Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 21, 2011
Stock Market SPX Correction Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The US stock markets have enjoyed an awesome run since late August, with the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) up 23.7%. Traders have earned huge profits in sectors that leverage general-stock-market gains, including commodities stocks. But as usual after any long and uninterrupted rally, complacency reigns supreme today. Such sentiment is a prime breeding ground for spawning corrections.
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Friday, January 21, 2011
Despite The Awakening Beast, Profit & Protect with a Portfolio Essential / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The U.S. Dollar is being devalued by the Federal Reserve…
QE2 is nothing more than devaluation of the dollar for the benefit of only Wall Street Money Center Banks. This is a fraud on the American people who will get nothing from QE2, not jobs, no reduction of their debts, no increase in the values of their homes, no reduction of taxes, no cash, nothing.” Robert McHugh, McHugh’s Weekend Market Newsletter, 1/14/11
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Thursday, January 20, 2011
Another Consequence of Zero Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
Over the past two years, I have visited the topic of the consequences of our new zero rate world on several occasions. Despite media ramblings about ‘free’ money stimulating the economy and igniting another 2005-esque period of time, there have been several very negative consequences. Obviously, pathetic rates of return on what are traditionally referred to, as ‘risk-free’ assets are one well-understood development. There are others. This week we’ll take a look at the specter of zero-rates from a risk management perspective and demonstrate exactly how much our world has changed. Perhaps, ironically, the news is not all bad; there is a bit of a silver lining in here!
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Thursday, January 20, 2011
Marc Faber Says Own Stocks, Gold & Silver, Farm Land and Short Government Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
2011 has started on an unexpected note. Emerging markets have come down and developed markets, like Europe and the US, have scaled up.
It was not entirely unexpected to me because since March 2009, emerging markets have significantly outperformed developed ones and through easy monetary policies in the US, we created bubbles in the emerging economies, particularly in terms of inflation. So, the emerging economies, having this excessive liquidity and high inflation, have to tighten here, or let inflation go and have problems later on. So some money is flowing out of emerging economies.
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Thursday, January 20, 2011
How the Food Crisis Will Affect Your Portfolio in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Food Crisis
Chris Mayer writes: A story I've been warning about for years is making sensational headlines right now.
It's a story most people don't realize could make a huge impact on all of our portfolios in a number of ways.
Thursday, January 20, 2011
A Safer Time to Buy Stocks is Coming Soon! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Beware the Ides of March. Good advice to Caesar but is it good for stock market investors as well? Probably not.The thing is, most years the Ides of March is actually a good time to be buying stocks.
It is coming
The time to beware, is coming up soon and that is what I will be looking at today.
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Thursday, January 20, 2011
Panic Selling Hits Stock Market, Silver Is Next! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Today the stock market bled out with a river of red candles. All of the recent gains vanished in one session. Strong selling volume sessions like this are typically a warning sign that distribution selling is starting to enter the market.
Distribution selling is when the big money players start unloading large positions in anticipation of a market top. They do try to hide it by selling into good news or earnings when the average investors are buying into all the hype of better than expected earnings on the news. As average investors jump into the market because of the good news, this extra liquidity helps the big money players (banks, hedge funds, etc..) sell large amounts of their positions to the eager buyers. This is why the “buy on rumor and sell on the news” saying is kicked around wall street….
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Nasdaq Snaps / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market has been needing to sell and today it finally did. The Dow held up because of International Business Machines Corp. (IBM), but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq took it on the chin today, especially those tech stocks in the Nasdaq. Where to start. Let's start with Apple Inc. (AAPL), the most loved stock on planet earth. It fell hard yesterday early on when the news came out that CEO Steve Jobs is very sick again. It recovered beautifully in anticipation of its earnings report that evening. The earnings were out of this world fabulous. The stock ran up and was about to move to new highs. With such great news it was bound to keep running up. Not the case. It snapped down. It closed red after being up over ten dollars. A topping stick for the foreseeable future.
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Stock Market Appears Attractive Over Next 6-to-12 Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Our market models at CCM continue to paint a positive outlook for stocks, and risk assets in general, over the next twelve months. Positive fundamental data and global growth projections averaging 4.3% for the coming year continue to outweigh concerns about sovereign issues in Europe, a U.S. housing market weighed by continued foreclosures, and high unemployment.
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Marc Faber Mature Economies To Beat Emerging Markets, Food Inflation Worrying / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Marc Faber on CNBC-TV18 : Mature economies To Beat Emerging Markets, Food Inflation Worrying
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Four Financial Farces… All of Which Will End in Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
At this point the news out of the financial world is more insane than… well, anything.
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Weekly Stock Market Forecast (Resistance Edition) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The first and most critical item to note is that stocks have hit up against their upper trendline as denoted by their August, November and current tops. By most counts, this is THE upside target for this rally.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Market Turning Points, Here We Go Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Humans, for whatever reason, tend to project the past into the future. It is an emotional flaw in our genetic makeup. It is also the reason why so many otherwise intelligent people miss the big turning points in the economy and stock market.
A classic example occurred in the summer of `07. The sub-prime market was just starting to implode. With the benefit of hindsight we now know that was the beginning of the end for not only the stock market but the global economy.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Strong Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
NYAD Stock Market Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The NYAD tracks market breadth on a daily basis. It is simply a sum total of the number of advancing stocks, on the day, minus the number of declining stocks. When there are more advances than declines it’s a positive number. When not, it’s a negative number. One can chart the cumulative total of the daily A/D numbers over a period of time. This is important information for investors.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Bearish Gold Wave Patterns and Stock Market SP 500 Near The Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
My most recent forecasts for the SP 500 and Gold have been calling for interim peaks in both around Mid- January. Gold, I told my subscribers a few weeks ago, was definitely topping and likely to drop now to $1270-$1280 per ounce before resuming the Bull Market advance. The SP 500 I have forecasted a 1285-1315 topping area since the 1175 pivot lows on that index, and we are very close as well in that regard.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Emerging Markets Are The Future, The U.S. Dollar And Euro Are Doomed! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Over the past several years I’ve repeatedly given you major warnings on several critical issues affecting all of us.
Chief among them have been the ongoing devaluation of the U.S. dollar … the phenomenal rise of China and emerging markets … how the seeds of inflation were being sown … and warnings of imminent rampant price rises in food, energy and consumer staples.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Investors Can't Miss What's Ahead in Tech 2011 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks rose gently but purposefully over the past week as investors collectively remembered that negative recent headlines on Portugal, China and Australia were only bound to push more money toward the United States, not force people back into the bomb shelter of government bonds.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
2011 Investment Commentary, Specific Sectors, When to Sell Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
2011 will likely start a bit bumpy as the market works off its overbought condition setting the stage for a nice rally to begin in February leading up to the end of QE2 sometime in the second quarter. The second half of 2011 should feature a sideways move into 2012.
I think Financial stocks will continue to underperform. Looking back after the tech bubble many companies never saw their stock prices recover (Cisco, Intel, Dell, Yahoo, and Microsoft are examples). There are still a number of questions concerning foreclosures and a black swan in terms of the balance sheet pricing from the FASB/IFRS.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 17th Jan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
US markets rally for the seventh week in a row, while economic reports continue to be encouraging. On the economic front: the twin Deficits were about unchanged, wholesale inventories and consumer sentiment declined, and the weekly jobless claims came in higher. On the positive side: export/import prices remained positive, along with the PPI/CPI, retail sales, and business inventories. Industrial production and capacity utilization rose, along with the monetary base and the WLEI. Overall a fairly good week!
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