over again and hoping for a new outcome. These predictions are so off the mark that they make a broken clock look fantastic which happens to be right once or twice a day depending on whether you follow military time or not. This market is unlike any other market; it has moved from being the most hated bull market to the most insane bull market of all time. In such an environment technical analysis is technically trash and fundamentals are fundamentally flawed. In fact, for the most part, market technicians have no idea of what they are talking about; they figure that by studying someone else theory or drawing squiggly lines on some chart they can decipher the market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 28, 2017
Stock Market Consolidation Day, Poor Technicals, NDX Reaches New All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting, very mixed, session today, with the Nasdaq 100 making new all-time highs, closing near 5572, a gain of over 30 points.
The day started out with a gap up on the Nasdaq 100, but not so much on the S&P 500. When they moved higher in the morning, and then pulled back, the S&P 500 made lower lows, but the Nasdaq 100 formed a bull wedge. The Nasdaq 100 broke out midday, along with the S&P 500, which ran up, and in the afternoon, they pulled back, the Nasdaq 100 rallying again to new highs, but the S&P 500 couldn’t even get through the declining topsline. It was a very mixed session, continuing the consolidation on a higher range on the Nasdaq 100, but more of a pullback low on the blue chips.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Financial Markets Improvised Explosives / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: DeviantInvestor
What happens when new currency is created with few limits by central banks and commercial banks?
Answer: Far too much debt and currency are created.
Central Bank Balance Sheets have increased by $10 trillion in the last decade and $1 trillion YTD in 2017.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Trump 100, Margin Debt Stock Bubble and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: GoldCore
– Stocks and the dollar look vulnerable due to Trump’s policies, America’s civil war politics and economic vulnerability
– Stock bubble on margin debt – ‘Powerful time bomb’
– “There is no alternative” to stock bubble? Gold?
– Bank Of America sets a date for the market’s “Great Fall”
– Even uber bull Cramer compares 2000 dotcom bubble bust to today
– Gold to stay elevated on safe haven demand – Economist
– Gold’s tempered climb makes gains more ‘sustainable’
Thursday, April 27, 2017
More Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Get Close To Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Stock Market Expected Pullback After Two Big Upside Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices churned and were choppy all day, and at the end of the day they sold off after the tax plan was released, but loses were very minor after a couple big days to the upside.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 21.03 at 20,975,09, about 90 points off the high. The S&P 500 was down 1.16 at 2387.45, 11 points off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 7.11 at 5541.09, 22 points off the high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 26, 2017
Billionaire Investor Paul Tudor Jones Says Stock Market Valuation Is “Terrifying” And He Is Right / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Jeff_Berwick
We live in a unique time. Never before have the markets gone to such extremes in almost every way imaginable.
Not just the markets either. Nearly everything.
US government debt is just getting ridiculous now. There are really no more words to say how out-of-control and unsustainable it is.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 26, 2017
The Next “United Airlines” Scandal May Happen In Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : United Airlines recently had a rough week, but not as rough as one of its passengers. Dr. David Dao received a concussion, a broken nose, and two broken teeth after airport police forcibly dragged him off the plane he had boarded only a short while earlier.
As you have probably heard by now, the airline needed to get four crew members from Chicago, Illinois to Louisville, Kentucky for a flight the next day and decided to boot four passengers off the plane after nobody volunteered to give up their seat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 26, 2017
The Stock Market Is Overvalued, But It’s Not In A Bubble Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : If you asked the man on the street, he would probably tell you there are five different bubbles going on right now.
There is some truth to that, but also some untruth to that.
The true part is that a lot of things are currently overvalued. I would say stocks are overvalued. Most people would agree. I would also say bonds are overvalued. Some people would agree. I would say corporate credit is overvalued, real estate in certain parts of the country is overvalued, and maybe a few other things.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 25, 2017
SPX may be Aiming at the Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I asked the question, “Will the SPX reverse in hour 86?” We got our answer as SPX rallied through the rest of the day. Interestingly enough, the rally thus far took 90 hours. 90.3 is divisible by 4.3 and also happens to be 12.9 days. This may be a good spot for a reversal.
SPX futures are positive this morning, but The corrective Wave appears to be nearly finished. An additional probe to the 2-hour cycle Top at 2384.51 may do the job.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 25, 2017
Exchange-Traded Funds Make Decisions Easy / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Stock Market Forecast Big Picture: The broad stock market is working through a more complex corrective price pattern. My recent forecast, as displayed in the chart below, indicates that the next leg up is toward 2500. The market may be about to start a larger A-B-C correction to test the 2300 level to fully cleanse itself, before starting the next leg up. But overall, the SPX is very bullish long-term.
Monday, April 24, 2017
Risk on Stock Market French Election Euphoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures went euphorically higher as the DAX made an all-time high this morning.
Currently the level of the SPX futs are near 2375.00. SPX is in the 84th hour of its Cycle which began at 2378.36. If the current EW reading is correct, it should reverse in the next three hours without overcoming its April 5 high.
Last Thursday, Bloomberg noted, “European Central Bank officials signaled that their liquidity facilities remain available to counter any market tension that may arise in the aftermath of France’s presidential election, the first round of which takes place Sunday.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 24, 2017
Is the Stock Market Bounce Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...